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Democrats trying to unseat each other II

Jeff Coltin on Twitter: "Former Rep. Eliot Engel ..." / Twitter
Former Rep. Eliot Engel, was was unseated by Rep. Jamaal Bowman two year ago, just endorsed Bowman’s primary opponent Vedat Gashi, a Westchester County Legislator.

Former Rep. Nita Lowey, who used to represent part of the new NY-16, also went against the incumbent to back Gashi.

More on #NY16, where @LegislatorGashi and two other moderate Dems are challenging progressive Squad member @JamaalBowmanNY - who seems to have the upper hand.
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noting
Rep. Jamaal Bowman can’t please everyone in Congress, and moderate challengers see an opening - City & State New York - "In New York’s newly redrawn 16th Congressional District, the high-profile incumbent needs to convince a whiter, wealthier electorate to stick with a leftist."
While the first-term representative has raked in fairly widespread attention and pitched his support behind a slate of progressive policies since taking office, he’s facing challenges from three moderate Democrats who feel they are better suited to represent the newly redrawn 16th Congressional District. Westchester County legislators Vedat Gashi and Catherine Parker have touted what they say is their ability to bridge differences within the Democratic party and criticized Bowman for taking polarizing stances on some issues. Also running is Greater New York Chamber of Commerce CEO and “common sense” candidate Mark Jaffe.
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From back in 2020: ‘Dark Money’ Groups Back Engel Against Progressive Challenger Bowman – Sludge - "Two nonprofits, recently incorporated in Delaware, have spent $260,000 on ads and mailers backing Engel. The groups are not required to reveal their donors."
 
lpetrich said:
"Far left" - whatever that's supposed to mean.
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Well, Democracy Now/Amy Goodman is far left. And very anti-Israel too. Have you ever watched any of her videos?

It's hard to deny that AIPAC is willing to spend a LOT of money on elections. If Haley Stevens could recruit a more enthusiastic army of campaigners than Andy Levin, then I'd be willing to concede that AL lost in a fair fight to HS.
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How do you define a "fair fight"?

Let's say that some front for Hamas started spending oodles of money on candidates' campaigns. Would anyone like that?
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First of all, that would be a federal crime since Hamas is a designated terrorist organization. So the comparison is BS.

But are you telling me that Muslim organizations are not giving money to candidates of their choice?

So by Democratic-Party standards, HS is a bit on the conservative side and AL a bit on the liberal side.
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How does he compare to the Squad according to govtrack?
 
Derec said:
lpetrich said:
It's hard to deny that AIPAC is willing to spend a LOT of money on elections. If Haley Stevens could recruit a more enthusiastic army of campaigners than Andy Levin, then I'd be willing to concede that AL lost in a fair fight to HS.
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How do you define a "fair fight"?
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Derec, I did explain what I consider a fair fight.

Let's say that some front for Hamas started spending oodles of money on candidates' campaigns. Would anyone like that?
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First of all, that would be a federal crime since Hamas is a designated terrorist organization. So the comparison is BS.
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Derec, note that I wrote "front" for Hamas. It would not be Hamas itself but some dark-money PAC with money laundered from Hamas.

So by Democratic-Party standards, HS is a bit on the conservative side and AL a bit on the liberal side.
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How does he compare to the Squad according to govtrack?
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Derec, it is easy for you to do that research. Easy.
 
Some more election results.
  • CA-32: Shervin Aazami 3rd at 9% and Aarika Rhodes 5th at 5% with 93% reported
  • IL-07: Kina Collins 2nd at 45% with 92% reported
  • NJ-10: Imani Oakley 2nd at 10% with 78% reported
  • OR-05: Jamie McLeod-Skinner 1st at 57% with 83% reported
  • OR-06: Andrea Salinas 1st at 37% with 92% reported
  • TN-06: Odessa Kelly was unchallenged
  • WA-02: Jason Call 3rd at 15% with 81% reported
  • WA-03: Rebecca Parson 4th at 9% with 84% reported
  • WA-07: Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) 1st at 85% with 94% reported
  • WA-09: Stephanie Gallardo 3rd at 16% with 64% reported

Brand New Congress is now supporting Katie Porter of CA-47 and Becca Balint of VT-01 (the state's only House district). Kesha Ram Hinsdale withdrew from the latter race when she saw that she was not doing well and that she might split the progressive vote enough to allow a corporate Democrat to win.

