For the first time, a major poll shows Bernie Sanders leading Hillary Clinton

[Angry Floof]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...shows-bernie-sanders-leading-hillary-clinton/

On Thursday, NBC and the Journal released the other half of that poll. Hillary Clinton continues to lead Bernie Sanders by 11 points nationally. Nothing shocking there, though it's closer than it used to be.* In fact, Hillary Clinton has never trailed in any national poll, so it's hard to see this as terribly surprising.

Or, anyway, Clinton had never trailed in a major poll when NBC released its survey. An hour later, Fox News dropped a bombshell of its own: Sanders has a 3-point lead, according to its new national survey.

A year ago, Clinton had a 52-point lead over Sanders, with 55 percent of support to his 3 percent. In Fox's last poll, conducted shortly before Iowa, she still led by 12. No longer.

I don't know how you can listen to Cenk. I find it hard to follow his stumbling, stuttering style of communication regardless of how much I might agree with him. (I can't watch enough to know how much that might be, but it's probably a lot.) It's nerve wracking to me. Just one or two smoothly uttered, cohesive statements somewhere in there would be good.

Anyway, go Bernie!

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Again, those superdelegates are not pledged to Hillary. And even if they really, really wanted to swing the nomination to her, they will have to consider the inevitable blowback.

Well, maybe. But as of February 19, the superdelegate edge gives the Hildabeast a 483 v 55 lead over Grandpa. And there's only been one caucus and one primary.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2016-delegate-tracker/

*meow*

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

Huffington Post polls accumulative polls show Clinton at 48.9 and Sanders at 41.5%. 9.6% then undecided.
The charts show Sanders steadily gaining while Clinton steadily droops in the polls.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary

If this continues like this, they should pull even about March or April. Various surveys show Sanders has a very high likeability factor while the negatives for Cruz, Trump and Clinton remain high despite support for them.

Both Cruz and Trump still repel a lot of people with their off-the-wall campaign antics. The possibility Clinton might get sucked into legal problems that could go on for years is sobering.

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box...95-sanders-overtakes-hillary-in-colorado-poll

Bernie Sanders has erased a double-digit deficit and pulled ahead of Hillary Clinton in Colorado, according to a Washington Free Beacon poll of voters released on Friday.
Sanders wins 49 percent support compared to Clinton’s 43 percent in the poll. Democrats will caucus in Colorado on March 1, when voters in a dozen states hold contests.

 

[Derec]

The blowback would be more muted because of the process itself. It's not like a general election where you can tabulate up the votes and say "this guy got 52% of the vote".

I don't know about that. Despite concerted efforts by MSM to conflate pledged and superdelegates, Bernie supporters tend to be informationally savvy and those things can go viral quick.

There are smorgasbord of open primaries, closed primaries, caucii, coin tosses and ritual dances that determine delegates.

And the pledged delegate total from all of them is easily determined. And if Bernie has a lead in those, it would be very dangerous for superdelegates to overthrow that mandate.

There's no particular reason why the super delegates wouldn't necessarily break down differently than the voter support. They just need to convince themselves they are doing it for the good of the party. Shouldn't be hard for the loyal Clintonistas. Like Bill Clinton.

Except that it would damage the party and most likely deliver the White House to the Republicans.