Democrats trying to unseat each other

[lpetrich]

Leftwing Texan inspired by Ocasio-Cortez in bid to upset top Republican | US news | The Guardian - Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez

Originally from Ohio, Tzintzún Ramirez has called Texas home since 2000. One of her first roles in politics was organizing Latino immigrant workers. She eventually served as executive director of the Workers Defense Project, which provided aid and representation to construction workers.

This is the first attempt at running for office for Tzintzún Ramirez, a working mom who hopes to articulate what it means to be a progressive and deliver real change for marginalized communities in Texas and the US.

AOC's success inspired her, and she appreciates AOC's endorsement of her.

Tzintzún Ramirez shares a similar origin story with Ocasio-Cortez. The child of an immigrant, and an underdog in an important race, she is no stranger to difficult odds, having fought for construction workers and immigrants through organizations she founded like the Austin Immigrant Rights Coalition (AIRC) and the Better Builder Program.

AOC reminds us that it's not just Presidential primaries that are today, but also some Congressional ones.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "On top of the presidential race, there’s a whole lot of Congressional seats up today too!
Hit the phones for @JCisnerosTX today https://t.co/G4VLQN7CCm" / Twitter
noting
Alexandra Rojas on Twitter: "Y'all we have just surpassed 190k calls on the dialer for @JCisnerosTX. WE NEED ALL HANDS ON DECK - we have 8 hours until the polls close at 7pm CT. Hop on the dialer and ask a few friends to join you here: https://t.co/BgDgyP4UJm" / Twitter
Alexandra Rojas is in Justice Democrats.

 

[lpetrich]

Super Tuesday is done, and it's disappointing for the would-be unseaters.

In CA-25, Cenk Uygur got only 1/6 of the vote that Christy Smith got. She is a CA state legislator favored by Katie Hill.

In CA-12, Shahid Buttar got only 1/6 of the vote that Nancy Pelosi got. But he finished second, and the two will be going head-to-head in the main election. Agatha Bacelar got only 1.4% of the vote. Some people have been documenting AB's run in "Knock Down The House" fashion, and it will be interesting to see what becomes of that.

For Texas Senate, M.J. Hegar won, with about 22.5% of the vote (99% precincts counted). AOC-backed candidate Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez was third with 13.7% of the vote, though she's just behind Royce West with 13.9% of the vote. So it will be one of those two against M.J. Hegar in a runoff. Another progressive candidate, Sema Hernandez, got 7.9% of the vote.

In the House, a BNC-backed candidate, Michael Siegel (TX-10) advanced to a runoff and another one, Adrienne Bell (TX-14) became the Democratic candidate.

But a progressive candidate with a lot of backing, Jessica Cisneros (TX-28), barely lost, 48.2% to incumbent Henry Cuellar's 51.8%.

There will be a similar chance two weeks from now, when Marie Newman (IL-03) is up against Dan Lipinski.

 

[Trausti]

Super Tuesday showed that the Dem establishment is not interested in the lefty progressives. They should start their own party. Call it the CPUSA or something.

 

[lpetrich]

Super Tuesday showed that the Dem establishment is not interested in the lefty progressives. They should start their own party. Call it the CPUSA or something.

Trausti, is that what you said about the Tea Partiers? That if they don't like the Republican leadership, that they should start their own party.

I think that they understand Duverger's Law well enough to know that starting a separate party is a recipe for political impotence and irrelevance. Brand New Congress's founders certainly did. They wanted to set up a European-style political party, but the only way that they could do so and be viable in US politics was to run their candidates inside the two existing parties. They originally planned to run candidates in both the Democratic and Republican Parties, and as appropriate, Independents. They originally wanted 400 candidates, but they settled on 30, all Democrats except for 1 Republican and 1 Independent. Of these, about 10 won primaries, and only one won a main election -- AOC.

This time around, BNC is running 40 candidates, all Democrats.

 

[lpetrich]

AOC-aligned progressive candidates fall flat in Super Tuesday contests | Fox News

Jessica Cisneros on Twitter: "I’m so grateful for my community and our dreams. This is the beginning. #TX28 https://t.co/OM7aSGHEU2" / Twitter - she talked about building a movement.

