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Trickle Down Economics is Misunderstood and Straw-Manned

SigmatheZeta said:
Regardless of my reservations about the University of Würzburg study, though, I believe that it is adequate to justify us in taking a needs-based approach to addressing economic injustice. Rather than concentrating on economic injustice between the "1%" and the middle-class, we should actually be profoundly alarmed about local economies that have failed to realize their indigenous potential.

I don't see anything suggesting that "a needs-based approach" shouldn't start by "concentrating on economic injustice between the 1% and the middle-class," since it is that which is slowing growth.

I honestly do not care a rodent's rectum either way if Jeff Bezos wants to build a moon factory.
Then I'd suggest that you should care, given what you've said. If it's profitable to build a factory there, then there is something there that humanity needs or will need. Something that he didn't put there in the first place, which we should not allow him or his descendents to charge rent via ownership upon everyone elses' descendants.
Why? If he finds a need (helium 3 for example) that solves a problem that people want to pay for (cheap clean power), what's the harm? It will be one of the happiest days of my life when I can pay a company that allows me to power my home without fossil fuels. And I'd gladly pay a profit for it.
What I said.

Does he, or his descendants, then own the natural resource and have the right to charge all of humanity rent upon it for all eternity or until it's exhausted? Simply because he got there first?

States could get there sooner on behalf of humanity, and already went further 50 years ago.
I'm on the side of that, myself, but if you want that to happen, you'll have to get at least some of the country's billionaires on-board as allies.

Why?
Okay, let's just neglect to win them over as allies, so Bezos can fulfill his lifelong dream of becoming emperor-god of Luna.
What I said.

I neglected to ask you something. Just so that we are clear on our identities, what school of economic thought do you view the most favorably?

I have a favorable view toward New Keynesianism, currently, but I am not inflexibly attached to it. I do not have adequate knowledge of economics to have hard and fast attachment to any given philosophy, and my loyalty is impermanent and temperamental.

Your turn.
Oh, anything left of trickledown. "New Keynesianism" is trickledown, which means it isn't really Keynesian - "Bastard Keynesianism" as Joan Robinson called it.
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.
 
As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

It is not impossible for a person to have an abundance of wealth and also agree with my views regarding the dignity of the human race, and if they can also be convinced of the possibility that excessive inequality could lead to serious political instability, assuming that we can furnish convincing evidence for that hypothesis, then I think it is fully possible to win them over to the concept of holding inequality to within safe limits.

I have a pet hypothesis, which I have not built to my satisfaction but which I have a certain affection for, that inequality might work like an excitatory neurotransmitter. If that analogy holds true along certain parameters, then it is also true that excessive excitation can lead to excitotoxicity, which can cause serious damage to the brain.

I have risk factors for bipolar disorder, for instance: if I can hold the mania on the short leash, then I can succeed at maintaining long-term unipolar hypomania without any serious trouble, but if I loosen that lead too much, then that hypomania can escalate into a full-fledged mania, which leads to symptoms similar to an MDMA trip and the comedown that follows. The comedown can cause me such serious disorientation that I can take months to recover, and I suspect that it might cause damage to delicate microstructures in my central nervous system. I have to hold the hypomania on a short leash, and I have to be firm with myself about moderation.

Therefore, I suspect that the competitive energy that results from inequality could be overclocking us in a similar manner, and if the analogy holds in actual practice, we could be destined for a similar crash.

It is an attractive hypothesis, but I do not have adequate information to advance it as a finished product.
 
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SigmatheZeta said:
Regardless of my reservations about the University of Würzburg study, though, I believe that it is adequate to justify us in taking a needs-based approach to addressing economic injustice. Rather than concentrating on economic injustice between the "1%" and the middle-class, we should actually be profoundly alarmed about local economies that have failed to realize their indigenous potential.

I don't see anything suggesting that "a needs-based approach" shouldn't start by "concentrating on economic injustice between the 1% and the middle-class," since it is that which is slowing growth.

I honestly do not care a rodent's rectum either way if Jeff Bezos wants to build a moon factory.
Then I'd suggest that you should care, given what you've said. If it's profitable to build a factory there, then there is something there that humanity needs or will need. Something that he didn't put there in the first place, which we should not allow him or his descendents to charge rent via ownership upon everyone elses' descendants.
Why? If he finds a need (helium 3 for example) that solves a problem that people want to pay for (cheap clean power), what's the harm? It will be one of the happiest days of my life when I can pay a company that allows me to power my home without fossil fuels. And I'd gladly pay a profit for it.
Nuclear power has been widely available in the US for most, if not all, of your life, unless you are in excess of one hundred years old.
 
Why should I read it?
Because I only debate with people that I am prepared to acknowledge as my equals.

