bilby
Fair dinkum thinkum
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If you look at a country where voting is compulsory, that can give you an estimate of the proportion of 'conscientious objectors' - The Australian system provides for fines for non attendees, but (because the ballot is secret) cannot fine non voters who attend a polling place, but deliberately cast an invalid or blank ballot, so adding together the percentage of people who are fined and the percentage of invalid ballots (called 'informal' by the Electoral Commission) gives an approximate upper bound for the number.
In reality, there will be some people who are fined who would have voted but forgot, or arrived at a polling place after the close of the poll; And some informal ballots that were genuine attempts to vote that failed due to incompetence. And offsetting that are an undetectable number of valid votes where the voter simply numbers the boxes in order, without looking at which candidates that preferences - so called 'donkey votes'.
This crude estimated upper bound for the number of conscientious objectors was, in the 2016 Federal Election for the House of Representatives, 5% informal votes plus 9% failed to turn out - giving an estimated 15% maximum conscientious objector rate. That would imply a turnout in the absence of apathy of about 85%; or put another way, when it is mandatory to attend and take a ballot paper, 85% of people will cast a valid vote.
Compare that to the (high!) turnout at the 2016 US Presidential election of just 58%, and we can estimate that 'too lazy to vote' won about 27% of the electorate.
That's a big block of votes. And the maths suggests that at least two thirds of non voting is due to apathy, rather than principles.
In reality, there will be some people who are fined who would have voted but forgot, or arrived at a polling place after the close of the poll; And some informal ballots that were genuine attempts to vote that failed due to incompetence. And offsetting that are an undetectable number of valid votes where the voter simply numbers the boxes in order, without looking at which candidates that preferences - so called 'donkey votes'.
This crude estimated upper bound for the number of conscientious objectors was, in the 2016 Federal Election for the House of Representatives, 5% informal votes plus 9% failed to turn out - giving an estimated 15% maximum conscientious objector rate. That would imply a turnout in the absence of apathy of about 85%; or put another way, when it is mandatory to attend and take a ballot paper, 85% of people will cast a valid vote.
Compare that to the (high!) turnout at the 2016 US Presidential election of just 58%, and we can estimate that 'too lazy to vote' won about 27% of the electorate.
That's a big block of votes. And the maths suggests that at least two thirds of non voting is due to apathy, rather than principles.