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Democrats trying to unseat each other

Georgia runoff to decide short-term successor to John Lewis
Former Atlanta City Council member Kwanza Hall and former Morehouse College President Robert Franklin are contesting a runoff election. The men finished first and second, but no one won a majority in a first round of voting in September among seven candidates.

The winner of the two Democrats will only fill the seat until Jan. 3, though. State senator and state Democratic Party chair Nikema Williams easily defeated Republican Angela Stanton King in November for a full two-year-term starting in January. Williams and King didn’t run in the special election.
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The district is GA-05, including most of Atlanta and some nearby suburbs.

2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight is still up.

The Biden-Trump margin in EV's is 74, and 538's model had an average of 150, and a scatter of -118 to +382. Likewise, the House and the Senate came out with more Republicans than expected from from 538's average predictions.
 
I decided to check how well the candidates did that were endorsed by Brand New Congress, Justice Democrats, Courage to Change, using both 538's predictions and the NYT's results at this time.

Likely wins:
  • AZ-03 Raul Grijalva JD -- >99% +20 +30 +40 -- +29
  • CA-17 Ro Khanna JD -- >99% +40 +60 +80 -- +47
  • IL-03 Marie Newman JD CTC -- 98% -4 +16 +46 -- +13
  • MA-07 Ayanna Pressley JD -- 100% -- +71
  • MI-13 Rashida Tlaib BNC JD -- >99% +40 +60 +80 -- +59
  • MN-05 Ilhan Omar JD -- >99% +20 +40 +60 -- +39
  • MO-01 Cori Bush BNC JD CTC -- >99% +40 +60 +80 -- +60
  • NM-03 Teresa Leger Fernandez CTC -- >99% +6 +23 +40 -- +17
  • NY-14 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez BNC JD (CTC*) -- >99% +40 +60 +80 -- +38
  • NY-16 Jamaal Bowman BNC JD CTC -- >99% +48 +74 +90 -- +66
  • NY-17 Mondaire Jones CTC -- >99% +8 +28 +48 -- +18
  • WA-07 Pramila Jayapal JD -- >99% +54 +73 +97 -- +66
Uncertain:
  • CA-53 Georgette Gomez JD CTC -- 17% -40 -10 +20 -- -19 (D)
  • MI-06 Jon Hoadley BNC -- 29% -25 -5 +15 -- -16
  • NE-02 Kara Eastman BNC JD CTC -- 40% -17 -2 +14 -- -5
  • NY-02 Jackie Gordon (CTC?) -- 57% -20 +1 +17 -- -14
  • OH-05 Nick Rubando BNC -- <1% -48 -27 0 -- -36
  • TX-10 Mike Siegel BNC CTC -- 8% -34 -14 +7 -- -7
  • TX-12 Adrienne Bell BNC -- <1% -50 -26 +2 -- -31
  • TX-24 Candace Valenzuela CTC -- 48% -18 -2 +17 -- -1.3
  • WA-10 Beth Doglio CTC -- 15% -46 -16 +22 -- -16 (D)
  • TN-SEN Marquita Bradshaw CTC -- <1% -44 -25 -5 -- -27
  • WV-SEN Paula Jean Swearengin BNC CTC -- <1% -44 -27 -5 -- -43
  • TX-31 Donna Imam -- 6% -33 -13 +7 -- -9
I've added DI because I think that she's an interesting candidate.

Only a few candidates did better than my estimates of 538's averages: Kara Eastman NE-02, Mike Siegel TX-10, Donna Imam TX-31. All three lost, however.
 
For the New Yorkers, what fraction of votes were counted, and what victory margins:
  • NY-14 AOC 71% +38 -- Dec. 1 update: >98% +44
  • NY-16 Jamaal Bowman 70% +67
  • NY-17 Mondaire Jones 81% +18
MN-05, MI-13, CA-17, CA-45, and WA-07 also have >98% counted, though IL-03 has 96%, MO-01 has 90%, and MA-07 still has only 50% counted.
 
