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One Year Later, Crimeans Prefer Russia

Russia is providing 75% of the Crimean budget, while Ukraine is at war.
If preferring the former to the latter really supposed to indicate a political preference?
I'm not sure your question makes sense.
What we know is that one year on Crimeans are relatively happy with the situation. No doubt money plays a part in that.
Just two... one they are being paid off (already cited), two the whole Russia is a bit authoritarian thing so people would be less likely to be disagreeable.
 
Any evidence of that?

The Putin-Did-It Conspiracy Theory

But there is zero evidence that Putin engineered these events. There is no evidence that he got Merkel and the EU to overplay their hand; no evidence that he organized the neo-Nazi militias in Lviv; no evidence that he manipulated U.S. officials to manipulate the “regime change” behind the scenes; no evidence that he ordered the Maidan militants to attack.

Is the New York Times really suggesting that Putin pulled the strings on the likes of Merkel and Nuland, secretly organized neo-Nazi brigades, and ruthlessly deployed these thugs to Kiev to provoke violence and overthrow Yanukovych, all while pretending to try to save Yanukovych’s government – all so Putin could advance some dastardly plot to conquer Europe?
Strawman. Nobody here is saying Putin orchestrated the coup, in all likelihood he would have preferred Yanukovich to stay in power. But what Putin did, was orchestrating and continuing to support the uprising in Eastern Ukraine.
 
Strawman. Nobody here is saying Putin orchestrated the coup, in all likelihood he would have preferred Yanukovich to stay in power.
Wow!...Putin would have preferred that to the bloodbath we have?
But what Putin did, was orchestrating and continuing to support the uprising in Eastern Ukraine.
If you say so. I guess we don't need any evidence.
But here is your claim.
JayJay said:
It was Putin who created the conflict,
The "uprising" as you call it was those in the east no recognising an illegitimate group who took power in a violent coup . This unelected group then attacked them!
 
Strawman. Nobody here is saying Putin orchestrated the coup, in all likelihood he would have preferred Yanukovich to stay in power.
Wow!...Putin would have preferred that to the bloodbath we have?
But what Putin did, was orchestrating and continuing to support the uprising in Eastern Ukraine.
If you say so. I guess we don't need any evidence.
But here is your claim.
JayJay said:
It was Putin who created the conflict,
The "uprising" as you call it was those in the east no recognising an illegitimate group who took power in a violent coup . This unelected group then attacked them!

Putin really has pulled the wool over your eyes. You think the rebels have a magic factory that produces artillery, air defense systems, surveillance drones, and armored vehicles? The absurd mental gymnastics you must go through to hold on to the position that Putin isn't supplying a serious amount of arms to the rebels.

You then jump off the cliff into lala land by claiming that Kiev just decided randomly to attack people in the East in some attempt to destabilize its own country.
 
Strawman. Nobody here is saying Putin orchestrated the coup, in all likelihood he would have preferred Yanukovich to stay in power.
Wow!...Putin would have preferred that to the bloodbath we have?
But what Putin did, was orchestrating and continuing to support the uprising in Eastern Ukraine.
If you say so. I guess we don't need any evidence.
But here is your claim.
JayJay said:
It was Putin who created the conflict,
The "uprising" as you call it was those in the east no recognising an illegitimate group who took power in a violent coup . This unelected group then attacked them!
No, "those in the east" i.e. the few militants consisting of Russian fighters and a few locals for show, started taking over government buildings and the government in Kiev was merely reacting like any sovereign country would. What do you think Putin would do if some foreign-led militia tried to pull off someting like that in Russia?

If you are so big on groups being legitimized, who elected the separatist militias or voted for war against Ukrainian army? I must have missed the election where Igor Girkin became the Supreme Leader of Donetsk and Luhansk. For someone who thinks any yokel with a gun can impose his own law if he doesn't like the country he lives in, it's pretty hypocritical to whine about a democratically elected leader being ousted by an equally democratically elected body due to him being unable to do his job, and being replaced in a few months by another democratically elected leader. :rolleyes:
 
Putin's endgame:

First, humiliated and bled dry on the battlefield, Ukraine would be forced to agree to a "federated" structure and recognize the "autonomy" of its southeast region that would make it a de facto Russian protectorate inside Ukraine. The "people's republics" of Donetsk and Luhansk would have their own political, legal and security systems and their "defense forces" would not be disarmed. Nor would Russian "volunteers" be repatriated.

