If we let this bug out, 0.5ish% of the country (over 1 million people) will die of Covid-19, and probably another 0.5ish% will die due to lack of access to health care.
		
		
	 
Very, very few people "die 
of Covid-19". Even fewer young, healthy people. That's not to say it's not a serious problem but the hysteria has been ratcheted up to eleven and people are acting irrationally.
		
 
		
	 
Is your bolded "of" an attempt to promote the right-wing lie than anyone who dies with "underlying conditions" didn't actually die "of" Covid?  Because that is anti-science nonsense rejected by medical assessments.  The vast majority of people who have died in the past month after being diagnosed with COVID have died 
of COVID. Given how few Americans have been tested, the odds that you would have died from something else anyway and just happened to be among the few tested is low. Also, "Underlying conditions" include things like diabetes and asthma that your very 
unlikely to die from in a given month. It also includes general immunodeficiency which is not a cause of death but merely makes you more vulnerable to be killed by things like COVID, making those things like COVID the primary cause of death. Same goes for other "conditions" like liver and kidney disease which people can live for decades with, unless a lethal disease like Covid comes along and takes them out. Post-mortem tests are rare and people being treated for things like kidney disease that don't result in covid symptoms are not being tested. 
Also, 30% of deaths are below age 64 and another 25% are still below the median age of death and thus likely has decades to live. 
And the real death rate among those diagnosed is about 8% in the US. Dying from it takes time, so there is at least a 1 week lag between diagnosis and death. Which means all new diagnosed cases from at least the last week need to be excluded, making the diagnosed death rate about 33k / 400k = 8%. And yes, it is mostly the sick and vulnerable being tested, but not entirely. Rich and connected people, a many very healthy pro athletes are getting tested even with no symptoms at all. Plus, b/c of the terrible healthcare system, there are countless people who are quite sick who still cannot get tested or haven't tried to get tested b/c they have no healthcare. 
So while the death rate among the infected but undiagnosed is definitely lower than 8%, it isn't as drastically lower as you assume. Even if it's 5 times lower that puts the gen pop death rate at 1.5%. And that is with assuming zero limit  on the number of patients the healthcare system can treat at once. Without the lockdown, we'd already be past capacity, equipment, and doctors at many hospitals. That would cause many people who would have recovered to die, plus deaths from completely unrelated illness and accidents that could not be treated properly b/c there is no capacity in the system. 
The US has had 18,000 Covid deaths in past week and those were people sick a week ago. There were 35% more actively sick (not dead or recovered) this week than last week, meaning the probable deaths this week will be about 24,000, and more than that the week after. We'll be close to 100,000 US deaths by the end of April after 6 weeks of lockdown. So that number could easily have been 500,000 to 1 million without the lock down, just due to increased infection rates. Adding the additional lives lost by maxing out the healthcare system, and a reasonable estimate of lives saved due to 6 weeks of lockdown from mid-March to end of April is around 1 million Americans.  
It's stunning how dangerously stupid right wingers are when they point to current modest numbers of deaths that are 
only modest b/c of the lockdown and say "See, it's not that bad, we don't need this lockdown."
Oh, and Sweden does not have a lockdown. They have 3-10 times the COVID deaths per capita of all other Nordic countries, despite a well equipt healthcare system. In fact, when you adjust for population density which creates natural social distancing, Sweden's deaths per Capita is highest in the developed world due to their unique decision not to have a lockdown. The USA ranks not far behind b/c our lockdowns were so incompetently late and/or unenforced due almost entirely to Trump and his fellow Republican governors and mayors.