Ben Wermund on Twitter: ".@JCisnerosTX to speak at 10:30, campaign says. "After raising a record-breaking $2 million dollars in mostly small-dollar contributions and providing hope to tens of thousands of South Texans by coming within a slim margin of defeating 15-year incumbent @RepCuellar" #TX28" / Twitter

Cuellar edges out liberal challenger in Texas - POLITICO

Cisneros conceded Wednesday morning but struck a defiant tone, saying her race was proof "a brown girl from the border with a whole community behind her could take on the machine."

"This is just the beginning," she said in a statement. "The first thing we had to defeat was the culture of fear — and our movement was victorious in proving we're within striking distance of bringing fundamental change to South Texas.”

...
"As someone who was also outspent 10 to 1, she can absolutely pull it off. But if she doesn't pull it off, I don't think we've seen the last of her," Ocasio-Cortez said in an interview shortly before the election.

...
Her near-miss is likely to embolden a score of liberal primary challengers hoping to take out House Democrats, including two later this month. In Illinois, Democrat Marie Newman is making another run at Rep. Dan Lipinski who, like Cuellar, also opposes abortion rights. And in Ohio, Rep. Joyce Beatty faces a stiff challenge from consumer advocate Morgan Harper.

 

[lpetrich]

Doyle Canning for Congress OR-04 on Twitter: "“For one of us to get through, a hundred of us have to try.” - @AOC
keep going. https://t.co/8f14uEG0oF" / Twitter
- from "Knock Down The House" after Amy Vilela's defeat. Cori Bush and Paula Jean Swearengin were also defeated.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "I am so incredibly proud of Jessica Cisneros.
At 26 years old, she ran for office for the first time to offer TX28 new leadership that fights for workers, gender rights,& a climate agenda.
She stood up to Koch brother money & incumbency, & she came closer than anyone imagined. https://t.co/3NiBVMfDrf" / Twitter
noting
Jessica Cisneros on Twitter: "This fight was an opportunity to prove that a brown girl from the border with a whole community behind her could take on the machine and bring hope to South Texans.
This is just the beginning in #TX28. https://t.co/E3b4um8zKd" / Twitter

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "Also incredibly proud of Georgette Gomez, who cleared the way in #CA53 and is now on the ballot for November.
@SDGeorgette is a progressive history-maker who fought Trump’s wall right in San Diego, and would be the first Queer Latina in Congress. * https://t.co/AlkMZWT7JY" / Twitter
noting
BoldProgressives.org on Twitter: "Congratulations to bold progressive @SDGeorgette! https://t.co/ZzCyslcxwR" / Twitter
noting
Georgette Gómez Advances to General in Heated California Race

San Diego City Council President Georgette Gómez will face off against former Hillary Clinton adviser Sara Jacobs in the race to replace Democratic Rep. Susan Davis in California’s 53rd District in November. Gómez has been endorsed by the most prominent progressive politics and groups in the country, while Jacobs has the backing of members of the centrist wing of the Democratic Party.

Despite being members of the same party, both Gómez and Jacobs will appear on the November ballot under California’s top-two primary system, which allows the top-two vote getters to advance to the general election, even if they belong to the same party. On Tuesday, Jacobs came in first with 29.5 percent of the vote, followed by Gómez with 18.6 percent.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "Lastly, my heart is also full at the candidacy of @cristinafortx whose race is currently too close to call in the runoff for TX Senate.
These women come from backgrounds that typically make running for office inaccessible. They are holding their own & building progressive power. https://t.co/LgbLQT7xpK" / Twitter
noting
Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez on Twitter: "Our democracy was founded on a radical proposition: that ordinary people could come together and decide who should represent them.
I value the input of every single Texas voter, so we will wait until every vote is counted before we declare the results of this race." / Twitter

Still close between CTR and Royce West.

 

[lpetrich]

Cenk Uygur Reflects on His Congressional Campaign - YouTube - he ran in CA-25 and he lost big in the Democratic primary - only about 1/6 of the votes of the winner, Christy Smith.

CU stands by calling CS corrupted by big money, and ask why he supports CS, he said that it isn't as if her Republican opponent isn't as least as corrupted by big money. Mike Garcia called former Rep Stephen Knight a Never Trumper, though SK voted with Trump about 99% of the time.