Brand New Congress on Twitter: ". @ElectGallardo ran a bold, unapologetically antiwar, pro-labor campaign. While we are sorry she won't be joining Congress, #BNC is proud of the movement she built in #WA9. Thank you for stepping up to run, Stephanie, and for your continued fight for justice. (pic link)" / Twitter

Brand New Congress on Twitter: "#BNC proudly stood w/ @Andy_Levin, the fiercest labor champion in Congress. While losing his voice in the House is a blow, we are grateful for his work. Congressional staffers can unionize because of Andy. We know he will continue fighting for us & look forward to what comes next (pic link)" / Twitter

Brand New Congress on Twitter: "Dark money groups came after #BNC Rep. @RashidaTlaib, and she answered with a movement. Let this be a lesson to all the meddling hedge fund billionaires: Rashida's not going anywhere. Congratulations on your well-deserved victory to represent #MI12 Congresswoman Tlaib! (pic link)" / Twitter
 
Melanie D'Arrigo for NY03 on Twitter: "An individual can donate up to $2900 to a campaign.
A billionaire can start a Super PAC and funnel as much of their money as they want to help a candidate and get around that law.
This is corruption. Don't let a billionaire buy the #NY03 primary. ⬇️ (link)" / Twitter
noting
Mark Chiusano on Twitter: "Bankman-Fried super PAC spends half a million dollars for @JoshLafazan in CD3. TV and digital ads… (pic link)" / Twitter

Mark Chiusano on Twitter: "This was expected after a group run by Bankman-Fried's brother endorsed Lafazan. More on all that here: (link)" / Twitter

Mark Chiusano on Twitter: "Still waiting to see if the super PAC drops $$ behind Laura Gillen in the race for NY4. Gillen was also endorsed by the pandemic prep group.
A PAC spokesman says no ads there yet" / Twitter

Sam Bankman-Fried is trying again after losing in OR-06, it seems.

Then
Melanie D'Arrigo for NY03 on Twitter: "If we want to protect our democracy, we need to end the corruption undermining it.
✅ Overturn Citizens United
✅ Ban members of Congress from trading stocks
✅ End the government to lobbyist pipeline
✅ Publicly funded elections
✅ Term limits (link)" / Twitter
noting Corporate PAC Money is Bribery — Melanie D'Arrigo for U.S. Congress NY-03


Melanie D'Arrigo for NY03 on Twitter: "Conservatives run as right-wing Democrats in 🔵 districts because they can’t win as Republicans.
We need to protect our party and bring it back to its FDR roots.
Please chip in to make sure conservatives don’t steal the #NY03 Democratic primary. 👉🏻 (links)" / Twitter

Matthew Carroll on Twitter: "@JoshLafazan is not a Democrat. Vote for a real Democrat @DarrigoMelanie (pic link)" / Twitter
From the NY Daily News: "Nassau County legislator Josh Lafazan, endorsed by Suozzi last month, twice ran for office on the Conservative Party line and drew heat from Dems for backing a bill last year that would have allowed cops to sue protesters for harassing them while on duty."

He wants to run as a Democrat???
 
A cryptocurrency billionaire is spending big in New York congressional primaries - City & State New York - "Josh Lafazan and Francis Conole have been supported by the Protect Our Future super PAC, and Carlina Rivera could be next."

The group also endorses former Rep. Max Rose of NY-11, who is running again for his old district.

