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2020 Election Results

PVI = Partisan Voting Index -- it measures how much more D or R a state or district is when compared to the national average.

State PVIs | The Cook Political Report
PVI Map and District List | The Cook Political Report

Lots of Turnout, Little Ticket Splitting | The Cook Political Report

Biden won, but Republicans did better than expected in Congress
We are going to be unpacking this bifurcated election for a while, but so far two things are clear: First, both party bases turned out to a massive degree. Second, there was little ticket-splitting. Depending upon what happens in Georgia, it looks like only one state (Maine) voted for one party for president and the other for the U.S. Senate. Four years ago was the first time since the direct election of senators began in 1914 that every single Senate race went the same direction as the presidential race.
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If Trump thinks the election was rigged against him why does he also think he would have won if only Pfizer announced its vaccine result before the election?
 
Your donation of $45 will help Trump secure the funds needed to fight this injustice of the Democrats. $90 will help secure funds for lawyers that know how to file the appropriate documents. $135 might even help get him re-elected.
 
For some reason, this thread was closed accidentally. Unknown how it happed at this point. It was not due to something any member had done.
 
Angry Floof said:
Shadowy Man said:
If Trump thinks the election was rigged against him why does he also think he would have won if only Pfizer announced its vaccine result before the election?
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Probably thought it would appear to be a promise he actually came through on.
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I agree but why would he think that would make him win the election if he was never going to win due to rigging? If he admits that he could have won the election he is also admitting he could have lost the election.
 
Shadowy Man said:
Angry Floof said:
Shadowy Man said:
If Trump thinks the election was rigged against him why does he also think he would have won if only Pfizer announced its vaccine result before the election?
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Probably thought it would appear to be a promise he actually came through on.
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I agree but why would he think that would make him win the election if he was never going to win due to rigging? If he admits that he could have won the election he is also admitting he could have lost the election.
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Because he's dumb. I think he thought it would be something he could take credit for and everyone would be like, "OMG he's such a great president he got us the vaccine just liek he said i'm totally voting for this great man."
 
In CA-12, Nancy Pelosi defeated Shahid Buttar by 55%, thus being elected to an 18th term in Congress. Whether she will become Speaker yet again is more up in the air, due to the recent losses in the House. These recent losses have claimed someone in charge of campaigning, so those losses may affect her also.

Cheri Bustos: House Democratic campaign chairwoman steps down after attacks from AOC and progressives | The Independent - "Illinois congresswoman only won her own race by 4 percentage points"
Ms Bustos’ chaotic two-year stewardship of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has come to an end after accusations that she hired a senior staff that did not reflect the diversity of the party’s broad racial and cross-cultural coalition. And her decision to step down comes amid ongoing feuds between moderates and the left fringe of the party over its direction and message to voters.
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Cheri Bustos won't run for DCCC chief after House Dem losses - POLITICO - "Several Democrats have privately lined up to replace her. "
Bustos’ campaign arm has faced intense scrutiny since Democrats’ stunning defeat on Tuesday, with battleground Democrats arguing she did little to protect them from stinging GOP attacks and that she pursued an overly aggressive strategy in impossible-to-win districts in states like Texas and Arkansas.

Heading into election night, Democratic leaders confidently predicted they would grow the House majority they won in the midterms. But they have so far lost seven incumbents and more are likely to follow in California and New York, and shell-shocked Democrats have demanded to know what went wrong.

...
The Illinois Democrats’ own reelection battle was far more competitive than expected. Sensing opportunity, national Republicans dumped money into the race in the final days and ultimately Bustos beat Republican Esther Joy King by about 4 points.
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Expect to see a lot of drama llama.
 
IL-14 and CA-25 are still neck-and-neck. In IL-14, Lauren Underwood (D) is ahead by 0.28%, and in CA-25, Christy Smith (D) has gotten ahead again, at 0.40%. There are some other close races, like IA-02, UT-04, CA-39, and NY-03.

Election 2020: Latest news, vote counts, and results - The Washington Post has a nice diagram of the House seats. The D's have 3 called pickups, 1 possible pickup, and 3 possible holds, while the R's have 8 called pickups, 7 possible pickups, and 4 possible holds.