Then they talked about CS trying to get him to quit running, and Ana Kasparian considered CS just as bad as the Republican, MG. CU nevertheless supports voting for her, even if not campaigning for her or financing her campaign. Then the two talked about how CS's snout is in the trough of big corporate money.

CU suspects in the end that he lost from lack of name recognition. That means that Marie Newman may have a better chance this time around. In 2018, she lost 48.9% - 51.1%

Upcoming:

• Mar 17: Marie Newman, IL-03 _ Anthony Clark, IL-07 _ Robert Emmons Jr., IL-01
• Apr 28: Mckayla Wilkes, MD-05
• May 12: Kara Eastman, NE-02 _ Paula Jean Swearengin WV-SEN
• May 19: Michael C. Owens, GA-13 _ Doyle Canning, OR-04 _ Mark Gamba, OR-05 _ Albert Lee, OR-03
• Jun 2: Teresa Leger Fernandez, NM-03 _ Zina Spezakis, NJ-09
• Jun 23, Samelys Lopez, NY-15 _ AOC, NY-14 _ Lauren Ashcraft, Peter Harrison, NY-12 _ Isiah James, Adem Bunkeddeko, NY-09 _ Shaniyat Chowdhury, NY-05 _ Melanie D'Arrigo, NY-03 _ Jamaal Bowman, NY-16 _ Melquiades Gagarin, NY-06
• Aug 4: Cori Bush, MO-01 _ Eva Putzova, AZ-01 _ Rebecca Parson, WA-06
• Aug 18: Michael Hepburn, FL-27 _ Jen Perelman, FL-23
• Sep 1: Ihssane Leckey, MA-04 _ Alex Morse, MA-01

 

[lpetrich]

AOC linked to this tweet, and I've turned the tweet thread into something easier to read.
Saeed Jones on Twitter: "As someone who grew up with a single parent ..." / Twitter

As someone who grew up with a single parent, living paycheck to paycheck, I can feel the anxiety and stress taking hold of families across the country right now. This crisis has laid bare the brutality of American life as we know it.

As I’ve been taking the news in, I’ve been thinking about the importance of down-ballot races. We are seeing in real time how important it is to have public servants in our communities who will fight for us, be there for us, and lead us forward. That’s why I’m endorsing @mh4oh.

It’s no secret I’m proud to call Columbus home. But there are challenges too. I’m deeply concerned about police brutality as well as the impact of gentrification on the city’s longtime residents. I believe @mh4oh will work to make sure we ALL get to be proud of our home.

I’ve talked with @mh4oh in her home and office a LOT over the last few months. She’s a real one and understands that the system as it is ain’t working for most of us. I believe in her dreams for the 3rd District. I believe we deserve to have a leader like her in office.

I hope you will translate the anxiety we’re all processing right now into a renewed and urgent focus on down ballot races in your state. This is how we can fight for our lives; this is how we can save ourselves and each other. We aren’t helpless. Let’s take action together.

@mh4oh is Morgan Harper, a progressive candidate in OH-03. Her primary election is on Mar 17.

 

[lpetrich]

Jessica Cisneros on Twitter: "Fun fact: our campaign was run by & powered by women under 30.
Together, our scrappy team struck fear into the political machine, raised $2 million, & fell short of defeating a 15-yr incumbent by less than 3k votes.
Don’t let anyone tell you young women can’t.
Happy #IWD2020. https://t.co/pehgenz4ao" / Twitter
Seems like she may be back in 2022.

 

[lpetrich]

AOC's Courage to Change PAC has run two candidates, against right-wing incumbent Democrats. Of these, Jessica Cisneros (TX-28) lost by a narrow margin to Henry Cuellar, 48.2% - 51.8%, but it looks like Marie Newman (IL-03) has won against Dan Lipinski, 47% - 45%. It's close enough for DL to request a recount, so I don't want to celebrate too fast.

In Texas, Cristina Tzintzun Ramirez (TX-SEN) is in third place, so she won't advance to the runoff. But Donna Imam (TX-31), another progressive candidate, is in second place, and she did advance. Texas will have a runoff election on May 26, so DI may become the Democratic candidate for her district.