Camille Rivera 🦋 🇵🇷 on Twitter: "Right now, ..." / Twitter
Right now, everyone is focused on two CD races in New York: #NY10 & #NY12. We're ignoring a critical race: #NY03, where a Republican pretending to be a Democrat is being propped up by a crypto billionaire funding insurrectionists and seditionists. 1/7

.@DarrigoMelanie is the progressive, @NYWFP choice in this race. @JoshLafazan is proudly running on the Conservative line in #NY03, had a billionaire pay off his student loans during this cycle, and is now being funded by Sam Bankman-Fried - a crypto billionaire funding Rs.2/7

Right now, @DarrigoMelanie is statistically tied. It's a testament to her work ethic and charisma: she has flipped Republicans and Independents at the doors, yet we continue to overlook candidates like her who resonate with voters across Long Island, of all places. 3/7

Our democracy is in danger. Our rights - from the right to an abortion to the right to safety in schools - are under attack. And there's a chance that the person #NY03 sends to Congress will be a career politician bought out by the same interests attacking our rights. 4/7

.@JoshLafazan is dangerous for #NY03, and in this race, we can either choose him or an unbought, undeterred candidate willing to tackle the corruption that led to this mess. The choice should be clear - and donors and stakeholders need to take notice. 5/7

If @DarrigoMelanie raised a fifth of what Lafazan got from Sam Bankman-Fried, she would wipe the floor with everyone else in this race. But instead, half a million dollars in crypto spending could very well make up the difference. That's the danger we face. 6/7

If Democrats are serious about electing pro-choice, pro-gun safety, pro-healthcare candidates, they need to put their money where their mouth is and http://donatetomelanie.com. And everyone needs to pay attention to what's happening in #NY03 -
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Melanie D'Arrigo claimed that the New York Conservative Party celebrated the overturning of Roe vs. Wade. I fact-checked her statement, and I found that that was indeed the case.

Chairman Kassar’s weekly wrap up discusses Roe v Wade Overturned, Wednesday’s event with Mike Pence, Tuesday is the first vote for Lee Zeldin Day and SCOTUS strikes down NY’s Archaic Concealed Carry Gun Law. – CPNYS
Roe v. Wade Overturned!

“Roe v. Wade was a constitutionally flawed decision that never should have been issued.” And today it was overturned. The Conservative Party has been seeking this decision since the day it became the law, January 22, 1973. We applaud Justice Alito, Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Thomas, Justice Gorsuch, Justice Kavanaugh and Justice Coney Barrett who upheld the United States Constitution with today’s historic decision. Read my full statement here.
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noting
STATEMENT FROM NEW YORK STATE CONSERVATIVE PARTY CHAIRMAN GERARD KASSAR ON OVERTURNING OF ROE V. WADE – CPNYS
Brooklyn. NY – “Roe v. Wade was a constitutionally flawed decision that never should have been issued. Scholars have known that for decades. Today’s Supreme Court ruling simply returns abortion laws to state’s, which always should have maintained purview over this issue.

“Today’s decision is a great victory for those who value unborn life. It’s been 50 years in the making, and the New York State Conservative Party could not be more pleased.”
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MdA ought to hammer this issue hard. Make Josh Lafazan squirm about it.
 
Danielle Brecker on Twitter: "In the NY-3 debate tonight, only @DarrigoMelanie called to expand SCOTUS. For the second time in two days, male candidates for Congress say they support abortion rights but don’t back it up. Saying you support fundamental rights means fighting for change to protect those rights." / Twitter
noting
Empire State Indivisible on Twitter: "In the NY-3 Congressional Democratic Debate tonight ...
In the NY-3 Congressional Democratic Debate tonight only @DarrigoMelanie called to expand SCOTUS. The other candidates say they will fight for abortion rights but are unwilling to support expanding the court—the choice in NY-3 is clear, Melanie D’Arrigo! 1/

Tonight all candidates spoke about democracy reform but only @DarrigoMelanie demonstrated her commitment to fighting for campaign finance reform and called out the overwhelming influence of corporate pac money, saying that some “lawmakers work for lobbyists not the people”! 2/

Tonight Melanie said, “Change is possible!”