Most New Yorkers are now at >98% counted. That means that nearly all absentee ballots are now counted in that state.
  • NY-14 AOC 71% +38 -- Dec. 1 update: >98% +44
  • NY-16 Jamaal Bowman 70% +67 -- Dec. 4 update: >98% +68
  • NY-17 Mondaire Jones 81% +18 -- Dec. 4 update: >98% +24
  • NY-02 Jackie Gordon (?) -14 -- Dec. 4 update: >98% -7
The others are unchanged. All the "Likely Wins" won, and all the "Uncertain" ones lost.

Updating my comparisons to 538's predictions, I get
  • NY-14 AOC BNC JD (CTC*) -- >99% +40 +60 +80 -- +44
  • NY-16 Jamaal Bowman BNC JD CTC -- >99% +48 +74 +90 -- +68
  • NY-17 Mondaire Jones CTC -- >99% +8 +28 +48 -- +24
  • NY-02 Jackie Gordon (CTC?) -- 57% -20 +1 +17 -- -7
 
Shahid Buttar is rather annoyed because he didn't get much help in his race against Nancy Pelosi in CA-12 (most of San Francisco).

🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "Some of us—including 81,000 San Franciscans—showed the courage to hold Pelosi accountable.

Every “progressive” group that sat on the sideline (from @DemSocialists to @sunrisemvmt & @justicedems) owes an apology—not to us, but to the future.

We tried to warn you." / Twitter
noting a thread in response to

The Recount on Twitter: ""Our people are hurting ... Congress should not keep them waiting for reinforcements. It should have arrived, literally, months ago."

— Majority Ldr. Mitch McConnell, whose Senate has stalled House-passed pandemic relief for months https://t.co/1A2Ef4Ubp8" / Twitter
then
Murshed Zaheed on Twitter: "If we had a competent Cong. Dem Leadership ..." / Twitter
If we had a competent Cong. Dem Leadership & a comms operation they'd wage an all out war to call out McConnell for what he is: enabler of mass murder.

Instead we have Pelosi/Schumer haplessly supporting a less than adequate surrender package that didn't meet Ds even half way.

"All of this beyond outrageous. It should infuriate us all. We often say the United States is the richest country in the history of the world. Well what is the point" ... if our leaders won't show the urgency to help our hungry & homeless. @mehdirhasan🔥

Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer had no problem providing trillions worth of stimulus to prop up McConnell/Mnuchin’s corporate overlords last spring but cannot be bothered now to fight for mere $1,200 worth cash relief for average Americans 😬👀

Who could have predicted ...
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Adam Jentleson 🎈 on Twitter: "In the summer of 2011, controlling just the House, Republicans forced Dems to accept trillions in spending cuts in exchange for nothing. Now, controlling the House and in the wake of Biden’s victory, Dems are rushing toward Republicans and have already cut their demands in half." / Twitter

Then,
Murshed Zaheed on Twitter: "This is what a failed party's congressional leadership looks like - one who has no idea how to take responsibility for her mistakes because no one in her (Democratic) party has the courage to hold her accountable. 👀 https://t.co/mSLEQ8KOPZ" / Twitter

With
🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "@murshedz Some of us had the courage to hold her accountable." / Twitter
 
Shahid Buttar on his campaign:
🌹Shahid Buttar for Congress on Twitter: "We’re grateful for all the support ..." / Twitter
We’re grateful for all the support that made our 2020 campaign the most successful effort over the past 30 years to win San Francisco a new voice in Congress.

We’re excited to reflect on our momentum as we look ahead to 2022. Thread. /1

The 81,000 votes we won in the November 2020 general election were the most by any challenger to the sitting Speaker of the House in her 30 year career as a Member of Congress. https://sfelections.sfgov.org/november-3-2020-election-results-summary

We exceeded the previous record by over 25%. /2

Over the past generation, only one candidate for federal office to emerge from San Francisco has received more votes than we did this month.