Prove yourself to me, and I will entertain you.

It's talking about redistribution--which says nothing about corruption and I'm saying corruption is the big problem.
Dude, is this part of some lame ideology that you've used to replace religion or something?

Look, if I want a new religion, I'll take up ancient Orphism or something.

Shoo.
 
@Loren Pechtel

I really strongly prefer to approach economics from a robustly scientific standpoint, and I get easily irritated when I am dealing with people that think of their political views in terms of which ideology they identify with.

As far as my ideology if you really want to know it, I have sympathies with the basic intentions behind the views of Pyotr Kropotkin, but I honestly think he had a long way to go before he had a functional economic system. I admire his intentions and the spirit in which he thought. I like the fact that he had a moral conscience that was guided by a sense of kindness and a sense of respect for human dignity. What he wanted to do appeals to me at a visceral level. While I really do not think that we could really make the world run on his way of thinking, what I do believe that is that he was one of the most pure human beings that ever lived.

However, I am also conscious of the fact that there is a difference between an empirically supportable theory and an ideal that tugs at my heartstrings. They are two different subjects. If I could construct a perfect fantasy world where everything was wonderful, then it would be not terribly unlike Pyotr Kropotkin's vision of paradise, but I cannot force the world to really work that way. It's a beautiful pipe dream, but it's still a pipe dream.

I prefer to keep my fantasy life separate from my perception of reality. Having a fantasy life helps me deal with reality. I know that working with an accurate perception of reality is how I keep myself fed and safe, so I can protect that beautiful fantasy world that I carry around in my head.

If you want to talk about economics, then cite something substantial, please.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
Regardless of my reservations about the University of Würzburg study, though, I believe that it is adequate to justify us in taking a needs-based approach to addressing economic injustice. Rather than concentrating on economic injustice between the "1%" and the middle-class, we should actually be profoundly alarmed about local economies that have failed to realize their indigenous potential.

I don't see anything suggesting that "a needs-based approach" shouldn't start by "concentrating on economic injustice between the 1% and the middle-class," since it is that which is slowing growth.

I honestly do not care a rodent's rectum either way if Jeff Bezos wants to build a moon factory.
Then I'd suggest that you should care, given what you've said. If it's profitable to build a factory there, then there is something there that humanity needs or will need. Something that he didn't put there in the first place, which we should not allow him or his descendents to charge rent via ownership upon everyone elses' descendants.
Why? If he finds a need (helium 3 for example) that solves a problem that people want to pay for (cheap clean power), what's the harm? It will be one of the happiest days of my life when I can pay a company that allows me to power my home without fossil fuels. And I'd gladly pay a profit for it.
Nuclear power has been widely available in the US for most, if not all, of your life, unless you are in excess of one hundred years old.
Well I'll be the first to say that you know far more about nuclear power than I. I was using harvesting Helium 3 as an example of the kind of profitable production that could be had as an incentive to get into space. And in my view, I just don't see us permanently going into space and solving problems until there is a strong incentive to go there.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
New Keynesianism is not "trickle-down," but it is a synthesis of Keynesianism and neo-classical economic theory. The trouble with it is that the mathematics are actually accurate, and they actually predict what they are supposed to predict.

What they are not taking into account are sociological consequences that can ultimately threaten the stability of the surrounding civilization. I was at the Black Lives Matter protest, and while it was, on one hand, the most fun that I had had since playing paintball when I was a kid, I cannot help but think that it is not really a sustainable way to run a country or to hold a civilization together.

Now, with disinformation about masks helping COVID-19 spread, I think that we might have a bit of a problem.

My opinion--and this is only my opinion--is that we are incorrect to look upon economics, mathematics, and political science as three different subjects. They are really different aspects of the same subject.

When you talk about an economic theory that can energize the economy, that sounds good right up until you start noticing an upwelling of political extremism. It sounds good right up until people have started misguided moral crusades that are going to lead to a dangerous Puritanical state. It sounds good right up until the riots start, and at some point, you start questioning your decision-making process.

New Keynesian economic theory actually does work, but the problem is that it works too well. It overheats the system, and if we don't want to get cooked alive, we have got to figure out a way to regulate the heat.

Oh, I have an idea! Let's just cap inequality permanently at right where it was BEFORE we started breaking out in riots, and when inequality starts to rise above that ceiling, we increase taxes and start paying down the debt with the revenue.

That sounds good, but you would have to get a team of sociologists, political scientists, and economists together, so they can actually confirm whether or not that would actually work. There is a possibility that I could be wrong. It feels right, but I would want to see how the empirical evidence for it matches up with the math.

