I don't know about that. This is the guy who's spent the past year running circles around the entire GOP establishment. While it's true that that can be likened to winning the slam dunk contest at a midget convention, his skills in this area can't simply be dismissed offhand.
Regardless of anything else one can say about him, he does know how to sell and the product that he's pushing now isn't a product that people will be interested in buying during the general election. His lack of specificity at the moment allows him to bitch about how the media's been misrepresenting him and he never actually said anything like whatever he's being accused of saying and this is his actual position. While there will, of course, be instances of that answer being followed by a video clip of his saying that exact thing which he can then ignore and change the subject about, there will be many more where he can't actually be pinned down on the subject and he knows it.
Boy, I really don't know. I can totally see him as a completely undeliberate biffoon lucking upon a combination of his natural ego wanting things that happen to be working. Like evolution doesn't have a "direction" and happens upon things that are advantageous.
Damn...and now this thread goes all serious

Anywho, I'd say it is a mix of being like evolution and a fairly skilled bully/operator. I don't think Trump got where he is (aka prior to this presidential run) by being a moron. He is getting lucky in some ways due to the various frustrations of large subsets of the US. I would say that some of his success is from strategic thinking and some from luck of the draw. And by strategic thinking I don’t mean 6 months out.
I haven't finished this lengthy article that lpetrich posted (see:
http://talkfreethought.org/showthre...iously-anymore&p=265858&viewfull=1#post265858), but authoritarianism and current fears (even if imaginary/exaggerated) seems to be the missing link that at least partly explains the rise of Trump in this cycle:
http://www.vox.com/2016/3/1/11127424/trump-authoritarianism
People who score high in authoritarianism, when they feel threatened, look for strong leaders who promise to take whatever action necessary to protect them from outsiders and prevent the changes they fear.
So MacWilliams naturally wondered if authoritarianism might correlate with support for Trump.
He polled a large sample of likely voters, looking for correlations between support for Trump and views that align with authoritarianism. What he found was astonishing: Not only did authoritarianism correlate, but it seemed to predict support for Trump more reliably than virtually any other indicator. He later repeated the same poll in South Carolina, shortly before the primary there, and found the same results,…
<snip>
Trump embodies the classic authoritarian leadership style: simple, powerful, and punitive.
My guess from reading some of this article so far, and my own thoughts are that a large swath of whites, are feeling pressure economically and they see the world as much scarier. Long time societal rules have changed again, with gay marriage completely breaking down the last major barriers last year. So these people are lashing out at weird people and foreigners. A minor example, is my elderly father who watches way to much Faux News, and he seriously thinks that illegal immigration is a growing problem. When I point out that the number of illegal immigrants is down by nearly a million people, he just says “so they say”. We also have seen a big increase in the divergence of how people get their information about life, politics, et.al. with the ‘establishment’ news sources being less and less relevant.
And Trump does occasionally say something intelligent that few to no neocons would or could say. Ironically, it doesn't seem to matter that he has also said stupid shit, along the lines of what Hillary or Cruz would do in the ME. If anything it sounds like Cruz may have backed off a little from the idea of big adventures in the ME. Can anyone imagine Hillary saying the below?
http://thehill.com/opinion/juan-williams/272857-juan-williams-iraq-war-shapes-2016-landscape
“We have done a tremendous disservice not only to the Middle East — we've done a tremendous disservice to humanity,” Trump told a Republican debate audience in December.
“The people that have been killed,” he said, “the people that have been wiped away — and for what? It's not like we had victory. It's a mess. The Middle East is totally destabilized, a total and complete mess. I wish we had the $4 trillion or $5 trillion. I wish it were spent right here in the United States, on schools, hospitals, roads, airports, and everything else that are all falling apart."
So I’d summarize by saying that I think a fairly smart, rich, true outsider, bully coincided with politics hitting some pretty rough patches, along with a long time stagnating economy for many Americans, even us whites. The GOP has not been able to duck the Shrub disaster of Iraq, so his rare accurate comments in that direction hit home. And the Democrats are hardly clean there either, with the mess in Libya and Syria now; never mind the Afghan pile that is still steaming. Both parties are somewhat owned by WS, and I think Sander’s and Trump’s followers have at least partial recognition of that.