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The Remarkable Progress of Renewable Energy

Applications For Installation Of Solar PV Systems In Cape Town Hit Record Levels - CleanTechnica
Cape Town is the first city in South Africa to offer households and businesses cash for their excess rooftop solar power. The City is set to start paying businesses cash for power beginning next month, and residents will be able to start selling power for cash later this year.

Renewable Energy Becomes A Flash Point In America's Culture Wars - CleanTechnica
Minnesota Leads On Renewable Energy

Greenhouse gas emissions from the power sector in Minnesota have dropped 40% over the last 10 years. Today, 28% of that state’s energy coming from carbon-free sources like renewables, nuclear, and hydropower. Yet there is much more to do in order for the state to reach its carbon emissions goals.

This year, Minnesota has adopted a number of new policies designed to speed the adoption of renewable energy within its borders. The legislature passed and the governor has signed the Clean Energy And Efficient Buildings act, which will provide up to $80 million in incentives for solar, energy storage, microgrids, and energy resiliency.
However,
North Dakota Opposes Minnesota Renewables Push

As has become the norm in America, if someone is for something, a bunch of people will be opposed to it. Just west of Minnesota is North Dakota, which is proud of its coal-fired generating plants and likes to sell the electricity they make to Minnesota. The Flickertail State has threatened to sue its neighbor to the east, claiming the commerce clause of the US Constitution forbids Minnesota from refusing to accept North Dakota’s high carbon electricity.

...
In this case, NoDak might have a bit of a problem. “Minnesota is under no legal duty to prop up North Dakota power plants,” Michael Gerrard, founder of Columbia University’s Sabin Center for Climate Change Law, told Grist. He said Minnesota could not discriminate between in-state and out of state electricity generators, but that is not the situation here. The state is requiring clean power across the board, from in-state and outside sources.
Then about a similar case in Colorado in 2015.
And here’s the thing. That decision was written by Neil Gorsuch. “We have one of the conservative Supreme Court justices saying that a state clean energy standard is fine,” Gerrard said. “So I think the outlook, if this case gets to the Supreme Court, would be favorable to Minnesota.” Game, set, and match to Minnesota.
 
More from that CleanTechnica article.
Texas Fights Renewable Energy

Texas has installed more wind energy in the past decade than another state. But just like Big Tobacco, Big Oil never, ever gives up the fight to fill the skies with deadly pollution. The fossil fuel industry is furiously peddling the myth that renewable energy resources failed during the freakish cold snap that gripped the state in the winter of 2021. And of course, Texas is ground zero for the oil and gas industries in America. The companies have bought a lot of members of the state legislature and it is time for those feckless public servants to repay the investment the industry has made in them — if they hope to get re-elected, that is.

According to the Wall Street Journal, many Texas Republicans are supporting legislation that would prop up conventional power sources.

...
One of the bills introduced in the state legislature this year would require wind and solar projects to pay fees that would mostly benefit fossil fuel plants. Another would offer low cost loans for building or upgrading natural gas-fired generation. That one is pending voter approval in November.

I looked for stuff on sodium-ion batteries, since sodium is a MUCH more common element than lithium. I was not very successful, but I did find this article: Green hydrogen advocates in denial about looming material problem | Energy Transition

The problem is that common kinds of electrolyzers use a lot of platinum-group metals, which are very rare and expensive.

I did find this, however, from a year ago: The weekend read: Sodium-ion batteries go mainstream – pv magazine International - March 26, 2022
odium-ion batteries are emerging as a viable alternative to lithium-ion technology. Industrial heavyweights CATL and Reliance Industries, following the acquisition of UK-based sodium-ion specialist Faradion, are bent on bringing the technology out of the lab and into mass production. Against a backdrop of soaring prices and predicted shortfalls of lithium-ion battery materials, sodium-ion chemistry has never been more tantalizing.

...
Sodium is a thousand times more abundant than lithium and there is practically an infinite supply of it, with the overall cost of extraction and purification far lower. Generally, Na-ion cells are quoted to be between 20% and up to 40% cheaper, but the challenge is bringing the technology to scale.

“In the short term, the cost to manufacture Na-ion will be high as producers look to reach scaled production in the mid-2020s,” Reid says. “In this time, demand for batteries in the EV sector will surge from 0.6TWh in 2022 to 2.8TWh by 2030, a boom too soon for the Na-ion market.”
 Abundances of the elements (data page) -- that is correct for the Earth's crust.
 