I suspect that the riots and the insurrection are not a coincidence, but they are happening for the same reasons why we were having labor riots and revolutions in the early 20th Century. Oh, and we had these two little wars I heard about. The early 20th Century was kind of nuts.

iu


By comparison, people were actually protesting AGAINST war in the 1960's and 1970's, and we abolished the draft a little while later.

I think it is probably true that inequality DOES make people competitive, but competitiveness also makes people want to go to war.

That is what I think that New Keynesian theory is probably missing, and that kind of phenomenon simply cannot be taken into account by economic theory alone.

The historical economist that admire the most is Knut Wicksell. The reason why I admire him is that he merged multiple different theories that nobody, at the time, saw as being even fully the same subject. Some believe he created the underpinnings of Keynesian economics.

In the same spirit, we need to break the myth that economists are not responsible for what happens in our society or our politics. They are only looking at one side of the same system, which is like looking at someone's ass and assuming it gives you an idea of what their face looks like or making believe they are not both part of the same organism. I think we ought to put them under pressure to start having serious and open discussions with sociologists and political scientists, so they can work out a system that harmonizes these different facets of collective eudaimonia.

Just trying to tie a blindfold around our eyes and pretending the neoliberal theories don't exist would, I think, be misguided. They actually do get the effect that their proponents claim they do. They are just assuming incorrectly that an overheated system can only be a good thing, and they are not looking at the fact that one way that people demonstrate their social energy is by rioting and murdering each other.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
New Keynesianism is not "trickle-down," but it is a synthesis of Keynesianism and neo-classical economic theory.
That doesn't make it not trickledown. It strips out the demand-side logic of Keynes and retains all the "micro-founded" bits of neoclassical with supply-side logic baked in.

The trouble with it is that the mathematics are actually accurate, and they actually predict what they are supposed to predict.
Like what?

What they are not taking into account are sociological consequences that can ultimately threaten the stability of the surrounding civilization. I was at the Black Lives Matter protest, and while it was, on one hand, the most fun that I had had since playing paintball when I was a kid, I cannot help but think that it is not really a sustainable way to run a country or to hold a civilization together.

Now, with disinformation about masks helping COVID-19 spread, I think that we might have a bit of a problem.

My opinion--and this is only my opinion--is that we are incorrect to look upon economics, mathematics, and political science as three different subjects. They are really different aspects of the same subject.

When you talk about an economic theory that can energize the economy,
New Keynesianism has not "energised" the economy. Growth rates have fallen. Housing bubbles and the stock market are not the economy.

that sounds good right up until you start noticing an upwelling of political extremism. It sounds good right up until people have started misguided moral crusades that are going to lead to a dangerous Puritanical state. It sounds good right up until the riots start, and at some point, you start questioning your decision-making process.

New Keynesian economic theory actually does work, but the problem is that it works too well. It overheats the system, and if we don't want to get cooked alive, we have got to figure out a way to regulate the heat.

Oh, I have an idea! Let's just cap inequality permanently at right where it was BEFORE we started breaking out in riots, and when inequality starts to rise above that ceiling, we increase taxes and start paying down the debt with the revenue.

That sounds good, but you would have to get a team of sociologists, political scientists, and economists together, so they can actually confirm whether or not that would actually work. There is a possibility that I could be wrong. It feels right, but I would want to see how the empirical evidence for it matches up with the math.

I suspect that the riots and the insurrection are not a coincidence, but they are happening for the same reasons why we were having labor riots and revolutions in the early 20th Century. Oh, and we had these two little wars I heard about. The early 20th Century was kind of nuts.

iu


By comparison, people were actually protesting AGAINST war in the 1960's and 1970's, and we abolished the draft a little while later.

I think it is probably true that inequality DOES make people competitive, but competitiveness also makes people want to go to war.

That is what I think that New Keynesian theory is probably missing, and that kind of phenomenon simply cannot be taken into account by economic theory alone.

The historical economist that admire the most is Knut Wicksell. The reason why I admire him is that he merged multiple different theories that nobody, at the time, saw as being even fully the same subject. Some believe he created the underpinnings of Keynesian economics.

In the same spirit, we need to break the myth that economists are not responsible for what happens in our society or our politics. They are only looking at one side of the same system, which is like looking at someone's ass and assuming it gives you an idea of what their face looks like or making believe they are not both part of the same organism. I think we ought to put them under pressure to start having serious and open discussions with sociologists and political scientists, so they can work out a system that harmonizes these different facets of collective eudaimonia.

Just trying to tie a blindfold around our eyes and pretending the neoliberal theories don't exist would, I think, be misguided. They actually do get the effect that their proponents claim they do.
They actually don't.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
New Keynesianism is not "trickle-down," but it is a synthesis of Keynesianism and neo-classical economic theory.
That doesn't make it not trickledown. It strips out the demand-side logic of Keynes and retains all the "micro-founded" bits of neoclassical with supply-side logic baked in.