TX-SEN: MJ Hegar: 22.3%, Royce West: 14.5%, CTR: 13.2%, Anna Garcia: 10.3%
TX-31: Christine Mann: 34.7%, Donna Imam: 30.7%, Tammy Young: 14.3%, Michael Grimes: 10.8%, Eric Hanke: 5.9%, Dan Janjigian: 3.5%

CA-12: Nancy Pelosi (D) 74.2%, Shahid Buttar (D) 12.7%, John Dennis (R) 8.0%, Tom Gallagher (D) 1.8%, Deanna Lorraine (R) 1.8%, Agatha Bacelar (D) 1.4%
CA-53: Sara Jacobs (D) 29.3%, Georgette Gomez (D) 20.3%, Chris Stoddard (R) 13.6%, Janessa Goldbeck (D) 8.4% ...

 

[lpetrich]

Agatha for Congress

My name is Agatha Bacelar and I’m a progressive Democrat running for U.S. Congress in San Francisco–challenging Nancy Pelosi. I’m a Brazilian-American immigrant, Stanford engineer, and social justice advocate, part of a new generation of leaders determined to remove corporate influence from politics and make Congress more representative of everyday people.

Her platform: Green New Deal, Medicare for All, Housing for All, Universal Basic Income, Immigrant and Racial Justice, Strengthening Democracy.

Agatha Bacelar (@AgathaBacelar) / Twitter Though she lost rather badly, she congratulated Shahid Buttar on finishing second. He'll be up against NP in November.

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "A filmmaker has been following our campaign, documenting speeches, events, textbanking nights, even canvassing w/ us.
It was my role as a documentary filmmaker for a social justice organization that brought me close to the human costs of our systemic ills. https://t.co/QYdcDNlqDM" / Twitter
then
Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "During my time in documentary filmmaking I thought often of Bryan Stevenson's philosophy, that when we take steps to be proximate to the excluded and the disfavored, “you learn things that you need to understand if we’re going to change the world.” https://t.co/8MOlCEWGYB" / Twitter
then
Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "From behind my lens, I got to know inspiring change-makers, but I also witnessed a great deal of unnecessary suffering and injustice caused by the policies written by establishment politicians. https://t.co/Sg55s9Z3Cb" / Twitter
then
Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "The crises my generation has inherited — climate change, mass gun violence, unaffordable housing & healthcare — have been brewing for decades.
The people that got us here will not lead us out; addressing these challenges will take new leadership. https://t.co/A3pTg24ahv" / Twitter
then
What’s a documentary filmmaker doing running for Congress?

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "I ran for Congress and lost. Here are my thoughts on taking risks and fighting for what you believe in. https://t.co/b0J3w9Y0cW" / Twitter
then
If Your Dreams Do Not Scare You, They Are Not Big Enough

I hope my candidacy inspires others to do more, stand up for what they believe in, and reach for the things they might be holding back on — even if they don’t succeed the first time. I learned a lot from running for office. Most importantly, I learned how to be courageous and fearful at the same time. If any one is thinking about running for office or doing something audacious, please reach out to me. I’d love to help you.

...
Thank you to everyone who contributed to our campaign with your donations, time, enthusiasm, and creative talents. Your belief in me has truly been the honor of my life.

I have received an outpouring of messages from friends, new acquaintances, and people I’ve never met. Thank you for your kind words. I’m sharing some of them below.

Now let’s go out, organize, and build the future we want to live in.

In solidarity,
Agatha Bacelar

She also recalled watching a screening of "Knock Down The House", where the audience cheered AOC, CB, PJS, and AV, and hissed AOC's opponent Joe Crowley.

 

[lpetrich]

Back to AB, Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: ""Voter turnout is low because we live in a country where Columbus Day is a holiday and Election Day isn't." [MENTION=307]Deb[/MENTION]racleaver" / Twitter

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "I voted for @BernieSanders and am proud of it.
The Democratic establishment has no idea how many young people they’ve alienated over the past two weeks.
It’s heartbreaking, uninspiring, and reveals how entrenched our problems are. https://t.co/wAILI9OCoD" / Twitter
then
Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "I voted for Bernie at home in CA before Super Tuesday. We have the option of voting early and by mail here.
I will vote for whomever the Democratic nominee is in November but am disappointed so many presidential candidates (including Yang) endorsed Biden in quick succession." / Twitter

