When it is raining when a drop of rain hits a 1x1 inch area on the roof of your car can not be predicted.
That’s a slightly flawed premise. If there is no wind to speak of the position of drops prior to hitting the 1” square can be used predict that a particular drop will hit. The only question is how long before impact can it be predicted.
I’d posit that it crosses the boundary into unpredictability when the
time between the prediction and its fulfillment is too short to communicate or act upon. So in a natural rainstorm it is as you describe, but “only” for all practical purposes, not for theoretical ones.
How would you know exac6ly when a raindrop forms, its exact position, and its exact size, and trajectory that lands it on a spot?
Causal but chaotic. Initial conditions cab not be quantified sufficient to make a deterministic
There is no way to predict exactly when a drop forms in the first place,
In a rain storm a spot on the ground has a probability of being hit at a given time. To us it looks random, we deal with it statistically.
Flip a coin. Can you predict when it is heads or tails better than an average of 50%?
My point was due to the limits of our perception and instrumentation a determi9nistic univrse can appear to have randomness to us.
An old question in QM, is quantum randomness a feature of nature or a measurement problem?
But for your last sentence, it seems to me that you are focused on the ability of humans to make predictions, and not upon the reality that is the object of the predictive effort.
A young child likely is unable to predict the lunar cycle, but that does not make the cycle chaotic or non-deterministic.
When humans are unable to predict something with certainty, it means either that the act is inherently unpredictable or that humans simply lack the ability to detect the nature of the operation that yields the result that is sought to be predicted.
I believe your last sentence captures the quandary. Personally, I see the putative randomness of quantum theory to be the result of hidden variables and, more importantly, inherent limitations of humanity, which include, but are not limited to, the fact that we exist within a system that cannot be fully observed from within the system and possibly the additional fact that our own efforts at observation may impact what is being observed. I suspect that the gods are laughing at quantum physicists who insist upon true random behavior in the universe while they enjoy a cup of tea with Einstein.
The difference between measuring and and testing, and subjective philosophical speculation and conclusions.
'I know it is not true because it is not me'. A subjective conclusion.
'I know god exists and has a plan for me'
I am sure believing in determinism can be a relief. It can mean you have no sensibility;ty?
I take Buddhism to be the opposite of determinism. You affect your future.
One goal of Buddhist practice is seeing trough the mental facade of thought forms and seeing reality as it is.
Ending the wandering through samsara and breakng the kamic thought cycles that entangle you.
It as been over 50 years since I went terrarium it so I'll use an AI summary.
In Buddhism, the "facade of reality" is the idea that what we perceive is an illusion, a temporary and constructed view of the world that is based on our perceptions and clinging to a fixed self
. This illusion is maintained by our own minds and the "three poisons" of delusion, greed, and hatred, but is ultimately based on the reality of impermanence, suffering, and non-self. Through spiritual cultivation and practice, one can see through this facade to achieve liberation from suffering.
Determinism and free will are human abstractions not reality.
Endless debate is being ensnared.
An old saying. Before enlightenment get up and go to work. After enlightenment get up and go to work.
So.
I believe in determinism, get up and go to work.
I believe in free will, get up and go to work.
I believe in Jesus, get up and go to work.
I agree with much of what you have written. I also understand the aspect of Buddhism that seems to suggest that we have Free Will and improve our future by exercising our Free Will in a beneficial manner. There are, however, Buddhist scholars who reject that notion and say that Buddhism is perfectly deterministic.
Here is my explanation of that conclusion:
I begin by saying that I have studied Buddhism from an academic standpoint, I have an affinity to the the teachings of Buddhism as I understand them, and I have a spiritual practice that incorporates aspects of Buddhism along with aspects of other philosophies and religions. I am not, however, a practicing Buddhist in a formal sense.
For whatever it may be worth, my personal view is that the core Buddhist teaching of Dependent Origination (also known as Dependent Arising) is logically indistinguishable from Hard Determinism. Notwithstanding the deterministic nature of Dependent Origination, however, the Buddhist concept of Karma (also known as Kamma) is aligned with Free Will — which is incompatible with Hard Determinism.
