• Welcome to the new Internet Infidels Discussion Board, formerly Talk Freethought.

Covid-19 miscellany

The readers of this thread will note that TSwizzle has provided no discussion for why *he* thinks any of the studies are flawed.

(I address other readers of this thread because I know a lot of people read and enjoy the discussions, and many of us learn from discussions that we read. TSwizzle is not among thse who read to learn, and that I why I do not waste my time addressing him as if to change his opinion; his opinion is cemented and is not based on any scientific analysis of data whatsoever, as evidenced by his choice to quote sleazy tabloids for every point he makes. Hence I know the people I’m in conversation with are other readers, including those who do not post at all.)

The studies are published and peer reviewed by people who understand how to use - or not use - data to draw useful and predictive conclusions.

No scientist, of course, intends to claim anything with 100% certainty. But they know, and we know, that if something is 50% effective or 80% oeffective at reducing disease or severe outcome, it is worth doing. Scientists know that it would be monstrously unethical to do a designed study or double blind, when people’s lives are on the line.

But they can look to places that create the conditions that a designed experiment would recommend, and then look at outcomes there as a test. When they do enough of these, and the results all point in the same direction, that adds to the certainty of the predictive conclusion And its usefulness in public policy.

Masks work.
They work when worn widely.
They are worn more widely when they are easy to get.
The have become easier to get as this pandemic has worn on.

Prior to the pandemic, it was well known with a lot of supporting data that certain professions and certain cultures wearing masks helped reduce the spread of disease. There is not a lack of data. And it all points in one direction.

It is not guaranteed. But it improves outcomes.
It is not the only thing. But it improves outcomes.

Along comes TSwizzle who claims masks have NO effect. Who dismisses studies as “flawed” without discussing any flaw or presenting contradicting studies. Who looks at evidence and decides to claim it is not evidence.

Evidence is the data that relates to a hypothesis. It might be supporting evidence, and it might be refuting evidence, it might even be inconclusive evidence.

Yet TSwizzle does not appear to understand this and seems to confuse “evidence” with “proof.” It sounds like he’s trying to say, “that’s not proof,” even though he mistakenly uses the word “evidence.”

But the evidence piles up, and in one direction. Masks help.

We will never have “proof” that “guarantees” stopping transmission; but doing the right thing has never asked for “proof” or “guarantees” of “100% efficacy.” Consilient evidence for improved outcome is sufficient.

He looks for excuses to justify defiant behavior. He thinks he has found it when he can say, “no 100% guarantee - no cooperation!” But lack of 100% single-mechanism guaranteed-outcome proof does not equal, and it never has equalled, a reasonable refusal of the application of the evidence.
 
Evidence is the data that relates to a hypothesis. It might be supporting evidence, and it might be refuting evidence, it might even be inconclusive evidence.
At best the "evidence" such as it is, is inconclusive.
 
I am not going to accept flawed studies as evidence. I don't know why anyone would.
Why are the studies flawed?
Prof Holger J Schünemann, MD is a conscientious scientist. He cautioned that the metastudy's conclusions were of low certainty because none of the 172 observational studies across 16 countries and six continents he, Derek K Chu, MD, Prof Elie A Akl, MD, Stephanie Duda, MSc, Karla Solo and MSc Sally Yaacoub, MPH examined satisfied the gold standard in science of being randomized, double-blinded controlled trials. So, yes, those are the flaws.

Nevertheless, those flaws did not make the authors resile from concluding that
Face mask use could result in a large reduction in risk of infection (n=2647; aOR 0·15, 95% CI 0·07 to 0·34, RD −14·3%, −15·9 to −10·7; low certainty), with stronger associations with N95 or similar respirators compared with disposable surgical masks or similar (eg, reusable 12–16-layer cotton masks; pinteraction=0·090; posterior probability >95%, low certainty).
and
Optimum use of face masks, respirators, and eye protection in public and health-care settings should be informed by these findings and contextual factors. Robust randomised trials are needed to better inform the evidence for these interventions, but this systematic appraisal of currently best available evidence might inform interim guidance.
The cautions are evidence of top level scientific diligence and it should be obvious to all but one member of this forum that the conclusions are nowhere near saying that there is no evidence that masks actually work. My reading of them is that there is evidence that they do work, but the extent to which they work as quantified in the various observational studies the authors looked at is of low certainty.

It is worth mentioning that the metastudy was published by the Lancet on June 01, 2020 after being peer-reviewed.
 
Evidence is the data that relates to a hypothesis. It might be supporting evidence, and it might be refuting evidence, it might even be inconclusive evidence.
At best the "evidence" such as it is, is inconclusive.
How would you know? You don't know what evidence is.
 
There is plenty of evidence in the article linked. You simply refuse to believe the evidence, such as the efficacy of mask use aboard the USS Theodore Roosevelt or the hair salon in Springfield MO. You scoff at studies performed in Bangladesh or China.
Yeah, that was lol ridiculous. As was Bangladesh.

...still a man will hear what he wants to hear and disregard the rest or something like that..

I'd listen to evidence but you guys never produce any. Stop presenting lame studies that suggest.

Bring evidence or pipe down.
In the real world you are often limited in what you can ethically research.

There are no controlled studies about masks because that would never get past an ethics panel. All we can do is compare the status quo with something above the status quo and you can't prohibit people from also taking other precautions. Thus you'll never find mask data completely isolated from other relevant things.

We do see that the doctors don't drop like flies when dealing with Covid patients--and the only thing they are doing that could reasonably be shielding them is the PPE they wear--and respirators are clearly an important part of that.

