bilby
Fair dinkum thinkum
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http://thefederalist.com/2014/01/17/the-death-of-expertise/
I have been thinking about this for a while, but unsurprisingly, it took an expert to sum it up so effectively.
Just because everyone has the right to an opinion, That does not imply that all opinions are equal.
Sometimes we are just wrong. And the first rule of Dunning-Kruger club is 'You don't know when you are in Dunning-Kruger club'.
And, of course, these points also apply in other areas of expertise - the author is a political analyst, but were he instead a physicist, he could just as reasonably said "5: And yes, your physics opinions have value. Of course they do: you’re a member of a democracy and what you understand is as important as what any other voter understands. As a layman, however, your physical analysis, has far less value, and probably isn’t — indeed, almost certainly isn’t — as good as you think it is."
You are entitled to imagine that Quantum physics might enable psychic abilities (for example); but you are also entitled to be (and probably are) deeply wrong.
I have been thinking about this for a while, but unsurprisingly, it took an expert to sum it up so effectively.
Just because everyone has the right to an opinion, That does not imply that all opinions are equal.
Sometimes we are just wrong. And the first rule of Dunning-Kruger club is 'You don't know when you are in Dunning-Kruger club'.
1: We can all stipulate: the expert isn’t always right.
2: But an expert is far more likely to be right than you are. On a question of factual interpretation or evaluation, it shouldn’t engender insecurity or anxiety to think that an expert’s view is likely to be better-informed than yours. (Because, likely, it is.)
3: Experts come in many flavors. Education enables it, but practitioners in a field acquire expertise through experience; usually the combination of the two is the mark of a true expert in a field. But if you have neither education nor experience, you might want to consider exactly what it is you’re bringing to the argument.
4: In any discussion, you have a positive obligation to learn at least enough to make the conversation possible. The University of Google doesn’t count. Remember: having a strong opinion about something isn’t the same as knowing something.
5: And yes, your political opinions have value. Of course they do: you’re a member of a democracy and what you want is as important as what any other voter wants. As a layman, however, your political analysis, has far less value, and probably isn’t — indeed, almost certainly isn’t — as good as you think it is.
And, of course, these points also apply in other areas of expertise - the author is a political analyst, but were he instead a physicist, he could just as reasonably said "5: And yes, your physics opinions have value. Of course they do: you’re a member of a democracy and what you understand is as important as what any other voter understands. As a layman, however, your physical analysis, has far less value, and probably isn’t — indeed, almost certainly isn’t — as good as you think it is."
You are entitled to imagine that Quantum physics might enable psychic abilities (for example); but you are also entitled to be (and probably are) deeply wrong.