The trouble with it is that the mathematics are actually accurate, and they actually predict what they are supposed to predict.
Like what?

What they are not taking into account are sociological consequences that can ultimately threaten the stability of the surrounding civilization. I was at the Black Lives Matter protest, and while it was, on one hand, the most fun that I had had since playing paintball when I was a kid, I cannot help but think that it is not really a sustainable way to run a country or to hold a civilization together.

Now, with disinformation about masks helping COVID-19 spread, I think that we might have a bit of a problem.

My opinion--and this is only my opinion--is that we are incorrect to look upon economics, mathematics, and political science as three different subjects. They are really different aspects of the same subject.

When you talk about an economic theory that can energize the economy,
New Keynesianism has not "energised" the economy. Growth rates have fallen. Housing bubbles and the stock market are not the economy.

that sounds good right up until you start noticing an upwelling of political extremism. It sounds good right up until people have started misguided moral crusades that are going to lead to a dangerous Puritanical state. It sounds good right up until the riots start, and at some point, you start questioning your decision-making process.

New Keynesian economic theory actually does work, but the problem is that it works too well. It overheats the system, and if we don't want to get cooked alive, we have got to figure out a way to regulate the heat.

Oh, I have an idea! Let's just cap inequality permanently at right where it was BEFORE we started breaking out in riots, and when inequality starts to rise above that ceiling, we increase taxes and start paying down the debt with the revenue.

That sounds good, but you would have to get a team of sociologists, political scientists, and economists together, so they can actually confirm whether or not that would actually work. There is a possibility that I could be wrong. It feels right, but I would want to see how the empirical evidence for it matches up with the math.

I suspect that the riots and the insurrection are not a coincidence, but they are happening for the same reasons why we were having labor riots and revolutions in the early 20th Century. Oh, and we had these two little wars I heard about. The early 20th Century was kind of nuts.

iu


By comparison, people were actually protesting AGAINST war in the 1960's and 1970's, and we abolished the draft a little while later.

I think it is probably true that inequality DOES make people competitive, but competitiveness also makes people want to go to war.

That is what I think that New Keynesian theory is probably missing, and that kind of phenomenon simply cannot be taken into account by economic theory alone.

The historical economist that admire the most is Knut Wicksell. The reason why I admire him is that he merged multiple different theories that nobody, at the time, saw as being even fully the same subject. Some believe he created the underpinnings of Keynesian economics.

In the same spirit, we need to break the myth that economists are not responsible for what happens in our society or our politics. They are only looking at one side of the same system, which is like looking at someone's ass and assuming it gives you an idea of what their face looks like or making believe they are not both part of the same organism. I think we ought to put them under pressure to start having serious and open discussions with sociologists and political scientists, so they can work out a system that harmonizes these different facets of collective eudaimonia.

Just trying to tie a blindfold around our eyes and pretending the neoliberal theories don't exist would, I think, be misguided. They actually do get the effect that their proponents claim they do.
They actually don't.
*wing-shrugs* Even if you were correct to entirely dismiss the neoclassical components of New Keynesian theory, which I am not sure about but not really interested in making a bone of contention, I think my core argument is still valid.

I mean seriously, can we get away from whether or not the neoclassical components of New Keynesianism are valid? I am glad to let you have that point if we can just get away from it. If you want it, have it. I need to try to get you on my side when we are discussing issues that I think are more important. I tend to trust the opinions of highly educated scientists, but I acknowledge the possibility that the popularity of New Keynesianism, among highly educated scientists that study the economy, could be politically motivated. I don't know it, but it's within the realm of possibility. It's not important to me, and I am willing to let it go. The fact that I misled you into thinking this was important to me was an accident. I am not really interested in dying on that hill.

My core argument is that inequality is probably substantially more harmful in underdeveloped areas, and I think that I have more than adequate evidence for this position.


This study might be from back in 2006, but I believe that the 2015 University of Wuerzburg study makes a similar argument:

Abstract: The inequality-economic growth debate remains unsettled. For instance, classical theories
point to the importance of incentives in increasing growth, but recent theories stress social and political
disruptions as causal factors in inhibiting growth. Conflicting empirical evidence has not helped, with
contradictory findings arising when employing different samples and alternative econometric techniques.
This study re-examines the linkage by contending that it is not surprising that past research uncovered
conflicting findings. For example, the transmission mechanism through which inequality/economic
incentives influence economic growth can be affected by factors such as urbanization and social cohesion.
Using U.S. county data over the 1990s, the empirical results suggest that the econometric results are
unstable when considering weighted regressions over the entire sample. Yet, consistent with our
hypothesized relationships, when separately considering metropolitan and nonmetropolitan samples, there
is a positive inequality-growth link in the urban sample, with the opposite holding in the nonmetro case.
Implications for both the inequality-growth literature and for public policy are discussed.



