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2026 Midterm Elections

Who is or is not the President of the USA has so little to do with the price oil that it is dumb to bring up.
I did not bring it up. I used it as an example of energy prices that Gospel brought up.

That said, who is President and who is in Congress affects energy policy, and thus can affect energy prices, including that of gasoline.

For example, in 2020 many Dem candidates, including Bernie and Kamala, supported a ban on fracking. Since Fracking accounts for ½ of our oil production and ⅔ of our natural gas production. Had either one of them been elected, it certainly would have increased prices we pay at the pump and to heat our homes.
 
Trump is extremely relevant. We need a real congress that won't skirt its responsibility. Congress has ceded power to the Presidency (tariffs and etc) that is causing chaos for companies.
Congress skirting its responsibilities is extremely relevant.
Unevidenced accusations against the president, which are the extent of Jarhyn's contribution to this thread, are not.
We need a congress with the balls to investigate Trumps shading business ventures. We need a congress willing to stand up to Russia. We desperately need a real separation of powers. Having a strong corrupt president and a congress with no balls is a very bad recipe.
I agree. None of it has anything to do with what Jarhyn wrote.
 
Unevidenced accusations
Seriously, anyone saying bullshit like this needs to get fucking primaried.

It's gonna be fucking hilarious when the filing deadlines hit and the GOP goes ham on him because at that point he can no longer send a primary challenge against them.

And the fact is, this "filing deadlines" part is exactly when the GOP is going to pin Trump to the wall.

Of course, that's also quite relevant to the congressional midterms...

Trump is a fucking child rapist and I really hope everyone defending and gaslighting for him gets all that they deserve.
 
Who is or is not the President of the USA has so little to do with the price oil that it is dumb to bring up.
I did not bring it up. I used it as an example of energy prices that Gospel brought up.

That said, who is President and who is in Congress affects energy policy, and thus can affect energy prices, including that of gasoline.

For example, in 2020 many Dem candidates, including Bernie and Kamala, supported a ban on fracking. Since Fracking accounts for ½ of our oil production and ⅔ of our natural gas production. Had either one of them been elected, it certainly would have increased prices we pay at the pump and to heat our homes.
It's not that simple.
For one oil is a global market.
Why would an oil producer sell below the market value?
Just to help you at the pump?
Fracked oil is light, so it is shipped to places that have that kind of refinery.
USA does not have many light crude refineries.
 
“Unevidenced accusations against the president…
… Is the mantra of an “I’m not a trumpsucker”.
It’s very difficult to think of any major criminal offense of which he is not almost certainly guilty, and evidence is all over the place if you don’t have your head up Trump’s ass.
 
And yet only gas prices were offered up as an example.
Duh! That's what makes it an example, and not an exhaustive list.
And my point was that it’s a bad example, duh! Can you provide another?

Perhaps I’m just unclear as to what it was supposed to be an example of. Just because gas prices are lower under Trump (assuming that’s true) doesn’t mean it has bearing on impacts of Trump’s policies on prices overall.
 
Gas prices are so historically volatile I question the validity of using them as a metric of overall economic health.
They are very volatile in the short term, which is why I posted a chart over several years.
Gospel brought up energy prices, and I offered gas prices as an example of an energy carrier that is traditionally seen as an important barometer of price levels by the public.
In my part of the country gasoline dropped to $2.50. Meanwhile, my electric bill went up 40%, which seems to be a thing in the Midwest and Northeast.
 
Gas prices just went up 30 cents a gallon today.
No surprise there:

Trump says U.S. seized oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela


“Shippers will likely be much more cautious and hesitant about loading Venezuelan crude going forward,” said Matt Smith, an oil analyst at Kpler.

This looks like he's trying to make them implode. He closed the airspace and not allowing trade. This is siege warfare without the violence (yet).
 
Gas prices just went up 30 cents a gallon today.
No surprise there:

Trump says U.S. seized oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela


“Shippers will likely be much more cautious and hesitant about loading Venezuelan crude going forward,” said Matt Smith, an oil analyst at Kpler.

This looks like he's trying to make them implode. He closed the airspace and not allowing trade. This is siege warfare without the violence (yet).
Water is wet.
Trump is a power-mad sociopathic killer with the world's most powerful military at his disposal.
Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves.
This is as predictable as gravity.
 
I've said for many years that we should let the Republicans do the things they really want to do and it will destroy their party.

Now they have Trump to blame instead of the party itself.
 
A citation isn’t needed when millions of Americans are literally getting priced out of housing because of skyrocketing property taxes, insane insurance premiums, and homes being valued like they’re made of unobtanium. Everyone living through it is the citation.
Yes, housing prices are high, but how much of what you write is due to the federal government?
Property taxes are local, not federal.
Insurance premium are set by private companies regulated by states, not the federal government.
How high homes are valued is a complex issue, having to do with supply and demand. Demand is, among other things, a function of the population - more people will demand more housing. US has a lot more people than 40 years ago, or even 20 years ago - US crossed 300M in 2006. On the supply side, there is a finite amount of land in hot markets. More relaxed zoning laws could improve supply, but there is a tradeoff - too much dense infill and desirability starts to suffer because there is more traffic, and/or green space is sacrificed. The latter issue is well illustrated by Mamdani wanting to tear down Elizabeth Street Garden to build more "affordable housing".
Note that home prices are not increasing everywhere, and that the direction of the housing market is dependent on county. See this map.

