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Democrats trying to unseat each other

In every main election but one, Nancy Pelosi has been up against a Republican. But this time is different.

Pelosi to Receive First Real Left-Wing Challenge in 30 Years
Buttar is a constitutional lawyer who has dedicated his career on reining in American militarism and advancing causes relating to social justice. As a part-time DJ, Buttar may appear at face value as just another reflexive left-wing activist, but he is well-credentialed with a track record in advocacy and community organizing. A graduate of Stanford Law School, Buttar worked on court cases litigating marriage equality and defending the civil liberties of Muslims facing FBI surveillance, and has challenged the constitutionality of the USA PATRIOT Act.

Currently on leave from the Electronic Frontier Foundation, Buttar has waged an insurgent effort, campaigning on a promise to ensure that Pelosi faces bonafide electoral opposition from the left for the first time in modern history.
NP was once a strong ally of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, but she has moved away from it as she has moved up in leadership, even supporting Henry Cuellar, "one of the most Trump-supporting, right-wing Democrats in Congress", against Jessica Cisneros. But she didn't support Dan Lipinski, a similar sort of Democrat.

SB's campaign manager stated to The Intercept:
“Shahid going 1-1 against Nancy will shine a spotlight on precisely how little she has done for the district in the midst of a housing crisis, an opioid crisis, and an out-of-control cost of living. The election will also reveal her role in exacerbating these issues, that remain at the forefront of voters minds both today and in November.”
 
I've been maintaining a spreadsheet that contains a big list of candidates and the PAC's that have endorsed them.

I recently looked for patterns in the endorsements -- which PAC's tend to endorse the same candidates as which other PAC's. I couldn't find any clear patterns. I have 410 candidates and 24 PAC's, so I have a lot to work with.

The champion is Marie Newman with 14 backers. She was a second timer, meaning that she was more of a known quantity than some other challengers, and a second timer who almost won the first time. She won this time, though by a rather small margin, not as large as AOC's margin of 13%.

Kara Eastman and Rashida Tlaib are tied at 11. KE is a newcomer, while RT is up against an establishment candidate who wants her seat back.

Morgan Harper and Ilhan Omar are tied at 10. MH is a newcomer, and someone who likes the hashtag #Morganize -- something that reminds me of Morganism, biologist Thomas Hunt Morgan's name used as a dirty word by Trofim Lysenko and his followers.

AOC, Ayanna Pressley, and Katie Porter are tied at 9.
 
Some more that I've added to my spreadsheet:

House Democrats widen massive fundraising edge - Roll Call
House Democrats have expanded their financial advantage over Republicans in battleground districts, new fundraising reports show.

The reports covering the year’s first three months, which were due to the Federal Election Commission by midnight Wednesday, show fundraising did not take a significant hit even though the coronavirus pandemic upended campaigns in the weeks leading up to the quarter’s end on March 31.

...
With an uncertain fundraising environment ahead, a CQ Roll Call analysis found that House Democrats remain in a strong financial position to defend their majority.

...
1. A wider cash gap
House Democrats have a massive cash-on-hand advantage over their GOP challengers. On average, House Democrats had nearly $2.2 million — nine times that of their GOP challengers, who had an average of $240,000 on hand.

...
2. Republicans hold their own
Targeted House Republicans also maintained a financial advantage over their Democratic challengers. On average, GOP incumbents ended the quarter with more than $1.3 million on hand, compared with $314,000 for their average Democratic challenger.

...
3. Democrats have cash advantage in open seats
In the 13 targeted House seats with no incumbent on the ballot, the average Democratic candidate had an advantage in cash on hand, ending the quarter with nearly $478,000, almost three times the average Republican’s $176,000.

...
4. Trouble signs for incumbents?
Fifteen targeted House members were outraised by their challengers in the first quarter, including 11 Republicans and three Democrats.

...
5. Primary problems
Some House Republicans are also facing well-funded primary challengers.