Completely controlled by Moscow, the republics' authorities would be in charge of all elections within their territories. A permanent bloc of seats in the Ukrainian parliament would be set aside for them, giving them (that is, Russia) de facto veto power over Ukraine's key political, security and foreign policy choices. Finally, there would be no restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty over the Russo-Ukrainian border and no end to the flow of Russian military and civilian supplies into Ukraine. With these arrangements in place, the Kremlin would be able to re-ignite the conflict instantaneously whenever it did not like what Kiev is doing or, more importantly, whenever Russia's domestic political situation called for another round of propaganda-induced patriotic hysteria and anti-West paranoia.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/02/03/opinion/aron-putin-endgame/

The question is, how much cost is he willing to endure to achieve this "victory"?
 
Putin really has pulled the wool over your eyes. You think the rebels have a magic factory that produces artillery, air defense systems, surveillance drones, and armored vehicles? The absurd mental gymnastics you must go through to hold on to the position that Putin isn't supplying a serious amount of arms to the rebels.
.
None of this shows that "Putin created the conflict", which is a claim you appear to have now abandoned. You have just moved the goalposts. In fact you pretty much hand waved away what really "created" this conflict.
 
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Russian involvement in Ukraine - I can't believe that there are still denialists:
It's probably true that there are at least Russian volunteers in Ukraine, but one wonders why American politicians have to produce photos from Georgia in 2008 and claim they are from Ukraine recently, if the evidence is so clear that Putin is sending troops.


fake.jpg
 
If you are so big on groups being legitimized, who elected the separatist militias or voted for war against Ukrainian army?
They are defending themselves. They didn't march on Kiev. They have remained in their homes, where they live.
The Forces from Kiev left their homes, travelled across the country and attacked them.
 
Putin's endgame:

First, humiliated and bled dry on the battlefield, Ukraine would be forced to agree to a "federated" structure and recognize the "autonomy" of its southeast region that would make it a de facto Russian protectorate inside Ukraine. The "people's republics" of Donetsk and Luhansk would have their own political, legal and security systems and their "defense forces" would not be disarmed. Nor would Russian "volunteers" be repatriated.
I imagine it will now be hard for people such as this poor man who just had his children killed to accept the current Kiev regime. What do you think?
http://www.vineyardsaker.co.nz/2015...unta-3-siblings-taking-a-bath-before-bedtime/

When will you be satisfied? How many wars are enough for you?
This man is in what is left of his home. Why are you apologising for those who came to his home and killed his children?

[YOUTUBE]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RYSTbNG5t8[/YOUTUBE]
 
If Putin sent troops and weapons in the war would be over in a couple of days.
Not if his goal is to merely destabilize Ukraine, rather than conquer as much land as possible. Exactly the same scenario played out in Georgia in 2008. Besides, Russia still has the option to quickly advance all the way to Crimea if necessary.
Really? exactly the same, really?
Oh I see, Western propaganda is using the same pictures so naturally you think it's exactly the same.

You seem like a sensible guy some times, but this is not one these times.
 
If Putin sent troops and weapons in the war would be over in a couple of days.
Not if his goal is to merely destabilize Ukraine, rather than conquer as much land as possible. Exactly the same scenario played out in Georgia in 2008. Besides, Russia still has the option to quickly advance all the way to Crimea if necessary.

He certainly seems to be utilizing these cease fire agreements to his advantage, breaking them when it makes sense and then getting Germany and France begging him to agree to a new one.

Seems a bit similar to the strategy to Abkhazia in '93, except a little bit more drawn out.
 