You'll never find good data on stuff below respirators because anyone serious about it has been using the respirators from when they could get their hands on them. You don't have a study group/control group situation, you have a serious about it/half-assed about it/idiot about it situation. Since people inherently self-select on this the data is contaminated no matter what.
 
Biden has now tested negative for covid and is no longer in quarantine.
But does he still have cancer?
No.
In a November 2021 memo summarizing Biden’s health, Dr. Kevin O’Connor, Biden’s physician for more than a decade, acknowledged that Biden had “several localized, non-melanoma skin cancers removed with Mohs surgery before he started his presidency.”

“These lesions were completely excised, with clear margins,” the report continued.
 
Beverly Hills mayor will not enforce masks if "Dr" Barbara Ferrer puts out a mandate;

Beverly Hills' Democratic mayor has appeared on Fox & Friends to slam Los Angeles' looming indoor mask mandate and stood firm that her city will NOT enforce it. Three-term mayor Lili Bosse revealed that she won't be dispatching officers in her city to police indoor mask wearing if the state reimposes the coronavirus restriction because she believes in 'the power of choice.' She previously struck down the possibility of enforcing an indoor mask mandate, and the council, led by herself, voted unanimously to not deploy resources. The mayor also said that forcing people to wear masks was a 'function of enforcement' and there are 'more important issues' to be tackling now, two years after the beginning of the pandemic.

Daily Mail


LA County is the only county in California (the country?) obsessing over masks and covid. "Dr" Barbara Ferrer is a nut.
 
The authoritarians will be disappointed;

The Los Angeles County Health Department declined Thursday to impose a universal public indoor mask mandate, citing a "decent decrease" in cases and hospitalizations. Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer made the announcement during a livestreamed meeting.
"Given the declines in case of hospitalization numbers, we're hopeful that the admission rate over the next few days remains under 10 new admissions per 100,000 residents and L.A. County is soon officially moved by (the Centers for Disease Control) to the 'medium' community level," Ferrer said. "As I noted last week, any indication that the county would soon be moving to the medium community level would be a good reason to not move forward with universal indoor masking."
Supervisor Kathryn Barger hailed the decision to hold off on reinstating the rule. "Unenforceable mandates don't work," Barger said in a statement Thursday afternoon. "We must continue to marshal our mandates and resources effectively in the fight against COVID-19."

LA News

Mysteriously, the cases and hospitalization numbers declined WITHOUT a mask mandate. Weird, huh?
 
The authoritarians will be disappointed;

The Los Angeles County Health Department declined Thursday to impose a universal public indoor mask mandate, citing a "decent decrease" in cases and hospitalizations. Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer made the announcement during a livestreamed meeting.
"Given the declines in case of hospitalization numbers, we're hopeful that the admission rate over the next few days remains under 10 new admissions per 100,000 residents and L.A. County is soon officially moved by (the Centers for Disease Control) to the 'medium' community level," Ferrer said. "As I noted last week, any indication that the county would soon be moving to the medium community level would be a good reason to not move forward with universal indoor masking."
Supervisor Kathryn Barger hailed the decision to hold off on reinstating the rule. "Unenforceable mandates don't work," Barger said in a statement Thursday afternoon. "We must continue to marshal our mandates and resources effectively in the fight against COVID-19."

LA News

Mysteriously, the cases and hospitalization numbers declined WITHOUT a mask mandate. Weird, huh?
Not at all. Vaccinations are working. A couple of weeks or a little more after school starts again, and kids start sharing their germs with each other and bringing home their germs to their families, there will be another wave with the newest variant. Idiots will resist masking and more people will get sick. Latest variant is more infections but USUALLY less serious. But people will die unnecessarily and other people will be unnecessarily ill. We still don't know if those who suffer from long COVID will still have side effects in another year or five years. Hopefully not but it's really unknown how much permanent damage the virus and its variants does.
 
Vaccinations are working.
In what way do you think the vaccinations are working? Keeping people out of the hospital, less severe symptoms? Probably.

Stopping the spread? Not so much.
Vaccinations certainly are reducing the severity of symptom and keeping people out of the hospital (for now).

Unfortunately, too many people were unwilling to mask or stay home early in the pandemic or to vaccinate as soon as eligible. This allowed the virus to continue to spread and to mutate. Each mutation provides an opportunity for the newly mutated virus to be less affected by vaccines in use. Which is why they've been working on another vaccine that will more specifically target the new variants.
 
Vaccinations are working.
In what way do you think the vaccinations are working? Keeping people out of the hospital, less severe symptoms? Probably.

Stopping the spread? Not so much.
While we'd prefer the trifecta and it stopping contraction like it did with original and alpha, the top two are incredibly important.
 
The authoritarians will be disappointed;

The Los Angeles County Health Department declined Thursday to impose a universal public indoor mask mandate, citing a "decent decrease" in cases and hospitalizations. Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer made the announcement during a livestreamed meeting.
"Given the declines in case of hospitalization numbers, we're hopeful that the admission rate over the next few days remains under 10 new admissions per 100,000 residents and L.A. County is soon officially moved by (the Centers for Disease Control) to the 'medium' community level," Ferrer said. "As I noted last week, any indication that the county would soon be moving to the medium community level would be a good reason to not move forward with universal indoor masking."
Supervisor Kathryn Barger hailed the decision to hold off on reinstating the rule. "Unenforceable mandates don't work," Barger said in a statement Thursday afternoon. "We must continue to marshal our mandates and resources effectively in the fight against COVID-19."

LA News

Mysteriously, the cases and hospitalization numbers declined WITHOUT a mask mandate. Weird, huh?
The authoritarians were at the US Capitol on January 6th. You are talking about people trying to mitigate a public health situation, trying to ensure it doesn't become a crisis again.
 
Back
Top Bottom