maxparrish
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- Aug 30, 2005
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- Libertarian-Conservative, Agnostic.
Actually, if you add up the first three quarters of this year compared to the first three quarters of last year, the economy is performing worse than it did last year. In other words, if we get 3.5% growth for the fourth quarter as we did last year, then 2014 will be worse than 2013 was. One quarter doesn't really tell you very much.
From here:
1Q13 - 3.42%
2Q13 - 3.26%
3Q13 - 3.71%
============
Total - 10.39%
Avg - 3.46%
1Q14 - 3.28%
2Q14 - 4.27%
3Q14 - 4.05%
===========
Total - 11.6%
Avg - 3.87%
The 4th quarter 2014 results need to be 3.36% to make 2014 match 2013's growth. 4Q13 had a huge jump of 4.57%
With the drop of fuel prices looking to be a shot in the arm of both industry and consumers, I expect 4Q14 to beat that 3.36% handily.
While I have no idea who the "multp" web address is, these numbers are totally inconsistent with the Bureau of Economic Analysis (the set commonly referred to in public discussion): http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2014/pdf/gdp3q14_3rd_fax.pdf.
For example, the 'touchstone" of economic data shows a negative 2 percent the first quarter of 2014, and less than 2 percent the second quarter of 2013.
Edit Update:
I suspect your numbers are for nominal growth, not real growth. In any event, if you wish to capture the real record start with this graph:
http://economicsone.com/page/6/
As you can see, while the recession only lasted 18 months, bottoming in the summer of 2009, the pace of the recovery has been horrible. Folks finally tossing their unemployment check stubs in the air in celebration seems a bit sad.
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