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Dem Post Mortem

In 2008, the Republicans had left this country at the bottom of such a deep hole, across the board, the Democrats could have nominated a Mexican lesbian with AIDS in a wheelchair and won.
I have faith in Hillary. Had she won the 2008 primary, I am sure she'd still have found some way to fuck it up for Democrats.
I believe very differently.
I believe Godzillary would have stomped on the Teaparty and the obstructionists on Capitol Hill. Which would have saved us from Trump.
Tom
 
2024 was unique as well as inflation had reared it's ugly head after an absence of over a generation. I'm uncertain why Trump lost in 2020. I know why he should have lost.
I think 2020 was far more unique (I know "unique" is not technically comparable, but you know what I mean) than 2024, what with a once-in-a-century Pandemic.
Harris lost because of inflation.
It was a big reason. KH's flaws as a candidate were other big reasons, the lateness of Biden's decision and thus the compressed schedule also.
Then come things related to Trump. His popularity increased due to the ill-conceived hush money prosecution, and it increased again when he was shot in the ear.
Oh, and don't forget Michigan Muslims voting against Kamala because of Israel and LGBT issues.
The surprise in 2024 was less her loss and more how it mimicked Clinton's. There was a presumption that Clinton goofed in the Blue Wall states.
Hillary certainly did neglect the Blue Wall states.
Harris didn't make those same mistakes... and lost all the same.
She made other mistakes.
And with Harris being post Dobbs, it was even a larger surprise to see women literally (actually I suppose that is metaphorically) choose the wallet over the uterus in the General election, where as it appeared likewise in the Mid-terms.. Typically the Dems do better in the General than the mid-term. And more confusing still, the Dems held Senate seats in states Harris lost.
Kamala Harris was never particularly popular on the national stage. During her first run, she wasted her early advantages and fizzled out by December 2019. She was unpopular as vice president. She did enjoy a popularity spike after she was first nominated, but that was more of a falling coconut bounce.

Harris is repeatedly called an awful candidate, but for an awful candidate, it didn't give Trump any coat-tails for candidates to get across the line in the Senate races.
Nevertheless she fucked over Bob Casey, Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester.
But that Dem Senate candidates performed better than her across the board shows that she was not very popular herself.
 
I believe Godzillary would have stomped on the Teaparty and the obstructionists on Capitol Hill. Which would have saved us from Trump.
Tom
How would she do that? And what is your belief based on?
She had a bunch of advantages over Obama.
She was experienced in DC. She had clout and was a top predator in The Swamp. She had Slick Willy to back her up, help her plan stuff, and do her dirty work when necessary. They practically owned the DNC, far and away the most formidable power in the non-governmental world.

I regret not having supported her in 2008.
Tom
 
She had a bunch of advantages over Obama.
She was experienced in DC.
As a wife, not as an official. They both only spent a short time in the Senate, but Obama was considerably younger.
She had clout and was a top predator in The Swamp. She had Slick Willy to back her up, help her plan stuff, and do her dirty work when necessary.
So you are saying that President Clinton was not willing to help Obama out?
They practically owned the DNC, far and away the most formidable power in the non-governmental world.
And that was a problem. DNC tried to manipulate the 2016 primary and it backfired.
 
She had a bunch of advantages over Obama.
She was experienced in DC.
As a wife, not as an official. They both only spent a short time in the Senate, but Obama was considerably younger.
She had clout and was a top predator in The Swamp. She had Slick Willy to back her up, help her plan stuff, and do her dirty work when necessary.
So you are saying that President Clinton was not willing to help Obama out?
They practically owned the DNC, far and away the most formidable power in the non-governmental world.
And that was a problem. DNC tried to manipulate the 2016 primary and it backfired.
Your American history is pitiful.

She was in the White House for 8 years, and not just as Melania style arm candy. Then she won a Senate seat, in New York. She was super connected (she went to at least one of Trump's weddings) and knew where all the skeletons were and who was vulnerable to what. She was also an extremely ambitious politician.
Tom
 
Your American history is pitiful.
How so?
She was in the White House for 8 years, and not just as Melania style arm candy.
While Hillary is nobody's definition of "arm candy", she was still just the wife of a president. To count these eight years as some kind of political experience is ridiculous. That makes her no more qualified for presidency than Joachim Sauer for Chancellor of Germany.
Then she won a Senate seat, in New York.
And Obama won one in Illinois. Before that, he was in the Illinois state senate.
She was super connected (she went to at least one of Trump's weddings) and knew where all the skeletons were and who was vulnerable to what. She was also an extremely ambitious politician.
None of which shows that she would have been more effective in countering the Tea Party than Obama, or that she would have prevented the rise of Trump.
 