She is currently the Vice President-elect of the United States. /3

We won over 81,000 votes (22%) despite:
—raising 7% of Pelosi’s funds
—appearing in <1% of press stories about Pelosi
—Pelosi refusing to debate
—national press asking her softball questions
—local press punching down
—progressive orgs staying on the sidelines AND
—a pandemic! /4

In June 2018, we won 17,000 votes, just a few more than our ally in New York who deposed Joe Crowley.

We nearly doubled that in March 2020, when we won 33,000 votes.

We more than doubled our support since then, winning over 81,000 votes this month.

The trend is encouraging. /5

That pace suggests that we could be well on our way to liberating San Francisco’s voice in 2022.

Ro Khanna‘s path to Congress entailed beating a long serving incumbent on the third try.

His example is not lost on us. /6

We also appreciate the influence our supporters have demonstrated over Pelosi’s votes, and federal policy.

Together with allied social movements, our campaign helped compel Pelosi to shift left on half a dozen policy issues, from policing & civil rights to funding the USPS. /7

Given all the support that we continue to receive, we’re eager to explore the possibility of running again in 2022.

San Francisco has waited too long for a new voice in Washington. /8
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Then inlining an image file with a handwritten letter:
Dear Shahid,

I am so sorry that you had to lose to Nancy. You deserved better. We as Americans deserved better. I hope you won't stop fighting for us. Please, we need you. Run again for Congress. We need a person like you in office.

Best wishes,
Monica
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Will he run again in 2022? Nancy Pelosi might decide to quit - she's 80 years old.
 
A little over a month after the recent election, and Justice Democrats has started recruitment: Webinar Registration - Zoom - has Alexandra Rojas of JD and Reps-elect Jamaal Bowman and Cori Bush

Nothing from BNC, however, though BNC had a series of tweets acknowledging some of its losers: Nick Rubando OH-05, Mike Siegel TX-10, Adrienne Bell TX-14, Kara Eastman NE-02, Jon Hoadley MI-06, Paula Jean Swearengin WV-SEN. Also some of its winners: AOC NY-14, Jamaal Bowman NY-16, Cori Bush MO-01, Rashida Tlaib MI-13.

BNC and its offshoot JD both use a nomination model for their candidates. One has to be recommended by someone else. I find it fun to imagine how our soon to be ex-President would react.

I'll try to guess who will run again by how much they lost.

Lost to fellow Democrats in top-two:
WA-10 Beth Doglio -16, CA-53 Georgette Gomez -19, CA-12 Shahid Buttar -56

If Nancy Pelosi quits, gets very sick, or dies, then SB likely has a better chance.

Lost to Republicans:
TX-24 Candace Valenzuela -1.3, NE-02 Kara Eastman -5, TX-10 Mike Siegel -7, TX-31 Donna Imam -9, NY-02 Jackie Gordon -14, MI-06 Jon Hoadley -16, TN-SEN Marquita Bradshaw -27, TX-12 Adrienne Bell -31, OH-05 Nick Rubando -36, WV-SEN Paula Jean Swearengin -43

Lost to fellow Democrats in primaries:
TX-28 Jessica Cisneros -4, MA-04 Ihssane Leckey -11, IL-11 Rachel Ventura -17, MA-01 Alex Morse -17, CO-SEN Andrew Romanoff -17, AZ-01 Eva Putzova -17, NY-15 Samelys Lopez -18, NY-12 Lauren Ashcraft -29, NJ-05 Arati Kreibich -33, OH-03 Morgan Harper -36, MD-05 Mckayla Wilkes -38, NY-12 Peter Harrison -38, NY-03 Melanie D'Arrigo -41, NY-09 Isiah James-43, FL-23 Jen Perelman -45, NY-06 Melquiades Gagarin -45, OR-05 Mark Gamba -46, NY-10 Lindsey Boylan -46, DE-SEN Jessica Scarane -48, ME-SEN Betsy Sweet -49, NY-05 Shaniyat Chowdhury -52, NJ-06 Russ Cirincone -62, OR-03 Albert Lee -64, NJ-09 Zina Spezakis -64, OR-04 Doyle Canning -68, OR-01 Heidi Briones -77, OR-01 Amanda Siebe -77