...
6. Issa tops self-funders
Two dozen House candidates in competitive races contributed to or loaned their campaigns more than $100,000 between January and March. The top self-funder by far was former California GOP Rep. Darrell Issa, who has spent $4.6 million of his own money on his campaign for the 50th District, which is adjacent to his old House seat. Issa was the wealthiest member of Congress when he was in office.
So Democrats and Republicans are likely to hold onto their seats, while Democrats are likely to advance in open races.
 
As Katie Porter builds massive war chest, GOP starts looking at 2022 - "California Democrat had $4.6 million, more than 30 times opponent’s total"

She has become a celebrity from her committee hearings. Not quite AOC's more general social-media celebrity, but celebrity nonetheless.
GOP strategists still believe the one-time protégée to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is too liberal for the traditionally red Orange County district. But some say her strong fundraising is putting seat out of reach in 2020.

“There’s a view that the 45th [District] is a two-cycle project,” said California GOP strategist Matt Cunningham, meaning it might take until the 2022 midterms to oust her.

...
Her latest viral video came earlier this month, when she said during an appearance with late night host Samantha Bee, “If you’re full of bulls---, I’m comin’ for ya. Like I just don’t have time. I’m a single mom, the dinner’s burning, I’m late to something, I have 4,000 emails, my hair is frizzy, I haven’t shaved my legs in a week. No. Bull. S---.” The video, pinned to Porter’s campaign Twitter account, has 4.9 million views.

Most of her viral moments have involved less swearing and more white boards. A former law professor and consumer protection lawyer, Porter’s dogged questioning of administration officials in committee hearings have launched her into the national spotlight.
 
The Ohio primaries were last Tuesday.
  • OH-03: incumbent Joyce Beatty 68.3%, progressive Morgan Harper 31.7% at -36.6%
  • OH-05: progressive Nick Rubando 51.3%, Gene Redinger 26.2%, progressive M. Xavier Carrigan 22.4%

Morgan Harper delivered a message in her Twitter feed that implied that she would not be giving up on activism. She spoke of people having "Morganized"

Morganize = Morgan + organize

Joyce Beatty has been in the House for 4 terms, and she has won big each time against the Republican. So she will likely win big this time also.

Nick Rubando will be up against Republican Bob Latta in the main election. BL has been in office for 7 terms, and he has won by 10% - 40% over that time.

Next up:

  • May 12: NE, CA special
  • May 19: OR
  • Jun 2: DC, IA, ID, IN, MD, MT, NM, PA, SD
  • Jun 9: GA, ND, NV, SC, WV
  • Jun 23: KY, NY, VA, MS runoff, NC runoff
  • Jun 30: CO, OK, UT
  • Jul 7: NJ
  • Jul 14: ME, AL runoff, TX runoff
  • Aug 4: AZ, KS, MI, MO, WA
  • Aug 6: TN
  • Aug 8: HI
  • Aug 11: CT, MN, VT, WI, GA runoff, SD runoff
  • Aug 18: AK, FL, WY
  • Sep 1: MA
  • Sep 8: NH, RI
  • Sep 15: DE
  • Unknown: LA
 
These Are the 7 Most Important Races for Progressives | The Nation from February 25, 2020 - over 2 months ago.
The presidential race is, understandably, overshadowing the left’s fight to reshape Congress. But no matter who is president, if establishment Democrats in Congress are defining the party’s policies, the progressive movement will be stifled.
Let's see the track record so far.

