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Democrats 2024

lpetrich

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Biden and aides telling allies he is running in 2024 amid growing Democratic fears - The Washington Post
President Biden and members of his inner circle have reassured allies in recent days that he plans to run for reelection in 2024, as they take steps to deflect concern about the 79-year-old president’s commitment to another campaign and growing Democratic fears of a coming Republican return to power.

The efforts come as the broader Democratic community has become increasingly anxious after a bruising six-month stretch that has seen Biden’s national approval rating plummet more than a dozen points, into the low 40s, amid growing concerns about inflation, Democratic infighting in Washington and faltering public health efforts to move beyond the covid-19 pandemic.
 2024 United States presidential election

Speculated about: Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Stacey Abrams

Declined: Andrew Cuomo, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren
 
 2024 United States presidential election

Speculated about: Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Stacey Abrams
Sorry; none of those three has a chance of winning the general election. The octogenarian would get more votes than any of them.

If the Dems do come up with a champion who has a chance, the QOP may run its best candidate, Nikki Haley. Optimism is good, but realistically QOP hegemony will arrive real soon.

The Wiki page has a section titled General_election_polling. Some poll results are colored blue, some red. Whoever did the coloring failed to note that the D will need to win the popular vote by at least 3% to overcome the bias present in Electoral College demographics.
 
No idea, who will be the Democratic nominee in 2024. I don't think any of the alternatives to Biden mentioned in the OP can win at this time. There could be a Dem that's working behind the scenes that would do better, but I have no way of knowing. I think it's too early to say.
 
Let's look at the candidates' ages.

Joe Biden 79, Kamala Harris 57, Pete Buttigieg 40, Elizabeth Warren 72, Bernie Sanders 80, Amy Klobuchar 62

Only some of them are superannuated. They'd likely be up against Donald Trump 75 or Ron DeSantis 43.

The Democratic House leadership: Nancy Pelosi 82, Steny Hoyer 82, Jim Clyburn 81, Hakeem Jeffries 51

The Democratic Senate leadership: Chuck Schumer 71, Dick Durbin 77

House Democratic Leadership Positions – Congressional Institute

In response to redistricting, several pairs of incumbents are running in the same district, in what I call Thunderdome primaries. Two incumbents in, one incumbent out. One of them is the new NY-12, and Jerrold Nadler 74 and Carolyn Maloney 76 are now running in it. They had previously been in several districts, and I mention the two because JN is the head of the House Judiciary Committee and CM the head of the House Oversight Committee.
 
 2024 United States presidential election

Speculated about: Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Stacey Abrams
Sorry; none of those three has a chance of winning the general election. The octogenarian would get more votes than any of them.
I have a hard time figuring if Stacy Abrams can be an Obama (charisma, can win elections) or is merely a Super Howard Dean (super at strategy).
If the Dems do come up with a champion who has a chance, the QOP may run its best candidate, Nikki Haley. Optimism is good, but realistically QOP hegemony will arrive real soon.
I go back and forth on whether Trump wants to run. I mean, we all know Trump loves running for office. Discharging the duties of office, no... running, hell yeah!

No one would oppose Trump, which does create issues because in the US, running for President requires $1 billion in money, and you don't raise $1 billion in *starts tearing up* just a year. *bawling... our damn elections are too damn long!!!* Trump is likely going to starve the electoral campaigns of oxygen the longer he doesn't say what he'll do.

Nikki Hailey is definitely their star, but Gov. Abbott isn't a throw away. A complete idiot, anti-American asshole, but Abbott has positioned himself to gain the admiration of the alt-right. Hailey's gift would being able to swoon the idiot moderates. Gov. Noem is out there as well, but lacks name recognition outside of alt-right'ers. But without Trump stepping aside, it'll be hard to get the money needed to run. But no questions asked, they'll be running as Mussolini III.
The Wiki page has a section titled General_election_polling. Some poll results are colored blue, some red. Whoever did the coloring failed to note that the D will need to win the popular vote by at least 3% to overcome the bias present in Electoral College demographics.
2022 will help signal to us where Georgia stands for 2024. Whether it was a freak 2008 Indiana, or whether Abrams broke the code for good. The GOP can't lose Georgia or Arizona without gaining Wisconsin or Michigan.
 
As long as Biden picks a decent vice, and does so BEFORE running primary, I would vote for him regardless.

Make it clear that a vote for him is as much a vote for his vice as President, and the game theory works out just fine for me.

I'm not sure I want a president Harris? Still, if he wouldn't budge it would be close-ish. Better than a lot of alternatives.
 
CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024 - CNNPolitics
The new poll shows 31% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters 45 years and older would prefer Biden to be the 2024 nominee.

Among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters under 45, just 18% prefer Biden as the 2024 nominee.

The top 10 Democratic candidates for president in 2024, ranked - The Washington Post

10. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Rep. D-NY-14 (Previous ranking: 10)
9. Roy Cooper: NC Gov (Previous ranking: 6)
8. Gretchen Whitmer: MI Gov (Previous ranking: N/A)
7. Gavin Newsom: CA Gov (Previous ranking: 9)
6. Bernie Sanders: Sen. I(D)-VT (Previous ranking: N/A)
5. Elizabeth Warren: Sen. D-MA (Previous ranking: 4)
4. Amy Klobuchar: Sen. D-MN (Previous ranking: 5)
3. Kamala D. Harris: VP (Previous ranking: 3)
2. Pete Buttigieg: Sec'y of Transportation (Previous ranking: 2)
1. President Biden: (Previous ranking: 1)

AOC is the Democrats’ best shot against Trump in 2024 | The Hill

"She’s Barack Obama if Barack Obama was an actual progressive. I love Obama, but he was a moderate who sounded like a progressive."