Sodium comes to the battery world - May 24, 2022 - " Sodium-ion technology is ready, cheap, and safe, but can it oust lithium ion?"
As a result, batteries based on sodium are gaining attention, especially from Western companies seeking a secure supply chain for battery materials. The Achilles’ heel of sodium-ion batteries is that they can store only about two-thirds of the energy of Li-ion batteries of equivalent size. Developers of Na-ion batteries say they are steadily increasing the energy density of their prototypes. None are commercial yet, but serious competition for lithium could soon be on the way.

Sodium-Ion Batteries: From Research to Commercialization, Reports IDTechEx - 24 Apr, 2023, 07:21 ET
Sodium-ion batteries are an emerging battery technology, on the cusp of commercialization, with promising cost, safety, sustainability, and performance benefits when compared to lithium-ion batteries. They can use widely available and inexpensive raw materials and existing lithium-ion production methods, promising rapid scalability. SIBs are an attractive prospect in meeting global demand for carbon-neutral energy storage, where lifetime operational cost, not weight or volume, is the overriding factor. Increasingly sodium-ion batteries have characteristics comparable to lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, suggesting that even automotive applications are possible.

SIBs have the same fundamental working principle as LIBs but rely on sodium rather than lithium as mobile cations. Unlike lithium, sodium does not electrochemically alloy with aluminum at room temperature. Thus, the copper current collector on the anode can be replaced by cheaper aluminum; it not only lowers the SIB costs, but also reduces the transportation risks, as SIBs can be transported completely discharged at 0V. Hard carbon is typically used as the anode active material instead of graphite, as crystalline graphite has poor storage capabilities for sodium ions. Various cathode chemistries based on layered transition metal oxides, polyanionic compounds, and Prussian Blue Analogues can be used. Electrolytes and separators, as well as the positive current collectors, are similar to LIBs, except for the use of sodium salts in the electrolyte.

It's good to see that interest in this alternative to Li-ion batteries. But Na-ion batteries are not nearly as far along in their experience curve as Li-ion ones are, and it shows.  Experience curve effects

That's why I'm not impressed with the market Panglossians who say "have faith that the market will provide", even if not in those words.
 
pv magazine International – Photovoltaic Markets and Technology
  • English: US, Australia, India -- The remarkable progress of renewable energy
  • German: Germany -- Der bemerkenswerte Fortschritt der erneuerbaren Energien
  • French: France -- Les progrès remarquables des énergies renouvelables
  • Spanish: Spain, Mexico, Latin America -- El notable progreso de las energías renovables
  • Portuguese: Brazil -- O notável progresso das energias renováveis
  • Chinese: China -- 可再生能源的显着进步 - Kě zàishēng néngyuán de xiǎnzhe jìnbù
I used Google Translate and when I back-translated, I sometimes found "advance" for "progress"

VFLowTech secures funds to make modular vanadium redox flow batteries – pv magazine International
The Singapore-based company has developed a modular vanadium redox flow battery energy storage system, PowerCube. It can be deployed anywhere, from residential settings to solar and wind farms, in three versions: 5 kW, 10 kW, and 100 kW. The rated energy capacity stands at 30 kWh, 100 kWh, and 500 kWh, respectively.

PowerCube has a 25-year lifespan, and its module cycle life exceeds 10,000 cycles. Unlike lithium-ion batteries, the system can be fully discharged to 100%. Its roundtrip efficiency is more than 80%. The technology is non-flammable and 100% recyclable, recoverable up to 30% of initial costs. It can operate in temperatures from -10 to 55 degrees Celsius without active cooling. PowerCube’s total installation weight stands at 1,000 kg, 2,500 kg, and 10,000 kg across the three variants.

Zinc-bromine redox flow batteries with superpower density – pv magazine International - "Indian researchers have presented a new way to develop effective electrode materials for superpower redox flow battery (RFB) systems. Their flow cell with heat-treated nickel-rich platinum-nickel coating on the graphite felt delivered an impressive ever-best power density of around 1,550 mW cm−2."

Platinum -- bleah. We don't need something that will be constrained by supplies of that element.

Scientists identify molecules for potential use in redox flow batteries – pv magazine International - "Scientists at the Dutch Institute for Fundamental Energy Research (DIFFER) have set up a database of 31,618 molecules that could potentially be used in future redox flow batteries. They used artificial intelligence and supercomputers to identify the properties of the molecules."
They used a desktop computer and smart algorithms to create thousands of virtual variants for two prominent classes of organic electroactive compounds: quinones and aza-aromatics. They fed the computer with backbone structures of 24 quinones and 28 aza-aromatics, plus five different chemically relevant side groups. From that, the computer created 31,618 different molecules.
They then used AI to try to predict the properties of all these molecules, to see which ones would be suitable for flow-battery duty.

