Ukrainian army maybe so-and-so, and losing rapidly. But I'm still amazed at how good Ukrainians are at their propaganda.
Take these two videos:
The music choices are just golden.
Why do you keep saying this shit? They’re not losing rapidly.
In the grand scheme of things, no, but locally around Bakhmut the Ukrainian defenses collapsed and they're struggling to stabilize them. Bakhmut will probably be lost.
Progress on either side isn't linear. There could be months of no movement, despite heavy fighting, as was the case most of the time last year. Then suddenly one side makes a breakthrough. I think this is because we don't really see the attrition happening from the outside. We just see the result when one side, in this case Ukraine, lost too many fighters and couldn't hold the line anymore.
It’s the Russians who can’t do shit. Wagner is done for, and now it’s back to regular Army - the same ones that got kicked out of Kiev and Kharkiv last year and ran away from Kherson. And they aren’t even close to taking Bakhmut. Even if they eventually do, it won’t do them much good. The eventual arrival of further western aid will fuck the Russians up all over again.
Wagner doesn't seem to show any signs of stopping. But they can only attack in one place at a time. The regular Russian army hasn't been able to do much in recent months.
The western tanks and IFVs aren't coming until closer to summer, but the Russian counter-attack could happen anytime now. If we're lucky, it has
already started, in Vuhledar, and just happens to be so very pathetic that it's indistinguishable from their normal everyday fuckups. But I personally think there will be a push before February 24th in Luhansk to recapture some of the lost territory.