Lost in top-two primaries:
WA-02 Jason Call -1, TX-SEN Sema Hernandez -7, WA-06 Rebecca Parson -14

Two who persisted and won: MO-01 Cori Bush -20 +3.1, IL-03 Marie Newman -2.2 +2.6


In other news, there are now rumors that Bernie Sanders campaigner Nina Turner will run for Rep. Marcia Fudge's seat if she gets nominated to President-elect Biden's Cabinet.
 
Reading this, I get the impression that Paula Jean Swearengin is retiring from running for office in the near future. But I'm sure that she'll continue to be involved in her activism.

Paula Jean Swearengin on Twitter: "Don't push people to run for office if you are not willing to face the establishment yourself." / Twitter
Don't push people to run for office if you are not willing to face the establishment yourself.

I will fight for West Virginia until my dying breath. #UniteOurFight

...
One take away I got from 2020 is just having open conversations. We built relationships with people that I thought were our enemies. I also discovered people that claimed to be allies were just grifting off our backs. A lot can happen when we are willing to sit down & just talk.

Let's talk? Next steps for me is getting back to my roots & forming alliances in the frontlines of our communities. I'll never run for office again until I know that local community based organizing is supported. Power building won't happen if we don't bring each together

...
Paula Jean Swearengin on Twitter: "As we pass the torch to future leaders in this movement, I remember those who passed the torch to me.

I see you.

#YouAreSomebody, now let’s #UniteOurFight!

I am a momma bear in this movement. Sometimes the bear has to bite.That is who I am and I proud of it. As leaders in the movement, as we pass the torch, we have to educate and protect future leaders. #UniteOurFight
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I watched a Justice Democrats recruiting-effort kickoff. Alexandra Rojas claimed that JD had only 2 new recruits this time around. So I decided to check on both BNC and JD.

For BNC,
  • 2018-only: 24
  • 2020-only: 40
  • 2018 & 2020: 6
Of those 6 in both years - Adrienne Bell lost, lost - AOC won, won - Anthony Clark lost pri, lost pri - Cori Bush lost pri, won - Michael Hepburn lost pri, lost pri - Paula Jean Swearengin lost pri, lost

Of the 2020 ones, the winners were Rashida Tlaib (inc), Jamaal Bowman

For JD,
  • 2018-only: 62
  • 2020-only: 6
  • 2018 & 2020: 10
Of the 6 2020 ones, 4 lost in the primaries, 1 in the general election, though against a fellow Democrat, and 1 won: Jamaal Bowman

Of the 10 of both years - AOC won, won - Ayanna Pressley won, won - Cori Bush lost pri, won - Ilhan Omar won, won - Kara Eastman lost pri, won - Marie Newman lost pri, won - Pramila Jayapal adv, won - Rashida Tlaib won, won - Raúl Grijalva (inc) won, won - Ro Khanna (inc) won, won


An interesting aspect of that kickoff was AR saying that JD discourages nominating oneself, something that JD shares with its parent org, BNC. I think that soon-to-be-ex-President Trump would *hate* that aspect of JD and BNC.
 
