Lumpenproletariat
Veteran Member
- Joined
- May 9, 2014
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- Basic Beliefs
- ---- "Just the facts, ma'am, just the facts."
Something unique must have happened 2000 years ago.
not the usual "making up shit"
But that a popular restaurant existed is nothing unusual at all. There have been millions of popular restaurants. Maybe even a million today. So we don't need someone to give evidence that a popular restaurant exists, or existed yesterday or a year ago. We know they exist everywhere every day.
So for your analogy you must give an example of a very unusual event. How about the historical Joan of Arc event: a poor peasant girl leads her nation under siege from an enemy country, and she rallies the army to victory over the powerful invading country of millions who had suppressed her nation for several decades.
Not only can such an event not happen every day or every year, but it can't happen even every 100 or 500 years. Even a thousand years. So this is a very rare "miracle" event, sort of, and stands out as extremely unusual. Has it ever happened other than this one time we know of? Maybe not. This might be the ONLY time in history that such a thing ever happened. Or if not, it's only the 2nd or 3rd time -- very very unusual.
an unusual event vs. a normal event
So we're entitled to disbelieve that any other such event has ever happened, unless someone can cite the case, from the historical record. It's conceivable that some time in China or Africa or -- who knows where? or when, perhaps 1000 or 5000 years ago -- such a thing did happen elsewhere, at another time in history. Possibly, but probably not, and we should not believe it unless the one claiming it can provide the evidence from the historical record.
So it's about something unusual, not routine.
Of course there's no absolute certainty. E.g., maybe there was another "mass extinction" of animal life, 100 years ago, like that of the dinosaurs 60 billion years ago, and all record of it was wiped clean somehow, so no one knows that half of all animal life was wiped out 100 years ago, with all the evidence deleted. You can imagine all sorts of weird possibilities. But generally, massive disasters, massive revolutionary upheavals in a society etc. are learned by everyone and it's known that such a thing happened, because it gets recorded. So we can assume it has not happened if there's no evidence of it. Because such an event would be so unusual and we'd have to know. And a reputed miracle-worker like Jesus in the Gospel accounts, attested to in several sources, is something very unusual, not something that happens routinely. Or if it does, where is another example of it?
If it's routine, it happens generally, often, and so there has to be some evidence of it somewhere, i.e., evidence of cases more than only the one 2000 years ago. But since there are no other cases cited, then it's not routine, but an unusual case, and so we can assume it has not happened elsewhere unless someone gives evidence of it.
But if it's not routine, or something unusual, then we can assume it has not happened other than where there's evidence showing that it did happen. Such as we do have evidence of some unusual events in history, which happened maybe only once, or maybe happening rarely, like once every 5000 years or so. An Ice Age could be an example, of something rare, and we assume it's not happening unless there's evidence it's happening in a particular time or place.
So your analogy has to be about a possible event which would be something very unusual, not something routine like the existence of a popular restaurant.
It cannot be something normal, which we know happens every day anyway. Rather, it must be something very rare, like Joan of Arc, highly irregular, in which case we're entitled to doubt a claim that it happened a 2nd time, or disbelieve the claim, if you can't provide evidence that it did happen (other than the one known case).
We can assume that miracle acts like those of Jesus in the Gospels have never happened, unless there is evidence that they did happen in some case. Like we have evidence for it in this one case, about 30 AD in the written accounts of the time, in which the acts are reported, like other historical events are reported, in written accounts from the time. Only in such a case as that can we assume it happened, where it's reported, or witnesses reportedly saw it, etc. With such empirical evidence, from witnesses who saw it, we can conclude that it did happen, or probably happened.
If it's something very unusual being claimed, then I should assume the facts about it are not out there and there's no information to find, nothing to dig for. UNLESS the one claiming it offers evidence for it.
All we can have is probability. Which we do have in many cases, and for anything highly unusual it's probably not happening -- 99% probable or probably not -- if no one has evidence that it is happening. Obviously there are a million possibilities, so we always go by what's probable, meaning for anything highly unusual it's probably not happening unless someone offers evidence that it is happening.
So, there are no parallel Jesus-like miracle-workers, or have been none, probably, as long as no one has any evidence of it. Such a possibility is extremely unusual, so probably has not happened if no one has any evidence that it happened.
The first step is to get out that evidence, those written accounts, and go over them. If no one wants to do this, it shows that no one thinks it's good evidence. I've gone over those written accounts and find them very artificial. But you can't take my word for it. If you think those accounts might be just as convincing, then dig them out -- they're online -- and we can argue each one. But no one really wants to do it because the accounts are so silly.
