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Cricket... the game, not the insect

First semi today. I fear for India's sake if India doesn't stop the ridiculous chase they set for the Kiwis of 398. Right now the Black Caps have a solid partnership forming, but they are 27 overs at near a 10 run rate away from their target. This would be quite something if they pull it off. India has owned this tournament.
 
Kiwis need about 12 an over in the last 9 (strike rate of over 200%). I think India batted that themselves in the last ten. It isn't likely, but it isn't over. Kiwi's biggest problem is with 9 of those overs, Shami has 2 to bowl.
 
India into the final. Daryl Mitchell fought the good fight, but India was able to win handily.
 
Today on, what is India waiting for to put on their pace bowlers?!

Also, the fans realize they can impact the game by cheering right? Like the Covid restrictions are back and the stadium is empty. Most noise they've made in an hour was cheering Head's century.
 
Aussies take the ODI. I don't get the lack of pacers and how the fans just seemed to feel entitled to an Indian Title thay when the team needed their energy, they were too busy sitting on their hands.

Team win here. Thry came out explosive. Gave up a couple wickets but put themselves in a good position.
 
The two superpowers of cricket clash, but there can be only one World Champion.
A number of excuses have been offered for India's loss:
Politics/match fixing - the dejected looks and behaviour of the Indian players shows that these are not men who intentionally lost.
The toss -Cummins surprised almost everyone when he chose to field; if Indian captain had won toss he would have chosen to bat, so no matter the result of toss India would open the batting, so the toss had no effect on match.
That India had won ten matches in a row, and was therefore due for a loss. Australia won eight matches in a row leading up to the final, so not much difference.

Some comments:
The Indian cricket authorities prepared the pitch for this match; they chose to make it slow believing this would help Indian side and disadvantage the Australians. This trap backfired, as Australia handled the conditions better.
Smith was given out LBW, and surprisingly didn't challenge the decision, if he had he would have stayed in. Later in the match his good friend Labuschagne was given a not out LBW decision that India challenged, and result was umpire's decision, so he stayed. If the umpire had originally given an LBW, Labuschagne would have been gone (too late to save India). So this was a balance.
It was the Travis Head show - two teams enter the Travisdome, only one team leaves victorious.
Negative fielding by India, they should have had men in slips positions.

There are claims that India was the better team (and therefore should automatically have won), but this match was to determine who was the better team, and it was not India. Earlier in the year (June) Australia won the World Test Cricket Championship final (also against India).
 
That India had won ten matches in a row, and was therefore due for a loss.
Yeah, probability doesn't work like that, and the smart money is to bet on the team with a run of good form.

The fact that every team eventually loses in no way helps us to predict when they will lose, which is counterintuitive, but unavoidably true.
 
Why did Australia win? They played to win. They field with tenacity and they came out of the gate firing. It took the bowlers four overs to get things in line. Then they stopped using the pacers. And let a partnership form. India was going from the script, instead of reacting to what was happening on the pitch. They needed to burn through the pacers to get everyone out through Maxwell. I also think Shami was hurt and his effectiveness was greatly reduced. And I think the home crowd sucked the energy out of the team.

Finally, Australia also scored more runs than India, and that usually has a strong correlation with winning.
 
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