We know it! With the most endorsements and a broad coalition of support, @DarrigoMelanie is the only candidate that can deliver that change, excite NY-3 voters, and win in November — by fighting relentlessly for everyone! #LetsGo!
3/*
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As I write this, today's the day for primaries in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, Wisconsin.

In MN,
Ilhan Omar on Twitter: "The politics of joy has fueled our campaign.

Grateful for my sisters @AyannaPressley, @RashidaTlaib, and @CoriBush for joining me this weekend to help us get out the vote before my primary tomorrow.

We have ONE day to go! Find your polling place: (links)" / Twitter

One of the pictures showed a yellow dog. Does IO fear a primary challenge from it?

Big money once again pours into House races in Minnesota | MinnPost
Omar received about 92 percent of the nearly $252,000 in second quarter itemized donations from out-of-state donors. She also received about $88,000 in nonitemized donations.

Omar campaign spokesman Jeremy Slevin said the lawmaker is “proud to run a campaign powered by small-dollar, grassroots donors that does not take any corporate or PAC (political action committee) money.”

“She knows that organized people can always beat organized money,” Slevin said.

However, before Omar can face Republican opponent Davis, she must win the Democratic primary election on Aug. 9, in which she is challenged by former Minneapolis City Council member Don Samuels.

Samuels outraised Omar in fundraising in the second quarter, attracting about $594,000 to Omar’s $380,000. Samuels also ended the quarter with more money in his campaign account ($530,000,) than Omar ($460,000) and Davis ($228,000.) Unlike his rivals, Samuels received about 80% of his itemized donations from Minnesota residents.
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Cicely Davis is a Republican.
 
Shukri Abdullahi Abdirahman - Ballotpedia - she ran for the Republican nomination in MN-05, Ilhan Omar's district, but she withdrew. Like IO, she is a female Muslim Somali refugee, but her attempt at the MCC gambit failed. MCC ran against AOC in 2020, a female Caribbean Hispanic just like AOC.

IO herself is barely winning against challenger Don Samuels. At 85% of the vote, 50.5% - 48.0% - others 0.6%, 0.5%, 0.4%

Of the progressive candidates,
  • WA-02: Jason Call 3rd, 14.5%
  • WA-06: Rebecca Parson 4th, 9.4%
  • WA-07: Pramila Jayapal 1st, 84.9%
  • WA-09: Stephanie Gallardo 3rd, 15.8%
It looks like Becca Balint is winning in Vermont, along with Peter Welch, the state's Rep who decided to succeed longtime Senator Patrick Leahy. Their govtrack.us ideology scores: PW 0.29, PL 0.23.

In Wisconsin, Mandela Barnes is winning by a large margin, because his major Democratic competitors dropped out. He will be up against Ron Johnson for his Senate seat.
 
Minnesota almost gave Omar the boot. The least impressive of the new prog Representatives. Definitely could stand with her not in the House. She seems too much an empty left-wing populist, the bad type of left-wing populist, not the Sanders type.
 
 
Vermont:
House: Becca Balint 60.6%, Molly Gray 37.0%, others 1.6%, 0.9%
Senate: Peter Welch 87.4%, others 7.3%, 5.3%

Wisconsin:
Senate: Mandela Barnes 77.8%, others 8.9%, 8.1%

We are approaching the end of the primary season, and a state with big-name progressives is coming up: New York, with elections on August 23.

In NY-14, New York's 14th Congressional District - Ballotpedia "The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 14."
A certain Edgardo Marrero was running against her, but withdrew.

Joe Crowley, unseated by AOC, seems content with his lobbying-firm job.