Sharp begins developing zinc-air flow batteries for renewables storage – pv magazine International - "Sharp is developing a zinc-air battery tech for renewables storage. The device will be reportedly safer than their lithium-ion counterparts, with high energy densities."

Does ZnO <-> Zn + (1/2)O2

ESS Announces Strategic Partnership to Deploy Long-Duration Energy Storage in Australia and Deliver an Expected 12 GWh of Iron Flow Batteries – pv magazine International
 
What’s the Next Big Thing in Energy Storage? | Energy Transition
Pumped-storage hydroelectricity (water pumped with electricity to a higher altitude and then released through turbine-run generators) is the main utility storage medium worldwide, but its site-specific and most everywhere at its upper limit now. In other words, most of the suitable locations for pumped hydro are already in use or can’t be used for environmental reasons.
Li-ion batteries have a big problem: the rarity of Li. Here are some alternatives:
  • Compressed air energy storage
  • Flywheels
  • Thermal energy storage, both heat and cold
  • New kinds of batteries
In addition to these technologies, more than a dozen new types of batteries are in the laboratories and some ready, or nearly ready, for the market. “We are one breakthrough away from one of the multitude of lithium-ion battery alternatives taking over. Lithium-ion batteries could be yesterday’s news and take their place next to the floppy disk in the dust bin of history,” quipped one expert.
Or a push to commercialization.

Storage of cold? That was common before a century ago:  Icebox -- people would collect ice and put it in iceboxes and pits, then remove it to do refrigeration with it.
 

Smokescreen for climate inaction: CCS starts to take off in Saudi Arabia and Europe | Energy Transition
Given that oil and gas producers dominate the sector, many environmental groups and civil society organizations suspect that investments in Carbon, Capture and Storage (CCS) are being used to divert attention and resources away from a quicker build-out of renewable energy systems and other proven methods of addressing climate change.

Power-to-X may cover 28% of global energy demand by 2050 – pv magazine International - "The so-called powerfuels are primarily required for sectors that are difficult to electrify, such as aviation and shipping, as well as for the processing of raw materials. This is shown by a new study by Finland’s LUT University and the German Energy Agency."
The study assumes that, depending on the type of application, different power fuels with specific properties will establish themselves on the global market, including methanol, hydrogen, methane, ammonia and liquid energy carriers produced using the Fischer-Tropsch process.

Sustainable CO2 sources are important for the production of carbon-based powerfuels – around 6,000 megatons of CO2 will be required for this purpose every year. This raw material is then largely obtained by direct air capture, which creates a closed CO2 cycle.

The proposed scenario envisages an intensive global trade for powerfuels so that production can take place at the world's cheapest locations. Their costs could drop to between €50 and €80 per megawatt-hour in 2050. Compared to pure self-sufficiency with power fuels, Europe in particular could reduce the costs for climate-neutral energy sources by 15 to 30% through imports from South America, Africa and the Near and Middle East.
 
Big batteries suck. Chemistry sees to that. One can find any number of articles about the new best thing. But the ultimate issue is storing energy is inefficient, terribly expensive, and wasteful. On demand energy is the way to go and that means sources that are carbon free and don't suffer as much from intermittency. The good news is we are getting close to.the point of no return, so all this delay is about done.
 
Big batteries suck. Chemistry sees to that. One can find any number of articles about the new best thing. But the ultimate issue is storing energy is inefficient, terribly expensive, and wasteful. On demand energy is the way to go and that means sources that are carbon free and don't suffer as much from intermittency. The good news is we are getting close to.the point of no return, so all this delay is about done.
Yup. Electron shells just aren't sufficiently energy dense to make good storage. The energy we are currently mostly dependent upon is effectively the discharge of a "battery" that took millions of years to charge up, and that incidentally massively altered our planet's atmosphere such that it contains loads of oxygen, and almost no carbon dioxide at all.

As we evolved after that charging cycle was completed, we're pretty much dependent upon that atmospheric composition staying fairly constant, so we need to stop buggering about with electrons, and get into the real energy source that lets us do everything, with almost nothing - nucleons.

Or we could try to use only medieval energy sources like windmills and waterwheels; But that demands a medieval standard of living, with only medieval style cars, televisions, phones, and microwave ovens.
 
