Jimmy Higgins
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In a world where liberals are desperate for any sign that this insanity will end, we have more special elections and primaries.
Democrats won a New Hampshire seat in their state legislature. This particular seat was held by a Republican who won in 2016. This District has four representatives, 3 were Republicans, 1 was Democrat, now it is split. The Democrat won by 7 pts. Obama won this in 2012 by just 1 pt, and Trump won it by 14, so this seems to indicate a turn of the tide.
Democrats won in Connecticut. The incumbent who handily kicked the ass of the Democrat back in 2016 became Mayor somewhere and left the seat open. The Democrat won by 2 pts. Trump actually lost this place by 2 pts, so the significance is unknown, as the power of incumbency might have been a bigger factor of the previous representative's win in 2016.
In Kentucky, a deep blood red district changed to merely a blood red district where the Democrat lost by 33 pts.
And in Arizona, the Democrats got little unlucky but then a little lucky. The crazy ass Republican lost in the primary, but the winner apparently is guilty of breaking campaign finance rules. So a deep red district once again is leading to a chance for the Democrats.
Meanwhile, in PA-18, also known as the Mother of All Special Election, the district with a Cook rating of 11 pts in the Republican's favor has been labeled as a toss up by Cook. The significance in this district that Trump won by 20 pts is that the Republicans are pouring a substantial amount of cash into this race. Firstly, they feel a need to spend a fortune in a district Trump won by 20 pts, that is pretty bad. To make matters worse, with it being a toss up now, there is a chance they might lose this seat, despite all of this cash. So if the Republicans pour everything they can into this district and still lose a comfortably Republican district, every Republican in the Northeast and California will be needing new underpants. PA-18 is the bellweather seat for a tsunami in November.
Democrats won a New Hampshire seat in their state legislature. This particular seat was held by a Republican who won in 2016. This District has four representatives, 3 were Republicans, 1 was Democrat, now it is split. The Democrat won by 7 pts. Obama won this in 2012 by just 1 pt, and Trump won it by 14, so this seems to indicate a turn of the tide.
Democrats won in Connecticut. The incumbent who handily kicked the ass of the Democrat back in 2016 became Mayor somewhere and left the seat open. The Democrat won by 2 pts. Trump actually lost this place by 2 pts, so the significance is unknown, as the power of incumbency might have been a bigger factor of the previous representative's win in 2016.
In Kentucky, a deep blood red district changed to merely a blood red district where the Democrat lost by 33 pts.
And in Arizona, the Democrats got little unlucky but then a little lucky. The crazy ass Republican lost in the primary, but the winner apparently is guilty of breaking campaign finance rules. So a deep red district once again is leading to a chance for the Democrats.
Meanwhile, in PA-18, also known as the Mother of All Special Election, the district with a Cook rating of 11 pts in the Republican's favor has been labeled as a toss up by Cook. The significance in this district that Trump won by 20 pts is that the Republicans are pouring a substantial amount of cash into this race. Firstly, they feel a need to spend a fortune in a district Trump won by 20 pts, that is pretty bad. To make matters worse, with it being a toss up now, there is a chance they might lose this seat, despite all of this cash. So if the Republicans pour everything they can into this district and still lose a comfortably Republican district, every Republican in the Northeast and California will be needing new underpants. PA-18 is the bellweather seat for a tsunami in November.
