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Trumponomics at work!

In the January jobs report. 2.9% annualized. This is the most since 2009. For all the arguing about what the actual unemployment rate is, upward pressure on wages gives legitimacy to the US being at full employment. This along with the market being overdue for a correction worked in tandem to give us what we are seeing in the markets.
Yeah, I got about $7.50 scrubbed off my paycheck too so I guess it’s all those near minimum wage workers that are making out like bandits. Lucky fuckers.

Some say it's new restaurant minimum wages kicking in.

U6 is still over 9%. The overall labor participation rate is still well below 2007. 62.7% down from 67.3% in 2000.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

I would expect the labor participation rate to decline with retiring baby boomers. Though to what extent, I do not know.

Sure, 5% of the working population retired in one year!

From I've seen, I'd guess that demographics account for maybe a third of that.
 
U6 is still over 9%. The overall labor participation rate is still well below 2007. 62.7% down from 67.3% in 2000.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

The lower participation rate isn't by itself a problem--we are seeing boomers retire, the rate was expected to drop.

The 9% U6 is a problem, though. Since we are seeing wage pressure anyway it certainly sounds like companies are simply unwilling to hire the U6 people.
 
U6 is still over 9%. The overall labor participation rate is still well below 2007. 62.7% down from 67.3% in 2000.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

The lower participation rate isn't by itself a problem--we are seeing boomers retire, the rate was expected to drop.

The 9% U6 is a problem, though. Since we are seeing wage pressure anyway it certainly sounds like companies are simply unwilling to hire the U6 people.

To be fair, I doubt there's much market for submariners outside the government sector, and the WWI paraffin-electric boats probably needed skills that are not particularly useful even to the Navy these days. Not to mention that most of the crew of U6 died on 15 September 1915 when she was attacked by a British submarine off Stavanger. Zombie submariners must be a work placement officer's nightmare.
 
To be fair, I doubt there's much market for submariners outside the government sector,
Well, anyone who's been in uniform can be depended on to dress themselves, groom themselves, knows how to show up on time, sleep any time no one's looking, and no need the 'esteem generation's' glad handing to get them to do a job.
Usually good workers.



Hang on, have to go kidnap the boss' desk and glue it to the ceiling...
 
U6 is still over 9%. The overall labor participation rate is still well below 2007. 62.7% down from 67.3% in 2000.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

The lower participation rate isn't by itself a problem--we are seeing boomers retire, the rate was expected to drop.

The 9% U6 is a problem, though. Since we are seeing wage pressure anyway it certainly sounds like companies are simply unwilling to hire the U6 people.

Not by so much. I've seen estimates from one third to half due to demographics.
 
Dow drops over 1,000 pts today. I think we are a couple big ups and downs from saying, 'yes' volatility land.
 
Dow down 400 pts at this point. Of course, could finish up 400 pts at day's end. The trouble is, the market appears to have volatility issues. The Vix stands at about $35, which seems to indicate price correction. This is Friday, could be the end of it. Time will tell. As things stand, what is this, the worst week for the Dow since 2008?
 
Dow down 400 pts at this point. Of course, could finish up 400 pts at day's end. The trouble is, the market appears to have volatility issues. The Vix stands at about $35, which seems to indicate price correction. This is Friday, could be the end of it. Time will tell. As things stand, what is this, the worst week for the Dow since 2008?

Yeah - watch what happens as the close approaches. That could the harbinger of whether this thing is bottomed out or if it's just the beginning.
 
Sweet. Good time to buy more.

How's that working out for you, J8?

No worries, it will come back. Definitely by 2021. Maybe even next week/month/year.

It's fine, most of my portflio is in various target-date mutual funds, in the 2030-2040 time range. This downturn will be good for me in the long run, and was inevitable. The 1 year returns on some of them have been as high as 16%. Nuts.

I only have a little bit tucked away to "play around with", but I consider that to be exactly equivalent to going to a casino. It's alright though, my major gamble, Nvidia, is doing just fine :)
 
Sweet. Good time to buy more.

How's that working out for you, J8?

No worries, it will come back. Definitely by 2021. Maybe even next week/month/year.

It's fine, most of my portflio is in various target-date mutual funds, in the 2030-2040 time range. This downturn will be good for me in the long run, and was inevitable. The 1 year returns on some of them have been as high as 16%. Nuts.

I only have a little bit tucked away to "play around with", but I consider that to be exactly equivalent to going to a casino. It's alright though, my major gamble, Nvidia, is doing just fine :)

But of course, who buys ATI these days?
 
It's fine, most of my portflio is in various target-date mutual funds, in the 2030-2040 time range. This downturn will be good for me in the long run, and was inevitable. The 1 year returns on some of them have been as high as 16%. Nuts.

I only have a little bit tucked away to "play around with", but I consider that to be exactly equivalent to going to a casino. It's alright though, my major gamble, Nvidia, is doing just fine :)

But of course, who buys ATI these days?

Day-traders. This volatility is a day-trader's paradise. I'd do some myself if I had time and a great internet connection, but I have neither. :(
 
It's fine, most of my portflio is in various target-date mutual funds, in the 2030-2040 time range. This downturn will be good for me in the long run, and was inevitable. The 1 year returns on some of them have been as high as 16%. Nuts.

I only have a little bit tucked away to "play around with", but I consider that to be exactly equivalent to going to a casino. It's alright though, my major gamble, Nvidia, is doing just fine :)

But of course, who buys ATI these days?

Day-traders. This volatility is a day-trader's paradise. I'd do some myself if I had time and a great internet connection, but I have neither. :(

Are we talking about the same thing?
 
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