Big batteries suck. Chemistry sees to that. One can find any number of articles about the new best thing. But the ultimate issue is storing energy is inefficient, terribly expensive, and wasteful. On demand energy is the way to go and that means sources that are carbon free and don't suffer as much from intermittency. The good news is we are getting close to.the point of no return, so all this delay is about done.
Back when I was reading more up on developments in hybrid cars, there was a pro blog that would post article after article about battery storage. These articles were exciting at first. And after a while, I started to notice that none of this stuff was going anywhere and they were more ads for private funding to try to find the transistor of battery development... than actual news on a viable and workable technology. Pretty much pure science under the guise of applied science.
 
Redflow Will Supply 20 MWh Flow Battery Storage System In California - CleanTechnica
Unbeknownst to many, there are other ways of storing electricity than lithium-ion batteries. Redflow has been designing and building zinc bromine flow batteries for almost a decade and has just landed one of its largest orders ever. Building on the success of a 2 MWh flow battery system it installed in California over a year ago, the company has now been selected to supply a 20 MWh system that will help power the Rolling Hills Casino, part of a 2000-acre parcel in Corning, California, that is reserved for the Paskenta branch of an Indigenous group known as the Nomlaki.

The 20 MWh system will be one of the largest zinc-based battery projects in the world, and will represent the largest single sale and deployment of Redflow batteries globally to date.
 Zinc–bromine battery

Zinc and bromine are not especially common, though they are more common than lithium:  Abundances of the elements (data page)

Redflow's name comes from bromine's color: red-brown.

Other kinds of flow batteries:

 Vanadium redox battery - Vanadium Flow Batteries Could Leapfrog Over Pumped Hydro For Long Duration Energy Storage - Vanadium Flow Batteries Demystified

Vanadium is also not especially common, it must be noted, even if more common than lithium.

 Iron redox flow battery - Iron Flow Batteries To Be Built In Queensland - CleanTechnica

Iron is much more common than vanadium, zinc, and lithium, something that should be very helpful.
 
Massive Energy Storage Projects For Nevada and Wyoming - CleanTechnica
A new wave of pumped hydro energy storage projects is hitting the US west, regardless of the “ant-woke” mudslinging among elected officials.

Energy storage is the new black, and a growing number of US states don’t want to be caught without it. That includes the state of Utah, which is the proud home of the pumped hydro specialist rPlus Energies. The company is planning two massive new “water batteries” for Wyoming and Nevada. Public officials all three states are on a crusade against “woke capital,” but it looks like clean tech will get the last laugh after all.

...
Wyoming is one state in which public office holders have adopted the “anti-woke” mantle as a slur against ESG (environment, social, governance) investing. That covers a lot of ground, but the main thrust is to throw roadblocks in the way of renewable energy development.
rPlus Hydro Reaches Major Milestone on its 900-Megawatt Seminoe Pumped Storage Project in Carbon County, WY, in central southern WY.
Meanwhile, earlier this week rPlus also submitted a Final License Application for the 1,000-megawatt White Pine pumped hydro project, to be located in White Pine County, Nevada.

The new energy storage system is particularly significant in the context of longstanding wars over water rights in the western US. The White Pine project will use water that was previously reserved for a coal power plant. Plans for the fossil energy project stalled out, but preserving water rights is a key issue for thirsty western states like Nevada. The new pumped hydro project will ensure that a claim on precious water resources does not slip through the fingers of White Pine County.

As described by rPlus, White Pine will provide 8 hours of energy storage at full output, which is about equal to an impressive one-eighth of the total peak power demand in the entire state of Nevada on hot summer days.
That county is in the central eastern part of the state.
They better keep an eye out for State Controller Andy Matthews, who appears to be aligned with the “anti-woke” set. Matthews is listed as member of the all- Republican State Financial Officers Foundation, which has caught the eye of watchdog groups like the Center for Media and Democracy. CME has been tracking the organization’s partisan activities and tracing its ties with the conservative “bill mill” organization ALEC, which has engaged in a years-long battle against clean power.

“Like ALEC, one of SFOF’s top priorities this year will be fighting ‘woke’ capitalism and ‘defend[ing] the market economy’ against the growing Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) movement,” the Center for Media and Democracy watchdog organization observed in an article posted on February 16, 2022.
Then Utah.
In addition to being the home base of rPlus Energies, Utah is also home to the massive Advanced Clean Energy Storage project, which is moving along with a $504 million assist from the Loan Programs Office of the US Department of Energy. The project is billed as the biggest clean hydrogen project in the world.
 