  • NY-03: Melanie D'Arrigo is up against a one-time Conservative who is backed by crypto billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried
  • NY-10: NIne candidates, including NY-17 refugee Mondaire Jones and Yuh-Line Niou
  • NY-11: Brittany Ramos DeBarros is up against former incumbent Max Rose
  • NY-12: The last Democratic Thunderdome primary: incumbents Jerrold Nadler vs. Carolyn Maloney. Indiana Catfish Suraj Patel is trying again
  • NY-14: AOC is unopposed
  • NY-16: Jamaal Bowman is up against Vedat Gashi, supported by former Reps. Eliot Engel and Nita Lowey (JB unseated EE in 2020)
  • NY-17: Sean Patrick Maloney decided to move there form NY-18, and incumbent Mondaire Jones fled to NY-10. Progressive State Senator Alessandra Biaggi originally ran in NY-03, and is now running there.

In Florida on that day, in FL-20, Dale Holness is challenging Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick again. He barely lost in the primary election last year.

On September 6, in MA-07 in Massachusetts, Ayanna Pressley will be running unopposed, as she did in 2020.
 
Valley News - The Democratic primary for Vermont’s US House seat was expected to be close. It wasn’t. Why?
Lt. Gov. Molly Gray:
“Do they want to send the next member of ‘the Squad’ or the Congressional Progressive Caucus to Washington? The next Bernie Sanders?” Gray said in an interview with NECN and NBC10 Boston. “Or do they want to send the next Pat Leahy or Peter Welch? Someone who’s a pragmatic Democrat, who has a track record of working across the aisle?”
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Despite being endorsed by retiring Senator Patrick Leahy, she was 20 points behind Becca Balint, endorsed by Bernie Sanders.

A lot of people voted for BB because of her personality:
Balint seemed “trustworthy,” Hultquist said, and “pretty much like a down-to-earth, comfortable but very smart person.”

“A lot of people gave the same type of answers. But I guess the way they gave it and the examples they used is why I picked people like (Balint),” she said.

Liz Bankowski, who managed former Gov. Madeleine Kunin’s historic race in 1984, said it was not only Balint’s “grasp of the issues” but also her “incredible emotional intelligence about people and her ability to connect” that made her a good candidate.

“Authenticity carries candidates through no matter who they are and what race they’re in,” said Bankowski, who supported Balint in this race. “Sometimes we think voters don’t know that. But they do know that.”
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But BB had plenty of achievements in the VT state legislature.
“It’s got to have a little bit more to it than that,” Bankowski said. Balint, on the other hand, had easily legible accomplishments in Montpelier as a legislative leader who worked on major bills.

Patty Greenfield, 67, a retired preschool teacher, said she cast her ballot for Balint in part because of how thin Gray’s resume sounded.

“I think she’s worked hard to get where she is, and I think Molly tried to tilt her experience to make it sound like she’s a better candidate and more experienced,” she said outside the polls in Williston on Tuesday.
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Then talking about BB's campaign momentum.
 
"Primaries are often won and lost based on a candidate’s ground game. And Balint’s canvassing effort was also widely lauded."

BB: over 1,000,000 attempts to reach voters, speaking directly to 75,000 voters, knocking on 10,000 doors on the weekend before.

MG: 300,000 attempts to reach voters, knocking on 5,000 doors.
Balint’s campaign also eschewed honk-and-waves, a highly visible part of Gray’s strategy in the homestretch of the race.

“It feels good for local candidates to go and wave at traffic and get people to honk and give a thumbs up,” Barnes said. “But that doesn’t help people make a vote plan. It doesn’t engage in any persuasive messaging. And you can’t guarantee that the people driving down Shelburne Road at 5 p.m. on a Tuesday are your target voters. So, yeah — no more honk-and-waves is my message to any candidate I talk to.”
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Also,
Alex MacLean, a top campaign adviser to Gray, who also ran former Gov. Peter Shumlin’s winning campaign in 2010 and 2012, believes that the lieutenant governor picked the wrong message.

“I think that the Vermont electorate showed that they want progressive leadership,” she said. But she also argued that the $1.6 million in outside spending that poured into the race in the final month of the campaign from LGBTQ+ and progressive political action committees to support Balint played a role.