  • IL-03: Dan Lipinski (incumbent) versus Marie Newman (versus Rush Darwish and Charles Hughes) -- MN 47.3%, DL 44.6%, RD 5.8%, CH 2.3% (win)
  • TX-28: Henry Cuellar (incumbent) vs Jessica Cisneros -- HC 51.8%, JC 48.2% (loss)
  • CA-16: Jim Costa (incumbent) vs Esmeralda Soria (vs Kimberly Williams) -- JC 37.6%, Kevin Cookingham (R) 35.3%, ES 21.3%, KW 5.8% (loss)
  • OH-03: Joyce Beatty (incumbent) vs Morgan Harper -- JB 68.3%, MH 31.7%
  • NY-16: Eliot Engel (incumbent) vs Jamaal Bowman vs Andom Ghebreghiorgis
  • NY-09: Yvette Clarke (incumbent) vs Adem Bunkeddeko (vs Chaim Deutsch, Lutchi Gayot, Isiah James, and Alexander Hubbard)
  • MA-01: Richard Neal (incumbent) vs Alex Morse
  • CA-20: Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) vs Adam Bolaños Scow -- JP 66.6%, Jeff Gorman (R) 20.5%, Adam Scow 12.9% (loss)
  • IL-01: Bobby Rush (incumbent) vs Robert Emmons vs Sarah Gad -- BR 71.8%, SG 10.4%, RE 9.9%, Ameena Matthews 7.9% (loss)
  • MD-05: Steny Hoyer (incumbent) vs Mckayla Wilkes
  • MO-01: Lacy Clay (incumbent) vs Cori Bush
  • NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) vs Arati Kreibich
  • NY-10: Jerry Nadler (incumbent) vs Lindsey Boylan
  • OR-05: Kurt Schrader (incumbent) vs Mark Gamba
 
Briana Urbina on Twitter: "#TeamUrbina #YangGang Working to earn your votes and support has been the honor of my life. Please take the time to read my entire statement because it was explains where we are going and where we’ve been. You can’t suspend a movement but our campaign ends today. https://t.co/72iSdzMihG" / Twitter -- 12:15 PM · Jan 4, 2020

That's all I could find on her dropping out of the MD-05 race. Includes a more detailed statement as an image file. She describes herself as "Fearless advocate; former congressional candidate, passionate daughter, sister, wife, aunt, and mother."

So it'll be Mckayla Wilkes vs. Steny Hoyer.

Home | Elect535 - another progressive PAC - no endorsements that I could find.
 
Speaker Nancy Pelosi's Ice Cream Cache - Show & Tell - YouTube

I took a closer look at that video and here's what I found. NP's ice cream was in the freezer section of her refrigerator - she has two of them with steel doors. That section was a small part of the total, something typical of household fridges. So that does not look like much of an extravagance.

Let us now turn to NP's ice cream. Pelosi Shows National TV Audience Her Freezer Full of $12-a-Pint Ice Cream | CNSNews has a good screenshot from that video. It's buckets of Jeni's ice cream and some Dove bars of chocolate-covered ice cream.

I looked up Jeni's ice cream, and I found this: Jeni's Pint Club - Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams - 4 shipments a year of 4 1-pint buckets of ice cream in various flavors. The shipments are done in insulated boxes with dry ice (solid CO2) for refrigeration. It apparently costs $230. With NP's ice-cream gluttony, however, she may be able to get a volume discount. For comparison, I checked on Walmart.com | Save Money. Live Better. and Home - Online Grocery Delivery | Albertsons I'll be using a US pint as my reference unit. It is 16 fluid ounces, 1/2 quart, 1/8 gallon.
  • Jeni's: $14.38/pint -- $230 / 4 * 4 * 1 pt = 16 pt
  • WalMart Great Value $0.66/pint -- $1.98 / 48 fl oz = 3 pt
  • Albertsons Tillamook $1.14/pt -- $3.99 / 1.75 qt = 3.5 pt
  • Albertsons Dreyer's $2.00/pt -- $5.99 / 1.5 qt = 3 pt
  • Albertsons Ben & Jerry's $5.29/pt
Dove bars are vanilla ice cream covered with milk chocolate. At WalMart, each box costs $3.47 and contains 3 bars, at 72 grams each. So Dove bars cost $16.1/kg.