I came from a rural area, and that rural area could have genuinely benefited from redistribution.

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.

I am tired of seeing rural land barons clinging to gigantic tracts of land that they are not using. That land belongs in the hands of families in the same area that are struggling to survive.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
New Keynesianism is not "trickle-down," but it is a synthesis of Keynesianism and neo-classical economic theory.
That doesn't make it not trickledown. It strips out the demand-side logic of Keynes and retains all the "micro-founded" bits of neoclassical with supply-side logic baked in.

The trouble with it is that the mathematics are actually accurate, and they actually predict what they are supposed to predict.
Like what?

What they are not taking into account are sociological consequences that can ultimately threaten the stability of the surrounding civilization. I was at the Black Lives Matter protest, and while it was, on one hand, the most fun that I had had since playing paintball when I was a kid, I cannot help but think that it is not really a sustainable way to run a country or to hold a civilization together.

Now, with disinformation about masks helping COVID-19 spread, I think that we might have a bit of a problem.

My opinion--and this is only my opinion--is that we are incorrect to look upon economics, mathematics, and political science as three different subjects. They are really different aspects of the same subject.

When you talk about an economic theory that can energize the economy,
New Keynesianism has not "energised" the economy. Growth rates have fallen. Housing bubbles and the stock market are not the economy.

that sounds good right up until you start noticing an upwelling of political extremism. It sounds good right up until people have started misguided moral crusades that are going to lead to a dangerous Puritanical state. It sounds good right up until the riots start, and at some point, you start questioning your decision-making process.

New Keynesian economic theory actually does work, but the problem is that it works too well. It overheats the system, and if we don't want to get cooked alive, we have got to figure out a way to regulate the heat.

Oh, I have an idea! Let's just cap inequality permanently at right where it was BEFORE we started breaking out in riots, and when inequality starts to rise above that ceiling, we increase taxes and start paying down the debt with the revenue.

That sounds good, but you would have to get a team of sociologists, political scientists, and economists together, so they can actually confirm whether or not that would actually work. There is a possibility that I could be wrong. It feels right, but I would want to see how the empirical evidence for it matches up with the math.

I suspect that the riots and the insurrection are not a coincidence, but they are happening for the same reasons why we were having labor riots and revolutions in the early 20th Century. Oh, and we had these two little wars I heard about. The early 20th Century was kind of nuts.

iu


By comparison, people were actually protesting AGAINST war in the 1960's and 1970's, and we abolished the draft a little while later.

I think it is probably true that inequality DOES make people competitive, but competitiveness also makes people want to go to war.

That is what I think that New Keynesian theory is probably missing, and that kind of phenomenon simply cannot be taken into account by economic theory alone.

The historical economist that admire the most is Knut Wicksell. The reason why I admire him is that he merged multiple different theories that nobody, at the time, saw as being even fully the same subject. Some believe he created the underpinnings of Keynesian economics.

In the same spirit, we need to break the myth that economists are not responsible for what happens in our society or our politics. They are only looking at one side of the same system, which is like looking at someone's ass and assuming it gives you an idea of what their face looks like or making believe they are not both part of the same organism. I think we ought to put them under pressure to start having serious and open discussions with sociologists and political scientists, so they can work out a system that harmonizes these different facets of collective eudaimonia.

Just trying to tie a blindfold around our eyes and pretending the neoliberal theories don't exist would, I think, be misguided. They actually do get the effect that their proponents claim they do.
They actually don't.
*wing-shrugs* Even if you were correct to entirely dismiss the neoclassical components of New Keynesian theory, which I am not sure about but not really interested in making a bone of contention, I think my core argument is still valid.

I mean seriously, can we get away from whether or not the neoclassical components of New Keynesianism are valid? I am glad to let you have that point if we can just get away from it. If you want it, have it. I need to try to get you on my side when we are discussing issues that I think are more important. I tend to trust the opinions of highly educated scientists, but I acknowledge the possibility that the popularity of New Keynesianism, among highly educated scientists that study the economy, could be politically motivated. I don't know it, but it's within the realm of possibility. It's not important to me, and I am willing to let it go. The fact that I misled you into thinking this was important to me was an accident. I am not really interested in dying on that hill.

My core argument is that inequality is probably substantially more harmful in underdeveloped areas, and I think that I have more than adequate evidence for this position.


