untermensche
Contributor
If conditions are conducive to complexity it will arise. Just like conditions for increasing size led to very large dinosaurs. The initial condition of high oxygen levels in the atmosphere led to some dinosaurs getting larger. That much would have occurred randomly. Random genetic mutations leading to increased size that wasn't advantageous prior to the increase in oxygen levels. But when some dinosaurs got larger it created the additional conditions in which carnivorous dinosaurs had to be larger in order to prey on the larger herbivorous dinosaurs. That altered the conditions leading to even larger herbivors. Size became the positive feedback or driving factor. The same happened with brain complexity, except I think there was probably a threshold involved at which point it became an advantage. If, as I suggested earlier, the precursor of the brain evolved as the central node in a system of otherwise independent stimulus-response networks, then some advantage might have resulted from the new possibility of coordinating all of those functions. That would be the beginning of a complex network. But in this case there are no competing systems that would drive further increases in complexity. There's no T-Rex providing positive feedback. Or in pandemic terms, there's no vector. In the real world there might be a whole ranch of possible vectors. We call that an ecosystem. It involves an intricate dynamic equilibrium of competing systems. So what I'm proposing is that at some point (through randomly produced but marginally advantageous mutations) a limit is encountered where the added complexity has resulted in brains that are large enough and dense enough that heat management becomes the limiting factor. The T-Rex if you will. In order for the brain to be any larger it must also evolve the feedback systems that control energy allotment and heat generation. Hence the drive to maximize efficiency through positive and negative feedback systems. This I believe is the basis of thought. Thought (both conscious and unconscious) is the brain continuously working to minimize conflict and contention between its various processes, such as fight-vs-flight and eat dessert-vs-lose weight, as well as that which leads to any paradigm shift as occurring in any intellectual endeavor.
Complexity can arise randomly if it grants a survival advantage in a present environment.
But also less complexity can rise if that grants a survival advantage.
It is all randomness.
Bacteria have remained single celled for millions and millions of years.