You will get job growth and increased economic activity with nuclear, wind, and solar as well, so those things don't help either side of the argument.
On the contrary, since these things are not mutually exclusive, we can have both kinds of jobs. Win, win. Even under fastest transition feasible we will still use a lot of oil for decades. You propose these oil jobs be primarily overseas, I want them kept in the US. Keeping oil jobs here does not preclude creating additional green jobs though.
Foreign oil is you only other argument, and I still find that both that argument and paying less at the pump combined, do not balance out the damage done to our environment.
I disagree. It very much outweighs it. Especially that environmental risks are simply moved (and overall actually increased) rather than eliminated by moving to more foreign oil. Countries like Russia or KSA do not have as strict environmental laws as do US or Canada and then you have to move all this oil 1000s of miles by tanker ship, which takes energy and is not without risks either.
In many cases they very clearly are villains whether they see it or not.
No doubt, but I see Steyer, Soros and the Indians as clearly being the villains here. I have enough perspective to realize that they see themselves as the good guys. You do not seem to have such perspective, as you see those in oil industry as mustache-twirling cartoon villains.
I see JonA has infected your way of discussing things to the point that you now demand unreasonable tasks from those who are not holding themselves out as experts on the topic, and don't care to become experts on the topic. I won't be providing a detailed roadmap for anything relating to this discussion, it isn't what I do, nor what I care to do. Not in real life, and not on an internet discussion board. Thanks for being polite about it, though.
I am not asking you to become an expert. But the devil lies in the detail, as they say. You are merely listing things. That will not do.
So, don't give me expert-level of detail, but do give me some level of detail as to how you imagine the transition.
Fracking is unnecessary because we have many alternative methods of producing the energy we are getting from fracking.
Yes, things like deepwater and Arctic drilling or tar sands. All of which have their own risks and are opposed by the same environmentalists.
It being unnecessary is not the reason I am against it, however. It is a method of extracting fossil fuel from the earth that is very destructive of the environment, and harmful to people, that is why I oppose fracking.
The destructiveness of it has been greatly exaggerated.
You have shown nothing of the sort. You argument has been that it will make oil more expensive, from which conventional oil producing nations will benefit, and that some of those beneficiaries are undesirable. You haven't really had to show anything in that regard, either, as that is not in dispute. I simply do not agree that these things are more important than the harm we are doing to our environment by fracking.
It will make oil much more expensive, but more than that it will move money to pay for that very expensive oil out of US. It is the combination of higher prices and lower production (US production would drop to one half of present) that would really harm our balance sheets. That some undesirable regimes (expansionist Russia and Wahabism-spreading Saudis and Shiite radicalism spreading Iranians) would get to benefit is all the more reason why it would be a very stupid move.
You may have tried to do that, but you failed. I presented evidence of fracking related earthquakes in several states, you were only able to downplay them by pretending that they don't matter.
It is you who have failed. You have shown earthquakes happen in several states, but I have shown that in Pennsylvania they were only detectable by sensors and are not perceptible by human beings. Several other states had some perceptible, but minor, quakes. It is only Oklahoma that has had significant induced quakes. And of course, Bakken had no reported induced quakes. So how are earthquakes an argument against fracking? At most it is an argument against fracking in Oklahoma, but even there tehy may be able to change procedures to reduce or eliminate risk of induced quakes.
Fracking causes earthquakes that would not have occurred otherwise. This is made more problematic by the fact that we don't know exactly why fracking causes serious seismic activity in some places, and apparently none at all in other places, with most places being somewhere in between. We don't find out until well after the fracking starts, and once it gets started, we can't stop it. Even with the serious seismic issues in Oklahoma, they are still fracking there.
Again, that is hardly an argument against fracking in Bakken. At the most, you are argument for a moratorium in Oklahoma until and unless the earthquake issue can be resolved.
They aren't going to stop until the government steps in and tells them to stop. Meanwhile, they fight that government action with every political resource at their disposal. They know they are causing the problem there, but they just have to make their money. Where will the next fracking siesmic clusterfrack happen? Who knows? It's anybody's guess. Step up and spin the fracking wheel!
