This conflict is fundamentally a war of ideological attrition, and in some ways, it echoes the dynamics of the American Civil War. Initially, the Confederacy held the advantage in ideological cohesion and strategic agility, while the Union, despite superior numbers and technological potential, struggled with poor organization and setbacks. However, after adding an ideological framework that garnered moral support to the Union’s overwhelming resources and technological advancements they wore down the Confederacy, culminating in victory.
A critical aspect of Lincoln's strategy early in the Civil War was his deliberate avoidance of framing the conflict as a crusade against slavery. By focusing instead on preserving the Union, Lincoln sought to keep fragile coalitions intact and prevent alienating key constituencies, such as the border states and Northern moderates. Only later, when the war’s dynamics shifted, did emancipation become a central focus, reshaping the ideological stakes and bolstering the Union’s moral high ground.
Similarly, in the Israel-Palestine conflict, we see two deeply entrenched ideologies clashing. Israel wields superior technology and military strength, while Hamas relies on ideological fervor and propaganda to rally support. However, Israel is faltering in the ideological battle on the global stage. By modern human rights standards, Israel's actions in Gaza are increasingly scrutinized, particularly as Palestinian civilians, trapped under Hamas’s oppressive control, bear the brunt of the suffering. This mirrors the way propaganda and global opinion became critical fronts in the Civil War after emancipation reshaped its narrative.
Just as the Union’s ultimate success depended not only on military strength but also on winning the ideological struggle, Israel’s path to long-term stability IMO hinges on addressing the humanitarian concerns that Hamas exploits as propaganda tools. Failing to consider this broader ideological battlefield risks eroding Israel’s legitimacy while empowering its adversaries, much as Lincoln recognized that the Union needed a compelling moral narrative to sustain its cause.
Well, that’s just my completely uninformed, terrorist-sympathizing perspective.