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So Bitcoin will be the next bubble?

Stablecoin! The disease is spreading. We'll make up something, tie it to the dollar. It is safe. Of course, if tied to the dollar, what is the benefit? This is expanding way too quickly. Some don't want to be left behind because there is nothing to lose!

And that is the mindset that leads us to economic calamities.
 
Stablecoin! The disease is spreading. We'll make up something, tie it to the dollar. It is safe. Of course, if tied to the dollar, what is the benefit? This is expanding way too quickly. Some don't want to be left behind because there is nothing to lose!

And that is the mindset that leads us to economic calamities.
The real reason coins can't tie into normal financial markets, really, the reason they are opposed by financial institutions and attacked by finance rags, is because you can't lend more of a coin than you have.

The reason the wealthy will not generally use it except as an intermediate trade currency is because banks cannot poof more into existence as they need to in order to do whatever.

The mechanism of money creation or destruction is flawed for most digital currencies AND fiat currencies, and this IS a flaw of trustless ledgers in general: mostly that however much "tear" there is between the trade currency and the market currency will have to be absorbed by the trade economy, and it creates a weakness in the overall economy having these currencies separate with respect to speculation.

This is all mooted by the fact that power structures that exist today will never adopt a coin that is not strategically broken in their favor; the sorts of people who don't play stupid cheater games are incredibly rare, and they still wear out over time when put to hard use.

Only when the people running the game are entirely outside it's rules and play can the game be stood up honestly.


Nobody can be outside the game of trade on the stuff we make ourselves from, but going 'trustless' is ultimately what we are going to have to do, with respect to our currency. That means figuring out a ledger coin that has more ideal features for the benefit of everyone.

Ideally, it would be a coin whose decimal point shifts over time (having a log scale impact on higher amounts, essentially vanishing from pockets or "decaying"), and which accrues in the pockets of each individual equally.

Then when someone wants to hire someone else, they are really asking to pool their discretionary interest resources into a trust to get some specific goal accomplished. Then, that way, those who want that goal's fruit more than the people who contributed their own leverage towards the goal end up making whole, plus some margin. Those who put together their resources and successfully provide a product people want more than the value of the resources they but it with them get outsized power. I think there should probably be be room in such a design for increasing stipends to people whose income overcomes their stipend, but in a way that doesn't penalize people below a certain threshold (like an asymptotically decreasing additive bonus, rather than a bonus multiplier).

Putting together a design document for a currency that actually serves all those purposes using a cryptological ledger mechanism is a HUGE undertaking, and the expertise necessary to do that may not exist in any one or even any five people. It may not even be possible to accomplish the goal, for humans, because the devil will always creep into the dark corners of the details, seeking a back door advantage, and no government would condone making themselves powerless to pick winners and losers in economics through policy change for political purposes.
 
This is Phil Gramm, except 10,000 times worse. At best, doesn't this result in massive inflation?
 
article said:
Major cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks were rallying early Thursday ahead of President Trump's expected signing of an executive order that would allow alternative assets like cryptocurrencies and private equity into the retirement accounts of millions of Americans.
And the bubble inflates some more and Trump wants many Americans to suffer. Granted, just being allowed to put Bitcoin into a 401k is the end of the world. After all, people that "invested" in Celsius did it outside the 401k, and lost their money just as well.

The trouble I'm seeing particularly is that this relatively unregulated system is being treated like a well regulated system. S&L comes to mind.
 

Enter the GENIUS Act. The bill attempts to provide the regulatory imprimatur for stablecoins through two primary mechanisms. First, it allows big banks to create subsidiaries that can issue stablecoins, connecting large banks to the crypto trade. For stablecoin issuers under $10 billion in total tokens outstanding, the bill is a dream come true, as it allows them to engage in jurisdictional shopping and register with states like Wyoming (Sen. Loomis’ state) that have extremely limited regulation and oversight of crypto products.

Second, and more concerning to us, is the bill’s attempt to treat stablecoins like traditional bank deposits. That is, the bill permits stablecoins issued by a registered entity to be treated from a regulatory perspective just like a dollar is for payment and settlement purposes. Like Davies and Farrell, we fear this invokes run-risk, largely because while dollar deposits (under $250,000) are insured, “the Genius Act’s drafters…have no clear response to a critical question: Does the United States stand behind dollar-based stablecoins or not?” In other words, the minute an established bank with significant stablecoin holdings gets into any sort of trouble, stablecoin holders will want dollars, forcing the bank into a fire sale of the short-dated bills it holds to back the coins.

And this is a movie we’ve seen too many times. The next step is a government bail out with taxpayers left holding the bag. In this way, the GENIUS Act links the U.S. taxpayer to a highly volatile, non-sovereign currency. If that’s genius, we’d hate to see what the idiots are up to.

The kicker...
The GENIUS Act is morbidly innovative in the sense that it skips the first two steps of a Minsky cycle and jumps straight to the third—Ponzi finance. The bill sets the stage for an entire class of speculative assets that have precisely zero underlying cash flows to be integrated into the financial system. All for the purposes of satisfying an industry whose main contribution to most Americans has been scamming them.

The author was the Chair of Biden's Council Of Economic Advisors.
 
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