Jayjay
Contributor
- Joined
- Apr 7, 2002
- Messages
- 7,173
- Location
- Finland
- Basic Beliefs
- An accurate worldview or philosophy
Why do you think the price of necessities would go up more than the price of luxuries? There is nothing about something being a luxury that means people like doing it more... on the contrary, people like paying more for it. I would consider having cleaners and gardeners luxurious, and they might now be paid more for their efforts. On the other hand necessities like food production might not be affected that much, partially because agriculture isn't as labor-intensive as it used to be, and nowadays farmers tend to be farmers because they like it and it's a family business.$40k is not realistic. The Cherokee casino money is only $12k, and practical implementations of UBI are probably going to be even less than that.Would it? Why?Would it? Why?Labor would be many times more expensive.Much the same people as do that now. What would change is that a large fraction of their income would come via UBI, rather than from their employer; and the employer would need to pay less, but treat workers better.Therefore less of it would be used. There would be less stuff. That stuff would be far more expensive.
Why do you imagine the world would be the same as it is? Who do you imagine would be making your lattes and stocking your supermarket shelves? Growing your food? Delivering it to you?
Less would get done FOR ABUSIVE EMPLOYERS IN THE SHORT TERM. But no less would get done in the long term, once those arseholes were eliminated from the employment pool and their places taken by employers who were prepared to treat workers with respect. And labour would be cheaper - under UBI, there is no minimum wage.
"People won't work unless threatened with homelessness and starvation" is your article of faith - but I see no reason to think that it is any more true than "People will sin unless threatened with hell".
You realize the other side of the coin from 'I would have the freedom to do just the work I wanted to do"?
Lots of stuff not getting done. At least until someone offers a far higher amount.
If your position is that in a world of UBI everyone would do pretty much the same shit they are doing now there's not much point in having UBI.
They wouldn't be doing the same things. Priorities would be different. Some things would be more expensive, some wouldn't be worth doing at all. There would be more incentive to replace people with automation.
But prices are the way we set priorities in a market economy.
The reason I can make $60,000 as a plumber and $20,000 as an ice sculptor is because other people put more value on my plumbing services.
If a unicorn comes along to shit out $40,000/yr of golden nuggets for me and I decide with that extra income I can now sculpt ice for a living, I am now creating things that people value less.
You could argue, I suppose, that the unicorn offset this by producing goods worth $40,000 so the economy didn't shrink. But that argument requires the gold nugget shitting unicorn be real.
Generally these UBI schemes are achieved by transferring the money from someone else, which reduces their ability to consume and invest, and lowers their incentive to produce.
But for sake of the argument, let's say you do get $40k a year UBI and start ice sculpting. But you'll find that A) you won't be able to make $20k off ice sculpting anymore, because there are other people who are making the same choice as you, B) your cost of living goes up because you have to pay more for e.g. plumbing, and C) you'll pay more tax because that's the only way to fund the system. So in the end you are making less money, but you might be happier. Someone else who makes a different choice and remains a plumber will make more money doing so, and also be happier. What's the problem?
The economic effects are all the same it's a matter of degree.
But yes, I agree if everyone has UBI you won't be able to make $20,000 ice sculpting anymore. The cost of labor will drive the the price of necessities like food, shelter and plumbing services to the point where your UBTI won't cover them. People won't choose to spend their money on ice sculptures. And you'll probably find the best use of your time is going back to plumbing and/or growing your own food.
So, priorities will change, but not the way you think. And ultimately, the point isn't that everybody can do whatever they want, just that they don't have to do what they don't want to do if they want to continue to have food and shelter. Only ones who would stop working under UBI are those who are content eating, sleeping and watching tv, and that kind of people aren't likely to be very productive under any system.