As opposed to giving up on all fracking and going to the great years of the mid- to late 2000s with oil above $100/bbl and hostile regimes reaping the rewards. Canada is friendly enough, but their oil is not acceptable to ecomentalists either.
You did no such thing. Here is the last substantive post I made in response to your objections about the problems with fracking:
I very much have.
Your response about the chemicals supported my argument, with the exception of the parenthetical comment, support of which I have withdrawn. Your response on earthquakes has been wholly inadequate. You first said they only occur in Oklahoma, and when I refuted that notion you just shrugged off the other earthquakes as no matter. Well, they do matter, Derec. They are earthquakes caused by fracking, and they apparently occur everywhere fracking is done, except in North Dakota. That's a big problem for fracking, whether you want to admit it or not.
They are only a significant issue in Oklahoma and not an issue at all in North Dakota, the subject of this thread.
Which would be great if they didn't have a such a tendency to leak:
Nothing is perfect. Pipelines are still much safer than the alternatives.
And note that even if you kill fracking, the expensive oil and product from overseas will still have to get moved all over the country.
I find your hand waving here to be less than comforting, especially to people living in Oklahoma.
If Oklahomans really have such a problem with occasional medium quakes they need to push their elected leaders to issue a moratorium until the issue is resolved. They would have to compare the earthquake risk with all the benefits fracking has brought to their state. And finally and for the 1000,000th time, that would only affect fracking in Oklahoma, not elsewhere.
We are talking about fracking in general, not just specifically to Bakken. Fracking occurs in California and Texas as well, both of which have had recent sever droughts. And yes, conventional oil uses a lot of water as well, but that just adds to the basic problem of using fossil fuels for energy. Also, fracking seems to be taking off in some drought stricken areas:
Again, regional problems have to be addressed regionally. Banning fracking everywhere because of problems somewhere is stupid.
"While hydraulic fracturing consumes only a small fraction of the water used in other extraction methods,
I find this very interesting and telling. Fracking uses much less water than alternative extraction methods.
our analysis highlights the fact that it can still pose serious risks to local water supplies, especially in drought-prone regions such as the Barnett formation in Texas, where exploration and development is rapidly intensifying," Kondash said. "Drilling a single well can require between 3 to 6 million gallons of water, and thousands of wells are fracked each year. Local water shortages could limit future production."
Oh, that's a shame, "shortages could limit future (fracking)". I guess the people who need the drinking water, and those who need water to raise crops can just frack off. Do you really think the oil companies are going to let something like a water shortage slow them down, when they aren't seen to be giving two shits about causing earthquakes?
Do you think they use potable water to frack? Or are they using water that can't be used for drinking anyway?
This is methane that is not being captured because they are fracking for oil.
Many oil fields have associated gas. For example, Ghawar, the largest of Saudi oil fields has several GOSPs (gas and oil separation plants) that produce 57 million m
3 per day. But producing gas requires gas infrastructure, such as GOSPs and yes, pipelines. If idiots are protesting this infrastructure, gas production is far less likely to be implemented.
How is a pipeline going to fix that?
It provides a way for gas to be moved away from the field and toward users. Duh!
I also have no problem with natural gas pipelines,
But ecomentalists are.
they don't cause the same environmental damage as oil pipelines (and I am not necessarily against all oil pipelines, either).
You are against them only if they involve fracked oil? And you are against fracked oil because there are some problems with earthquakes and drought in fracking plays different than Bakken which this pipeline serves?
I have shown that fracking recovers considerably less of that contaminated water than conventional oil production. That leaves more in the ground to seep into wells and aquifers.
You have not shown such seepage occurs on any significant scale. The reservoirs in question are separated by impermeable rock from the aquifers.
Industrial chemicals, Derec. Your own link showed that.
Yeah, industrial processes use industrial chemicals. Imagine that. Do you know what else uses industrial chemicals? All sorts of industrial processes, from food production to solar cell manufacture.
You have not shown mere existence of these chemicals poses an undue risk.
Just how much unnecessary industrial chemical contamination is acceptable in your drinking water, Derec?
Depends on the chemical, but I would go by EPA limits here.
One of the major chemicals used to fracture rock is HCl, which is not only active ingredient in stomach acid, it is also used to process food and to lower pH in swimming pools.