The mass density of ice cream varies. I've seen numbers like 0.54 g/cm^3 to 0.90 g/cm^3. I'll use 0.72 g/cm^3 as a reference. One pint thus weights about 341 grams. Scaling the prices gives Jeni's: $42.2/kg, WM-GtVl $1.94/kg, Alb-Tlmk $3.34/kg, Alb-Dry $5.86/kg, Alb-BnJr $15.5/kg


Shahid Buttar is running on NP's left, something made possible by CA's nonpartisan top-two system. Here is what he has to say about NP and ice cream:

Nancy Pelosi on Twitter: "We all have found our ways to keep our spirits up during these trying times. Mine just happens to fill up my freezer. #LateLateShow https://t.co/dqA32d5lU1" / Twitter
then
🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "@SpeakerPelosi Prefer universal healthcare to "Let them eat cake"?
Support a new voice for San Francisco in Washington.
Our city supports human rights, not corporate rule. Our elected representative in the House should stand with us, instead of Wall Street. https://t.co/cZJBMvCkEO" / Twitter


Mother Jones on Twitter: "These photos show the staggering food bank lines across America https://t.co/gUxAA0PEcn" / Twitter
then
🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "@MotherJones Americans struggling to feed their families deserve policymakers who understand the challenges they confront.
@SpeakerPelosi recommends gourmet ice cream. https://t.co/F9lEJ0o4Ca" / Twitter


Jeremy Rosenberg on Twitter: "The line for the Women’s Building food pantry circles the block. Staff that I am friendly with told me the number of registrations has doubled from the usual Monday crowd.
People are starving. Especially undocumented people who won’t get the stimulus checks that they paid for." / Twitter

then
🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "I don’t hold against @SpeakerPelosi her appreciation for ice cream.
It’s her unawareness of what working Americans endure that offends me.
As a constituent, I’ve long missed having a voice in Congress aligned with our city’s needs.
Now, I’m ready to fill that gap. Join us! https://t.co/Js8b3Z2T8e" / Twitter
 
Maite Salazar for Congress 2020 - I first learned about her from Dick Jackman, someone who claims that she was originally Monique Maes, and later Monique Maes-Salazar, Monique Gabrielle Salazar, and MG Salazar. Maite has acknowledged that her original first name was, indeed, Monique.

Striking the Black Snake - Google Books - Poems from Standing Rock, by MG Salazar
Striking the Black Snake: Poems from Standing Rock by MG Salazar is a wild and raw book in equal parts manifesto, testimonial, how-to-manual, and confessional. Written during the winter of 2016-2017 after Salazar's "calling" to travel to the Oceti Sakowin Camp in North Dakota to be a water protector and prevent the construction of the Dakota Access Pipeline, the poems chronicle the struggles and trials of the protesters, look deeply at those behind the crop dusters and riot gear, and speak to the children of the future, for whom the water must be preserved.
About her,
MG Salazar is writer, performer, and curator/owner of a vintage clothing shop, The Skullery Maid, which opened last year. They write regularly for KCUR 89.3, Kansas City's flagship NPR station, present the quarterly show Cinema Cabaliste, which features the best in silent film and live performance, and currently appear as a subject in the HBO documentary Abortion: Stories Women Tell. A lifelong activist for equality and justice, Salazar twice traveled to Standing Rock during the winter of 2016-2017 to stand as a water protector at the Oceti Sakowin Camp. Striking the Black Snake: Poems from Standing Rock follows their debut book, If You See My Ghosts Like I Do (Spartan Press 2016).
I've seen mention of her as Maite Gabrielle Salazar.

Maite Salazar: Racist Social Media Posts Revealed From Congress Candidate | NewsOne - some of her unflattering statements from years past.
 
Monique / Maite Gabriella Maes Salazar
Monique Maes-Salazar (@moniquemaes) / Twitter
Monique Salazar (@mgswrites) / Twitter
Maite Salazar for MO-5 (@MaiteSalazar4MO) / Twitter

Standing Rock with Monique Gabrielle Salazar • KKFI

She claims that someone once dumped a big load of garbage on the Standing Rock camp to make it seem like its users were big litterbugs. A semitrailer dump truck filled with garbage. It was supposedly on a Facebook Live video.