But she doesn't seem to want the job, and she hasn't visited Iowa and New Hampshire very much. Back in 2019 and 2020, she did so when she was campaigning for Bernie Sanders, but not since then.
 
10. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Rep. D-NY-14 (Previous ranking: 10)
That ranking is off by at least 30 places, probably 50. '

Barring a genuine decline of his health, I really think Biden will run again. None of the people standing in the wings are that impressive.
Purple state governors would do well in the general, but may not prevail in the very base-dependent primaries. Except Whitmer is the inverse. Her anti-pipeline stance will play well with the base, but not in the general, given that we need easier access to energy, not harder.
Kamala Harris is formidable on paper, but on tarmac, not so much.
Bernie Sanders is too old. Warren is not as old, admittedly, but she is not very popular. She finished 3rd in the primary in her own state for fuck's sake! So neither should be in top 10. Klobuchar is anti-porn, so I hope she is nowhere close to the Oval Office. Buttigieg has a very interesting resume, but Transportation is not a very high profile cabinet post. There is an open gubernatorial race in Indiana in 2024 that he should strongly consider. If he wins, he'd be in a strong position for 2032, at only 50 years old.

I do not know what this guy is smoking, but it must be some strong shit!
bill-hader-hader.gif


The Hill said:
Yes, the smart, photogenic congresswoman is the face of the rising progressive movement, but she is also the future of the Democratic Party. AOC has cultivated a following beyond politics. She’s an influencer in its purest form.
I really hope that she is not the future of the Democratic Party. And her being an "influencer" should not be taken as something positive.

"She’s Barack Obama if Barack Obama was an actual progressive. I love Obama, but he was a moderate who sounded like a progressive."
She does not have a scintilla of Obama's political talent.
And she has yet to show she can win statewide, even in a state as lefty as NY. She could run for Senate in 2024 (would have to primary Gillibrand most likely) or 2028 (Schumer will probably retire then) or governor in 2026. Just like with Buttigieg, her earliest credible attempt would be in 2032, at age 42. While she is de jure old enough in 2024, she would be 8 years younger than the youngest president elected (JFK) and 7 years younger than the youngest president to ascend to office (Teddy Roosevelt).

But she doesn't seem to want the job, and she hasn't visited Iowa and New Hampshire very much. Back in 2019 and 2020, she did so when she was campaigning for Bernie Sanders, but not since then.
Well she is likely more grounded in reality than the writer. Not that that's saying much.
 
CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024 - CNNPolitics
The new poll shows 31% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters 45 years and older would prefer Biden to be the 2024 nominee.

Among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters under 45, just 18% prefer Biden as the 2024 nominee.

The top 10 Democratic candidates for president in 2024, ranked - The Washington Post

10. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Rep. D-NY-14 (Previous ranking: 10)
9. Roy Cooper: NC Gov (Previous ranking: 6)
8. Gretchen Whitmer: MI Gov (Previous ranking: N/A)
7. Gavin Newsom: CA Gov (Previous ranking: 9)
6. Bernie Sanders: Sen. I(D)-VT (Previous ranking: N/A)
5. Elizabeth Warren: Sen. D-MA (Previous ranking: 4)
4. Amy Klobuchar: Sen. D-MN (Previous ranking: 5)
3. Kamala D. Harris: VP (Previous ranking: 3)
2. Pete Buttigieg: Sec'y of Transportation (Previous ranking: 2)
1. President Biden: (Previous ranking: 1)

AOC is the Democrats’ best shot against Trump in 2024 | The Hill

"She’s Barack Obama if Barack Obama was an actual progressive. I love Obama, but he was a moderate who sounded like a progressive."

But she doesn't seem to want the job, and she hasn't visited Iowa and New Hampshire very much. Back in 2019 and 2020, she did so when she was campaigning for Bernie Sanders, but not since then.
I wonder why Katie Porter is missing from this list?
 
I wonder why Katie Porter is missing from this list?
Beats me. I also don't know why Pete Buttigieg is being talked about so much. KP would make a good alternative to PB I think.
 
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I wonder why Katie Porter is missing from this list?
She is a Congresswoman. Last time we elected somebody whose highest office was member of the House of Representatives was James Garfield in 1880.
Besides, I do not see a California liberal playing well in the Rust Belt. Hillary has shown in 2016 that Dems do need those states to win. Getting 70% in California (as opposed to 62% for Hillary and 63% for Biden) will not get her one single EV more, but losing Wisconsin and/or Pennsylvania would be very costly.
Gavin Newsom will have the same problem, but at least he has the credibility of being a governor.
 
Beats me. I also don't know why Pete Buttigieg is being talked about so much. KP would make a good alternative to PB I think.
PB has a very interesting resume - Navy, mayor of a midsized city. More interesting than Porter who has the cookie-cutter politician career path what with her law degree.

Also, PB is from a red-leaning state, which would be helpful in the general election.

On the other hand, PB really disappointed at Transportation with his obsession with racist overpasses and such.
 
Katie Porter's district is in Orange County, a part of California with a reputation of having lots of right wingers. "B-1 Bob" Dornan came from there. But in recent years, that area has become Democratic enough to go from electing B-1 Bob to electing Whiteboard Katie.

She was indeed a law clerk and a lawyer, and she became a law professor, even writing a textbook, "Modern Consumer Law". That may be how she got her skill with whiteboards: a lot of practice as a professor.
 
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