I'll say that there is virtually only one real source for the Joseph Smith miracles. 90% from one writer only. And the other sources are pathetic. But you have to get out those stories and read them for yourself. And if they have any credibility, you will post them here. No one ever posts them because they are too ridiculous, and anyone wanting to make the case becomes frustrated and loses interest. Also, that someone saw some "gold tablets" means nothing. Gold tablets are not a miracle.
This is not the same as the rapid growth of a religion, as if such growth is EVIDENCE of something important. Rapid spread of a belief system per se is not what's significant. (That could just be a result of a very talented guru who influences devotees.) But rapid spread of belief that a miracle act happened, based on testimony or reports that it happened and was witnessed, is significant, because large numbers do not claim such a thing if nothing unusual really happened. Because the norm is to reject miracle-worker claims if nothing really happened.
There seems to be no other example of this in all the historical record, or written accounts telling the past events.
not the usual "making up shit"
No, that's a false analogy. The Jesus reported miracle acts are something very unusual in history, possibly so unusual that it's unlikely to happen even once. But we do have evidence, written accounts reporting it, to indicate that it happened this once. Possibly other times, too, but we're entitled to assume it has not happened until someone gives evidence that it did happen at a certain time or place.Kind of like suggesting that the only popular restaurants that have ever existed are those that are open now. I mean, if there were other restaurants that existed and were popular, where are they now?Did only the Ancient World "make up shit"?
Perhaps, but not anymore so than today. In fact it's even MORE acceptable today, or is practiced more, because we have so much better publishing technology to be able to reach a much wider audience for whatever shit we're trying to sell.We should also add that in the ancient world, just making shit up to make someone look better was normal and acceptable.
So saying Jesus was a product of "making shit up" in the ancient world explains nothing about how we got our ancient written record of Jesus the 1st-century miracle-worker. If "making shit up" explains it, then we should have dozens or even hundreds more Jesus-type miracle-workers in the "ancient world" written record. So, where are they?
But that a popular restaurant existed is nothing unusual at all. There have been millions of popular restaurants. Maybe even a million today. So we don't need someone to give evidence that a popular restaurant exists, or existed yesterday or a year ago. We know they exist everywhere every day.
So for your analogy you must give an example of a very unusual event. How about the historical Joan of Arc event: a poor peasant girl leads her nation under siege from an enemy country, and she rallies the army to victory over the powerful invading country of millions who had suppressed her nation for several decades.
Not only can such an event not happen every day or every year, but it can't happen even every 100 or 500 years. Even a thousand years. So this is a very rare "miracle" event, sort of, and stands out as extremely unusual. Has it ever happened other than this one time we know of? Maybe not. This might be the ONLY time in history that such a thing ever happened. Or if not, it's only the 2nd or 3rd time -- very very unusual.
an unusual event vs. a normal event
So we're entitled to disbelieve that any other such event has ever happened, unless someone can cite the case, from the historical record. It's conceivable that some time in China or Africa or -- who knows where? or when, perhaps 1000 or 5000 years ago -- such a thing did happen elsewhere, at another time in history. Possibly, but probably not, and we should not believe it unless the one claiming it can provide the evidence from the historical record.
So it's about something unusual, not routine.
Of course there's no absolute certainty. E.g., maybe there was another "mass extinction" of animal life, 100 years ago, like that of the dinosaurs 60 billion years ago, and all record of it was wiped clean somehow, so no one knows that half of all animal life was wiped out 100 years ago, with all the evidence deleted. You can imagine all sorts of weird possibilities. But generally, massive disasters, massive revolutionary upheavals in a society etc. are learned by everyone and it's known that such a thing happened, because it gets recorded. So we can assume it has not happened if there's no evidence of it. Because such an event would be so unusual and we'd have to know. And a reputed miracle-worker like Jesus in the Gospel accounts, attested to in several sources, is something very unusual, not something that happens routinely. Or if it does, where is another example of it?
If it's routine, it happens generally, often, and so there has to be some evidence of it somewhere, i.e., evidence of cases more than only the one 2000 years ago. But since there are no other cases cited, then it's not routine, but an unusual case, and so we can assume it has not happened elsewhere unless someone gives evidence of it.
But if it's not routine, or something unusual, then we can assume it has not happened other than where there's evidence showing that it did happen. Such as we do have evidence of some unusual events in history, which happened maybe only once, or maybe happening rarely, like once every 5000 years or so. An Ice Age could be an example, of something rare, and we assume it's not happening unless there's evidence it's happening in a particular time or place.
So your analogy has to be about a possible event which would be something very unusual, not something routine like the existence of a popular restaurant.
Not analogous. You must provide an example of something very unusual, not routine, to use it claiming it's the same as an example of a miracle claim, or claim that a miracle was performed.I mean, there are ways to find out about older places that no longer existed, via media (tv/newspaper/magazines), photographs, property deeds, word of mouth, etc...