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: ""As a feminist, I have long been an advocate of ranked-choice voting. Cities where ranked-choice voting has been implemented are twice as likely to have a female mayor, and the council is more likely to be gender and racially diverse." @erinvilardi https://t.co/8wuDx9a9cB" / Twitter
I agree. Much better.
Opinion | Rethinking the Primary System - The New York Times

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: ""The two great gifts I got in my life were the love of my parents and a great education.
I’d like to figure out how a lot more people get that." @sama on how a #UBI would be transformative for unlocking human potential (and is the right thing to do) https://t.co/aMgkmAWNk4" / Twitter

Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "I'ts not the ending we hoped for. It was by any measure a Sisyphean challenge...and worth every minute. My deep gratitude to all who contributed to our campaign; your support has been the honor of my life.
Let’s go out, organize, and build the future we want to live in. https://t.co/9e3EPSvhuW" / Twitter
then
Agatha Bacelar on Twitter: "I hope everyone will join me in congratulating @ShahidForChange - his team ran a robust campaign and I applaud his well-deserved second place finish. I am genuinely excited to see a fiery progressive advance to the CA-12 general election! https://t.co/qqkV0OHqx2" / Twitter

Shahid Buttar For Congress 2020 - Resistance for Real

 

[Derec]

My name is Agatha Bacelar and I’m a progressive Democrat running for U.S. Congress in San Francisco–challenging Nancy Pelosi. I’m a Brazilian-American immigrant, Stanford engineer,

What kind of engineer? Her bio lists her as working at "Democracy Earth" a nutty think tank or something advocating ideas such as "quadratic voting".

make Congress more representative of everyday people.

She thinks she is "everyday people"?

Agatha Bacelar (@AgathaBacelar) / Twitter Though she lost rather badly, she congratulated Shahid Buttar on finishing second. He'll be up against NP in November.

Well then, mentioning her was a waste of time.
Btw, "shahid" is what Islamic jihadists call their dead terrorists.

So what's the deal with this buttery martyr? On the AOC scale, how nutty is he? For comparison, I give Sibling Agatha about 2.3 occasios.

It was my role as a documentary filmmaker for a social justice organization

I thought she was supposed to be an engineer? Not an efficient use of Stanford engineering degree to make little films for some SJWs.

In solidarity,
Agatha Bacelar

Solidarity, sibling!

Shahid Buttar For Congress 2020 - Resistance for Real

Resistance is always real. It's reactance that is the imaginary part.

 

[lpetrich]

Lots of celebration of Marie Newman's victory. Her site: Marie Newman for Congress

Marie Newman on Twitter: "I am bursting with pride and gratitude for the amazing coalition that helped bring about much needed change in our district. We are going to work together to lower health care costs, to fight climate change, and to build an economy that works for everyone. #NewDayInIL03 #IL03" / Twitter

The New York Times on Twitter: "Rep. Dan Lipinski, a conservative Illinois Democrat, lost in a primary upset to Marie Newman, a progressive backed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez https://t.co/JUAufoWMef" / Twitter
noting
Marie Newman Beats Dan Lipinski, Democratic Incumbent, in Illinois House Primary - The New York Times


In another Illinois district, progressive Rachel Ventura (IL-11) lost against incumbent Bill Foster, 41% - 59%.

Meet Agatha Bacelar, the Latina Who Is Boldly Running for Nancy Pelosi’s Seat in Congress | BeLatina - nice article on her.

Here are upcoming Congressional primary-election dates for the states with candidates that I've been tracking:
PA 28-Apr
IN 5-May
NE WV 12-May
GA OR 19-May
IA MD MT NJ NM OH SD 2-Jun
NV SC VA 9-Jun
KY NY 23-Jun
CO OK UT 30-Jun
AZ KS MI MO WA 4-Aug
TN 6-Aug
CT MN WI 11-Aug
FL WY 18-Aug
MA 1-Sep
NH 8-Sep
DE 15-Sep

So there'll be plenty of time to figure out how to cope with the coronavirus.

 

[lpetrich]

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "One bright spot: despite powerful attempts in DC to protect an anti-LGBT+, anti-choice Dem in a safe blue seat, powerful progressive @Marie4Congress won the #IL03 primary!
Congratulations, Marie. You & every organizer worked so hard to make this happen.
Thank you #IL03 voters! https://t.co/xbwSiFAim1" / Twitter

Checking on IL-03 with ballotpedia.org I find that Dan Lipinski won previous elections at 65% - 75%, so unless Marie Newman is very negligent, she will likely win the main election.

