http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/04/w...russia-ukraine-moves-brazen-assault.html?_r=0
“The defense of Tallinn and Riga and Vilnius is just as important as the defense of Berlin and Paris and London,” Mr. Obama said Wednesday, invoking the founding principle of collective defense that undergirds NATO. “An attack on one is an attack on all, and so if, in such a moment, you ever ask again, ‘Who’ll come to help?’ you’ll know the answer: the NATO alliance, including the armed forces of the United States of America.
max must be on vacation or I'm sure he would have posted this along with some articles from newsmax or wherever about how Obama is being weak and wrong.
I knew KSEN would miss me.
More empty threats and cynical reassurances from our President? That is not appeasement, its an embarrassment. Most of us recall Obama's attempts at 'jaw-boning' of Putin, lecturing him that he is not "on the side of history" and how his expansionism in the Ukraine was so 18th century. Putin laughed, ignored, annexed, and expanded his efforts.
To date Obama has not had the will to face Russia, nor a serious strategy to help the Ukraine. First consider what he could have done:
1) Put Polish missiles back on the table.
2) Threaten and/or began overt or covert substantive lethal aid to the Ukraine.
3) Stationed sizable tripwire forces in the Baltics at the outset.
4) Imposed far more serious sanctions at the outset.
5) Start the "modernizing" of Ukrainian military five months ago, BEFORE Putin occupied portions of the Ukraine.
While it is uncertain if these measures could have deterred Putin, there is NO doubt that Obama's actions did little to help the Ukraine and, in fact, helped Putin.
Consider what he did :
His initial languid response was to threat to cancel the VISA credit cards of Putin crony's, and to make it difficult for them to get their personal loans for a penthouse in Abu Dahbi - which, I am sure to Obama's shock, failed to deter Putin from annexing Crimea to Russia. Then, undeterred, Putin started his insurgent war in the eastern Ukraine, at first supplying only light arms.
Obama, in response, announced more anemic sanctions and almost an insulting level of a few million dollars in aid - cravenly assuring Putin that there would be no 'lethal' help to the Ukraine. Putin, noting Obama's childish insouciance , responded with man portable AA rockets, then tanks, then grad rocket launchers and finally full-sized AA SA systems...followed by providing Russian artillery fire into the Ukraine.
By late July, each of Obama's four attempts to deter Putin with more sanctions had failed. Why? Partly because his sanctions were so pathetic. The sanctions only ended up being imposed on the assets of 68 people, and two companies involved in the conflict. These token SANCTIONS did NOT target the Russian industry, trade, or investment sectors.
Only when the insurgents shot down Malaysian airliner MH-17 did it galvanize both Europe and 'lead from behind' Obama. On July 29 the EU agreed to broad and serious sanctions on Russian industry - sanctions that finally targeted key sectors of the Russian economy. Shortly afterwards Obama, in coordination with the EU, also targeted those sectors of the Russian economy. Even so THEY have failed to deter Putin.
But no thanks to Obama, a few weeks ago Putin was finally facing an unexpected event that he did take seriously; the Ukrainian military had been, since May, been improving. They took back half the rebel territory, clearing many villages in numerous battles. They had the rebels confined to two pockets, and threatened the destruction of Putin's proxys. So Putin ignored the threat of more sanctions and resolved the problem by invasion, rolling back all of Ukraine's gains and seizing new territory on a 3rd front - taunting Obama that he could be in Kiev in two weeks.
So here we are: Crimea is gone, so is some or all of eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian leadership has put on a game face but they know that Obama is feckless and indifferent to their fate, and that no substantive help will come from the US or NATO in the near term, if ever. So they are hoping for a ceasefire to halt Putin's advance and are now willing to give up more of their country. The only question is how much does Putin want?
In other words, Obama's "strategy" has not deterred Putin, it has delivered Russia its Sudetenland, much to his apparent satisfaction. One wonders, is he now going to wave his sanction papers as providing peace in our time?
We shall see.