MS quotes there being 6,000 women and children at the Standing Rock camp, she estimates 14,000 total (somewhat more men than women), and 30,000 - 40,000 if one includes the veterans who showed up there. Support for SR is cross-political, with some SR supporters being Trumpies.

Then she mentioned the Black Snake prophecy. Something that I suspect is after the fact. Also some seven-generations thing. Seems Procrustean.

MS lives in Kansas City, MO, and the Missouri River goes right through town. It extends northward to the east side of the Standing Rock Reservation, and the protest camp is nearby. So if the pipeline has a major leak, then it could contaminate the water supply of Kansas City, and that city would go the way of Flint MI.

She suspects chemical warfare at the SR camp by its opponents, like a woman whose hair was found to contain the following:
  • Phosgene
  • Castor pumice, what's left after getting the oil out of castor beans
  • Trichloropropane
A crop duster that was spotted circling there, an airplane that sometimes dive bombed big events that the camp members sometimes did, like direct actions.

She doesn't have a high opinion of Barack Obama, like when he drank only a tiny bit of supposedly cleaned-up Flint water. Why didn't he drink a glassful and invite his wife and children to do likewise?

She says that Obama is a good centrist, despite the image that he cultivated when he ran for the Presidency the first time, in 2008.


I doubt that MS will do very well, but if she gets into Congress, she could meet another Standing Rock veteran: AOC. But AOC seems less tinfoil-hat than MS does.
 
Decision Desk HQ - Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections - another election site

Kara Eastman had a big win in the D-NE-02 House primary. She was supported by a LOT of progressive organizations. With 100% of the precincts reporting, she got 61.8% of the vote, and her opponents Ann Ashford 31.6% and Gladys Harrison 6.6%.

Four differences among Kara Eastman, Ann Ashford and Gladys Harrison | Local | omaha.com One of them is KE's support of Medicare for All, single-payer medical insurance. The other two support adding a public option to Obamacare.

She'll be up against Republican Don Bacon, whom she lost to in 2018 by 2%. DB has already been going into hysterics over KE's support of M4A.

Don Bacon on Twitter: "Kara Eastman's extremist agenda will skyrocket our taxes to pay for a government takeover of healthcare and "free" college for everyone. I voted to cut taxes for hard-working Nebraska families and #smallbiz in #NE02. Kara's ideas are #ALittleOutThere." / Twitter
then
Kara Eastman on Twitter: "Friends. This is a preview of what this election will entail. :)
Don Bacon will try to SCARE you. Throughout history, this has been a COMMON tactic but if we all see it for WHAT IT IS, it doesn't work.
We wish you a happy election Congressman. You'll be going home soon. :)" / Twitter


Don Bacon on Twitter: "Kara Eastman's government takeover of healthcare will take away union-negotiated plans, everyone's private health insurance, and lead to rationing of care. #NE02 says NO to socialism, and Kara's ideas are #ALittleOutThere." / Twitter
then
Kara Eastman on Twitter: "Congressman, ..." / Twitter
Congressman,

You are using fear as a campaign marketing strategy but it won't work. The internet EXISTS and all of us can look up your record and past votes.

How abut we do that right now....

In 2016, when @DonJBacon was RUNNING for congress, he ran on REPEALING the ACA. Check out this article from shortly after he won:
(link below)

-In Jan 2017, Bacon voted yes on HR 3 (a bill that began the process of repealing the ACA).

-In May 2017, Bacon voted yes on HR 1628 (the Republican bill that KILLED the ACA).

-In May of 2019, Bacon voted NO on HR 986 (which protected Americans with Preexisting Conditions)

Don, you haven't defended people on this issue and your attack is hollow. You've worked on behalf of pharmaceutical companies and NO amount of fear-mongering can change that.

People are seeing the truth Don.

