He painted them not as victims but as aggressors, linking them to mass shootings and "perversion," even though the evidence runs the opposite direction.
I'll be much surprised if you can produce said evidence running in the opposite direction re "perversion", since "perversion" is an entirely subjective pejorative. Re mass shootings, do you mean something like Elixir's Perplexity emission, "transgender people are much more likely to be victims of violence than perpetrators"? That's true of pretty much any demographic, since one perpetrator typically has many victims.
Trans people are probably under-represented, but certainly not over-represented as mass shooters.
Q: Have many of the mass shooters been transgender? A: The number of transgender mass shooters in the U.S. varies depending on how “mass shooting” is defined, but is relatively small. The Gun Violence Archive, which uses a broader definition, lists five mass shootings by transgender or...
www.factcheck.org
Your link certainly doesn't show they're certainly not over-represented -- its numbers are way too ambiguous to get certainty from. Some obvious problems jump out at me.
The Violence Prevention Project at Hamline University defines a mass shooting as “four or more people shot and killed, excluding the shooter, in a public location, with no connection to underlying criminal activity, such as gangs or drugs.” By that more restrictive measure, the project’s mass shooter database identifies 201 mass shooters between 1966 and 2024, and only one of them – Audrey Hale, the 2023 Nashville school shooting suspect – was transgender ...
He said of the 201 mass shooters in the database, “196 (97.5%) are cisgender men,” “4 (2.0%) are cisgender women,” and “1 (0.5%) is a transgender individual.”
196 + 4 + 1 = 201. I.e.,
zero are men or women of
unknown gender identity. In statistics
going back to 1966! We're supposed to seriously believe that the cops who arrested a mass shooter in 1966, when transgenderism was barely in the public consciousness and most trans people were as deeply closeted as gays were, took care to thoroughly investigate and record whether the perp thought of himself as a woman? There's no plausible deniability here -- the VPP is plainly simply taking for granted that if they don't know a shooter is trans then he's cis.
Also, if we take the numbers at face-value it would mean the 1% of biological females who are transmen account for 20% of the mass shootings committed by females, suggesting being trans makes a female twenty times more likely to commit a mass shooting. That's implausibly high -- it immediately raises the question of whether Hale was taking testosterone supplements as gender-affirming care. The article doesn't say. If she was, it would seem much more likely she went out of control due to testosterone poisoning than due to being trans.
The Gun Violence Archive, an independent organization that tracks gun-related violence in the U.S., defines mass shootings as incidents in which there are “a minimum of four victims shot, either injured or killed, not including any shooter who may also have been killed or injured in the incident.” Under this standard, there were 5,748 mass shootings between Jan. 1, 2013, and Sept. 15, 2025, according to the GVA. “OF THAT NUMBER OF INCIDENTS, there have been FIVE CONFIRMED Transgender shooters,” ...
I.e., there average about four hundred and fifty mass shootings a year. The VPP's definition says three and a half -- over a hundred times fewer. Can't tell from the link just how much of the difference is due to one definition counting wounded and the other only counting killed, but it's clear from other sources that those 450 annual mass shootings are heavily dominated by drug and gang violence. I don't think I'm going out on much of a limb to point out that gang culture and drug dealer culture are macho as all hell. They might not be the most welcoming spaces for an out-of-the-closet transwoman. To the extent that transwomen are excluded and/or put off by the culture and therefore aren't in gangs, or stay in the closet when they join so the police don't find out they're trans when they participate in shootings, their contribution to the statistics is artificially depressed.
Bottom line: there are too many confounding factors. Anybody who claims to know whether being trans makes you more or less inclined to commit a mass shooting, or has no effect either way, is overestimating his ability to extract signal from noise.