“That put Becca’s message … in Vermonters’ mailboxes, on their TVs, on their radios — and repetition like that works,” she said. MacLean doesn’t necessarily think that’s what won the election for Balint, but she believes it contributed to the margin by which she won.
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Ilhan Omar’s Narrow Primary Win Should be a Wake-Up Call for the Left - YouTube - Mike Figueredo in The Humanist Report

Discussing IO's squeaker of a primary victory, and noting the deficiencies in her campaign, like her lack of TV ads. Let's hope that Jamaal Bowman pays attention, along with Brittany Ramos DeBarros, Melanie D'Arrigo, and Alessandra Biaggi.

Opinion | In New York’s Democratic Primary Races for Congress, The Times Endorses Jerrold Nadler, Sean Maloney and Dan Goldman - The New York Times
New York’s chaotic primary elections for Congress, which will be held on Aug. 23, are the outcome of Democrats in Albany having tried to do an end run around the state Constitution’s ban on partisan gerrymandering. The courts smacked them down for that, and a hurried and confusing race to represent 20 million New Yorkers is now the result.
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  • NY-10: Dan Goldman
  • NY-12: Jerrold Nadler
  • NY-17: Sean Patrick Maloney
NYT editorial board endorses Nadler, Maloney and Goldman in contentious primaries | The Hill

Why Jerrold Nadler?
The editorial board endorsed Nadler over Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.), who is also vying for the 12th Congressional District seat after the state implemented new congressional maps this year that created several member-on-member primaries.

The newspaper cited Nadler’s vote against the Patriot Act and the Iraq War in addition to his support for the 2015 Iran nuclear deal among the reasons it supports him. It noted that Maloney did not support the 2015 deal but supported the Patriot Act and Iraq War.

“Ms. Maloney was also first elected to Congress in 1992, and she has also served her district well. Her efforts to curb predatory credit card practices resulted in important protections for consumers, and perhaps her most significant contribution is tireless work on behalf of survivors of Sept. 11 who became ill with conditions related to the attacks. Ms. Maloney, however, has a troubling history of promoting false information linking vaccines to autism,” the editorial board said.
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I'd find it hard to choose between those incumbents, and I don't trust the Indiana Catfish.
 
Maloney, the chairman of the House Democratic campaign arm, notched another win earlier this week when former President Clinton announced his endorsement.

Meanwhile, Biaggi has received the endorsement of several prominent progressive Democrats and groups, including Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and the Working Families Party.

Still, the editorial board noted that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s (DCCC) involvement in efforts to boost a Trump-backed candidate in a Michigan primary who was running against Rep. Peter Meijer, one of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach the former president, gave it “pause.”
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Pause? I find it sleazy and disgraceful.

Meanwhile, the editorial board also endorsed Goldman over Rep. Mondaire Jones (D-N.Y.) in the 10th Congressional District. Jones, who serves in the 17th Congressional District, opted to run in the 10th in an effort to avoid a messy incumbent-on-incumbent primary against Maloney.

“Those who have worked with Mr. Goldman behind the scenes describe him as diligent and prepared and a person of integrity. Thanks to his work on the impeachment trial, he already has close working relationships in Washington — an advantage that should help him deliver on the issues most important to New Yorkers, even as a new member of Congress. That includes abortion rights, which he has made clear he will passionately defend,” the editorial board wrote.
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He worked on the first impeachment trial of Donald Trump.
 
Not much of interest for this thread in these elections. Rep. Kai Kahele ran for governor and lost in the primary, placing 3rd and getting 15%, despite being endorsed by AOC. In HI-01, Sergio Alcubilla got only 16.8% against incumbent Ed Case, a moderate-to-conservative Democrat. In HI-02, Tulsi Gabbard isn't running again, and that seat was vacated by Kai Kahele so he could run for governor.


