Since it has been awhile, perhaps someone new looking in who thinks that the crucifixion took place on the 6th day of the week and who thinks that Matthew 12:40 is using commom idiomatic language, may know of some writing.
steve_bnk,
re: "Given a room full of women with fraternal twin pregnancies the probability of the sex on the next birth is 50%."
Agreed.
re: " Not the same question as what is the probability of one of the pair being a girl in the womb."
Agreed. But I'm afraid I don't see the point...
steve_bnk,
re: "Given equal male-female probabilitiesfor each embryo over many births sequentially as the babies aredelivered the probability of the next baby being male or female hasto be 50 percent."
Which is exactly the same as the coin toss. Each coin has a 50% chance of coming up...
Alcoholic Actuary,
re: "That's nothing like what anyone is saying. The probability of 'at least one girl' in a set of fraternal twins is .75. The probability of no girl is .25. The probability of 'at least one boy' in a set of fraternal twins is also .75. The probability of no boy is .25. "...
mAgeth,
re: "And my name is mAgeth."
Sorry for the typo.
re: "Actually, it's not. It's 2 in 3..."
What is the chance expressed as a percentage that the woman is going to leave the hospital with at least 1 girl?
Alcoholic Actuary,
re: "(Or to say it differently, there are only 3 outcomes..."
I assume by that, you mean only 3 outcomes where a girl is involved.
re: "...but they are not all equally likely)"
Why not?
Megeth,
re: "Alternatively, if interpreted as 'at least one..."
Yes, that is the correct interpretation.
re: "...then the probability that at least one twin is a girl would be two in three."
Actually, it's 3 in 4 or 75 percent.
You are a contestant on a game show. There are three curtains. Behind one of the curtains is a new car. You are asked to choose one of the curtains. Lets say that you choose curtain #1. The host of the show - who knows where the car is so as not to end the game prematurely - opens curtain #3 and...
Whenever the three days and three nights of Matthew 12:40 is brought up in a “discussion” with 6th day crucifixion folks, they frequently argue that it is a common Jewish idiom for counting any part of a day as a whole day. I wonder if anyone (who thinks that the crucifixion took place on the...
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