She had a bunch of advantages over Obama.
She was experienced in DC.
As a wife, not as an official. They both only spent a short time in the Senate, but Obama was considerably younger.
She had clout and was a top predator in The Swamp. She had Slick Willy to back her up, help her plan stuff, and do her dirty work when necessary.
So you are saying that President Clinton was not willing to help Obama out?
They practically owned the DNC, far and away the most formidable power in the non-governmental world.
And that was a problem. DNC tried to manipulate the 2016 primary and it backfired.
How was the 2016 primary rigged?
 
She had a bunch of advantages over Obama.
She was experienced in DC.
As a wife, not as an official. They both only spent a short time in the Senate, but Obama was considerably younger.
She had clout and was a top predator in The Swamp. She had Slick Willy to back her up, help her plan stuff, and do her dirty work when necessary.
So you are saying that President Clinton was not willing to help Obama out?
They practically owned the DNC, far and away the most formidable power in the non-governmental world.
And that was a problem. DNC tried to manipulate the 2016 primary and it backfired.
How was the 2016 primary rigged?
So, this one isn't entirely wrong.

There was, among the DNC, what amounted to a betrayal of progressive interests by failing to at least play a "fair" campaign against Sanders.

Instead things turned ugly, and a lot of bad blood spilled across the party over it.

This bad faith that Hillary displayed owing to her clear sense of entitlement to the nomination was a powerful message to progressives that their concerns would be disregarded and it really hurt Hillary.

The GOP successfully pitched her as an entitled legacy hire (despite the fact that Trump was, himself, groomed for his eventual use in politics), and so it felt, even as someone who voted for her, more like a chore than a blessing.

See also how Pelosi blocks progressives from being nominated to important positions.

Remember that when conservatives use a word like "rigged" it has a shifting meaning: when discussing Dems, it means anything including refusing debates and trying to prevent Bernie from having political capital.

When discussing elections, it's not even "rigging" when you literally prevent the votes from being accurately counted and have the courts give it to an unclear victor.
 
There was, among the DNC, what amounted to a betrayal of progressive interests by failing to at least play a "fair" campaign against Sanders.
This is bullshit.
Sanders never had much support amongst the Democrats because he isn't and wasn't a Democrat!
The Clintons allowed him to jump the fence mainly so her coronation was slightly less obvious. Also, I think she used him to float trial balloons about which leftist policies would get the most support, without taking responsibility for proposing them. But she won the primary without resorting to the "super delegates" because she had the solid backing so devoted they voted in the primary election.
Tom
 
Sanders never had much support amongst the Democrats because he isn't and wasn't a Democrat
How you define "Democrat" doesn't matter.

He had support from many people whose policies and platforms of interest deserved fair consideration before the public, and a wide variety of the public, no matter who you seem to think deserves to be considered a "Democrat" supported his policies under that name.

The fact that the establishment did not welcome in a progressive on an ostensibly level stage and participate in reasonable debate at a reasonable time where it could be seen by a reasonable portion of the populace, and that is exactly the reason Hillary was a tepid candidate, and the GOP sold that to the fucking hilt.
 
How you define "Democrat" doesn't matter.
Bernie Sanders didn't define himself as a Democrat until it was politically convenient and as soon as that ended he went back to defining himself as an Independent.
Tom
Maybe because democrats refused to classify themselves politically as folks whose concerns he represented as "important".

The fact is it's either run as one party or the other, and it's a perfectly valid thing to enter a party to swing it with your constituency.

The Democrats played dirty to maintain a status quo and this is the result. If you don't like that, if you deny it, you are free as you like to keep being wrong.
 
There was, among the DNC, what amounted to a betrayal of progressive interests by failing to at least play a "fair" campaign against Sanders.
This is bullshit.
Sanders never had much support amongst the Democrats because he isn't and wasn't a Democrat!
The Clintons allowed him to jump the fence mainly so her coronation was slightly less obvious. Also, I think she used him to float trial balloons about which leftist policies would get the most support, without taking responsibility for proposing them. But she won the primary without resorting to the "super delegates" because she had the solid backing so devoted they voted in the primary election.
Tom
Agree. She won the primary because she got more votes. Millions of more votes. I met both HRC and Bernie in person. I liked her more. She seemed more genuine to me. So i voted for her. There will never be a perfectly unbiased democratic (or republican for that matter) sytem to elect our candidates. I’m sorry that Bernie didn’t get as much support in the beginning as HRC did. He was the outsider in 2016. Obama was the outsider in 2008. He also was badly treated in the beginning; and yet over came all and won. Dems need to come together!
 
The Democrats played dirty to maintain a status quo and this is the result.
In what way?
You do realize that the DNC is a private corporation right? They are not a government agency or anything remotely like that.

