More free trade --> higher living standard. Evidence of harm from trade deficit = zero.
Lumpenproletariat you sound a lot like Loren to me. But If what you think is true then why does the real world prove you wrong?
The real world proves that trade deficits do not damage the economy. There's no case historically where chronic trade deficits did any damage. And low trade barriers have led to better results. Artificial efforts to prop up exports and suppress imports do not improve a nation's economy.
Racing the economy towards the bottom with lower consumer prices is the recipe for disaster.
It's obvious that you've been brainwashed with some perverse kind of economics to make a statement like this. All public policy, and all economic policy, recognizes the obvious goal of lower prices as part of the social good. That's why we have anti-trust laws, for example.
It's OK to say the higher costs and prices are worth paying as a sacrifice in return for higher quality or safety or security, etc. But you have to at least recognize the basic principle that lower price in itself is a basic economic goal. If not, then economics makes no sense.
A good example for your kind of economy is Mexico.
No, Mexico is doing more like what you want. Protecting jobs and imposing trade barriers to prevent "unfair" foreign competition.
Let someone else manufacture the goods so we can buy them cheaper.
That's what the U.S. is doing, not Mexico. Most poor countries have been trying hard to force the manufacturing to happen in their own country, and erecting barriers to the foreign imports, as you advocate.
Contrast that type of economy to silicon valley California where cost of living is extremely high but everyone has a nice job.
It's liberal trade policy which has led to Silicon Valley, and it's the competition to produce stuff at lower cost which Silicon Valley is all about. But meanwhile, Mexico could never have a Silicon Valley, because its laws prevent the necessary immigration and foreign business investment necessary to make it possible.
Though prices are high in Silicon Valley, they would be twice as high if this country did not enjoy all the cheap labor, foreign and domestic, and some illegal cheap labor, which produces most of the lower prices. The prices EVERYWHERE, even in Silicon Valley, are much lower as a result.
Clearly the California economy is far superior to the Mexican economy.
Partly because of freer trade and higher immigration, especially more immigrant labor, but also more immigrant business investment, much of which is illegal in Mexico, to protect Mexican businesses and workers, as you advocate the U.S. should do.
Mexico is really the much better model for your kind of economics, to protect jobs and companies against foreign competition.
A Mexican economy does have cheap prices for consumers.....but no one has employment.
How can you be so wrong on practically everything? Mexico has a relatively low unemployment rate, similar to the current official U.S. rate.
Obviously Mexico's wage levels are lower, because it's a poor country. All poor countries have low wages which are caused by the poverty level. It's never the wage level which determines the poverty level, but vise versa. I.e., you cannot prop up a nation's standard of living by artificially propping up its wage level. The poverty came first, and then this produced a low wage level, and also lower prices.
It is idiotic to think we can raise a country's standard of living by artificially propping up wages or prices.
The Mexican economy is an economy with minimal employment where its people try to scale the fence to get into California.
And meanwhile Mexico turns away similar immigrants trying to sneak in over its southern border, in order to protect its workers from the cheaper labor from Central America. Mexico succeeds at this, keeping out those competitors, while the U.S. has little success keeping out the immigrants who sneak in to take jobs in the U.S. So greater success in keeping out the cheap labor has not made Mexico a better economy. Mexico is practicing what you and President Trump preach -- protecting "our" jobs from being stolen by those damn immigrants and foreign labor.
Mexico is your kind of economy -- saving jobs for "our own" people and not letting the dirty capitalists exploit the cheap labor or ship "our jobs" to China and other countries.
And yes, the homes, the food, and everything you buy in California do cost way too much..... but look at how well the average person in LA or San Francisco still lives. It's because they all have jobs.
There's no place where "they all have jobs."
Our topic is the trade deficit and whether a trade imbalance hurts the economy, and by extension, whether jobs and companies should be protected against foreign competition, as you're demanding.
On this point you are in favor of Mexico's policy rather than that of the U.S. (or California), because Mexico has a much smaller trade deficit, protecting its jobs, propping up its exports and restricting imports as you demand. Whereas the U.S. has much lower trade barriers and a huge trade deficit going back about 40 years consecutively.
