Polls of the Presidential Race

[Rhea]

The longer people have to see for themselves how unfit for office Groper Joe is, what with his dementia and in reality not fit to run the local hot dog stand at a boy scouts club, let alone a deserted tropical island the Trump is home and hosed despite COVID 19.

I can’t tell if you’re drunk or just directly quoting Trump.

 

[southernhybrid]

The longer people have to see for themselves how unfit for office Groper Joe is, what with his dementia and in reality not fit to run the local hot dog stand at a boy scouts club, let alone a deserted tropical island the Trump is home and hosed despite COVID 19.

I can’t tell if you’re drunk or just directly quoting Trump.

Angelo thinks he is torturing us with his goofy posts. That's all it is.

Meanwhile, I saw a poll today that had Biden ahead of Trump in Texas by 5 percentage points. Yeehaw! Bang Bang! I lived in San Antone in the 70s. Loved that place. Would love to see Texas go back to blue.

Take that Angelo!

 

[Elixir]

I saw a poll today that had Biden ahead of Trump in Texas by 5 percentage points. Yeehaw! Bang Bang! I lived in San Antone in the 70s. Loved that place. Would love to see Texas go back to blue.

Yes! I am skeptical of it turning blue in 2020 due to the depth of the Republican cheat machine's operations there. It would be worth celebrating if it happens though! There are places that are near and dear to me (Austin area, S. Padre Island and some others).

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Florida has worked hard to disenfranchise people convicted of felonies, wonder if they’ll move to patients with Covid-19 next.

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

Real Clear Politics
Trump - 41.2%
Biden - 50.5%

Biden is up by 9.%

538
Trump - 40.3%
Biden - 49.3%

Biden is up by 9.4%
Biden is up on Trump in Texas - 0.1%
RCP says they are tied.

 

[angelo]

What most of you are ignoring........at your peril may I add. Is the fact that the college vote elects a POTUS, not a popular vote, as was seen in 2016! What good is a 80% vote for Groper Biden in the Socialist Republics Of California and New York if he loses in the same states that voted GOP in 2016?

 

[lpetrich]

What most of you are ignoring........at your peril may I add. Is the fact that the college vote elects a POTUS, not a popular vote, as was seen in 2016! What good is a 80% vote for Groper Biden in the Socialist Republics Of California and New York if he loses in the same states that voted GOP in 2016?

RealClearPolitics - Live Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls
2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map - 270towin.com

angelo, I thought that right-wingers believe in working rather than whining. I've seen plenty of polls of swing states, and it looks like Trump is doing very badly in them. Also, it looks like he might get squeakers in GA and TX -- at best.

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

If one checks Real Clear Politics a week before the 2016 election, Clinton lead Trump. She won the popular vote by 3 million votes. But in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Trump lead. But by small margins. Trump won these three states. Barely. The polls were actually extremely accurate. If one looked at state by state polls, it was obvious Trump had a very good chance at winning.

But now, things are very different.

Real Clear Politics.
Wisconsin - Biden by 6.5%
Michigan - Biden by 7.5%
Pennsylvania - Biden by 6.5%
Florida - Biden by 5.2% Trump barely took Florida in 2016, which the polls predicted almost exactly.

Ohio, and Texas, Tied.
Iowa, Trump by only 1.2%, essentially a tie.
Florida is gone, lose any one of these three states and it is impossible for Trump to win in any scenario including massive cheating and weird lawsuits.

The idea that the polls indicated a sure Clinton win in 2016 is a myth. It is a flimsy bit of flotsam that the Republicans cling to in face of polls showing a major defeat in the offing for Orango the clown. Trumpo is losing four states that gave him the electoral college, and not by tiny margins. All margins are outside any reasonable margins of error. And only 113 days until election day.

 

[Gun Nut]

The longer people have to see for themselves how unfit for office Groper Joe is, what with his dementia and in reality not fit to run the local hot dog stand at a boy scouts club, let alone a deserted tropical island the Trump is home and hosed despite COVID 19.

see what happens when you try to talk about something other than tits? You get all twisted up and no one can figure out what you are trying to say about tropical islands, or something about preferring a "pussy grabbing rapist" over a "groping hugger"

 

[hurtinbuckaroo]

The longer people have to see for themselves how unfit for office Groper Joe is, what with his dementia and in reality not fit to run the local hot dog stand at a boy scouts club, let alone a deserted tropical island the Trump is home and hosed despite COVID 19.

see what happens when you try to talk about something other than tits? You get all twisted up and no one can figure out what you are trying to say about tropical islands, or something about preferring a "pussy grabbing rapist" over a "groping hugger"

I'm going to nominate that post for The Library. It perfectly represents the right-wing convoluted "thought" process.

 

[ideologyhunter]

"GET YOUR GOVERNMENT HANDS OFF MY MEDICARE! YOU DAMN SOCIALISTS!"

 

[Koyaanisqatsi]

FiveThirtyEight:



Of note from an earlier 5-38 piece:

This is a sizable enough lead that Trump’s reelection chances are in a precarious position. Take what CNN analyst and FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found earlier this month when he looked back at presidential elections where an incumbent was running since 1940. He calculated, on average, a 7-point difference between the final national popular vote margin and the polls conducted four months out. That might sound like a lot of movement — and it is — but the problem for Trump is even if the polls swung toward him by 7 points, he would still trail Biden by about 2 to 3 points nationally. The median difference Enten found, 4.5 points, would leave Trump in even worse shape.
...
As always, there’s still time for the electoral environment to shift in Trump’s direction and narrow his polling deficit. The national party conventions and Biden’s vice presidential pick are big events that could still change the race, and there’s always the possibility that some unexpected news will break between now and November. But unfortunately for the president, recent polls have shown simply more of the same — he’s treading on thin electoral ice.