This study might be from back in 2006, but I believe that the 2015 University of Wuerzburg study makes a similar argument:

Abstract: The inequality-economic growth debate remains unsettled. For instance, classical theories
point to the importance of incentives in increasing growth, but recent theories stress social and political
disruptions as causal factors in inhibiting growth. Conflicting empirical evidence has not helped, with
contradictory findings arising when employing different samples and alternative econometric techniques.
This study re-examines the linkage by contending that it is not surprising that past research uncovered
conflicting findings. For example, the transmission mechanism through which inequality/economic
incentives influence economic growth can be affected by factors such as urbanization and social cohesion.
Using U.S. county data over the 1990s, the empirical results suggest that the econometric results are
unstable when considering weighted regressions over the entire sample. Yet, consistent with our
hypothesized relationships, when separately considering metropolitan and nonmetropolitan samples, there
is a positive inequality-growth link in the urban sample, with the opposite holding in the nonmetro case.
Implications for both the inequality-growth literature and for public policy are discussed.



I came from a rural area, and that rural area could have genuinely benefited from redistribution.

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.

I am tired of seeing rural land barons clinging to gigantic tracts of land that they are not using. That land belongs in the hands of families in the same area that are struggling to survive.
The idea that land should always be economically productive is a bizarre and obscene concept that I thought had died in the middle of the twentieth century.

We shouldn't ever be thinking about what we can do to improve the economy. We need to think about how we make the economy improve things for us - all of us.

It's far from sufficient that an economic theory works. Nuclear weapons work, but that's not an argument for using them.
 
It's talking about redistribution--which says nothing about corruption and I'm saying corruption is the big problem.
Dude, is this part of some lame ideology that you've used to replace religion or something?

Look, if I want a new religion, I'll take up ancient Orphism or something.

Shoo.

Have you never seen third world corruption levels?

Let's consider an encounter with third world corruption I was on the edge of: Kano, Nigeria, 1982. Objective: Pick up a package of truck parts from the post office, approx value £20. As the parts were to be put in the truck and driven out of the country no import duty was due. Result: It took all day, £50 in bribes and one clerk ended up arrested. Note that arranging the shipment was accomplished by going to the airport and asking flight attendants on flights to London to carry a letter and mail it on arrival--and meeting every flight coming from London and asking if they have a letter. That was because there was no operational inter-city phone service and the radiotelegraph generally didn't get through.
 
I came from a rural area, and that rural area could have genuinely benefited from redistribution.

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.

I am tired of seeing rural land barons clinging to gigantic tracts of land that they are not using. That land belongs in the hands of families in the same area that are struggling to survive.

People usually don't just sit on big chunks of useful land. Why are they not doing something with it? Hint: The land probably isn't useful. Agriculture is limited by water, not by land area.
 
indicating a relationship between overall taxation on individuals and poverty isn't apparent.
No shit. So what is the point of the government taking more of our income? Why is it better for the government to have my money and not me? Just so much waste in government.
Someone has to pay for those $100k government Cadillac pensions for all the administrators and loafers who are paid to spy on us daily.. Democrat shills like Comey and Clapper....they obviously need your money more than you do Trausti..
 

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.
Would it not just be easier just to move the 1000 people to NYC rather than to centrally manage a rural economy? Somehow you found your way into the promiseland of NYC Sigma. Maybe the rest of the rural impoverished should just follow your footsteps and go on with their life.. If you are not doing well where you live just cut the rope and move on. After all, that is what they did in the early 1900's but instead of NYC it was California.
 
indicating a relationship between overall taxation on individuals and poverty isn't apparent.
No shit. So what is the point of the government taking more of our income? Why is it better for the government to have my money and not me? Just so much waste in government.
Someone has to pay for those $100k government Cadillac pensions for all the administrators and loafers who are paid to spy on us daily.. Democrat shills like Comey and Clapper....they obviously need your money more than you do Trausti..
The government doesn't need taxes in order to have money to spend.

Taxes don't pay for the spending of currency issuing governments at all.

Money isn't a commodity. A currency issuer has an infinite and inexhaustible supply of it. How could they possibly need any more?

They tax you to give the currency value; Not so that they have currency to spend. If they didn't collect taxes in dollars, why would anyone want dollars? In the absence of taxation, your dollars would be worthless. It's better for you to have fewer dollars that have value, than it would be for you to have lots of completely worthless dollars.
 
I came from a rural area, and that rural area could have genuinely benefited from redistribution.

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.

I am tired of seeing rural land barons clinging to gigantic tracts of land that they are not using. That land belongs in the hands of families in the same area that are struggling to survive.

People usually don't just sit on big chunks of useful land. Why are they not doing something with it? Hint: The land probably isn't useful. Agriculture is limited by water, not by land area.
I came from a place where they do. Parts of the rural United States have a very nearly medieval culture. You would have had to experience it to believe it, which you probably haven't, which means you don't unless you really happen to trust me and like me enough to take my word for it. We could try that, but we would really have to get to know each other a little bit better before we went there. I'll pass.
 
