ABC reports 400 wounded. I think it's a mistake.
Looking at video of the shooting, especially the footage without cuts... he fires off six long bursts of fire in the first four minutes of the attack, each lasting about ten seconds. Call it 6 to 10 rounds per second. So firing off a drum magazine from a fully automatic rifle like a modified AR-15. So call it 600 rounds in the first three minutes, by which point the place is in chaos and everyone is already running.
LVPD is saying that around 500 people were injured and 56 were killed... which would seem to suggest that this guy, from a range of like 300+ meters, fired off an automatic weapon under uncertain wind conditions spray-and-pray style, apparently with no real combat training or experience, and managed to achieve a better than 90% hit rate.
I'm not one to pitch conspiracy theories, but I'm not sure I buy this. Not doubting that you can get this kind of effect in total fish-in-a-barrel situations, it just doesn't seem probable you could get that kind of hit rate from that RANGE.
Also lots of video was taken from the concert even after the shooting started, but the only thing it shows is lots of people hearing the shots and then panicking. A number of people in the videos aren't even sure they're real gunshots; at least two of them thought somebody was messing with the PA, and another witness thought the shooting was nearby but not actually aimed at the concert.
So I feel like there something really weird about the reporting so far and we're missing a huge part of it. Maybe more of the injuries or even deaths were caused by the crowd panicking and trampling people than the actual gunfire? I'm ALMOST willing to buy the "second shooter" theory, as weird as that sounds.
Nine minutes. Geesh, you call that a catastrophe?! Take 9/11, now that was a complete disaster, believe me!
Don't know what you're getting at. All I'm saying it seems like a long time between end of firing and the cops getting in, assuming those are accurate facts.
Also, what was the gunman doing for an hour? Just waiting around? I'm no emergency authority, but it seems kinda weird to me.
What seems weird to me is the fact that he still had thousands of rounds of ammunition laying around at the time he shot himself. Doesn't seem to me like spraying bullets into a huge crowd of people naturally progresses to a "Welp... my work is done here!" moment where you just kind of give up and kill yourself. One would think that if you have gone so deep into the moral event horizon that you're in the process of committing a mass murder, you're probably only going to kill YOURSELF as a last resort to escape punishment. But with that kind of arsenal sitting on his lap, his not wanting to shoot it out with the SWAT team is probably the strangest thing we've been told about him so far.