I apologize in advance for the length of this post.
I would like to discuss the notion that the majority of people living in Europe in the Middle Ages had no working knowledge of a spherical earth. I will discuss two aspects of this idea: 1) the general level of literacy in the Middle Ages, and 2) Mandeville’s Travels.
Levels of Literacy
Tim, you concede that “this is not to say that there were not some or perhaps even many among the unlearned in the period who had no conception of the earth as a sphere.” I would agree with that statement, and add that the unlearned (and illiterate) were the vast majority of the population.
First, I will admit that levels of literacy rose dramatically from the early Middle Ages (say, the time of Charlemagne, who was himself supposedly illiterate) to the later Middle Ages. However those with a higher education and exposure to a detailed study of geography and natural philosophy remained a small minority. I’ve read that even the lower levels of the priesthood were often illiterate.
Second, literacy meant two different things in the Medieval period. There was what we today would call literacy, that is the ability to read and write in the vernacular with at least some degree of proficiency, but there was also a second meaning, and that is the ability to read and write Latin. It is this second type of literacy that gave access to learned texts, and that still remained the expertise of the few.
Mandeville
I first read The Travels of Sir John Mandeville about twenty years ago, and found it delightful. It is among other things part travelogue and part compendium of fabulous tales. I now understand that it may have been in part a pastiche of previous writings, but in any case after its appearance in the fourteenth century it became enormously popular, and remained so for many decades (it’s said to have inspired Columbus).
Now you quote the story Mandeville relates of a man who apparently circumnavigated the globe without realizing it, and you conclude “The author doesn’t bother to explain how this would work and assumes his popular audience understood the earth to be a sphere.” I disagree with that conclusion, for Mandeville is writing a book of wonders and fabulous tales, such as visiting a country where the people are headless and have their eyes located in their shoulders. Why would he include the story of this inadvertent circumnavigation if it were not to astonish his readers?
Furthermore, Mandeville certainly does explain how a circumnavigation would work. He spends nearly a thousand words explaining his proof that the world is a globe (using calculations by Astrolabe among other things) before he recounts the anecdote; it is introduced as a final example. His basic proof involves the fact that the so-called Lode Star (North Star) sinks into the horizon as one travels south and becomes unseen, whereupon (he says) there appears a South Star, which he names the Antarctic, suitable for navigation in the “lower” climes. Mandeville claims:
For which cause men may well perceive, that the land and the sea be of round shape and form, for the part of the firmament sheweth in one country that sheweth not in another country. And men may well prove by experience and subtle compassment of wit, that if a man found passages by ships that would go to search the world, men might go by ship all about the world and above and beneath.
Mandeville recognizes that learned men know this. He says that “old wise astronomers” calculate the circumference as 20,425 miles, but that he himself thinks it’s greater than that.
Clearly, Mandeville thinks his audience will be amazed by his recounting. And who might that audience be? In his prologue he writes that his original composition was in Latin, but he translated it into English so that “every man of my nation may understand it,” including “lords and knights and other noble and worthy men that con Latin but little…”
Conclusion
I believe it is fair to say that the concept of the spherical earth was not widely known in the Middle Ages, but existed only n the understandings of the highly educated few, if for no other reason than that, as a concept, it affected the daily lives of the great majority of (unlearned) people very little.