It's talking about redistribution--which says nothing about corruption and I'm saying corruption is the big problem.
Dude, is this part of some lame ideology that you've used to replace religion or something?

Look, if I want a new religion, I'll take up ancient Orphism or something.

Shoo.

Have you never seen third world corruption levels?

Let's consider an encounter with third world corruption I was on the edge of: Kano, Nigeria, 1982. Objective: Pick up a package of truck parts from the post office, approx value £20. As the parts were to be put in the truck and driven out of the country no import duty was due. Result: It took all day, £50 in bribes and one clerk ended up arrested. Note that arranging the shipment was accomplished by going to the airport and asking flight attendants on flights to London to carry a letter and mail it on arrival--and meeting every flight coming from London and asking if they have a letter. That was because there was no operational inter-city phone service and the radiotelegraph generally didn't get through.
The study I showed you suggests that redistribution actually works pretty well in low and middle income countries. You can argue with the results of the study if you want to. I mean if you just do not like unified growth theory, I get it, but I am not going to trade rhetoric with you. Good day.
 
SigmatheZeta said:
*wing-shrugs*

I don't really think of myself in terms of whether I am left or right. My current notions are either accurate or inaccurate, and my priority is upholding the dignity of human life by the most efficient possible means. I am indifferent to inequality, per se, except insofar as it might be politically harmful in certain situations or beyond a certain threshold.

I am open to the possibility that the current extremes of inequality, in the present-day United States, might be damaging our democratic institutions and eroding our political stability, but that is not because I disagree with inequality, in principle: it is because I suspect that, beyond a certain threshold, inequality might contribute to fueling sociopolitical problems that could otherwise be avoided. If it could be demonstrated, to my satisfaction, that inequality were not causing such problems, then I would not be bothered by it, but that has not been demonstrated, to my satisfaction.

If there is any research that clearly proves that inequality could cause attrition in democracies, then I am not aware of it, but it just occurred to me in this moment that I might explore that for a while. I will get back to you on it, but in the meantime, feel free to fill me in on what you currently have at your disposal.

I am predisposed to being skeptical of the idea that an infinite expansion of inequality is either desirable or sustainable. There is a long history of supposed "god-king" dynasties being burned to ashes. If there is a possibility of such a threshold where this course of development would become inevitable, then it would behoove us to take that threshold into account.

We can produce evidence for that hypothesis, or we can fail to produce evidence for that hypothesis.

Just as a matter of arithmetic, slower growth with more inequality means most people worse off than they'd otherwise have been. Then there's the precarity, wage stagnation, unaffordable housing and all the other socially corrosive shit that has come with neoliberalism. If it was just some folks getting rich, few would care.

As far as your denial that we could possibly need a political alliance with billionaires, @Canard DuJour, the truth is that we currently are barely able to maintain a Democratic majority for even short lengths of time. They have made it abundantly clear that if we treat them as hated enemies, rather than as potential allies in the cause of preserving human dignity and advancing the human race, then they can fuck us from three different directions if they want to do so.

Like how? Galt's Gulch or something? Their power rests on a thin veneer of beliefs - e.g. trickledown economics - which we could just stop believing. That's why they spend fortunes pushing them.
New Keynesianism is not "trickle-down," but it is a synthesis of Keynesianism and neo-classical economic theory.
That doesn't make it not trickledown. It strips out the demand-side logic of Keynes and retains all the "micro-founded" bits of neoclassical with supply-side logic baked in.

The trouble with it is that the mathematics are actually accurate, and they actually predict what they are supposed to predict.
Like what?

What they are not taking into account are sociological consequences that can ultimately threaten the stability of the surrounding civilization. I was at the Black Lives Matter protest, and while it was, on one hand, the most fun that I had had since playing paintball when I was a kid, I cannot help but think that it is not really a sustainable way to run a country or to hold a civilization together.

Now, with disinformation about masks helping COVID-19 spread, I think that we might have a bit of a problem.

My opinion--and this is only my opinion--is that we are incorrect to look upon economics, mathematics, and political science as three different subjects. They are really different aspects of the same subject.

When you talk about an economic theory that can energize the economy,
New Keynesianism has not "energised" the economy. Growth rates have fallen. Housing bubbles and the stock market are not the economy.

that sounds good right up until you start noticing an upwelling of political extremism. It sounds good right up until people have started misguided moral crusades that are going to lead to a dangerous Puritanical state. It sounds good right up until the riots start, and at some point, you start questioning your decision-making process.