As explained below, I tend to believe that Siddhartha Gautama was a Hard Determinist and that all Buddhists who fully accept the Buddha’s teaching of Dependent Origination should be Hard Determinists. In fact, however, the vast majority of people with whom I have spoken and/or otherwise communicated and who claim to be Buddhists are quick to reject Determinism and to embrace Free Will. Indeed, many such people are dismissive of my view that Buddhism is a deterministic paradigm, and some such people exhibit animosity to the view that there is no Free Will. Based on everything I know of Buddhism, the Buddha was opposed to blind adherence to dogma and encouraged an open-minded assessment of everything (including his own teachings). I also understand that Buddhism teaches that a person should not be troubled by the beliefs of others. As such, I tend to question whether people who exhibit a knee-jerk aversion to equating Dependent Origination with Determinism are true Buddhists. Nonetheless, I readily appreciate the contrary arguments that have been advanced by Buddhists I have met who thoughtfully and compassionately consider the deterministic nature of Dependent Origination and are willing to acknowledge the possibility that Buddhism is deterministic, while preferring an alternative interpretation of the Buddha’s teaching that seemingly embraces the existence of Free Will.
Buddhism has diverse scripture, which is ever expanding and subject to diverse interpretation. Most Buddhist scripture I have read and/or read about places material significance upon purposeful acts of good will, which seem to be dependent upon people having Free Will (and are, in my opinion, incompatible with Determinism). Nonetheless, other Buddhist texts reflect a view of the universe that is entirely consistent with Determinism in its pure form. For a scholarly and detailed discussion of this subject, see
Repetti, R. (2012). Buddhist Hard Determinism: No Self, No Free Will, No Responsibility. Journal of Buddhist Ethics, 19 (April 19, 2012), 130-97.
As I understand it, Dependent Origination posits that all impermanent activity of the universe arises dependently from (i.e., “is caused by”) antecedent activity. Based on my understanding of Dependent Origination, all actions of an impermanent human being are dependent upon some or all antecedent and transient activity of the universe, and the belief by many people that they are in control of their actions is a delusion. As I see it, Dependent Origination presents a deterministic approach to the universe — and one with which I agree (or am caused to agree).
Note the similarity of Determinism to the Buddhist doctrine of "Dependent Origination" or "Dependent Arising." In Pali, which is the written language of Theravada Buddhist scripture, the doctrine of Dependent Origination / Arising is known as “Pattica-Samuppada” and/or “Pratītyasamutpāda.”
As explained by Thich Nhat Hahn, the doctrine is best described as "When this is, that is; This arising, that arises; When this is not, that is not; This ceasing, that ceases." Another Buddhist scholar, Peter Harvey, construes Pattica-Samuppada to teach: "That being, this comes to be; from the arising of that, this arises; that being absent, this is not; from the cessation of that, this ceases."
Pattica-Samuppada highlights the Buddhist notions that there is nothing that is permanent, nothing substantial, and no unique individual self in the nature of becoming and existence, because everything is an effect of a cause. Stated somewhat differently, there are no independent objects and/or independent subjects – only a fundamental emptiness in all phenomena and experiences.
Pattica-Samuppada is the root of the Buddhist notions of (i) anattā (Pali) or anātman (Sanskrit), which is commonly translated as No-Self, Not-Self, or Non-Self, and (ii) Suññatā (Pali) or Śūnyatā (Sanskrit), which is commonly translated as Emptiness or Nothingness. These notions are poetically addressed in the Heart Sutra, which includes the following prose:
So, in emptiness, there is no body, no feeling, no thought, no will, no consciousness.
There are no eyes, no ears, no nose, no tongue, no body, no mind.
There is no seeing, no hearing, no smelling, no tasting, no touching, no imagining.
There is nothing seen, nor heard, nor smelled, nor tasted, nor touched, nor imagined.
