Is the surging stock market a harbinger of a Trump victory?

[T.G.G. Moogly]

I don't think the stock casino will have anything to do with Trump's chances. He'll get reelected if enough people are unable to vote. It's certain that if voting in this country was quick and easy there would be a lot less republicans in office. Trump's chances rest primarily on people being unable to vote.

 

[SLD]

I don't think the stock casino will have anything to do with Trump's chances. He'll get reelected if enough people are unable to vote. It's certain that if voting in this country was quick and easy there would be a lot less republicans in office. Trump's chances rest primarily on people being unable to vote.

Oh, no doubt. He’s already started that route and his henchmen in various states have already shown what they intend to do. Georgia and Kentucky just got away with it. If Dems don’t act now with lawsuits over voting rights deprivations in a variety of swing states they’ll lose again for sure.

SLD

 

[Elixir]

FWIW... when Obama took over, the stock market hit bottom (DJIA at 6594) on March 5th 2009, some six weeks after his inauguration. By the end of June 2012 the DJIA was at 12,880 - an increase of more than 95%.
Trump, for all his braggadocio, saw DJIA gains from 19,912 at his inauguration to a high of 29,219 on 2/20/2020, a gain of about 46%.
So anyone who equates the stock market with "the economy" is stuck with the fact that the economy was more than TWICE as good under Obama's tenure of the same duration as Trump's to date..

 

[SLD]

https://lplresearch.com/2020/06/29/why-stocks-can-predict-the-next-president/

This is what I was driving at. The stock market is most often, 87%, a predictor of the presidential race. But it’s a bit shorter term than I understood it. It depends on the direction in the three months preceding the election. If, as I predict, the markets continue to climb out of the recession up until the election, then Trump’s chances go up significantly. Regardless of the economic connection. A second corona wave could destabilize the markets, or something else could hit them. Or Trump could be in that 13% probability of losing, as his negatives are real high. I wonder if the recent Russia allegations could drive enough supporters over the edge. I hope so.

 

[fromderinside]

Think about our present economy this way: Some idiot saw flecks in Pyrite, exclaimed "I found V recovery..... and everybody stampeded to the Stock Market..... followed by the dirge of depression ....... the moans of Covid deaths .......

Still having trouble visualizing that? Think "How did Trump get elected .... "Why are we the worst case Corid -19 example ....."Why didn't we stop Russia from killing 'mericans in Afghanistan ......

Clearer now?

 

[Elixir]

Clearer now?

No, not really.
What is clear that facts are notwithstanding when it comes to decisions made by Trumptards.
They WILL believe:

* The economy is roaring back, thanks to Trump
* COVID is disappearing, thanks to Trump
* Russia is our friend, thanks to Trump
* North Korea is no longer a nuclear threat, thanks to Trump
* If anything else about USA is a problem, it has been solved, thanks to Trump

There are no facts, no data and no arguments that will alter those religious beliefs among the Faithful. So Trump isn't even giving it any effort,
The only question related to the election, is about how many votes can Republicans suppress, deny, deem invalid or otherwise not count.