SLD
Contributor
US scrambles to evacuate citizens and allies from Afghanistan | Ashraf Ghani News | Al Jazeera - "A top US general says the collapse of Afghan forces in 11 days against the Taliban offensive was not foreseeable."
Not foreseeable? The running joke during my last tour was: “These people won’t last 20 minutes after we’re gone.” And the reply: “That long, eh?”
I predicted long ago that army units would make deals with the locals not to screw with each other. And they did indeed. I didn’t realize though that those deals would go even further and simply result in their wholesale surrender. But it’s obvious. Once the Taliban made initial gains the collapse just rapidly accelerated. What was the point of resisting once it became clear what the inevitable outcome was going to be. Unlike in Vietnam, they could make deals with the opposition so that they will not likely be harmed or imprisoned. They had the opportunity to join the winning side.
In truth the Afghans are just tired of 42 years of unrelenting warfare. I really don’t blame them. At this point, everyone needs to come to terms with the reality and move on. I sincerely hope that Afghanistan finds peace and is able to mend itself after all this shit. I even think we should help, provided they don’t allow for Al Qaeda to establish safe havens, or start some genocidal campaign against the Hazaras or other ethnic minorities. Co opt them, instead of obstruct them. As long as we aren’t attacked again, I could care less what kind of fucked up religion they want to follow and use as their government.
The US military needs to utterly review and revise its counterinsurgency strategy. But we don’t need to beat ourselves up too much. We did what we could for 20 years, it was time to get the fuck out of there. We have other strategic priorities. This isn’t the end of the United States. There are a lot of wrong lessons to take from this.