Where the bejesus do you imagine you saw me indicate that I "think the OP is about the long run"?
Forgive me, you are the one positing long-run fantasies as rebuttals, not me.
Why would I forgive you when you show no sign of interest in mending your ways? You are a persistent pedlar of illogical disparaging imputations about other posters.
What I wrote wasn't a fantasy; and the fact that I wrote about the long run and the OP didn't in no way conflicts with my post being a correct rebuttal. The OP contained an illogical inference. That inference was based, in part, on a short-term consideration, and was illogical, in part, due to the fact that it unreasonably failed to consider the longer term. Pointing out that an argument is wrong because it fails to take something important into account does not qualify as evidence that "I need to show my work why I think the OP is about" whatever important consideration I pointed out it had failed to take into account. Duh!
Or, in the words of the master, "Why don't you just admit you were wrong for once and be done with it?"
The OP is not about the long run. The OP is not about the short run. The OP is not about any run. The OP is about "This reveals a lack of principled commitment to actual fairness, and a racial ulterior motive by such conservatives." Whether rb was talking about concurrent substitution is entirely irrelevant.
No, it is not. The OP is about a concurrent substitution effect. Your imagined long-run effect is irrelevant to his argument.
No, it is not. The OP is about rb's false dilemma fallacy. The OP can be fairly summarized as "Those people don't think like me; logically therefore, they necessarily must think like my cartoon-villain conception of them." Pointing out a third possibility is sufficient to refute a false dilemma fallacy. So it doesn't make a particle of difference whether the OP considers only a concurrent substitution effect, or whether you think my long-run effect is "imagined", or even whether the long-run effect really is "imagined" -- it remains a viable third possibility for what's going on in rb's outgroup's minds. Even if there really were no such long-run effect, that would merely make the conservatives who think donor admissions aren't unfair to other students
mistaken. It would not make them
racist.
First, the unsubstantiated notion that a donor admission that allows a less qualified student to take the place of a more qualified student today but permits a larger number of students (qualified or unqualified) to be admitted 5 to 20 years in the future is a bizarre notion of fairness since it does not address their central point of the unfairness to the current denied more qualified the denied student.
You have an odd notion of fairness. You call it "the place of a more qualified student today", on what grounds? Donor admissions are not a new thing at Harvard. It's
policy. Rich people have been buying admission into that place for centuries. It's part of Harvard's strategy for maintaining its economic viability and maintaining the lifestyle to which it has become accustomed. And, as noted upthread, Harvard's class size has expanded over those centuries. So what basis is there for supposing those "places of a more qualified student today" would have existed in the first place if that policy hadn't been their practice all along? Without the policy, Harvard would have been poorer. To presume it would have been poorer but would nonetheless have had the same number of class slots would be a peculiar economic theory. So those places aren't "places of a more qualified student today"; they're "places of making the wildly successful financial strategy continue to work".
You might as well argue that since somebody didn't get a golden egg because the farmer only gave out as many as his goose had laid, it's unfair of the farmer not to kill the goose in order to get some more golden eggs out all at once. Wait, here's a metaphor you'll probably grok better: you might as well argue that it's unfair of the university to siphon away a percentage of your research grant as overhead.
Second, it is up to you to show that this presumed long-run effect does address racial fairness in the long run. Otherwise it is just some story that has no relevance to the discussion.
What the bejesus is your reasoning for that? If conservatives can figure out that it's stupid to put positive cash-flow seats in the same mental box with negative cash-flow seats, then that means they must hate black people unless I can prove Harvard will spend the extra money on black people?
Third, it is up to you to show that all of people who rb describes make such arguments and have actual data to substantiate their fanciful claims. Otherwise, assuming your theory is accurate for some, it simply carves out a possible exception for some of them.
What?!? Where do you get this stuff? Why the heck would it make a bloody bit of difference whether they make such arguments or have actual data?
It's obvious to me that it's stupid to put positive cash-flow seats in the same mental box with negative cash-flow seats. It's probably also obvious to most conservatives, and obvious to most centrists, and even obvious to most leftists when they aren't willfully blinding themselves with bigotry against their outgroups, that it's stupid to put positive cash-flow seats in the same mental box with negative cash-flow seats. People don't have to make arguments and have actual data in order to have something be obvious to them; that's kind of what distinguishes the obvious from the unobvious. Having it be obvious to someone that it's stupid to put positive cash-flow seats in the same mental box with negative cash-flow seats is an entirely ordinary phenomenon, and it's entirely adequate as an explanation for why somebody who objects to non-merit-based distribution of negative cash-flow seats would have no objection to non-merit-based distribution of positive cash-flow seats. An additional hypothesis of racism is superfluous; therefore the inference of racism is a non-sequitur.
Or in other words, you're reversing burden of proof. rb is the one who made the positive claim; it's up to him to show his cartoon conservatives are thinking about keeping blacks out rather than thinking it's stupid to put positive cash-flow seats in the same mental box with negative cash-flow seats.
Fourth, your "explanation" ignores the effects of legacy admissions and athletic scholarships.
Oh for the love of god! I wrote a long post addressing all of rb's contentions; you're the one who chose to focus on donor admissions.