Progressives look for reset after disappointing year - POLITICO
In interviews with nearly a dozen left-wing elected officials, activists and aides, progressives described 2020 as a mixed bag. They are deeply disappointed by the fall of their standard-bearers in the presidential race and lack of swing-seat trophies in Congress. But they also consider it a serious accomplishment that the so-called Squad in the House is growing and that they proved the upset by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) two years ago was no fluke.
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Then noted Jamaal Bowman vs. Eliot Engel, Marie Newman vs. Dan Lipinski, and Cori Bush vs. Lacy Clay.
“The last time progressives were able to unseat a corporate-backed centrist Democrat in Congress was all the way back in 2006. In the past two cycles, we've unseated five different incumbents,” said Alexandra Rojas, executive director of the left-wing group Justice Democrats, which played a leading role in helping the three successful challengers this year. “We’re much more powerful than we were during the Obama years.”
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Those three, and AOC vs. Joe Crowley, and Ayanna Pressley vs. Michael Capuano.

Also Mondaire Jones in an open seat and Ed Markey succeeding against Joe Kennedy III. "And they made gains in mostly safe Democratic seats — and a handful of competitive districts — at the local and state levels, putting even more self-described socialists and racial justice activists into office across the nation."

No success in flipping Republican-held seats, however. Brand New Congress, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, and the Sunrise Movement all failed there.

"Some progressives pointed out that moderate and establishment-oriented Democrats also did not have a great general election this year, given that they lost ground in the House."

What should be done? Expanding campaign infrastructure? Doing deep organizing? Like in Georgia.
“There’s been a real dearth of year-round organizing that is not just based on sheer turnout or mobilization, but is about talking to people on the issues that matter to them,” said Varshini Prakash, co-founder of the Sunrise Movement. “I think we are focused so heavily on the turnout machine part of it that sometimes we forget to focus on the real, day-to-day organizing part of it and doing a better job of that.”
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Running in swing seats?
While the Congressional Progressive Caucus and the Sunrise Movement backed a handful of candidates in such competitive districts, other liberal groups focused their efforts on just one swing-seat contender: Nebraska social worker Kara Eastman, who lost by nearly 5 percentage points — worse than she did in 2018 — even as Biden carried the Omaha-based district.

Even then, Democratic strategists said that liberal organizations invested in her campaign too late and failed to cohere around a single, simple-to-understand communications strategy.
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How Progressives Failed A Key Test In The Heartland | HuffPost
... While they aren’t ready to give up on swing seats yet, progressives said that picking off incumbent Democrats and winning open primaries in liberal areas is a more surefire way to make gains for now.

“It wasn’t that the Tea Party won a ton of swing races,” Berger said. “That’s not what made them powerful. They succeeded because they won a lot of Republican districts, and I don’t see why our project would be significantly different.”

There are signs that the left will be even more confrontational in intraparty fights in the Biden era. The Movement School, part of a sister arm of Justice Democrats that trains progressive organizers, said it is expanding. Left-wing congressional leaders have also demonstrated that they are going to more openly embrace taking on incumbent Democrats in the 2022 midterms.
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Like Bernie Sanders and Pramila Jayapal.
 
Although AOC didn't win a seat in the Energy and Commerce Committee, some incoming progressives did get in some good committees.

AOC asked Bernie Sanders for advice about committees and he recommended that she pick something that she is passionate about. Some of them succeeded in getting into their sorts of committees, it seems.

Rep.-elect Cori Bush, BLM activist, lands seat on powerful House Judiciary Committee | Fox News

Cori Bush on Twitter: "I ran for office on the promise of justice. Justice for Black lives. Justice for every community held back by racist systems and oppression.

St. Louis — we are taking our fight from the Ferguson Frontline to the U.S. House Judiciary Committee. https://t.co/PVJEprKffv" / Twitter
St. Louis, I ran for office on the promise of justice. Justice for Black lives. Justice for Michael Brown Jr. and Breonna Taylor. Justice for every community held back by racist systems and oppression.

Today, I am proud to have been named to a committee with the power to bring about justice for all. Every time I step into that committee room, I will bring with me the power of my lived experience. It is a power that comes from the pain of being a survivor of sexual abuse and domestic violence, of having been unhoused, stomped by the police, and forced to live paycheck-to-paycheck. But above all else, I will bring the stories of the people of St. Louis and fight for the change we need in Missouri's First Congressional District.