We'll see you in November. :)
The congressman willing to sacrifice his district for his party | TheHill
“In 2018, Kara Eastman came within inches of unseating Congressman Don Bacon, and this time around she’s ready to finish the job. While Kara has been an independent voice working to serve her community in Omaha for nearly two decades, Congressman Don Bacon has focused only on doing whatever Donald Trump asks, relentlessly pursuing Republicans’ out-of-touch agenda of dismantling our current health care system, undermining protections for pre-existing conditions, and raising taxes on middle class homeowners,” said DCCC Chairwoman Cheri Bustos (D-Ill).
 
GOP's Don Bacon and challenger neck-and-neck in Democratic poll | TheHill
The poll conducted in the days leading up to Tuesday's primary shows Eastman holding the slimmest of leads over the incumbent, garnering the support of 48 percent of likely voters compared to Bacon's 47 percent, a 1-point gap that falls well within the poll’s margin of error.
She may end up having the sort of victory that Marie Newman had. After a 2% loss, a 2% victory.

The other races were not so good.

In CA-25, Katie Hill's successor Christy Smith lost to Republican Mike Garcia 56% - 44% with 100% of the precincts reporting. The two are likely to do a rematch in the main election in this upcoming November. Democrats may have better turnout then than in this election.
 
Don Bacon on Twitter: "Radical socialist Kara Eastman wants to kick 180 million Americans off their health insurance. I want to increase transparency while increasing options and lowering costs for #NE02 consumers, allowing them to make their own decisions. Kara's ideas are #ALittleOutThere." / Twitter
then
Kara Eastman on Twitter: "Already, without missing a beat, ..." / Twitter
Already, without missing a beat, my Republican opponent
@DonJBacon is retreating to a TALKING POINT he will continually use in the general election.

He is calling me a "socialist."

But of course this smear has a LONG history in our politics. :). Want to learn about it?

In response to FDR's New Deal programs, wealthy businessmen supported Al Smith. In a speech, Smith said:

“There can be only one Capital — Washington or Moscow. There can be only one flag, the Stars and Stripes, or the red flag of the godless union of the Soviet."

In 1945, President Harry Truman proposed a national health insurance program. In response, the American Medical Association condemned it as “socialized medicine” and labeled Truman’s White House staffers “followers of the Moscow party line.”

In 1960, Barry Goldwater wrote LBJ urging him NOT be JFK's VP:

"It is difficult to imagine a person like you running in a second spot to a weaker man, but it is even more incredible to try to understand how you are going to try to embrace the socialist platform of your party.”

In 1950, Nixon ran against Rep. Helen Gahagan. Nixon’s entire campaign involved calling her a communist. He labeled her the “Pink Lady” (pink being the color of those who were sympathetic to Red communists) who was “pink down to her underwear.”

When Democratic politicians BEGAN discussing Medicare, the AMA hired the then-actor Ronald Reagan to make a record about how SCARY and "socialist" Medicare was.

Reagan also wrote a letter comparing President John F. Kennedy to author Karl Marx.

Can you guess what conservative segregationists in the South called civil rights activists? Yep. "Socialists" and "Communists." They also claimed that the landmark Brown v. Board of Education decision, which banned school segregation, was the product of communist influence.

So @DonJBacon. We SEE YOU. This isn't going to work this time my friend. We know what PLAYBOOK you're taking from.

See you in November Don. :)
Richard Nixon got called "Tricky Dick" because of his campaign tactics back then.

As to Al Smith, he himself suffered from political mudslinging. His opponents used a picture of him near the Holland Tunnel to illustrate that his being Catholic means that he has that sort of connection with the Vatican.
 
Three more:

Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Sierra Club Voter Guide | Take action and vote for #ClimateChampions in 2020!
Local Berniecrats - related to Our Revolution, another Bernie Sanders spinoff

I've analyzed the spreadsheet's candidates, and I've found that the support organizations / PAC's tend to vary quite a bit in what sorts of candidates that they support, with some of them favoring incumbents and some of them favoring challengers. Sierra Club and Planned Parenthood mostly favor incumbents, while Brand New Congress and Local Berniecrats mostly favor challengers.
 