So it's not clear why you're using Mexico as an example, since it's an example to disprove your point.
The employment factor is much more important in real life than the being able to buy goods cheap factor.
So then you oppose replacing workers with robots. You would prohibit companies from saving on cost by replacing workers with machines.
And prohibit them from hiring cheap foreign labor, as Mexico does. And slap on tariffs to make foreign imports more expensive, as Mexico does.
Until you can provide a satisfactory answer as to why we should want a Mexican economy for the US, . . .
No, it's YOU who wants a Mexican economy, where foreign workers are excluded, and also foreign imports, in order to protect the domestic labor market.
. . . I'm going to basically conclude that you and Loren don't know what your talking about.
We should be modeling the country to what California has and NOT Mexico. That means protecting and encouraging employment anyway possible.
How ignorantly you say this. What you're demanding is exactly what Mexico is doing, and has been doing far back into history, and which has contributed to its lower living standard.
Basically what Trump is doing right now.
Yes, everything he promises to do about "jobs" is what Mexico has been doing for generations.
More trade barriers --> protecting "our jobs" --> lower living standard.
The following is an indication, only partial, of how free trade, or fewer trade barriers, leads to a higher standard of living. The following list of countries shows clearly that the higher-developed economies are also the more free-trade economies, allowing more global trade, with lower tariff levels. This list is helpful to make the point, but of course no one list can give the whole picture. Other lists and other considerations of the various trade barriers also show the same general pattern, that increased trade has led to higher living standard. (Of course you can claim that it's the higher living standard which led to more trade.)
One measure of protectionism/free trade is a ranking according to the tariff rates. However, it's only one indicator, and can be misleading. But it gives a general picture, mostly reliable, though also with some conspicuous exceptions.
By this ranking, the U.S. is ranked at 134 (on a scale of 0-177), relatively low tariffs (more free trade), but still there are about 40 countries ranked above the U.S (lower tariffs). More than 130 are below the U.S., i.e. higher tariffs (less free trade). High score = low tariffs or more free trade, and low score = high tariffs or less free trade.
http://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/TM.TAX.MRCH.SM.AR.ZS/rankings
Low-tariff countries are mostly the high-developed countries, with some odd exceptions, while the high-tariff countries are mostly poor countries. The list here is reversed to put the most free-trade countries at the top:
lowest tariffs:
177 Switzerland
177 Singapore
177 Hong Kong (China)
177 Macao (China)
177 Libya
Oddball case. Any poor countries near this end of the list are in some odd category. By some other factors they would probably be much farther down the list.
176 Norway
175 Brunei
173 Georgia
173 Albania
172 Mauritius
171 Israel
170 Iceland
169 Croatia
142 United Kingdom
142 Finland
142 Cyprus
142 -- Most of the EU countries are ranked at 142 here.
etc.
some select countries down the list:
134 United States
If President Trump somehow imposes his high punitive tariffs, then the U.S. would move farther down the list, toward Mexico and China. You can see the odd cases of Argentina and Brazil below, which are listed as very high-tariff countries. For a more developed country, S. Korea is noteworthy in this ranking, as a high-tariff country. It and China are both criticized for their protectionist practices. But considering that China is actually still poor by comparison, per capita, it fits the overall pattern here, lower in the rankings.
102 Korea
083 China
081 Mexico
Of the Latin American countries, most of them are below Mexico on this list.
030 Argentina
017 Brazil
etc.
Highest tariffs (least free-trade):
012 The Gambia
011 Chad
010 Central African Republic
009 Ethiopia
008 Gabon
007 Cameroon
006 Congo
005 Equatorial Guinea
004 Djibouti
003 Iran
002 Tunisia -- somewhat odd case.
001 The Bahamas -- extreme exception to the rule
The important point is the general pattern of richer countries higher up, in the low-tariff category, with the poor countries mostly toward the bottom. This pattern goes back many generations, showing that poor countries have tried to protect their "jobs" from foreign imports, and this shows no indication of having improved their living standard.