If Putin sent troops and weapons in the war would be over in a couple of days.
Not if his goal is to merely destabilize Ukraine, rather than conquer as much land as possible. .
Do you think that the US wants to get NATO bases in Ukraine? Just to digress for a minute.
That to me seems to be what is going on, and it seems entirely consistent with their stated goals.

Just interested though, do you think that is what they want?
 
First, humiliated and bled dry on the battlefield, Ukraine would be forced to agree to a "federated" structure and recognize the "autonomy" of its southeast region that would make it a de facto Russian protectorate inside Ukraine. The "people's republics" of Donetsk and Luhansk would have their own political, legal and security systems and their "defense forces" would not be disarmed. Nor would Russian "volunteers" be repatriated.
I imagine it will now be hard for people such as this poor man who just had his children killed to accept the current Kiev regime. What do you think?

I think that people living in the areas which have been shelled by both sides, will have as much difficulty accepting rule by Kiev as they will rule by the rebels. Unless only one side produces casualties?
 
I think that people living in the areas which have been shelled by both sides, will have as much difficulty accepting rule by Kiev as they will rule by the rebels. Unless only one side produces casualties?
Makes sense to me. The warmongers have a lot to answer for. But again, my point is that is it the so called rebels who were first attacked by the coup government and then by Poroshenko. they were attacked in their own homes. So Poroshenko has more to answer for . He rejected peace as one of his first moves in power. Why? one wonders.
He was "elected" then chose to keep killing people rather than try a peaceful solution. Maybe he will be charged with war crimes.

But at this point I think that making Eastern Ukraine an autonomous region is likely the only practical solution. Though the previous poster seemed to think this some kind of evil.
 
It's probably true that there are at least Russian volunteers in Ukraine, but one wonders why American politicians have to produce photos from Georgia in 2008 and claim they are from Ukraine recently, if the evidence is so clear that Putin is sending troops.
None of the links Axulus showed referred to Einhof's photos. One gullible US senator doesn't refute the fact that Russia is heavily arming the rebels, and providing troops. Over 200 Russian on-duty Russian soldiers have been killed in Ukraine, so most likely the number of actual troops is in the thousands or tens of thousands. And the notion of them being "volunteers" is laughable... soldiers who are actively serving in the army don't "volunteer" to go fight foreign wars, and they don't get to take their tanks, artillery and BUKs with them on vacation. :rolleyes:
 
If you are so big on groups being legitimized, who elected the separatist militias or voted for war against Ukrainian army?
They are defending themselves. They didn't march on Kiev. They have remained in their homes, where they live.
Igor Girkin lived in Moscow. So did many of the "volunteers". But that's besides the point... just because you live somewhere doesn't make you can just pick up a gun and start taking over police stations and government buildings.
 
Not if his goal is to merely destabilize Ukraine, rather than conquer as much land as possible. Exactly the same scenario played out in Georgia in 2008. Besides, Russia still has the option to quickly advance all the way to Crimea if necessary.
Really? exactly the same, really?
It is the same in the sense that in Georgia, six years later, the breakaway regions are still in state of frozen conflict. Russia's goal was not to conquer entire Georgia, which it could have easily done, but to destabilize it. Same with Ukraine. Only exception is Crimea, that had a Russian naval base and a clear Russian ethnic majority.
 
Not if his goal is to merely destabilize Ukraine, rather than conquer as much land as possible. .
Do you think that the US wants to get NATO bases in Ukraine? Just to digress for a minute.
That to me seems to be what is going on, and it seems entirely consistent with their stated goals.

Just interested though, do you think that is what they want?
In 2008 Bucharest summit, NATO decided not to offer Ukraine membership. Since then, the interest to join has waned even more. We can speculate that maybe NATO would prefer to have bases in Ukraine, but clearly this is not one of the "stated goals". Besides not even all of the NATO members have NATO bases in their soil.

The only reason why Ukraine is now trying to join NATO is because Russia annexed Crimea and started the war in Eastern Ukraine. But NATO is not going to accept a member mired in an external conflict, and Putin knows this as well as anyone.
 
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