It is on the House Judiciary Committee to affirm the dignity and humanity of Black and brown communities, and I look forward to working with Chairman Nadler and my colleagues on the committee to legislate in defense of Black lives. Together, we must work to prioritize investing in communities like mine that have been historically under-resourced and underserved. Together, we can and we must save lives.
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"Joining Bush on the committee will be North Carolina Rep.-elect Deborah Ross, an attorney and former state lawmaker, and progressive New York Rep.-elect Mondaire Jones, a graduate of Harvard Law School, former federal law clerk and practicing attorney."

Mondaire Jones on Twitter: "Today, I was nominated to serve on @HouseJudiciary. ..." / Twitter
Today, I was nominated to serve on @HouseJudiciary. To say I’m honored would be an understatement.

The committee has jurisdiction over so many vital issues that affect us: voting rights, the courts, antitrust, racial justice, LGBTQ+ rights.

Here’s what I’ll be fighting for 👇🏿

Our democracy is broken.

Voter suppression is rampant. People of color are systematically excluded from our political process. And due to unjust campaign finance laws, the wealthy and well-connected have outsize control over our political process.

We must restore our democracy.

The far right has spent decades on a hostile takeover of our federal courts. There is now a 6-3 hyper-partisan, conservative majority on the Supreme Court that favors big business over working people, and seeks to undermine our democracy.

We must expand the Court.

Outdated laws and a generation of unchecked mergers have ushered in a new gilded age. Facebook, Google, Apple, and Amazon have amassed monopoly power over our attention and our economy, and our democracy has paid the price.

We must break up, and regulate, Big Tech.

Our criminal legal system has decimated Black and brown communities. Many of us live in fear of police violence. Mass incarceration is out of control -- the United States incarcerates nearly 25% of the world’s prison population.

We must reimagine our criminal legal system.

In many states, it’s still legal to discriminate against LGBTQ+ people in housing, education, hiring, and even restrooms. Our legal system has yet to catch up with the progress we've made in public life.

We must pass the Equality Act and ensure equity for LGBTQ+ people.

As an openly gay, Black American who grew up in Section 8 housing and on food stamps, these issues are not academic for me.

They are my lived experiences, and they reflect the experiences of countless others across the country.

Now, let’s get to work.
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Seems like a good start.
 
Back to Fox News:
Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerry Nadler, D-N.Y., welcomed the trio of incoming freshmen and praised their experiences. He said Bush "has fought for justice on the streets of Ferguson and across the country [and] will bring first-hand experience as the Committee tackles systemic racism and criminal justice reform."
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Jamaal Bowman on Twitter: "After 20 years dedicated to educating children, I am honored to serve on the United States House Committee on Education and Labor.

We are taking the fight for early childhood education, children, college students, and workers to a national level.

You have a champion in me." / Twitter

The remaining progressive newcomer is Marie Newman.
 
She now has a committee.

Marie Newman on Twitter: "It’s a huge honor to be appointed to the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure ..." / Twitter
It’s a huge honor to be appointed to the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure

Transit is the lifeblood of #IL03. From Midway Airport to the railroad industry, transportation & infrastructure have always anchored the union jobs that build our strong middle class.

We can address the climate and economic crises through green infrastructure to create thousands of good-paying jobs and build the technology necessary to preserve the planet.

I cannot wait to serve my district and the country and get to work investing in the practical solutions that will build a more just future for working families.
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Guess what Jessica Cisneros was up against in TX-28?

Mysterious Dark Money Group That Backed ‘Big Oil’s Favorite Democrat’ Was Funded by Big Oil – Sludge
The shadowy group, calling itself American Workers for Progress, spent more than $720,000 on television ads and mailers promoting Cuellar’s work on health care issues. The group’s ads, in both Spanish and English, don’t specifically advocate for Cuellar’s re-election but instead tell voters to call him to say thank you, a move that allowed it to avoid reporting information about its activities to the Federal Election Commission. Its website contains no information besides a generic-sounding statement about “addressing economic challenges.”