It cannot be something normal, which we know happens every day anyway. Rather, it must be something very rare, like Joan of Arc, highly irregular, in which case we're entitled to doubt a claim that it happened a 2nd time, or disbelieve the claim, if you can't provide evidence that it did happen (other than the one known case).
Ordinary normal places and events, yes, we assume they existed without needing any evidence. But they never existed if they would have been highly unusual and there's no evidence that they happened, and such things never happened in all known history. If it's something unusual, which hardly ever happens, or maybe never, then we must assume it never happened if you have no evidence that it did happen. Or we can assume it never existed if you have no evidence that it did exist.Of course some places will evaporate into history, never to be thought of again. Doesn't mean they never existed.
We can assume that miracle acts like those of Jesus in the Gospels have never happened, unless there is evidence that they did happen in some case. Like we have evidence for it in this one case, about 30 AD in the written accounts of the time, in which the acts are reported, like other historical events are reported, in written accounts from the time. Only in such a case as that can we assume it happened, where it's reported, or witnesses reportedly saw it, etc. With such empirical evidence, from witnesses who saw it, we can conclude that it did happen, or probably happened.
No, it's NOT out there, unless whoever claims it provides the evidence.Similar to the other "prophets". The information is out there, you just need to dig harder to find it.
If it's something very unusual being claimed, then I should assume the facts about it are not out there and there's no information to find, nothing to dig for. UNLESS the one claiming it offers evidence for it.
No, it's because no one is providing evidence for it that it doesn't exist. Or PROBABLY doesn't exist. And so NO ONE knows it exists -- not only I don't know it, but no one does. E.g., there's not another Joan of Arc war happening somewhere today, unless someone can cite a case, with evidence, of such a war, or such a warrior heroine. It's about something very unusual if it ever does happen, and so without the evidence we must assume it's not happening. Whereas a popular restaurant existing is normal, and so no evidence is needed in order to believe that's happening.You seem to be bragging that because you don't know it exists, it doesn't exist.
"for others"? This isn't about what is true, or what exists "for this one or that one" or "for these" or "for others" or "for those" etc.And of course, for others, it might not exist. Or it could have been destroyed by other cultists, like how monotheism was stamped out in Egypt.
All we can have is probability. Which we do have in many cases, and for anything highly unusual it's probably not happening -- 99% probable or probably not -- if no one has evidence that it is happening. Obviously there are a million possibilities, so we always go by what's probable, meaning for anything highly unusual it's probably not happening unless someone offers evidence that it is happening.
So, there are no parallel Jesus-like miracle-workers, or have been none, probably, as long as no one has any evidence of it. Such a possibility is extremely unusual, so probably has not happened if no one has any evidence that it happened.
It does apply to that. The evidence that Joseph Smith did miracles is very poor. To consider that case it's necessary to dig out the written accounts which report it, and when we do that it becomes clear that it's bad evidence.And then of course, there is the other angle. The whole, how does your argument not apply to Mormonism?
The first step is to get out that evidence, those written accounts, and go over them. If no one wants to do this, it shows that no one thinks it's good evidence. I've gone over those written accounts and find them very artificial. But you can't take my word for it. If you think those accounts might be just as convincing, then dig them out -- they're online -- and we can argue each one. But no one really wants to do it because the accounts are so silly.
I'll say that there is virtually only one real source for the Joseph Smith miracles. 90% from one writer only. And the other sources are pathetic. But you have to get out those stories and read them for yourself. And if they have any credibility, you will post them here. No one ever posts them because they are too ridiculous, and anyone wanting to make the case becomes frustrated and loses interest. Also, that someone saw some "gold tablets" means nothing. Gold tablets are not a miracle.
The "miracle" -- or evidence of "miracle" -- is not the fast growth of a religion, or fast spread of a belief. What's unique in the Jesus case is the unusual volume of testimony, or reports of the improbable events or apparent miracle acts, like the healing miracles in the Gospel accounts, which are much more than normal, occurring in higher degree than any other reported cases known. And also the Resurrection of course, for which there is strong evidence.After all, they've grown into quite the religion (and probably much faster than Christianity).
This is not the same as the rapid growth of a religion, as if such growth is EVIDENCE of something important. Rapid spread of a belief system per se is not what's significant. (That could just be a result of a very talented guru who influences devotees.) But rapid spread of belief that a miracle act happened, based on testimony or reports that it happened and was witnessed, is significant, because large numbers do not claim such a thing if nothing unusual really happened. Because the norm is to reject miracle-worker claims if nothing really happened.
There seems to be no other example of this in all the historical record, or written accounts telling the past events.
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