housing.png

So yeah, the housing market is absolutely in flames.
I definitely do not see housing market being adequately described as being "in flames". That metaphor suggests concrete damage to the market, and a danger of collapse and destruction.
Trump’s housing policies overwhelmingly benefit investors, developers, and landlords – not families trying to keep a roof over their heads.
Which policies would that be concretely? You missed one big factor above - interest rates. Not only do higher interest rates make it more expensive to buy a home, but they also restrict supply, becaue people sitting on 3% mortgages are loathe to sell, even if it would make sense for their circumstances. Now, while increasing interest rates was by all means necessary in light of recent inflation, Trump is advocating lowering interest rates - too much so in my estimation.
His administration has also floated the idea of "portable mortgages".
His whole playbook is just deregulate and 🙏. But deregulation doesn’t reduce the actual costs of building anything.
Actually removing overly restrictive regulation could improve housing supply. Unfortunately, most of those regulations are on the state level, not federal.
You can scrap a zoning rule all day, but it won’t lower land prices, labor costs, material costs, or the permit fees states charge when taxing for each individual blade of grass. And developers don’t even look at looser zoning and say, “Wow, let’s build cheap homes for working families!” They say, “Sick dude, let’s build more luxury condos with infinity pools and valet dog-walking.” :rolleyes:
Restrictive zoning rules and other regulation would indeed increase supply. And developers like to build luxury apartments for the same reasons they like to build >2000 sq.ft. single family homes rather than 1000 sq. ft. shotgun shacks- people like them.
But that is not the fault of the federal government now, is it?
 
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Anyone remember when the GOP was dead set against "nation building". Kind of made it a core tenet in the 2000 election. Even odder seeing that the US tried to have Chavez assassinated in the first place under W.

The interesting aspect is that Maduro is a bum. Venezuela is suffering under this guy. Someone tried to overthrow him but that didn't work. Replacing Maduro should be easier than Hussein. The politics are a lot less complicated. But the people in charge in the White House are also a bit under-average themselves. Sectarian violence probably not a threat, but if security isn't nationwide, can see a drug cartel boom
 
Which policies would that be concretely? You missed one big factor above - interest rates. Not only do higher interest rates make it more expensive to buy a home, but they also restrict supply, becaue people sitting on 3% mortgages are loathe to sell, even if it would make sense for their circumstances.
One thing you didn't note was low interest rates were responsible for housing values going up a lot. Making housing more unaffordable, especially when rates would inevitably go up.
Now, while increasing interest rates was by all means necessary in light of recent inflation, Trump is advocating lowering interest rates - too much so in my estimation.
His administration has also floated the idea of "portable mortgages".
And 50-year mortgages, which is better known as "renting".
His whole playbook is just deregulate and 🙏. But deregulation doesn’t reduce the actual costs of building anything.
Actually removing overly restrictive regulation could improve housing supply. Unfortunately, most of those regulations are on the state level, not federal.
And NIMBY is a huge problem regarding that. People want more housing, just as long as it doesn't make their housing value slow in value growth.

The truth is housing is a problem because of the two housing booms born out of the uber cheap interest rates we had. Interest rates now... are LOW. They just aren't 3 or 4%. And that rates existed to keep the economy chugging when not much else was going too good. And yes, there is the trap of being in a 4% mortgage and not wanting to lose it to pay a notably higher mortgage. We can't exactly allow ourselves to justify inflation just to make it so people can move up in their housing.

There is no easy fix. Too bad Trump said he had lots of easy fixes. If we have an election in 2026, that will burn his ass as much as it did Harris's.
 
Rents have gone through the roof where I live, but the cost of homes for sale, not so much. When we tried to sell our home here in Georgia, the appraisal was just 21/2 times what we paid for it over 27 years ago, and we spent almost half of that on updates, roof replacements etc. Homes are starting to sell quickly in my neighborhood, but they are all below 300K. It's the lowest crime neighborhood in the city, and we also have the best schools. A lot of people are moving here from Atlanta and other small cities that are closer to ATL. I love my small city. It's affordable, racially integrated, has lots of beautiful parks, a quaint downtown, the best senior center I've ever seen, and some other things. Plus, we have a nice local Democratic Party that is becoming more active. What's not to like?

I don't see what that has to do with the midterms, but I did see a poll last night that had the Democrats leading by 14% in the midterms, so there is hope.
 
In my neck of the woods, housing has tripled. Places in 2021 are going for 3X in 2025, though this is the cheaper housing. We don't have $500k places going for $1.5 million. But affordable housing is becoming less affordable in NE Ohio.
 
the people in charge in the White House are also a bit under-average themselves.
BREAKING: Late entry secures 2025 "Understatement of the year" title in shock last minute result. Winner now early favourite in "Understatement of the twenty-first century" competition, with pundits declaring a greater understatement "extrordinarily unlikely" despite seventy-five years remaining on the clock.
 
Gas prices just went up 30 cents a gallon today.
No surprise there:

Trump says U.S. seized oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela


“Shippers will likely be much more cautious and hesitant about loading Venezuelan crude going forward,” said Matt Smith, an oil analyst at Kpler.

This looks like he's trying to make them implode. He closed the airspace and not allowing trade. This is siege warfare without the violence (yet).
Water is wet.
Trump is a power-mad sociopathic killer with the world's most powerful military at his disposal.
Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves.
This is as predictable as gravity.
For the life of me I can't understand why they don't just get it the fuck over with. We went to war in the ME (Iraq) over oil. Bush/Cheney were willing to get into a quagmire to secure those reserves and facilities and endure Islamic backlash, which wasn't even a gamble, but a certainty.

Meanwhile, Venezuala is firmly in America's sphere of influence. Nobody would come to their defense and the population wouldn't rally against American forces to any degree that could begin to resemble Iraq. Then Trump could use it as a legitimate reason to go about destroying the drug trade there by using real military might against it, which would then set a precedent for how to handle the drug cartels in other South and Central American countries.

I'm not saying I'd support any of it (I wouldn't), but compared to what this nation has engaged in prior to now, it seems to have all the pieces in place for surface justification.
 
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