Less poetically, Peter Harvey explains: "We live under the illusion that terms such as 'I', self, mountain, tree, etc. denote permanent and stable things. The doctrine teaches this is not so." Harvey also teaches that there is no "first cause" and that Nibbāna (Pali) or Nirvana (Sanskrit) is infinite and timeless. As Harvey sees it, Pattica-Samuppada is an ontological principle that asserts that Nibbbana is all-encompassing and that nothing whatsoever is independent.
Consistent with the Harvey, Deepak Chopra has written the following:
Your real self is not a person. There is no such thing as a separate self. A person does not really exist. What we call a person is a transient behaviour of the total universe. When you get to the consciousness that is behind your thoughts, you are in touch with the same consciousness that is behind all intelligent activity in the whole universe. Enlightenment is where the individual transcends to the level of existence where the personal self becomes the universal self.
P
ersonally, I very much appreciate and agree that acceptance of No-Self and Emptiness is the end of suffering – even if the acceptance, itself, is an illusion, as there can be no real vision within the blessing and curse of the illusion / delusion of human consciousness.
According to Buddhist scripture: “He who sees the Paṭiccasamuppāda sees the Dhamma; He who sees the Dhamma sees the Paṭiccasamuppāda.”
The concept of Karma, on the other hand, “rewards” (and I use that term loosely) meritorious actions and discourages non-meritorious actions. As I understand it, the concept of Karma implies a modicum of Free Will — without which no person can intentionally, purposefully, and volitionally attempt to act, much less succeed in acting, in a manner that accumulates merit. Yet, if Dependent Origination is true (which I believe to be the case), then people can act only as they are caused to act and they have no control (which is a delusion) over their actions. To me, this is a conflict.
In a sense, Buddhism appears to walk a Compatibilist line, which seeks to harmonize Determinism and a form of Fee Will. Personally, however, I view Compatibilism to be an illogical philosophical construct that seeks to harmonize two logically incompatible concepts. Accordingly, if I am correct in understanding that Dependent Origination is akin to Determinism and that Karma depends upon some form of Free Will, I am troubled by the potential internal inconsistency of these two concepts.
Additionally, I am caused to wonder why a religion or philosophy that is built upon relieving pain and suffering would instruct that a person’s activities have positive or negative consequences, when those activities ultimately are involuntary. Personally, I get tremendous comfort from understanding that everything (including impermanent human activity) “Is What It Is,” and that the universe lacks judgment about involuntary, impermanent and transitory activity.
I reconcile the seemingly internal inconsistency between Dependent Origination and Karma by viewing the Buddha to have been a Hard Determinist who understood (or, more accurately, was caused or determined to seem to understand) that it is within the fate or destiny of most humans to fail to comprehend or understand the deterministic nature of the universe, and to seem to suffer from the illusion / delusion of control. As I see it, the Buddha also was caused to understand that is within the fate or destiny or most humans to seemingly benefit from understanding the karma-centric manner of thinking — even though that way of thinking was, itself, an illusion (albeit a seemingly beneficial illusion).
I believe that the Buddha saw complete surrender to Dependent Origination / Arising as providing the ultimate relief from the delusion of independence or separation from nature. But, complete surrender comes only to those who are fated or destined to enjoy such a state of understanding (people the Buddha referred to as awakened or enlightened). Short of complete surrender to Dependent Origination, the Buddha’s skillful teaching of karma (i.e., upaya) was the next best thing.
Stated somewhat differently, the concept of karma is a skillful tool to calm the mind to prepare it for full acceptance of the emptiness and fully dependent nature of ultimate reality. In the end, if we are blessed with seeming understanding, we get to enjoy the ride and the beautiful scenery, recognizing that we are not really driving the car, and the car, road and scenery do not exist outside the cosmic consciousness of which we are an indivisible part.
Perhaps, the way to reconcile Dependent Origination and Karma is to view Karma to accumulate simply by blowing with the wind.