An event does not happen, and cannot happen, if it has not been determined to happen.
Nope. The proper statement is this:
An event does not happen, and
will not happen, if it has not been determined to happen.
A car crash can happen. An avalanche can happen....but whether these happen or not is a matter of how the state of the system as it evolves.
Much better. Whether something that "can" happen actually "does" happen is causally determined. Out of the many things that can possibly happen, some of them are causally determined to happen and many others are causally determined not to happen.
There are
many things that "can" happen but only
one thing that "will" happen.
That something that can happen never happens is irrelevant.
I disagree. The whole point of things that "can" happen is to help us to estimate what most likely "will" happen. A "can happen" is a
possible "will happen". A "will happen" is an actual happening. A "can happen" is how we think about things when we don't know what "will happen".
Whether something happens or not is not a choice. If determined, it happens, if not, it doesn't happen.
Whether a choice happens or not is causally determined. If determined, then obviously a choice will happen! If not, then a choice will not happen.
As it turns out, we are often in situations where we find that it is determined that we must actually make a choice. So, we will make a choice.
If something has been determined to happen, nothing other what must happen can happen in its specific place and specific moment in time.
Nope. Nothing other than what DETERMINISTICALLY MUST happen WILL happen.
No. You said that "nothing other what must happen
can happen". There are many things that "can" happen that "must not" happen. The fact that it is causally necessary that they "will not" happen
never implies that they "cannot" happen. For example, the fact that I will not order the steak never implies that I cannot order the steak.
While only one single thing will actually happen, many other things can happen and could have happened. The whole point of the notion of possibilities is to enable us to think about these things that we are unsure of. Thinking of things that can happen is the source of human invention and progress.
But they can't happen unless it is determined that they happen. If not determined, there is no ''could have happened.''
Obviously that assessment is logically incorrect. It literally does not work to think that way. That's the point of the examples.
That is negated by ''Nothing other than what DETERMINISTICALLY MUST happen WILL happen.''
Nope. My statement says nothing about what "can" happen. It appropriately limits itself to what "will" happen.
And the fix is quite simple, for example:
That given a deterministic system, nothing that has not been determined to happen, can happen.
Becomes this:
That given a deterministic system, nothing that has not been determined to happen,
will happen.
Which brings us to this scenario:
Waiter (a hard determinist): "What will you have for dinner tonight, sir?"
Customer (hungry): "Gee, I don't know. What are my possibilities?"
Waiter: "Because we live in a deterministic universe, there is only one thing that you can order".
Customer: "Oh. That's disappointing. But, okay then, what is that one thing that I can order?".
Waiter: "I don't know."
Not that again. I've already responded to that scenario. If that is how a scene plays out, there are antecedent reasons for it. Something is driving the dialogue and the actions. Perhaps a compatibilist haranguing the waiter in an attempt to prove a point?
It's a simple example of the conundrum created by conflating what "can" happen with what "will" happen.
The solution is simple, stop assuming that the fact of a single thing that will happen eliminates all but one of the many things that can happen. Things "can" happen even if they never "will" happen. I "can" order the steak tonight even though I "will not" order the steak tonight.
The reason we drift into the logical error is figurative thinking. We say to ourselves, "If I will not order the steak tonight it is AS IF I cannot order the steak tonight". Every figurative statement is literally false.
Determinism, in philosophy and science, the thesis that all events in the universe, including human decisions and actions, are causally inevitable. Determinism entails that, in a situation in which a person makes a certain decision or performs a certain action, it is
impossible that he or she
could have made any other decision or performed any other action. In other words, it is never true that people
could have decided or acted otherwise than they actually did.''
So, there is no reason to feel bad about the logical error of conflating "will" with "can", because it is quite common, and mostly when discussing determinism. You can see the same mistake made right there by the Britanica authors, people who really should know better.
The same problem is demonstrated in this scenario:
We're approaching a traffic light. It's currently red. Will it remain red when we arrive or will it turn green just as we get there? We don't know. All we know for certain is that it "can" remain red and that it "can" turn green. But wait, the hard determinist tells us that violates determinism! If determinism means that there is only one thing that "can" happen, then how do we logically cope with what we've always used MULTIPLE possibilities to deal with? Our brain freezes at this impossible state of affairs.
The traffic light does what it must do according to it design, programming, ie, its state and condition. It does this regardless of our perception of it, which in turn is determined by our own state and condition, sensory apparatus, brain, memory, experience with traffic lights, etc......a complex interaction of systems within a deterministic world as it evolves, time and change, events fixed by antecedent conditions, time t and the way things go ever after.
And yet in all that you have not addressed the problem presented. The conflation of "can" with "will" eliminates the notion of multiple possibilities, and thus brings us to a screeching mental halt. The conflation requires us to know in advance what "will" happen before we can consider what "can" happen. The conflation has put the cart before the horse, creating a logical conundrum. The correct logical ordering is to consider the
multiple things that
can happen in order to prepare ourselves for the
single thing that
will happen. But the hard determinist is trying to sell us the notion that only a single thing "can" happen and it is identical to the single thing that "will" happen.
The lesson? Don't conflate "can" with "will". Honor the distinction, especially when thinking or speaking of determinism.