But the Democrats will retain their House majority.

‘We’re not some demonic cult’: Democrats fume over faulty messaging - POLITICO - "Rank-and-file lawmakers are anxious, but major leadership changes are unlikely."
Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.), who lost by 20 points to Republican Tommy Tuberville last week, blamed getting tied to GOP “catch-phrases” as the reason red- and purple-state Democrats took a beating.

“We’re not some demonic cult like we’re portrayed to be,” said Jones. “I was fighting the same battle that Jaime Harrison was fighting, that Mike Espy was fighting, that Cal Cunningham was fighting, that Steve Bullock was fighting. And Democrats have not been able to fully counter the Republican narrative
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Welcome to the club. That's been the Republicans' messaging since at least 1992. I remember what an ogre they considered Bill Clinton. Also Hillary Clinton. Then Harry Reid, then Nancy Pelosi, then Barack Obama. Now it's AOC, but she is good at fighting back.
Jones, the sole incumbent Democratic senator to lose, said both party campaign arms need to change their mission. He said Stacey Abrams’ work in Georgia should be a model for the party’s work in individual states, while he contends the “DSCC and DCCC spend too much time investing in candidates and not the electorate. They don’t invest in House districts, they don’t invest in states.”
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "For the Dems who think I’m just being a selfish, divisive bombthrower from a deep blue seat, maybe you’ll listen to Doug Jones in Alabama when he says the same thing ⬇️" / Twitter
noting
Meredith Shiner on Twitter: "yo if @AOC AND @DougJones are saying the same thing, maybe the issue with Democrats’ campaign operations is not ideological but structural. (links)" / Twitter

Then
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "Again, neither of us is saying GOP messaging didn’t hurt. And no one is telling folks in tough seats to adopt activist messaging.

We are saying the messaging hurt to the extent that it did because our operations & investments are not great and it makes the party vulnerable." / Twitter

Democratic politicians should be more creative in their responses to Republican attacks. Like say about "socialism" that "my opponent seems to enjoy using content-free insults".
 
CSPAN on Twitter: ".@SecPompeo: "There will be a smooth transition to a second Trump administration." Full video here: (links)" / Twitter
noting
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo News Conference | C-SPAN.org

Then
Elizabeth Warren on Twitter: "This isn’t just delusional—it’s dangerous. The peaceful transition of power is a cornerstone of our democracy. @JoeBiden won this election, and this administration needs to accept the results and let him get to work." / Twitter


Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "#EmbraceTheBase (link)" / Twitter
Embrace the Base

The Movement for Black Lives Turned Out Voters -- 1.1 MILLION
People registered to vote in the first half of June amid BLM protests across the country
Voter registration for Democrats nearly doubled in June from 17K in 2016 to 32K in 2020
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AOC claims that in swing districts, 6 Dem M4A cosponsors won, and 8 Dem non-cosponsors lost. I want to see better numbers, and which bills they were or were not cosponsoring.
Voters Want Leaders That Stand for Moral Clarity & Push Progressive Policy
THANK YOU
leaders & organizers who knock on doors, make phone calls, hold community meetings, and never stop fighting for their base
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Seems like AOC sees herself as an activist in office.
 
CA-25 has now become Republican again, with Mike Garcia now ahead by 159 votes, 0.05% of the total. The WaPo says that "Turnout has exceeded expectations"

I looked at that recent list of 32 swing-seat Democrats, and I compared that list to cosponsors of this bill and resolution:
Of these 32, 6 lost as of the latest count, though IL-14 is only a borderline victory at this time. But of the 26 winners, 7 supported M4A, and of these, 2 supported the GND. None of the losers supported either of them.


As states press forward with vote counts, Trump advisers privately express pessimism about heading off Biden’s win - The Washington Post
Trump began the day tweeting about “BALLOT COUNTING ABUSE” as he and his allies touted unproven claims that fraud had tainted the election in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Vice President Pence gave a presentation to Republican senators on Capitol Hill about new litigation expected in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Georgia — imploring them to stick with the president, according to several Republicans in the room.
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Trump's actions blocking a transition are 'an embarrassment,' Biden says - The Washington Post - "Democrats have grown increasingly agitated that Republicans have been unwilling to accept the election results. On Tuesday, they began making more forceful arguments that the intransigence of Trump administration officials was putting national security at risk, and that his arguments contesting election results had little basis in reality."