But there are some big-name primaries in NY and FL whose elections are today. To assess how the races might be doing, I checked on candidate spending, courtesy of opensecrets.org and fec.gov and compare those races to some previous races. These sites have

In FL-20 in Florida, Dale Holness is running again against Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, but those sites don't clearly distinguish this election from last year's election.

Previous:
  • MI-12 Rashida Tlaib 63.8% $2,827K, Janice Winfrey 22.4% $327K
  • MN-05 Ilhan Omar 50.3% $2,390K, Don Samuels 48.2% $1,069K
  • MO-01 Cori Bush 69.5% $1,813K, Steve Roberts 26.6% $436K
All three incumbents won, but IO's victory was a squeaker.

These ones:
  • NY-03: Josh Lafazan $1,634K, Robert Zimmerman $1,431K, Jon Kaiman $644K, Melanie D'Arrigo $392K
  • NY-10: Mondaire Jones $3,567K, Dan Goldman $3,442, Carlina Rivera $637K, Yuh-Line Niou $428K
  • NY-11: Max Rose $2,807K, Brittany Ramos DeBarros $717K
  • NY-12: Carolyn Maloney $4,013K, Jerry Nadler $1,889K, Suraj Patel $1,307K
  • NY-16: Jamaal Bowman $1,554K, Vedat Gashi $838K
  • NY-17: Sean Patrick Maloney $4,014K, Alessandra Biaggi $807K

New York District 12 Poll: Nadler Extends Lead Over Maloney and Patel in NY-12 Primary - Emerson Polling
  • Cand - May, Aug 5, Aug 18
  • JN - 21%, 40%, 43%
  • CM - 31%, 31%, 24%
  • SP - 4%, 11%, 14%
New York District 10 Primary Poll: Goldman Leads Pack While Niou, Rivera, and Jones Remain Top-Tier Contenders - Emerson Polling
The final Emerson College Polling/Pix11/The Hill survey of Democratic primary voters in New York’s 10th Congressional District finds attorney Daniel Goldman leading the crowded field with 22%, followed by Assembly Member Yuh Line Niou at 17%; NYC City Councilmember Carlina Rivera and Congressman Mondaire Jones receive 13% respectively. Seventeen percent remain undecided. When undecided voters are asked who they are leaning towards and their support is allocated, Goldman increases his support to 24%, Niou to 18%, Jones to 17%, and Rivera to 15%.
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Elizabeth Holtzman gets only 4%.

I recall from somewhere that in a poll of NY-03, Melanie D'Arrigo and Josh Lafazan are neck-and-neck.
 
For NY-03, back in June 30:
Jon Kaiman on Twitter: "NEWSDAY: KAIMAN LEADS IN NY-03
I'm purportedly tied for first place in my opponent's poll.
With your support, we will win this election and keep #NY03 blue.
DONATE BEFORE TONIGHT'S MIDNIGHT REPORTING DEADLINE TO POWER US TO VICTORY!
(links)" / Twitter
and
Anthony on Twitter: "@Kaiman4Congress From the newsday story: “Zimmerman also had the biggest jump in the survey results after the poll provided positive descriptions of each candidate” @ZimmermanforNY" / Twitter

Robert Zimmerman for Congress on Twitter: "The most recent poll shows that our campaign is in the lead and well positioned to win on August 23rd. Help us keep our momentum as we head into the final days of the Primary. Every $ makes a difference. #NY03 ➡️ (links)" / Twitter
Robert Zimmerman has internal polling results in the Democratic primary for the 3rd Congressional District that show him at 17%, with Jon Kaiman at 13%, Melanie D'Arrigo at 12%, Josh Lafazan at 10%, and Reema Rasool at 1%. The poll shows the race is up for grabs.

...
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the findings look significantly different from the survey snapshot that rival Lafazan released to The Point last month, which described the Nassau legislator as neck-and-neck against Kaiman, with 20% each, and set Zimmerman further back in the pack at 10%. In that survey, released nearly a month ago, only 43% of those polled were said to be undecided.
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Let's see if Melanie d'Arrigo can do a come-from-behind victory.
 
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