Here's just a reality check. I have noticed a sharp increase of "Russia is doomed and will any day fall" youtube and instagram clips. These videos were always there, but now they've completely taken over my feeds.
Is it just me who have accidentally triggered a shift in my algorithm or have you also noticed it?
I use neither YouTube nor Instagram, but I have noticed that the trend in news is away from "Russia might make a big breakthrough" and towards "Russian logistics are so degraded that their frontline could collapse", along with "Russian morale is so low that mutiny and/or revolt is being increasingly discussed as an option".
Of course, everybody is lying, exaggerating their favourite narratives, and minimising those they don't like. But the Ukrainian claims seem less implausible, and the Russian counterclaims more laughable by the day.
If we are to believe the Russians, they could win this in a week, and could have at any time since it all kicked off, but they are holding back because
mumble mumble.
Ukraine is making fewer really grandiose claims, and when they do achieve solid results, they bring reciepts. And they have a clear strategy, striking Russian logistic depth, particularly in fuel supplies. It won't win them the war in a week, or probably even this year; But it stops Russia from gaining anything in return for the thiusands of men they shovel into the meat-grinder, and it brings the reality of war home to the comfortable middle class in Moscow, neither of which improves Mad Vlad's chances of dying peacefully of old age.
