How should west respond to potential (likely) Russian invasion of Ukraine?

[Loren Pechtel]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

 

[Copernicus]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

It's highly possible that he did. From his perspective, a massive terrorist attack in Moscow might have been just what he thought he needed to distract people from the bad publicity he got over Navalny's murder and lack of enthusiasm for his invasion of Ukraine. I don't think he is the kind of person who cares about large numbers of people dying, even if they are Russians. Russian martyrs are useful to him.

 

[TV and credit cards]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

It's highly possible that he did. From his perspective, a massive terrorist attack in Moscow might have been just what he thought he needed to distract people from the bad publicity he got over Navalny's murder and lack of enthusiasm for his invasion of Ukraine. I don't think he is the kind of person who cares about large numbers of people dying, even if they are Russians. Russian martyrs are useful to him.

Allowing an unknown and having no control of the situation?

 

[barbos]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

I think US deliberately withheld crucial info.
Current theory is that, Ukrainians hired ISIS-K to do the teract on March 7-8 during Shaman concert in the Crocus Hall.
Shaman is extremely popular patriotic singer in Russia, so it's natural and typical for ukro-regime to do something like that.
So they employed their Central Asia ISIS-K contacts for that. US intercepted ISIS communication and "informed" Russians.
Russians increased security at the concert and terrorists decided to skip/delay it. Then Ukro-regime cancelled the whole thing because they wanted Shaman concert specifically. But ISIS-K decided to do it anyway 2 weeks later.
How much US intelligence knew? Some of their claims imply that they knew the place and time, that is consistent with their public warning mentioning only 2 days and "concerts"

 

[barbos]

Meanwhile, Little Napoleon ordered his defense minister (!!!) to call his russian counterpart and ask him what he thinks about Istanbul agreements That's the state of diplomacy in Fifth Republic.

Americans did the similar but with chinese, calling them and discussing what to do about Ukraine. To which chinese gave a usual lecture about .... Taiwan.

 

[Harry Bosch]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

I think US deliberately withheld crucial info.
Current theory is that, Ukrainians hired ISIS-K to do the teract on March 7-8 during Shaman concert in the Crocus Hall.
Shaman is extremely popular patriotic singer in Russia, so it's natural and typical for ukro-regime to do something like that.
So they employed their Central Asia ISIS-K contacts for that. US intercepted ISIS communication and "informed" Russians.
Russians increased security at the concert and terrorists decided to skip/delay it. Then Ukro-regime cancelled the whole thing because they wanted Shaman concert specifically. But ISIS-K decided to do it anyway 2 weeks later.
How much US intelligence knew? Some of their claims imply that they knew the place and time, that is consistent with their public warning mentioning only 2 days and "concerts"

Isis-k is an enemy to all, including Ukraine. To what purpose would Ukraine hire them to do anything?

 

[Harry Bosch]

Meanwhile, Little Napoleon ordered his defense minister (!!!) to call his russian counterpart and ask him what he thinks about Istanbul agreements That's the state of diplomacy in Fifth Republic.

Americans did the similar but with chinese, calling them and discussing what to do about Ukraine. To which chinese gave a usual lecture about .... Taiwan.

I would love to see some diplomacy. But I don't think that Russia is sincere. The problem with the Istanbul agreements is that they would leave Ukraine weak and unable to fend off future attacks by Russia.

 

[barbos]

I would love to see some diplomacy. But I don't think that Russia is sincere

You may think that but we know for sure that the West is not sincere.
And it's not really the point here. The point here is that west is trying to get back in time and and undo the subbotage they did.
Too late for that if you ask me, Russia is not going back.

 

[barbos]

To what purpose would Ukraine hire them to do anything?

To what purpose regime in Ukraine is shelling civilian population in Belgorod and and assassinates journalists?

 

[Harry Bosch]

I would love to see some diplomacy. But I don't think that Russia is sincere

You may think that but we know for sure that the West is not sincere.

Put aside your feelings for the west. What does a temporary truce do for Ukraine? Ukraine has greatly suffered in this war. Their infrastructure destroyed. Many people killed. Children kidnapped. Goods looted. They don't want a forever war. The problem is that it appears that Russia just wants a temporary truce in order to rebuild its military and then attack again. You've said it yourself many many times on this forum that Russia wants all of Ukraine. Unconditionally. I believe you.

 

[barbos]

Put aside your feelings for the west. What does a temporary truce do for Ukraine?

Russia was not offering temporary anything in 2022
Russia was offering Ukraine their Eastern part in exchange for no NATO and autonomy for eastern Ukraine.
And now french are trying to go back to that. Even the fucking Clown suggested that. But he literally blurted his plan for it to be temporary, fucking piece of shit.

 

[barbos]

The problem is that it appears that Russia just wants a temporary truce in order to rebuild its military and then attack again

Dude, french called russians, not the other way around. Russia does not want anything from you. It's you who wants tempoprary truth to rebuild the Nazistan.
I repeat again, Russia does not want anything from you, We are beating the shit out of your nazis.

