boneyard bill
Veteran Member
I have read now the whole book. It is a rather compelling study of causes of wealth and income inequality. Its solutions half, what has to be done is somewhat less so compelling. Is there anyone else here who has read the book?
It is unreasonable to expect to discuss this book with an Austrian/Libertarian, as you have seen over this short thread. They reject the methodology of this book, which relies on evaluating historical data. Their methodology is based on logic applied to certain unassailable truths. They reject attempts to compare theory to actual historical data, going so far as to claim that deviations from the theory shown by the historical record must be caused by unknown economic factors, misallocations, corrupting the economy and the data. That their theory is absolutely correct, that if it was followed the data would fit the theory because the economy wouldn't be subject to corrupting factors, usually government interference in the economy.
They are in essence saying that their theories are not descriptive of the economy that we have now, today. That their theories are only valid for their idealistic free market economy. I don't believe that even the proponents of Austrian/Libertarian economics fully realize the degrees of separation between their fantasy economy, and the real economy that we have right now.
You see this repeatedly in the responses from our resident Austrian/Libertarians, Jason, Dismal, ColoradoAtheist and Boneyard Bill.
They disclaim any connection between their fantasy economics and the supply side economics or Reaganomics that is our current set of governing policies, although they will strongly defend these. It is sufficient for them in their minds to deny that the any negative outcomes are not the result of any of their theories or of even their influence. They preach against government regulation but aren't responsible in any way for the bad outcomes from deregulation. They support supply side theories reducing taxes on the very rich and increasing them on the poor but deny connection to income inequality. Alternately, they deny any problem for the economy resulting from income inequality, from the reduced demand in the economy that results from income inequality.
This level of denial would be sufficient reason to completely ignore them of course. Except that they are influential in the spectrum of movement conservatism's free market economics. Austrian/Libertarian economics provides much of the theoretical basis for the idea that a self-regulating, self-organizing free market can exist. That they do this mainly by repeating over and over again that the free market can exist and that it is capable of preventing bad behavior through the rather simplistic mechanism of supply and demand setting barter type prices, seems to not matter to the true believers. As if repetition was proof.
Austrian/Libertarian economics is neoclassicial economics-lite. Math free economics. Its main appeal seems to be in its simplicity, you only have to keep three principles in mind. The free market can exist and is the nearly perfect form of capitalism. The gold standard is the perfect form of money and anything else is flawed. The government can't do anything right, you have seen this in the DMV, any problem in the economy is the government's fault.
I don't know what you expect to accomplish by repeating your cartoonish presentation of free market economic theory. Austrian economics follows the rationalistic method called a priori reason to establish basic economic principles. Most of our knowledge of economics derives from this method. The idea of quantifying economic data and divining economic principles from them has only become popular in the last hundred years. The efficacy of such a method is still highly questionable.
The a priori method does not eschew facts. One cannot analyze anything if there is nothing to analyze. But it is important to answer the question, "What is the true nature of an exchange" before going on to use the concept of exchange in any further discussion. But the question being asked is about the nature of an exchange in the real world. It does not ask the question about the abstract nature of what might be considered a perfect or ideal exchange. It is not Platonic.
If anything, it the modern view that is Platonic because it would reduce everything to mathematical equations. Do these equations represent the real world? No. Numbers give you quantities they do not give you qualities.
As Einstein said, "Theory determines fact." Sifting through massive amounts of economic data don't tell you anything. The data is not self-organizing. It takes a theory to give the data meaning and turn it into fact. That's why the empirical method fails. It is always still dependent on theory to tell you what the data means. That's why econometric models are typically way off. They can be no better than the theory that went into them. And if you've got the theory right, you don't need the computer model. So empirical theories have proven themselves worthless because the models don't work.
Austrian economists do make predictions, and they are often right; but they are also right to insist that the field of economics is too chaotic to make precise predictions. You are always claiming "other factors equal" even as you know that other factors are not equal. Hence predictability is not necessarily the test of a theory.
But if you are treating two different events as an "exchange" when they are actually different events because you haven't defined your terms, you are going to be wrong or you are going to have to be very, very lucky.
The market isn't perfect. The market just is. If you interfere with the market, the market will still have its way. You may distort the way the market works, but it will still work. If you put controls on prices, you will get shortages and that will lead to a "black" market because people act, and they act according to incentives and to their needs.
Therefore, if the government seeks to control interest rates, as it quite openly says it is doing, the low interest rates will lead to "uneconomic" decisions i.e. decisions not based on actual values. When the real values eventually assert themselves, the system will crash.
This has to be the case if you accept the subjective theory of value. Who doesn't accept the subjective theory of value. I doubt that even the Marxist Piketty would reject it these days.
We're in for troubling times ahead, but I suppose that whatever catastrophe awaits us, it will not convince Simple Don who will insist, only in hindsight, that if we had only had more regulations it could have been prevented.