Boneyard Bill fractional reserve banking again
To Simple Don:
Wow. Two super-long posts that just repeated the same old stuff. If you're so fond of writing, why don't you publish a book? I'm not going to try to respond point-by-point. I will focus on just two points. One is market prices, and the other is money and banking. I will begin with the latter because that is an area where you seem to be utterly confused.
Let's begin with money and banking and specifically with what you refer to as endogenous money creation. A man goes to the bank and deposits $1000. The bank holds some of that in reserve, let's say 10%, and it lends out the rest. So it has $100 in cash and $900 in loans. Let's say it's a mortgage. So it has $1000 in assets and $1000 in liabilities which is what it owes to the depositor. The banker will tell you that he has not created any money.
However, the bank lent out $900, and the borrower now takes that to another bank (or even the same bank) which now sets aside $90 as a reserve and lends out $810. And that gets deposited in another bank, etc. So this process goes on until, theoretically, the $1000 original deposit becomes $10,000. So, while no bank created any money, the banking system as a whole does.
If I do write a book it will be titled
what I have learned about economics and the first chapter will be
Everyone Learns the Economics That Provides Them the Highest Level of Conformation of Their Biases.
The discussion was about the viability of marginal productivity theory and the quantity of money theory. I kept repeating and rephrasing my arguments because you never addressed them. I could only assume that you didn't understand the arguments. Now that you have provided some discussion about the quantity of money theory, we have something to work with.
I do understand fractional reserve banking. You understand fractional reserve banking and have a good start on endogenous money creation. Let's take your example of $1000 deposited in a bank. And it is correct that $100 put in reserve is enough for the bank to make $1000 loan with a 10% reserve requirement and that the loan can result into as much as $10,000 of endogenous money creations as the money created is repeatedly deposited and loaned out in other banks. But the original bank does create money out of thin air. The $900 difference between the reserve amount and the first loan amount for example. The bank doesn't loan out the $900 from the deposit, it doesn't have to because as a bank it can create money out of thin air. The $1000 original can support ten $1000 dollar loans with a 10% reserve requirement making a total of $9000 in possible endogenous money creation just by the original bank.
But what we have just started to realize is that the above story is somewhat backwards. The bank doesn't wait for a deposit to start the process. That what is important to the bank isn't the deposit. That what is important is the number of credit worthy borrowers that walk through the doors. That if the bank doesn't have the deposits available to satisfy the reserve requirements they will go ahead and sign the loan because they can borrow the money needed for the reserve requirement, either from another bank or from the Federal Reserve Bank. The Fed is forced to provide liquidity to its member banks and to their subscribing banks in order to maintain their target interest rate.
The upshot is that the creation of the vast majority of the money in the economy is not only completely endogenous, dependent only on the demand for loans from credit worthy borrowers but that the reserve requirement doesn't present any meaningful restriction on endogenous money creation. This accounts for about 95% of the money in the economy.
I have been through this before with you. You obviously don't accept it. At least from me. How do you feel about the Bank of England as a credible source? Here is essentially the same explanation that I gave above from the Bank of England, the UK's central bank, like our Federal Reserve Bank. I found this link by Googling "How do banks create money?"
Here is a paper from them entitled
Money Creation in the Modern Economy available
here warning - pdf download.
The Bank of England says said:
In the modern economy, most money takes the form of bank deposits. But how those bank deposits are created is often misunderstood: the principal way is through commercial banks making loans. Whenever a bank makes a loan, it simultaneously creates a matching deposit in the borrower's bank account, thereby creating new money. The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks:
• Rather than banks receiving deposits when household save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.
• In normal times, the central bank does not fix the amount of money in circulation, nor is central bank money 'multiplied up' into more loans and deposits.
Although commercial banks create money through lending, they cannot do so freely without limit. Banks are limited in how much they can lend if they are to remain profitable in a competitive banking system. Prudential regulation also acts as a constraint on banks' activities in order to maintain the resilience of the financial system. And the households and companies who receive the money created by new lending may take actions that affect the stock of money — they could quickly 'destroy' money by using it to repay their existing debt, for instance.
...
The Bank of England goes on to say said:
... One common misconception is that banks act simply as intermediaries, lending out the deposits that savers place with them. In this view deposits are typically 'created' by the saving decisions of households, and banks then 'lend out' those existing deposits to borrowers, for example to companies looking to finance investment or individuals wanting to purchase houses. In fact, when households choose to save more money in bank accounts, those deposits come simply at the expense of deposits that would have otherwise gone to companies in payment for goods and services. Saving does not by itself increase the deposits or 'funds available' for banks to lend. Indeed, viewing banks simply as intermediaries ignores the fact that, in reality in the modern economy, commercial banks are the creators of deposit money. . This article explains how, rather than banks lending out deposits that are placed with them, the act of lending creates deposits — the reverse of the sequence typically described in textbooks.
Another common misconception is that the central bank determines the quantity of loans and deposits in the economy by controlling the quantity of central bank money — the so-called 'money multiplier' approach. In that view, central banks implement monetary policy by choosing a quantity of reserves. And, because there is assumed to be a constant ratio of broad money to base money, these reserves are then 'multiplied up' to a much greater change in bank loans and deposits. For the theory to hold, the amount of reserves must be a binding constraint on lending, and the central bank must directly determine the amount of reserves. While the money multiplier theory can be a useful way of introducing money and banking in economic textbooks, it is not an accurate description of how money is created in reality. Rather than controlling the quantity of reserves, central banks today typically implement monetary policy by setting the price of reserves — that is, interest rates. In reality, neither are reserves a binding constraint on lending, nor does the central bank fix the amount of reserves that are available. As with the relationship between deposits and loans, the relationship between reserves and loans typically operates in the reverse way to that described in some economics textbooks. Banks first decide how much to lend depending on the profitable lending opportunities available to them — which will, crucially, depend on the interest rate set by the Bank of England. ....
These revelations have some serious impacts on mainstream economics. Obviously it puts the zombie quantity theory of money back into the grave. It means that savings are not required for investment, rather that investment increases savings. It means that "loanable funds" theory is dead, the idea that there is a market where borrowers bid on the money that savers have deposited in banks. It even calls into question how effectively the central bank’s setting of interest rates affects investment and consumption decisions considering the higher profits earned these days and the ever increasing income inequality. That is that the spread between the anticipated profits and the interest rates charged are so great that a rise in interest rates is less of factor in the investment decision. And that the interest rate is less of a factor in the consumption decision with income inequality forcing most people to defer consumption and the privileged few less dependent on loans for their consumption.
I will stop there for now to let this soak in. I know that this is hard to accept. It was for me the first time that I encountered it.
I will answer the rest of your post below.
Continued below....