Gaza has, since PA and then Hamas, took over been a dysfunctional shit show.
If the Gaza administration is a dysfunctional shit show during peace time, why would they now during a war, have any hope of accurately calculating who died.
Gaza is now overrun by the IDF. Making admin harder.
There's plenty of evidence that Hamas has been manipulating numbers.
There's been evidence that Hamas has been aquiring journalist accreditation for fighters just to manipulate the data of dead journalists.
Any Hamas official, is also a Hamas fighter.
The UNRWA aid administrators are Hamas fighters, some of which took part of the 7/10 attacks.
Any Hamas fighter, the moment they hit the ground, is made into a civilian casualty statistic.
And finally, independent reviews have suggested that Hamas has both low balled and overshot the numbers dead. The reason is that it's virtually impossible to know the true civilian casualty rate in Gaza. I don't think Hamas knows how many Palestinian civilians have died. I think their numbers are just made up.
I also don't think Israel knows either. It'll take years of peace, if ever, before we have the correct number.
Another factor is that Gaza has no legal entry or exit point. They haven't had that for many years. Any entry or exit will therefore be undocumented. Making it impossible to know who lives there.
I have a Palestinian friend who told me how their family did. This was in 2015. They'd go to Egypt, go overland in a smuggler car, bribe border guards, and enter. They had to do this every time. In or out. They said it was safe. But just incredibly annoying.
My point is that there was no way, before 7/10 for Hamas to ever know who is actually living in Gaza. All they ever could do was guesstimate.
The medical system is not working now. There's no medical infrastructure with this information
You say Gaza has always been a dysfunctional shit show, so why trust its casualty numbers now.
I don't. I don't trust any numbers.
But here’s the problem with that framing: you’re using Gaza’s poverty, isolation, and destroyed infrastructure – conditions imposed in large part by the blockade and repeated bombardments – as proof that its people can’t even count their dead.
Gaza is poor because Hamas cares more about maintaining control over it than the wellbeing of Gazans. They're willing to murder and terrorise any Gazan to maintain control. They're a truly vile, evil and psychopathic regime.
And have support by expat Palestinians. Which truly is mind blowing. Resistance to Hamas is low. Because Palestinians have a tribal thinking and do not criticise any organisation working for the destruction of Israel. Making it easy for an organisation like Hamas to control Gaza... no matter how much crazy, psychopathic shit they do to their fellow Palestinians. Palestinians seem to be too poisoned by hate of Israel to prioritise a sane government dedicated to their own welfare. That's the tragic reality of this conflict
That’s not an argument. That’s dehumanization masquerading as skepticism.
Adjective soup. You write as if you're a spoken word poet preparing to take to the stage.
You say “there’s plenty of evidence Hamas manipulates numbers,” but you don’t cite any. You mention fighters getting journalist accreditation to pad dead journalist counts. Where’s your evidence? Because every major strike killing journalists has been confirmed by their employers and international press organizations. Are Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera, and NBC all in on Hamas’ scheme?
Journalists write what information they can get. People are interested. There's very little verifiable information. So they're scraping the bottom of the barrel. Pay attention to who they are quoting when presenting numbers.
There's a relationship between the data the journalist is using and what narrative the article is spinning.
You claim “any Hamas official is also a fighter.” That’s not analysis. That’s propaganda designed to erase the category of civilian altogether.
You're a loony. Hamas is a military islamofascist regime. They do not separate civilian from fighter. They follow no ethical code. They respect no one. They don't care about any lives.
They're also clinging to power in Gaza using terror and violence.
Stop being a tool of fascism
Under international law, a civil administrator is not a combatant unless directly engaged in hostilities. Calling them fighters doesn’t make it true – it just justifies killing them in your mind.
Hamas doesn't give a fuck about international law.
In the 7/10 attack Hamas used systematic mass rape as a weapon of war.
Do you seriously think Hamas would give any power in Gaza to anyone who wasn't a 100% loyal fighter?
You say UNRWA staff are Hamas fighters, some of whom took part in October 7th. Israeli intelligence alleged some staff involvement, but you generalize that to the entire organization, whose aid convoys are coordinated with Israel daily.
No. Early on in the conflict IDF sent the UN intel on verified Hamas fighters who took part in the 7/10 attack, who then were the civilian Hamas officials in charge of distributing UN aid.
That's when the UN shut down aid deliveries to Gaza. They refused to continue until those officials were replaced. Hamas was then unable to find a civilian Hamas official who the IDF didn't have verifiable evidence was directly involved in the 7/10 attacks. They eventually managed to sort this out. No, the evidence IDF presented was not made public. But the UN response made headlines, back then. It must have been true.
IDF has since managed to find information on that UNRWA is infiltrated by Hamas, and in practice a wing of the Hamas government. They did not make the information publicly available. That's when Israel shut down all aid into Gaza and decided to become the sole aid agency delivering aid to Gaza. Because they judge that other aid organizations are unable to control who gets aid, ie Hamas are in control of the aid.
If you actually cared about civilian welfare, you wouldn’t cheer the destruction of the only institution providing food, shelter, and education to children in Gaza.
Who is cheering? Not me.
You argue that Hamas “both lowballs and overshoots” death counts. Which is it?
Its both
You’re claiming their numbers are too low and too high in the same breath to avoid acknowledging that mass death is happening. That’s not skepticism. That’s intellectual evasion.
No. Its acknowledging the reality. Hamas has no method with which to collect accurate information. They're just pulling numbers out of their ass
You say Gaza has no legal entry or exit, so no one knows who lives there. Yet the population is registered by UNRWA, Israel, and Egypt for aid, border permits, and family reunification tracking.
Yeah. Best efforts. Still not particularly accurate
Your anecdote about a friend smuggling through Rafah doesn’t erase the fact that population data is well established. It just shows how desperate people are under siege.
If you think the data is well established, that just means you don't care about reality. That makes it hard to have a serious conversation with you
Finally, you say the medical system has collapsed so casualty counts are meaningless. But you ignore that the numbers are compiled not just by hospitals but by civil defense crews recovering bodies from rubble, by international aid organizations, and by satellite evidence of mass graves. Israel itself has never denied mass casualties – it just blames Hamas.
I never said casualty counts are meaningless. There's just wide error margins
The reality is this: dismissing every death count as “just made up” is comforting if you don’t want to face the moral implications of what’s being done in Gaza. But bodies don’t vanish because you question paperwork. Parents burying their children aren’t statistics to them. They’re the final proof.
No, that's not why. Try having another guess
Because in the end, this isn’t about whether Hamas counts perfectly. It’s about the fact that there are too many bodies to count.
NHC
Which is a tragedy. One dead person is a horrific tragedy.
Let's just hope Israel wins this war ASAP. So more people won't die