Long-Duration Energy Storage: The Time Is Now - CleanTechnica
Currently, LDES is loosely defined anywhere between 10 to 100 hours. Twitchell and DeSomber propose that industry adopt two classes of LDES: one class, diurnal, lasts up to 20 hours to reconcile daily cycles of surplus and deficits in generation. The second class, seasonal, reconciles seasonal periods of surplus power generation with seasonal periods of insufficient generation. By thinking of long-duration energy in two different ways, utility and grid planners can look at historical load data and better pinpoint the length of “stop gap” energy that will be needed.
Long-Duration Energy Storage Is Key To Cleaning Up The Power Grid - CleanTechnica
When reading about energy storage you may come across terms like long-term storage, seasonal storage, diurnal storage, or long-duration storage. Long-term storage can include seasonal energy storage, which can shift delivery of power to a different time of year. Diurnal storage can shift power delivery over a few days. And, long-duration storage is particularly important for the power grid’s transformation to clean energy and what I’m focusing on here.
Then listing a variety of technologies: mechanical (pumped hydro, other gravity, compressed air, liquid air), thermal (stored heat), and electrochemical (batteries).

Pumped hydro is very geographically limited, lithium-ion batteries are rather expensive, and the others are mostly under development.
 
Shining A Spotlight On Wind & Solar Misinformation - CleanTechnica

Rebutting a certain Bryan Leyland, who argues that electricity storage is not practical enough for wind energy and solar energy to replace fossil fuels. He instead advocates nuclear energy. He said: “If we had 100 percent nuclear backup for solar and wind, we wouldn’t need the wind and solar plants at all. Wind and solar are, in fact, completely pointless.”

"Leyland certainly talks a good game. He sounds authoritative and some of the points he makes about carbon capture and green hydrogen are valid."

Not much of a rebuttal, I must say. But given the rapid development of renewable energy and related technologies, arguing from a snapshot of their development is not very good.

"He has lodged a complaint with the Council against the New Zealand Herald, which he says is failing to report that global warming is not happening."

Then proposing geothermal energy.
 
US Electricity from Renewable Energy Beat Electricity from Coal or Nuclear in 2022 - CleanTechnica

As of last year, coal, nuclear, and renewable sources are around 20% each of the total, and natural gas almost 40% of the total.

For 2001 - 2007 - 2022, in billion megawatt-hours / petawatt-hours:
  • Coal - 1.9 - 2.0 - 0.9
  • Natgas - 0.6 - 0.9 - 1.7
  • Nuclear - 0.8 - 0.8 - 0.8
  • Renewable - 0.3 - 0.4 - 0.9
  • Other - 0.1 - 0.1 - 0.05
For all but "other", the curves are approximately linear between these points.

If coal continues to decline like over the last 15 years, then it will be gone in 2034, 12 years from 2022.
 
Not all PWh are the same; The question, when determining viability, is not "what percentage of PWh was generated by technology X?", but "what percentage of the wholesale value of electricity sold was generated by technology X, and what scope exists to increase that percentage?"

Generating low value electricity in large quantities isn't as useful as generating high value electricity in small quantities.
 
Not all PWh are the same; The question, when determining viability, is not "what percentage of PWh was generated by technology X?", but "what percentage of the wholesale value of electricity sold was generated by technology X, and what scope exists to increase that percentage?"

Generating low value electricity in large quantities isn't as useful as generating high value electricity in small quantities.
Seconded. Without the storage most of that renewable power only offsets fuel use, it doesn't replace plants--and the infrastructure is a fair portion of the total cost.
 
This alleged "Remarkable Progress" had better start being at least noticeable progress soon, or we are all in the shit.

Playing around with wind turbines and solar panels is all well and good, but if it's not changing the slope of this graph by a noticeable amount, it's all a total waste of time, effort, and money:

image0.png

source
 
Target's solar panel carports at California store may be a green model
  • Target has turned a California location into its most sustainable store.
  • Solar panels on the roof and carports will power the entire store, from its refrigeration to its heating and air conditioning.
  • It could become a new model for the national retailer, as it sets goals to reduce carbon emissions and works to signal to customers and investors that it’s serious about sustainability.
California senate transport committee passes solar parking canopy and highwayside law – pv magazine USA - "The bipartisan committee unanimously approved a bill to support tax credits for solar canopies over parking lots and along highways."

With a picture of a Walmart store with solar panels on its building and solar canopies in its parking lot.

Renewable Energy: safe, clean, unlimited energy for our future a Reddit subreddit

Germany achieves new heights: Renewable share of power use climbs to 52.3% in 2023 Imbeatle
 
All renewable energy is either unsafe, dirty, and/or intermittent (which is a significant limit).

No renewable energy system is safe, clean or unlimited; The only one that might be considered clean (hydropower) is responsible for the most deadly electricity generation accident in history.
 
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