That is the issue with determinism, predetermination, and in determinism. No one can show which the universe actually is I have yet to see someone propose a test to show which it is.
The notion of reliable cause and effect is demonstrated in everything that happens and everything that we do. It is so common that we all take it for granted, until something breaks down and needs to be fixed. The ability to fix it assumes there is a cause and that the cause can be remedied. So, the notion that all events are reliably caused seems to be a reasonable assumption. Even if we have no clue what the cause is, we assume there is a cause.
The evidence against that assumption would be events that can be proven to be uncaused. But how could an uncaused event be demonstrated in any laboratory experiment? An experiment would need to reproduce the event under controlled conditions. But reproducing the event requires that we are able to "cause the uncaused event", a paradoxical notion.
Such events are generally called "spontaneous".
We have plenty of events observed that seem to happen spontaneously, that this is just a function of how stuff behaves between spontaneous vacuum fluctuations, to spontaneous tunneling events, to spontaneous decays.
Much of cosmology and QM is about discussing the probabilities of such spontaneous events.
The only model in which these are proposed as dererministic is Superdeterminism, and as discussed, this is an unfalsifiable proposition: it's useless for saying anything the system SHALL do, though it is useful for understanding what the system MAY contain (deterministic choice, wills, requirements, and freedom or lack thereof within the system towards the requirement).
As noted, we have observed MANY spontaneous events that appear absolutely stochastically as far as we can tell.
Superdeterminism only offers a model for allowing one to describe a stochastic system of apparently infinite extent as deterministic rather than merely a finite system.
It means for "freedom", "choice" and "will" to exist in stochastic systems it must exist in deterministic ones.
may be. "spontaneous" is really more about "I didn't see that coming" more than spontaneous. Like a pink unicorn popping out of my kitchen floor. The math says its can happen. The reality is that it will never happen under the conditions we are at right now.
QM is based on probability so it has to add up to one.
We don't even know what space-time is. My guess is that when we do, one step closer to "predetermined" we will be. Like life was predetermined the moment it went "bang". Even though before it did, we couldn't tell. After we look back, the simplest we can say is "Life was inevitable".
As I've pointed out, no matter what it is, you cannot say with any certainty that life was pre-determined. It was inevitable, but inevitability is not predetermination.
Predetermination in mathematical systems means that it was specified, as part of the initial condition.
Again, you conflate "determination by course" and predetermination.
In many ways, "predetermination" is mostly the thing that may be said to be the illusion. Obviously, not always. All predeterminations seem to flow back to a determination by course, of our world.
100% deterministic = predetermination to me. There is no difference ' xcept that maybe "predetermine" implies an agent thinking about the final outcome and there is no need for me to entertain that as of yet. I think we all said that we aren't certain.
Again, "deterministic" doesn't actually satisfy
pre. The issue here is that you can't get the result without the transform, without the determined.
It
requires operation. In some respects one may entertain all kinds of Cosmologies wherein certain aspects are considered "pre" determined.
In superdeterminism, all the probabilistic RNG results are considered predetermined, for example, since the values it produces aren't correlated with the system, but are merely imposed on it in the preordained order.
Even so,
these are not the things making the choices! They aren't even necessary to the concept of choice in the simulation. It is the specific personality elements which determine which of the requirements get selected, or the proximity to the object being selected, or some other fixed process choice!
And because they cannot control the fixed process choices of other entities, it may end up that the Kea gets the cheese, not the dwarf, not by preordained chance but by just normal loss of a competition which the dwarf could not predict the result of, because he lacks "completeness", as every thing in his universe must.
If the dwarf had the power to predict the universe perfectly along an extension, between one moment and the next, he might have chosen a different thing, but this doesn't imply he lacks the freedom to choose, but rather would imply a
lack of constraint.
Likewise he may discover some things he utterly lacks the freedom to do, on account of which limits of locality he is bound to, with respect to his natural system, such as to be a hundred "squares" away in a mere moment short of being made dead in the process, for example. This would be the set of "that which he cannot possibly do".
Even then he would be free attempt wills he knows are unfree. He could be unfree, freely.
What a marvelously silly thought that still somehow works!
There are some really interesting aspects to more than one dwarf having this power insofar as you observe: systems in the universe owing to QM end up "whole" one way or the other.
In fact, dwarves do have some limited power to do this owing to a "dibs" rule on things within a non-local element that operates in a preordained turn order.
And even so, it is not prederermined that Rovod would get his meal and the Kea would get Urist's meal, even were they to have this power, because it was not predetermined "thus on the fourth day of The Month of Sapphire, Urist shall lose to the Kea". What was "preordained" was merely "the seed of the RNG is 0".
If you want to extend the initial condition to
stupid proportions by specifying a one-time-pad, you could say "the seven billionth roll shall be 123, the seven billionth and first shall be 253", but you can't even know without
determining by course how those numbers will be evaluated. You have no way short of step... Step... Step... Through the process to know that. So it was again determined by course, not prederermined.
If you were to say ALL of it was pre-determined, this is equivalent of saying that every frame of the universe is like a painted frame, just so, and any frame is not correlated with it's neighbors, that just happens to be organized in a way that seems to have continuity of physics and does not, and thus the system would lack realism: the idea that the system has regular and reliable behavior.