Despite its name, American Workers for Progress is not affiliated with labor groups, and despite the content of its ads it does not have ties to health care advocates. According to tax documents reviewed by Sludge, it is heavily funded by the oil and gas industry, having received $1.3 million from the American Petroleum Institute in 2019.
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Henry Cuellar beat JC with a margin of 3.6%.
The oil and gas industry gave Cuellar $223,532 in 2019-20, making it his top donor industry of the cycle, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. PACs that maxed out to his campaign include those affiliated with American Petroleum Institute members like Chevron, Halliburton, Hess, and Phillips 66.

Cuellar is often called “Big Oil’s favorite Democrat,” and he has the voting record to back up that reputation.

...
Cuellar routinely votes with Republicans on bills affecting fossil fuels.
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Clearly repaying his paymasters.
Cuellar, a member of the House Oil and Gas Caucus, could play a more significant role on environmental legislation in the next session of Congress during which Democrats will have a slim majority and cannot afford many defections.

Cisneros would likely have been a reliable progressive vote on environmental issues. During her campaign she endorsed the Green New Deal resolution that calls for a 10-year national mobilization to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions, create millions of high-paying jobs, prevent oppression of “frontline and vulnerable communities,” and secure the environment for generations to come.
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Sunrise Political Endorsements - Sunrise Movement - having assessed Brand New Congress and Justice Democrats, I'll take on the Sunrise Movement.

All of the SM's 19 endorsees had won primaries.

Won: MA-SEN Ed Markey, MN-05 Ilhan Omar, MI-13 Rashida Tlaib, NY-14 AOC, NY-17 Mondaire Jones, IL-03 Marie Newman, NY-16 Jamaal Bowman, MA-07 Ayanna Pressley, MO-01 Cori Bush, CA-49 Mike Levin

Lost to R's: TX-10 Mike Siegel, TX-25 Julie Oliver, TN-SEN Marquita Bradshaw, CA-01 Audrey Denney, MI-06 Jon Hoadley, WV-02 Cathy Kunkel, WV-SEN Paula Jean Swearengin, VA-01 Qasim Rashid

Lost to D's: WA-10 Beth Doglio
 
In earlier posts, I'd rated candidates as likely wins and uncertain. I'll see how they do.

Brand New Congress
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: none

Justice Democrats
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: none

Courage to Change - AOC
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: none

HER Time - Katie Hill
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: CA-45 Katie Porter, TX-07 Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, VA-10 Jennifer Wexton

Truth To Power - Katie Porter
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: GA-07 Carolyn Bourdeaux

Warren Democrats - Elizabeth Warren
Likely wins: all -- Uncertain: CA-45 Katie Porter, CO-06 Jason Crow, CT-05 Jahana Hayes, GA-06 Lucy McBath, IA-03 Cindy Axne, IL-14 Lauren Underwood, KS-03 Sharice Davids, MN-02 Angie Craig, NH-01 Chris Pappas, PA-07 Susan Wild, PA-08 Matt Cartwright, TX-32 Colin Allred, CO-SEN John Hickenlooper

All the likely wins won, while the uncertain ones had a lot of variation.
 
She ran against Jerry Nadler for NY-10 and lost, but she's trying for another office.
Lindsey Boylan on Twitter: "I’m running for Manhattan Borough President to create a more equitable, sustainable, and livable city. Although we have many challenges ahead, I know that we can meet those challenges together and create lasting change for our city. Join me on this journey! (link)" / Twitter

She describes herself: "Mom. Progressive New Yorker fighting 4 a Livable City. Fmr State Govt Official & Urban Planner. Candidate 4 Manhattan Borough Prez. (She/Her)"
 
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