New Keynesian economic theory actually does work, but the problem is that it works too well. It overheats the system, and if we don't want to get cooked alive, we have got to figure out a way to regulate the heat.

Oh, I have an idea! Let's just cap inequality permanently at right where it was BEFORE we started breaking out in riots, and when inequality starts to rise above that ceiling, we increase taxes and start paying down the debt with the revenue.

That sounds good, but you would have to get a team of sociologists, political scientists, and economists together, so they can actually confirm whether or not that would actually work. There is a possibility that I could be wrong. It feels right, but I would want to see how the empirical evidence for it matches up with the math.

I suspect that the riots and the insurrection are not a coincidence, but they are happening for the same reasons why we were having labor riots and revolutions in the early 20th Century. Oh, and we had these two little wars I heard about. The early 20th Century was kind of nuts.

iu


By comparison, people were actually protesting AGAINST war in the 1960's and 1970's, and we abolished the draft a little while later.

I think it is probably true that inequality DOES make people competitive, but competitiveness also makes people want to go to war.

That is what I think that New Keynesian theory is probably missing, and that kind of phenomenon simply cannot be taken into account by economic theory alone.

The historical economist that admire the most is Knut Wicksell. The reason why I admire him is that he merged multiple different theories that nobody, at the time, saw as being even fully the same subject. Some believe he created the underpinnings of Keynesian economics.

In the same spirit, we need to break the myth that economists are not responsible for what happens in our society or our politics. They are only looking at one side of the same system, which is like looking at someone's ass and assuming it gives you an idea of what their face looks like or making believe they are not both part of the same organism. I think we ought to put them under pressure to start having serious and open discussions with sociologists and political scientists, so they can work out a system that harmonizes these different facets of collective eudaimonia.

Just trying to tie a blindfold around our eyes and pretending the neoliberal theories don't exist would, I think, be misguided. They actually do get the effect that their proponents claim they do.
They actually don't.
*wing-shrugs* Even if you were correct to entirely dismiss the neoclassical components of New Keynesian theory, which I am not sure about but not really interested in making a bone of contention, I think my core argument is still valid.

I mean seriously, can we get away from whether or not the neoclassical components of New Keynesianism are valid? I am glad to let you have that point if we can just get away from it. If you want it, have it. I need to try to get you on my side when we are discussing issues that I think are more important. I tend to trust the opinions of highly educated scientists, but I acknowledge the possibility that the popularity of New Keynesianism, among highly educated scientists that study the economy, could be politically motivated. I don't know it, but it's within the realm of possibility. It's not important to me, and I am willing to let it go. The fact that I misled you into thinking this was important to me was an accident. I am not really interested in dying on that hill.

My core argument is that inequality is probably substantially more harmful in underdeveloped areas, and I think that I have more than adequate evidence for this position.


This study might be from back in 2006, but I believe that the 2015 University of Wuerzburg study makes a similar argument:

Abstract: The inequality-economic growth debate remains unsettled. For instance, classical theories
point to the importance of incentives in increasing growth, but recent theories stress social and political
disruptions as causal factors in inhibiting growth. Conflicting empirical evidence has not helped, with
contradictory findings arising when employing different samples and alternative econometric techniques.
This study re-examines the linkage by contending that it is not surprising that past research uncovered
conflicting findings. For example, the transmission mechanism through which inequality/economic
incentives influence economic growth can be affected by factors such as urbanization and social cohesion.
Using U.S. county data over the 1990s, the empirical results suggest that the econometric results are
unstable when considering weighted regressions over the entire sample. Yet, consistent with our
hypothesized relationships, when separately considering metropolitan and nonmetropolitan samples, there
is a positive inequality-growth link in the urban sample, with the opposite holding in the nonmetro case.
Implications for both the inequality-growth literature and for public policy are discussed.



I came from a rural area, and that rural area could have genuinely benefited from redistribution.

What I would do would be to instate a high state tax on rural property that is not currently being used for agriculture, but I would combine that with bills that provide education opportunities and housing assistance for the poorest people in those areas. This would have the effect of income redistribution.

I am tired of seeing rural land barons clinging to gigantic tracts of land that they are not using. That land belongs in the hands of families in the same area that are struggling to survive.
The idea that land should always be economically productive is a bizarre and obscene concept that I thought had died in the middle of the twentieth century.

We shouldn't ever be thinking about what we can do to improve the economy. We need to think about how we make the economy improve things for us - all of us.

It's far from sufficient that an economic theory works. Nuclear weapons work, but that's not an argument for using them.
Someone needs a house large enough to raise a family in, maybe a yard large enough to keep a dog in, and MAYBE enough room for a mini-horse or a well-behaved pony. They do not need several acres of disused land that they are clinging to just in order to sell it for a higher price at a later date.
 
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