Marie Newman defeats Dan Lipinski in progressive vs. moderate rematch - Chicago Tribune - Rematch: after Jessica Cisneros barely lost to Henry Cuellar.

The businesswoman from La Grange ended nearly four decades of Lipinski family control of the Southwest Side and southwest suburban congressional seat. The congressman’s father, William Lipinski, served from 1983 until 2005, when he engineered the appointment of his son.

... Lipinski canceled a scheduled media appearance Tuesday night and did not concede defeat.

“As we close this evening, there are still votes to be counted in this race. It is very close," Lipinski said in a statement. "We may have to wait overnight or into the morning for the final vote count.”

Two years ago, Lipinski led on election night and Newman refused to concede. She kept him waiting, saying she wished for “Mr. Lipinski to have a very painful evening.” She conceded the contest the following day.

Back in 2018, DL beat MN by 2.2%, or 2,145 votes out of 95,205.

The coronavirus pandemic disrupted campaigning in the final days. Lipinski spokesman Phil Davidson said Monday that the congressman felt good about early voting returns but that the campaign lost a chance for a final push when Sunday’s South Side Irish Parade was canceled.

“Irish Catholics? The 19th Ward? That’s our base,” Davidson said. “The opportunity just vaporized.”

Indeed, it was the Southwest Side wards that helped carry Lipinski to his narrow victory over Newman in 2018.

I was wondering who the virus might have helped. Old voters because young ones would be more worried about it? Young voters because old ones would stay home more?

 

[lpetrich]

That Chicago Tribune article again:

Newman received the backing of presidential candidate and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot.

Lipinski enjoyed the support of numerous local officials, including more than two dozen suburban mayors, and the muscle of Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan’s political organization.

DL is anti-abortion and anti-Obamacare -- he's one of the most conservative Democrats.

The New York Times article:

“This is a critical victory for the progressive movement in showing that voters are ready for a new generation of progressive leadership in the Democratic Party,” said Alexandra Rojas, executive director of Justice Democrats. “This isn’t just a loss for one incumbent. It’s a defeat for machine politics and big corporate donors who want to stop our movement for ‘Medicare for all,’ a Green New Deal and reproductive rights.”

About DL,

... In addition to voting against the 2010 health care law and opposing abortion rights, he declined to endorse former President Barack Obama in 2012 and opposed same-sex marriage until the Supreme Court made it legal across the nation in 2015.

Nancy Pelosi had dropped in to support Henry Cuellar against Jessica Cisneros, but she didn't do so for DL.

And Mr. Lipinski’s fellow Illinoisan, Representative Cheri Bustos, who leads the party’s campaign arm, canceled a planned fund-raiser for Mr. Lipinski last year, bowing to progressives who were outraged by the congressman’s anti-abortion rights stance. Her decision raised questions about whether there was room left in the party for lawmakers who oppose abortion.

The day after Ms. Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Ms. Newman, Representative Steny H. Hoyer of Maryland, a centrist Democrat and the majority leader, told reporters that there was “absolutely” room in the party for candidates who oppose abortion rights. But some veteran rank-and-file Democrats, including two others from Illinois, Representatives Jan Schakowsky and Luis Gutiérrez, openly backed Ms. Newman.

...
Ms. Newman had the backing of groups that support abortion rights, including Planned Parenthood and Naral, as well as several unions and Indivisible, the grass-roots advocacy group. Even before all the votes were counted on Tuesday night, Emily’s List issued a statement congratulating her on the victory, calling her “a proven fighter for working families.”

1982 - Bill Lipinski - 2005 - Dan Lipinski - 2020
Dan got his seat from father Bill, and he has now gone the way of Joe Crowley.

Alan Ziebarth on Twitter: "@AOC @Marie4Congress I live in Marie Newman's district. (I do love saying that.) Having lived in the Southwest Side of Chicago all my life I have to admit that I am surprised and exhilarated that a real progressive would beat the son of an old-time Daley Machine stalwart." / Twitter

 

[lpetrich]

Rep. Dan Lipinski falls in Democratic primary - POLITICO

Newman, who came within 2,200 votes of ousting Lipinski in 2018, crafted a formidable and well-funded campaign operation for the rematch. Her turnout operation knocked over 100,000 doors and she nabbed early endorsements from nearly every high-profile progressive, including Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.).

