Define "probably," because we evidently have radically different definitions of that term. And while you're at it, define "hoax" as committing what would easily be revealed as a felony (involving the FBI no less) is a strange "hoax" for a successful working actor to pull at 2:30 am for no fucking reason.
And, no, as I've already pointed out, "publicity" is not a reason when, again, it involves the FBI and a felony conviction and having the police tell you to go the hospital (and you do), and, most importantly, in regard to show business,
no paparazzi around to record it.
The only possible reason anyone would go to
those lengths would be if they were guilty of far worse crimes and in the Trump occupation.
CCTV in the area covers all but 60 seconds. In that time we're asked to believe this guy was attacked in sub-arctic cold in the middle of the night by two people who can never be identified because they were wearing masks. How convenient. The guy is not hurt and he never loses his Subway sammach. What a joke.
You seriously can't unpack that? First, you note that it was sub-arctic cold. Hence,
one of the alleged assailants was wearing face protection from the Windy city freezing cold (aka, a "ski mask"). Second, you noted he was not hurt too badly. I believe it was bruises and maybe a cut on his face. Iow,
exactly the kinds of wounds that could be inflicted in....? One minute.
Count it out. "Hey Empire faggot nigger!" 5 seconds. A few sucker punches to the face back and forth between two assholes. 15 seconds. Put on the noose, cinch it up, toss the bleach. 20-25 seconds. Get out while shouting "This is MAGA county." 10 seconds. The whole fucking thing--precisely because he wasn't hurt so badly--all easily within 60 seconds. In fact,
perfectly within 60 seconds. As if it were planned.
If these were the same assholes who had sent him the anthrax scare letter the week before--thus already establishing their commitment, fearlessness about being caught and the fact that it was premeditated--then it's a safe bet that they had at least staked him out and knew where he lived and what his likely routine was.
Iow, they knew where he lived and what was around the area (i.e., where the obvious security cameras were located and what blindspots--if any--may exist). It wouldn't take more than ten minutes any day of the week for them to "case" the area. And then it's just a matter of watching when he comes and goes (and where he goes to) over one or two weeks to see if there are any routines/when the best time would be to approach him with their idiotic bleach and noose plan.
Again, he was a very vocal "faggot nigger" actor on a popular TV show who was equally openly antagonistic toward Trump. He wouldn't be difficult to find and stalk.
The alternative is that a really well paid actor on a hit TV show just decided one night for no reason
at all to conceal-carry with him a rope and some bleach as he slips out of his apartment building to go get a sandwich at Subway at 2 am and then, after he buys his sandwich pulls out the rop/noose and douses himself with bleach and, I guess, slammed his face into a wall or something a couple of times to mimic being beaten??
He does
all of that--walking out of his building (hiding the rope and bleach someow on his body), buys his sandwich for some unknown reason knowing that he's about to put a noose around his own neck and pour bleach over himself and somehow slams his own face around a couple of times to perfectly mimic being hit by two men before walking back to his building--while the cameras that
you're pointing to as being evidence of a hoax don't pick up any of that activity either.
Now, having said all of that, the show
is on the Fox network, so if it does turn out to be a "hoax" then we'd have a better idea who was actually behind it and why. False flags--along with Confederate and Nazi flags--are the kinds DK Trumpsters buy en mass, so maybe you're right?