I sincerely do not believe that Trump will be re-elected. I seriously doubt he will run. From what I hear, his health continues to decline and so do the number and fervor of his followers. Wide speculation that he's only dangling his 'campaign' for the grift.
I sincerely hope that’s right. I’d like nothing better than seeing goobernor death sentence bungle a Presidential campaign and lose the Presidency and both houses of Congress (for real this time- a majority without the DINOs).
But if ANY trumpsucker gets the presidency, all the 1/6 traitors will have government jobs, cabinet positions etc. and it is unlikely that there will ever again be free and fair elections.
It's certainly true that Trump is only in it for the grift. His "loved ones" have probably suffered all the embarrassment and "public service" they can.
Good news is that Trump cares nothing about policy, service or the GOP. He's happy to see the GOP lose since that leads to MORE donations to his grifts, and more T-shirt sales for Junior. Growing older and increasingly incontinent, Trump may be an ASSET for the Democrats in upcoming elections.
But I'm not optimistic. If DeSantis or Tucker Carlson gets the nod they'll run — and win — on Trump's Stop-the-Steal agenda and America's 230-year experiment in democracy will be finished.
In ranked order, the winner of the 2024 election is projected by the Betfair market to be
Trump
Biden
DeSantis
Harris
with Haley, Pence, Buttigieg roughly tied for 5th place.
My own guess is that Nikki Haley will win the nomination and the Presidency. Haley is a right-winger and seems to support voter suppression, but so far she doesn't seem to be a hate-crazed Stop-the-Steal enthusiast.
Washington Post said:
Haley, arguing against the impeachment of Trump on Fox News, did allow that Jan. 6 was a “tough day” and that Trump’s actions since the election were “not his finest.”
That’s incredibly mild to begin with. But Haley continued: “Does he deserve to be impeached? Absolutely not.”
“I don’t even think there’s a basis for impeachment,” Haley said, adding: “They beat him up before he got into office. They’re beating him up after he leaves office. At some point, I mean, give the man a break!"
As she prepares to throw her hat in the ring, I assume she'll move more and more to the Trump camp, and away from her liberal sympathies for minorities.
Would there be any interest here in staging a Karachi Auction to bet on the outcome of the 2024 election? (All for pretend money of course.) The election is a long way away, but even when the tickets are sold out, there can still be an interesting after-market in the tickets.