That support helped Newman tap a groundswell of grassroots donors from around the country. She raised upwards of $1.6 million and was outspending Lipinski by a two-to-one margin on the air.

A coalition of women’s groups, including EMILY’s List and NARAL Pro-Choice, funneled $1 million into TV ads to help Newman, but Lipinski was left to fend for himself on the airwaves, a dynamic that made his team nervous heading into the election.

DL's campaigners got rather desperate, it seems. They invited Republicans to vote for him. Also, "(knocking) over" doors is a typo - if MN's campaigners had been that destructive, it would have been big news.

Marie Newman Upsets Conservative Democrat Dan Lipinski in Illinois Congressional Primary

Newman’s race appeared to be in trouble when, in Chicago and surrounding areas, voter turnout on Tuesday was “extremely low,” as the Chicago Tribune reported. Voters fielded competing guidelines from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Democratic Party officials when deciding whether to vote.

Analysts, and some primary candidates, said in the lead-up to Tuesday’s votes that the spread of coronavirus could very well help to protect incumbents and disadvantage insurgent campaigns relying on new voter turnout.

NUMEROUS POLLING PLACES in Illinois shut down Tuesday, while others lacked necessary voting and sanitizing supplies, resulting in hourslong delays.

With lots of details.

K. Travis Ballie on Twitter: "You know which sitting Congressmember deserves the most credit for last night’s @Marie4Congress victory? It’s not @AOC or @ewarren (Though I LOVE them!!!!) It is @janschakowsky, who took SERIOUS heat for endorsing Newman in 2018 despite being a leader in the @dccc. #NewDayInIL03 https://t.co/D8gllIxxuO" / Twitter

Howard Mortman on Twitter: "Rep. Dan Lipinski (D-IL) lost his primary race for re-election. You've been seeing him on C-SPAN coverage of the annual March for Life since at least 2005 .... https://t.co/2DKmAPGIJL" / Twitter -- he was that much of an opponent of abortion.

Progressive Marie Newman Beats Abortion Rights Foe Rep. Dan Lipinski In Democratic Race | HuffPost

A local businesswoman who went on to start a national anti-bullying non-profit, Newman, 55, has endorsed much of the Sanders-Warren agenda — from a $15 federal minimum wage to Medicare For All, a Green New Deal and partial student debt cancellation.

She ousted one of the more conservative House Democrats on social issues, especially abortion. A devout Catholic, the 53-year-old Lipinski voted against the Affordable Care Act because of its mandate that employer insurance plans cover birth control. He has supported defunding Planned Parenthood and clinics that offer abortion services, and has sided with Republicans on bills that would ban abortions at 20 weeks into a woman’s pregnancy.

He also joined Republicans in signing a legal briefing urging the Supreme Court to revisit the landmark Roe v. Wade abortion rights case.

MN presented herself as the "real Democrat", while DL depicted her as too radical and wanting to take away people's healthcare with "Medicare for All".

Last year, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced that it would not be doing business with any challengers of Democratic incumbents.

As a result, Newman lost several political consultants and several direct mail firms. Despite that, Newman repeatedly out-fundraised Lipinski.

Tuesday’s primary was marked by lower turnout than initially expected because of the coronavirus outbreak that election officials said likely scared voters from going to the polls. In the last week, Newman’s campaign was forced to cancel its planned door-knocking and typical get-out-the-vote operation. Instead, the campaign focused on its phone-bank operation ing and social media efforts to get people to take advantage of early voting.

 

[lpetrich]

Dan Lipinski Loses To Progressive Marie Newman In Illinois Primary : NPR
noting
Justice Democrats on Twitter: "Congratulations to @Marie4Congress in #IL03
This isn’t just a loss for one incumbent.
It’s a defeat for machine politics and big corporate donors who want to stop our movement for Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, and reproductive rights. https://t.co/yP30ZeZwl4" / Twitter

Some opponents of abortion wept at this loss.
Lipinski loses primary - the Catholic News Agency

Lipinski is a Catholic eight-term representative of Illinois’ third congressional district, on the south side of Chicago. He is recognized as the last reliably pro-life Democrat in the House of Representatives, bucking the party whip to support pro-life legislation, including supporting “pain-capable” 20-week abortion bans and the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act.

