ronburgundy
Contributor
So, Oscar nominations came out today. The biggest complaint out there seems to be Hollywood's self-infatuation in giving 14 nominations to the mediocre musical that is La La Land, and some people complaining that Streep got yet another nomination for a film no one really cares about.
But with 6 of the 20 Oscar nominations for acting going to black actors, comments sections are filling up with Trumpanzee snowflakes screaming that Hollywood liberals caved to last years Oscarssowhite meme.
Yes, it is about 5 times the annual average number of black nominees that would be expected, if race played no role in who was nominated from among the actors in films that would plausibly be under any consideration. (I'll get to that math later).
Coincidence? Probably not, but the connection need not be direct. Racial issues have been at the forefront of social discourse. So, more writers than usual have been searching out race-related stories, and studios know they can sell such movies. So, more compelling dramatic roles were created in films the studios were willing to give strong backing to and that essentially required black actors. Voila! You wind up with a large over-representation of blacks who are deserving of Oscar consideration.
But the right-wing SJWs are too stupid to grasp such complexities, so they are engaging in rants even dumber than the Oscarssowhite nonsense of last year that Chris Rock so hilariously and accurately skewered while still acknowledging the actual separate issue of few blacks being cast in quality roles.
So how is 6 nominations about 5 times what should be typical? While 13% of the population, blacks are far less than that in dramatic roles in feature films worthy of Oscar consideration by any reasonable standard. That's probably closer to half that (or 6%), which means race-neutral nominations of actors in such roles would produce and average of 1 black nominee out of 20, and thus 1 per year among the 20 leading and supporting actor nominations. That would guarantee some years and even sometimes consecutive years with no black nominees, offset by occasional years with more than 1. In the prior 15 years there have been 29 black acting nominations, which is close to double the number expected by a race-neutral nomination process.
So yeah, last years bleating about how white the Oscars are was nonsense refuted by objective statistical reality. If anything, once blacks do get cast in solid dramatic roles, they have greater odds than a white person in a similar role of being nominated. Altough, it is plausible that the seeming over-representation is because when blacks get such roles, it is often for characters facing racial obstacles, which increases empathy for the characters and empathy is likely a factor in how the performances are viewed. Regardless, there is definitely no indication that blacks who get roles worthy of consideration are any less likely to get nominated.
But the current bleating by Trumpanzees over these 6 of 20 nominations is equally nonsense which ignores the obvious reality that Hollywood creates films, stories, and characters that cater to trends in interests and topics, which culture-wide has included racial issues.
But with 6 of the 20 Oscar nominations for acting going to black actors, comments sections are filling up with Trumpanzee snowflakes screaming that Hollywood liberals caved to last years Oscarssowhite meme.
Yes, it is about 5 times the annual average number of black nominees that would be expected, if race played no role in who was nominated from among the actors in films that would plausibly be under any consideration. (I'll get to that math later).
Coincidence? Probably not, but the connection need not be direct. Racial issues have been at the forefront of social discourse. So, more writers than usual have been searching out race-related stories, and studios know they can sell such movies. So, more compelling dramatic roles were created in films the studios were willing to give strong backing to and that essentially required black actors. Voila! You wind up with a large over-representation of blacks who are deserving of Oscar consideration.
But the right-wing SJWs are too stupid to grasp such complexities, so they are engaging in rants even dumber than the Oscarssowhite nonsense of last year that Chris Rock so hilariously and accurately skewered while still acknowledging the actual separate issue of few blacks being cast in quality roles.
So how is 6 nominations about 5 times what should be typical? While 13% of the population, blacks are far less than that in dramatic roles in feature films worthy of Oscar consideration by any reasonable standard. That's probably closer to half that (or 6%), which means race-neutral nominations of actors in such roles would produce and average of 1 black nominee out of 20, and thus 1 per year among the 20 leading and supporting actor nominations. That would guarantee some years and even sometimes consecutive years with no black nominees, offset by occasional years with more than 1. In the prior 15 years there have been 29 black acting nominations, which is close to double the number expected by a race-neutral nomination process.
So yeah, last years bleating about how white the Oscars are was nonsense refuted by objective statistical reality. If anything, once blacks do get cast in solid dramatic roles, they have greater odds than a white person in a similar role of being nominated. Altough, it is plausible that the seeming over-representation is because when blacks get such roles, it is often for characters facing racial obstacles, which increases empathy for the characters and empathy is likely a factor in how the performances are viewed. Regardless, there is definitely no indication that blacks who get roles worthy of consideration are any less likely to get nominated.
But the current bleating by Trumpanzees over these 6 of 20 nominations is equally nonsense which ignores the obvious reality that Hollywood creates films, stories, and characters that cater to trends in interests and topics, which culture-wide has included racial issues.