And with the recent Biden/Sanders jerk-fest designed to bring idiots on the left in line, there's hope that this nightmare will soon be over. The problem is--aside from the intense cheating going on and attempts to simply outright steal the election--the effect of Ross Peroting Kanye West will have on the young black male vote, which was already heavily targeted by the Russians in 2016 and arguably responsible for the miniscule shift needed.

Though how that will impact the key states about is still anyone's guess.

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

Kanye West ain't gonna do dirt. Most of the primaries are over. The only primary left is Connecticut.

https://www.270towin.com/2020-election-calendar/

 

[Koyaanisqatsi]

nm

 

[Keith&Co.]

I am on Trump's mailing list.


Somehow.

I got a survey and an invitation to donate money.

How would you rate President Trump’s job performance?
[__] GREAT
[__] GOOD
[__] OKAY
[__] OTHER

Well, the 'other' came in handy, so i could put 'Treason.'
Not sure how that'll do in the polls...

 

[lpetrich]

The Note: Trumpism battles itself in GOP runoffs - ABC News - "Jeff Sessions and Ronny Jackson are Republicans campaigning on loyalty to Trump."

Both say they're loyal to President Donald Trump. Trump doesn't quite feel the same way about one of them -- and while the president is a big factor in both races, Trump and Trumpism aren't necessarily aligned in either of them.

...
In one of the reddest states and one of the reddest House districts, both men are Republicans campaigning on loyalty to Trump.

So, though, are their primary opponents. Notwithstanding Trump's polling slide, it remains hard to find a Republican candidate anywhere who sees a political upside to putting daylight between himself and the president.

For AL-SEN, it's

• Tommy Tuberville 333,890 60.7%
• Jeff Sessions 215,831 39.3%

549,721 votes, 2,281 of 2,281 precincts reporting

Jeff Sessions was Trump's Attorney General, and Trump endorsed his rival, Tommy Tuberville.

For TX-13, it's

• Ronny Jackson 36,612 55.6%
• Josh Winegarner 29,261 44.4%

65,873 votes, 378 of 409 precincts reporting

Ronny Jackson is a former White House physician, and Trump endorsed him.

So both Trump endorsees are winning.

 

[angelo]

The race between the hare and the turtle comes to mind.

The race ain't over until the winner crosses the finish line. There are a lot of people out there in voter land who actually resent being asked who they'll vote for on 3rd November. That silent majority will decide if Groper Joe is handed the keys to the WH.

 

[Elixir]

The Note: Trumpism battles itself in GOP runoffs - ABC News - "Jeff Sessions and Ronny Jackson are Republicans campaigning on loyalty to Trump."

Both say they're loyal to President Donald Trump. Trump doesn't quite feel the same way about one of them -- and while the president is a big factor in both races, Trump and Trumpism aren't necessarily aligned in either of them.

...
In one of the reddest states and one of the reddest House districts, both men are Republicans campaigning on loyalty to Trump.

So, though, are their primary opponents. Notwithstanding Trump's polling slide, it remains hard to find a Republican candidate anywhere who sees a political upside to putting daylight between himself and the president.

For AL-SEN, it's

• Tommy Tuberville 333,890 60.7%
• Jeff Sessions 215,831 39.3%

549,721 votes, 2,281 of 2,281 precincts reporting

Jeff Sessions was Trump's Attorney General, and Trump endorsed his rival, Tommy Tuberville.

For TX-13, it's

• Ronny Jackson 36,612 55.6%
• Josh Winegarner 29,261 44.4%

65,873 votes, 378 of 409 precincts reporting

Ronny Jackson is a former White House physician, and Trump endorsed him.

So both Trump endorsees are winning.

What the GOP needs; more quack doctors and bullet-headed trumpsucking morons who know about football.

 

[lpetrich]

Primary results: 5 takeaways from Texas, Alabama and Maine - CNNPolitics

Sessions lost a US Senate GOP primary runoff to former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville, CNN projects, a major blow to the former attorney general, who had faced fierce opposition to his candidacy from the President.

Tuberville, who was endorsed by the President, will now advance to the general election as the Republican candidate set to take on incumbent Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in November. The race is likely to be the Republican Party's best pickup opportunity of the cycle.

Lou Saban: Trump repeatedly calls famed Alabama football coach Nick Saban by the wrong name - CNNPolitics

As Trump praised Tommy Tuberville, the former head coach of Auburn University, he also lauded a football coach named Saban -- just not the one who has secured five national championships for the state and built a dynasty in Tuscaloosa.

"Really successful coach," Trump said of Tuberville, whom he's vigorously endorsed in the race against his former attorney general Jeff Sessions. "Beat Alabama, like six in a row, but we won't even mention that. As he said ... because of that, maybe we got 'em Lou Saban ... And he's great, Lou Saban, what a great job he's done."

That's University of Alabama's football coach Nick Saban.

 

[Cheerful Charlie]

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3666

The latest Quinnipiac poll in all its glory. Biden is leading Trump by 15%.

It is a long poll with lots of interesting survey questions.
84% of Republicans would vote today for Trump. 9% would vote for Biden instead. 91% of Democrats would vote for Biden. 5% for Trump. Democrats outnumber Republicans. Independents would support Biden 51% to Trump, 34%. Independents out number Republicans or Democrats.
Women support Biden 59% to Trump 31%.
Overall, Trump's unfavorables are at 61%, favorables at 34%

For Trump, the pungent stink of defeat is in the air.