...
The president of the pro-life group Susan B. Anthony List, Marjorie Dannenfelser, offered her “condolences” to Lipinski on Wednesday.

“Congressman Lipinski has long been a profile in courage, bucking the sad trend of Democrat leaders vying to be the greatest advocate of abortion. We are deeply grateful for his bravery in standing strong,” Dannenfelser said.

“The expulsion of this pro-life hero from Congress by his own party is an ominous sign for pro-life Democrats and all who long to see both major parties hold a principled stance in favor of life,” she said.

The article called MN "pro-abortion".

Newman said that she was baptized Catholic at a local parish, in a campaign video that highlighted her ties to the district. She also secured the support of two nuns, Sisters JoAnn Persch and Pat Murphy of the Sisters of Mercy, who endorsed her in a campaign video.

So MN is likely a "cradle Catholic".

 

[lpetrich]

Dan Lipinski concedes: Could not overcome low Chicago vote, progressive strength - Chicago Sun-Times

Lipinski, at a press conference at his Oak Lawn campaign office, said it was “unlikely” the results would change when the ballots are fully counted.

“I don’t want to be seen as dragging this out,” said Lipinski, flanked by his wife, Judy. “it appears right now she has the votes to win.”

The latest unofficial returns gives Newman 47.1% of the vote to 44.7% for Lipinski, with Newman’s winning margin 2,476 votes. In 2018, Lipinski squeezed through the primary with 2,145 votes.

Turning to Courage to Change, AOC's PAC, the scorecard is now

• Jessica Cisneros (TX-28) - lost primary
• Cristina Tzintzun Ramirez (TX-SEN) - lost primary (3rd place)
• Georgette Gomez (CA-53) - advanced from primary (2nd place)
• Marie Newman (IL-03) - won primary
• Kara Eastman (NE-02) - May 2
• Teresa Leger Fernandez (NM-03) - Jun 3
• Samelys Lopez (NY-15) - Jun 23

I'll look at Brand New Congress and Justice Democrats. The numbers are total candidates, candidates that won primaries or otherwise advanced, and candidates elected in the main election.

• BNC 2018: 30, 10, 1
• BNC 2020: 44 - 7, 2
• JD 2018 Gov: 5, 2, 0
• JD 2018 LtGov: 1, 0, 0
• JD 2018 USSen: 4, 0, 0
• JD 2018 USHou: 68, 24, 7
• JD 2018 Total: 78, 26, 7
• JD 2020 Pres: 1
• JD 2020 USSen: 1
• JD 2020 USHou: 15 - 4, 3
• JD 2020 Total: 17
• Mat 2020: 6 - 1, 0
• CTC 2020: 7 - 4, 2

Mat = Matriarch PAC:

• Morgan Harper (OH-03) - Jun 2
• Rachel Ventura (IL-11) - lost primary
• Nabilah Islam (GA-07) - May 19
• Samelys Lopez (NY-15) - Jun 23
• Melanie D'Arrigo (NY-03) - Jun 23
• Cori Bush (MO-01) - Aug 4

Courage to Change PAC - AOC's PAC
Support Working Women Candidates | Matriarch PAC

 

[lpetrich]

Marie Newman on Her Big Victory: ‘You Have to Be in Alignment With Your District’ - The New York Times - has a nice interview with her.

What the election means:

You know, this is the beginning of a new era in Illinois-3. For the last 38 years, the representative seat has been occupied by a member of the Lipinski family — Dan’s dad had it for 22 years and Dan’s had it for the last 16 years. So nearly 40 years of the Lipinski family in that seat. And they’re members of the Chicago machine.

So what this does is put the district in alignment with its representatives. For many years, Dan was one of the most conservative members of the Democratic Party bar none — if not the most. Our district is a deeply blue Democratic district, so I ran on the platform that I’m a real Democrat with a real plan. And it’s kind of that simple.

I believe in working families, health care for all, and making sure that we have a livable wage.

She considers herself more representative of the district than her predecessor. Sort of like AOC vs. Joe Crowley.