Frankly, while I supported a ton of Sanders expressed plans (more than Hillary's platform), I was opposed to Sanders nomination. Not only was I sure that he'd get his butt kicked in the election by any of the stronger Republicans, but he'd also get Obamaed and not accomplish a damned thing. Hillary would have accomplished more of his agenda than he possibly could have done.
Tom
 
She won the primary because she got more votes.
She would have one the primary either way. By winning it and being shitty, in a way that ceded no political capital to progressive factions, she won the primary in a way that lost her the election.

It's not so hard to understand.
 
She won the primary because she got more votes.
She would have one the primary either way. By winning it and being shitty, in a way that ceded no political capital to progressive factions, she won the primary in a way that lost her the election.

It's not so hard to understand.
I don’t agree. Yes she lost some Bernie Bros on the east and west coasts. She lost the election when she lost out on moderates in the swing states.
 
The Democrats played dirty to maintain a status quo and this is the result.
In what way?
You do realize that the DNC is a private corporation right? They are not a government agency or anything remotely like that.

Frankly, while I supported a ton of Sanders expressed plans (more than Hillary's platform), I was opposed to Sanders nomination. Not only was I sure that he'd get his butt kicked in the election by any of the stronger Republicans, but he'd also get Obamaed and not accomplish a damned thing. Hillary would have accomplished more of his agenda than he possibly could have done.
Tom
Well, there was this:

Brazile: Leaking town hall topics to Clinton campaign ‘mistake I will forever regret’

Former Democratic National Committee interim chair Donna Brazile acknowledged sending town hall topics to Hillary Clinton’s campaign, calling it a “mistake I will forever regret.”

Brazile wrote in an essay for Time magazine that she shared potential topics for a CNN town hall with the Clinton campaign in her role as a Democratic operative and the DNC vice chair.
 
There was, among the DNC, what amounted to a betrayal of progressive interests by failing to at least play a "fair" campaign against Sanders.
This is bullshit.
Sanders never had much support amongst the Democrats because he isn't and wasn't a Democrat!
The Clintons allowed him to jump the fence mainly so her coronation was slightly less obvious. Also, I think she used him to float trial balloons about which leftist policies would get the most support, without taking responsibility for proposing them. But she won the primary without resorting to the "super delegates" because she had the solid backing so devoted they voted in the primary election.
Tom
Agree. She won the primary because she got more votes. Millions of more votes. I met both HRC and Bernie in person. I liked her more. She seemed more genuine to me. So i voted for her. There will never be a perfectly unbiased democratic (or republican for that matter) sytem to elect our candidates. I’m sorry that Bernie didn’t get as much support in the beginning as HRC did. He was the outsider in 2016. Obama was the outsider in 2008. He also was badly treated in the beginning; and yet over came all and won. Dems need to come together!
Bernie made a great candidate, he wouldn't have made a great President. Bernie was great to help tell the Democrat Party that the liberals are getting real tired of being ignored.
 
There was, among the DNC, what amounted to a betrayal of progressive interests by failing to at least play a "fair" campaign against Sanders.
This is bullshit.
Sanders never had much support amongst the Democrats because he isn't and wasn't a Democrat!
The Clintons allowed him to jump the fence mainly so her coronation was slightly less obvious. Also, I think she used him to float trial balloons about which leftist policies would get the most support, without taking responsibility for proposing them. But she won the primary without resorting to the "super delegates" because she had the solid backing so devoted they voted in the primary election.
Tom
Agree. She won the primary because she got more votes. Millions of more votes. I met both HRC and Bernie in person. I liked her more. She seemed more genuine to me. So i voted for her. There will never be a perfectly unbiased democratic (or republican for that matter) sytem to elect our candidates. I’m sorry that Bernie didn’t get as much support in the beginning as HRC did. He was the outsider in 2016. Obama was the outsider in 2008. He also was badly treated in the beginning; and yet over came all and won. Dems need to come together!
Bernie made a great candidate, he wouldn't have made a great President. Bernie was great to help tell the Democrat Party that the liberals are getting real tired of being ignored.
Not even "liberals", "progressives".

He was there to gain political capital among the progressive Dems, and the fact that the progressives were shut out drove them away from the polls, making for an L for the Democrats.

It was very clearly the "fuck you, it's gonna be 'business as usual'" message that cost the election when we had a huge 'outsider' candidate.

If course none of this would have been a problem with ranked choice voting but the two party system enforced by FPTP means that the only way to score political capital is to break into a party.

In fact claims that the parties are "private organizations" is complete bullshit, not that it is false but because it's bullshit, and not something ANYONE in a two party environment should accept: it means that one of two private groups you can't influence will be in control of you.

*Allowing* that to be private is fucking insane. Using it as an argument is fucking insane. It shouldn't exist in the first place and we shouldn't let it.

I just find it so idiotic that anyone would argue that conduct was acceptable and wasn't involved in why the election was lost.
 
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