Hector Oseguera volunteered on AOC’s upset campaign in the Bronx. Now he wants to replicate her success in N.J. - nj.com
But when Ocasio-Cortez won, unseating 20-year congressional veteran U.S. Rep. Joseph Crowley in a stunning upset, Oseguera realized that his political calculus was flawed.

Now, in an attempt to replicate A.O.C.’s success in Hudson County, Oseguera is mounting a Democratic primary challenge to U.S. Rep. Albio Sires, congressman for New Jersey’s 8th District.

“(What) I learned from (Ocasio-Cortez) is that our political analysis doesn’t jive with reality anymore,” said Oseguera, who grew up in West New York and now lives in Union City. “Volunteers and excitement and enthusiasm is so much more valuable than quote-unquote experience, or having a political machine or political establishment at her back.”

...
And it’s unclear if Oseguera can replicate Ocasio-Cortez’s insurgent, social media-savvy campaign on the other side of the Hudson. Hale said the Democratic establishment has grown wise to her strategy.

“A.O.C. won because the incumbent wasn’t paying attention,” he said. “He just assumed that he was going to waltz in and there was no reason to pay attention to her.”

Now, he said, “There’s no doubt that everyone is looking out for the next A.O.C.”
I live in OR-04, and I've seen Peter DeFazio out campaigning - he knows that Doyle Canning is coming after his seat.
 
Hector Oseguera volunteered on AOC’s upset campaign in the Bronx. Now he wants to replicate her success in N.J. - nj.com
But when Ocasio-Cortez won, unseating 20-year congressional veteran U.S. Rep. Joseph Crowley in a stunning upset, Oseguera realized that his political calculus was flawed.

Now, in an attempt to replicate A.O.C.’s success in Hudson County, Oseguera is mounting a Democratic primary challenge to U.S. Rep. Albio Sires, congressman for New Jersey’s 8th District.

“(What) I learned from (Ocasio-Cortez) is that our political analysis doesn’t jive with reality anymore,” said Oseguera, who grew up in West New York and now lives in Union City. “Volunteers and excitement and enthusiasm is so much more valuable than quote-unquote experience, or having a political machine or political establishment at her back.”

...
And it’s unclear if Oseguera can replicate Ocasio-Cortez’s insurgent, social media-savvy campaign on the other side of the Hudson. Hale said the Democratic establishment has grown wise to her strategy.

“A.O.C. won because the incumbent wasn’t paying attention,” he said. “He just assumed that he was going to waltz in and there was no reason to pay attention to her.”

Now, he said, “There’s no doubt that everyone is looking out for the next A.O.C.”
I live in OR-04, and I've seen Peter DeFazio out campaigning - he knows that Doyle Canning is coming after his seat.

Ouch, that would be terrible. He's pretty reliable on most liberal issues. HRC won that district by 554 votes over Trump. Would be bad to lose this seat to the dark side.
 
Shaniyat Chowdhury for US Congress NY5 on Twitter: "AOC defeated the chair of the Queens Democratic Party in 2018.
In 2019, Tiffany Cabán came close to becoming the Queens DA.
In 39 days, we can defeat the current chair of the Queens Democratic Party and finally put the machine to sleep. https://t.co/scYS33rVVe" / Twitter

Linking to a video rant by a young woman who looks South Asian, someone with handle "sanniyans".

Shaniyat Chowdhury is running for US Rep in NY-05, against Gregory Meeks, Joe Crowley's successor as "King of Queens". He has a reputation for being very corrupt and he likes Mike Bloomberg. From the Wikipedia article on him, "Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) named Meeks one of the most-corrupt members of Congress in 2011. It was subsequently reported that Meeks' continuing ethical and criminal probes would cause his premature exit from Congress; however, Meeks has denied this."
 
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