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

U.S. told Russia that Crocus City Hall was possible target of attack

More than two weeks before terrorists staged a bloody attack in the suburbs of Moscow, the U.S. government told Russian officials that Crocus City Hall, a popular concert venue, was a potential target, according to U.S. officials familiar with the matter.

The high degree of specificity conveyed in the warning underscores Washington’s confidence that the Islamic State was preparing an attack that threatened large numbers of civilians, and it directly contradicts Moscow’s claims that the U.S. warnings were too general to help preempt the assault.

I still think Putin deliberately allowed it.

I think US deliberately withheld crucial info.

They publicly warned Americans to stay away from crowded areas in Moscow. Other European nations did too.

Current theory is that, Ukrainians hired ISIS-K to do the teract on March 7-8 during Shaman concert in the Crocus Hall.
Shaman is extremely popular patriotic singer in Russia, so it's natural and typical for ukro-regime to do something like that.
So they employed their Central Asia ISIS-K contacts for that. US intercepted ISIS communication and "informed" Russians.

"Informed", as in told them in secret and then publicly warned Americans.

Russians increased security at the concert and terrorists decided to skip/delay it. Then Ukro-regime cancelled the whole thing because they wanted Shaman concert specifically. But ISIS-K decided to do it anyway 2 weeks later.

Man, the evidence of ISIS-K doing it must be incontrovertible as Putin isn't even trying to say it was the Ukrainians. Instead we get this shitty juxtaposition by Russia. Who'd ever have thought?

 

[barbos]

Man, the evidence of ISIS-K doing it must be incontrovertible as Putin isn't even trying to say it was the Ukrainians. Instead we get this shitty juxtaposition by Russia.

It does not meant that ukro-nazis were not involved.
Terrorists were paid (ISIS does not do that)
Terrorists did not die (ISIS generally use suicide terrorism)
Terrorists tried to escape to Ukraine

 

[barbos]

Also, Regime in Washington made a statement about Ukraine's non-involvement in 50 minutes after the news.
That suggests that they either knew everything (and did not properly warn russians) or they thought that ukrainians might be involved.

 

[Harry Bosch]

The problem is that it appears that Russia just wants a temporary truce in order to rebuild its military and then attack again

Dude, french called russians, not the other way around. Russia does not want anything from you. It's you who wants tempoprary truth to rebuild the Nazistan.
I repeat again, Russia does not want anything from you, We are beating the shit out of your nazis.

I agree with you that Russia dosnt want peace. Hence the reason why your country hasn’t been invited to the party in Switzerland. The Swiss purpose is to figure out to further protect food and energy supplies for the world, nuclear safety, release of prisoners of war, reductions of tension and misery, economic development, trade, and etc. Things that Russia doesn’t give a shit about.

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Man, the evidence of ISIS-K doing it must be incontrovertible as Putin isn't even trying to say it was the Ukrainians. Instead we get this shitty juxtaposition by Russia.

It does not meant that ukro-nazis were not involved.

Ukro-nazis in the gap fallacy?

Terrorists were paid (ISIS does not do that)
Terrorists did not die (ISIS generally use suicide terrorism)

Oddly enough, the emergency response by Russia was so slow, gotta wonder what that was all about... especially after being warned.

Terrorists tried to escape to Ukraine

Had they tried to slip into Finland, would that have meant Finland was responsible?

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Also, Regime in Washington made a statement about Ukraine's non-involvement in 50 minutes after the news.
That suggests that they either knew everything (and did not properly warn russians) or they thought that ukrainians might be involved.

You were warned. We publicly warned Americans about it too. That is on Putin and Russian intelligence... assuming they didn't allow it, which is suspect as the response to the attack was so slow.

Clearly there was enough chatter for us to ID the location and the attack before it happened. And of course, it is a bit quicker to ID chatter when you know what you are looking for.

 

[Loren Pechtel]

It's highly possible that he did. From his perspective, a massive terrorist attack in Moscow might have been just what he thought he needed to distract people from the bad publicity he got over Navalny's murder and lack of enthusiasm for his invasion of Ukraine. I don't think he is the kind of person who cares about large numbers of people dying, even if they are Russians. Russian martyrs are useful to him.

Allowing an unknown and having no control of the situation?

Just make sure nobody important is in the area. Russia doesn't care about what happens to a bunch of nobodies.

 

[barbos]

The problem is that it appears that Russia just wants a temporary truce in order to rebuild its military and then attack again

Dude, french called russians, not the other way around. Russia does not want anything from you. It's you who wants tempoprary truth to rebuild the Nazistan.
I repeat again, Russia does not want anything from you, We are beating the shit out of your nazis.

I agree with you that Russia dosnt want peace. Hence the reason why your country hasn’t been invited to the party in Switzerland. The Swiss purpose is to figure out to further protect food and energy supplies for the world, nuclear safety, release of prisoners of war, reductions of tension and misery, economic development, trade, and etc. Things that Russia doesn’t give a shit about.

Russia does not want from you anything anymore. And this is because you (West) are pathological liars and can not be trusted.