Trump is a lame duck and the ALL-CAPS president - The Washington Post
The president has slacked off the job — even as he continues to lay claim to its pomp and circumstance for another four years. Trump seems more intent on burning down the White House — while firing the defense secretary, riling up his supporters and flinging accusations of election malfeasance without evidence — than on vacating it. He has unleashed his minions on the ballot counters and secretaries of state. They are barking up a storm. And instead of updating the country on the state of the economy, the public health, his long-promised health-care plan or the world and our place in it, the president is grousing.

By his protracted absence from a position of leadership, Trump has left a vacuum, and President-elect Joe Biden has filled that void: a calm, smiling force in a buttoned-up blue-gray suit and a perfectly centered blue-striped tie.
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I continue to marvel at how the Republican Party continues to stand behind this big baby. It seems that losing the election means that it's their chance to dispose of him, but they aren't taking that opportunity.
 
QAnon Struggles After Trump Election Defeat - The New York Times
These are trying times for believers in QAnon, the baseless conspiracy theory that falsely claims the existence of a satanic pedophile cult run by top Democrats. For years, they had been assured that Mr. Trump would win re-election in a landslide and spend his second term vanquishing the deep state and bringing the cabal’s leaders to justice. Q, the pseudonymous message board user whose cryptic posts have fueled the movement for more than three years, told them to “trust the plan.”

But since Mr. Trump’s defeat, Q has gone dark. No posts from the account bearing Q’s tripcode, or digital user name, have appeared on 8kun, the website where all of Q’s posts appear. And overall QAnon-related activity on the site has slowed to a trickle. (On a recent day, there were fewer new posts on one of 8kun’s QAnon boards than on its board for adult-diaper fetishists.)
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QAnon's leaders are now fighting among each other. Crackdowns by social-media companies have also hurt QAnon.
The crackdowns have hurt QAnon’s grifter class — the self-appointed leaders who make a living selling Q merchandise, writing QAnon-themed books and organizing offline Q events. But they also disconnected rank-and-file believers from the communities where they gathered to discuss the news, decode the latest drops and plan for the future.
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Drops - message drops - posts by Q.

This seems like the John Birch Society all over again - back in 1960, it was very notable for insinuating that Dwight Eisenhower was a Communist and that fluoridation of water supplies is Communist sabotage. Not surprisingly, they considered the civil-rights movement masterminded by Communists.
 
lpetrich said:
I continue to marvel at how the Republican Party continues to stand behind this big baby. It seems that losing the election means that it's their chance to dispose of him, but they aren't taking that opportunity.
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They got what they wanted. A tax cut for their donors, a stacked court, and no penalties for dragging their feet on legislation. All they had to do was stand back, watch Trump do his thing, and wait for the dust to settle.

I can picture Republican lawmakers getting panicky only if Trump started his own party. A large part of his base would vote for him and only him. leaving Republicans with the remainders.
 
They did amazingly well under Trump, more success for the ultra-rich than they got even under Bush/Cheney. They jumped quickly into the clasping orange arms.
 
James Brown said:
lpetrich said:
I continue to marvel at how the Republican Party continues to stand behind this big baby. It seems that losing the election means that it's their chance to dispose of him, but they aren't taking that opportunity.
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They got what they wanted. A tax cut for their donors, a stacked court, and no penalties for dragging their feet on legislation. All they had to do was stand back, watch Trump do his thing, and wait for the dust to settle.

I can picture Republican lawmakers getting panicky only if Trump started his own party. A large part of his base would vote for him and only him. leaving Republicans with the remainders.
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They didn't get all that they wanted. They want control of our country and essentially an end to democracy here. They want the means to stay in power as long as they like and do as they please without accountability. They don't have that yet, but rest assured, they are still trying.
 
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