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How should west respond to potential (likely) Russian invasion of Ukraine?

Jimmy Higgins

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Reports are coming in that new conscripts being sent to Ukraine are being shook down for cell phones and gear by Russian soldiers. Fights and mutinies are resulting. Reportedly a number of theiving contract soldiers got severly beaten, locked themselves in a baracks and had to call for help. It is going to be a long war.
View attachment 40589

How sad is that? Going into debt to buy equipment because your Government wants to send you to die. And die for an unjust cause at that.
Sounds like a Libertarian Utopia. Especially when the loan officer goes to the family demanding their dead son's loan be paid back... with 42% interest.
 

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For those of you wondering how the fuck tiny Ukraine can do so well against Russia. It's because of intel. USA is feeding Ukraine top notch military intel. While Russians are creatively being blocked from gathering intel. Ukraine can see the Russians coming, while the Russians can't see the Ukrainian coming.


I also recommend reading up on how Ukraine manages to deny Russia air superiority. I've found a few great articles on that. Basically, Ukraine can't dominate the skies themselves, because they're outgunned. But they can use mobile US anti-air platforms making it extremely dangerous to fly over Ukraine.

Ukraine can't really do much offensively with their planes, because they're so outgunned. To an extreme degree. Russia has more than ten times as many combat aircraft than Ukraine.


Russia's main intel-gathering methods is via air. If they're denied the ability to use planes to gather data, they're operating in the dark. Russia has satellites that can be used to gather data, but they're nowhere near what they need to be to be of much use militarily.
USA has satellites that are so good that they can see anything anywhere in Ukraine, in real time. And Ukraine gets this information immediately. They can and are used as missile guiding tools to make precision hits anywhere in occupied territory.

The combination of denial of air superiority and satellite guided missiles, in practice means that Ukraine has the same benefits as if they'd had air superiority. They can pound Russia into the ground with missile. Russia can't run and hide because Ukraine can see them at all times. Ukraine just needs to stay mobile and Russia has no idea what they're aiming at. That's why Russian cassualities are so extremely high, while Ukrainian casualties aren't.

If you wonder how this one thing can do such a big difference. The first Balkan (1912) war was won by Turkey because they had one gunboat with a longer range than any of the Greeks and Bulgarians. They just parked the ship off the coast and kept relentlessly firing 24/7 at targets on land. Over time they were just whittled away to nothing. They couldn't take boats and go out to take out the boat because none of their canons (even on land) had anything that could even dent the hull.

The extreme effectiveness over modern satellite guided missiles is making USA very nervous. It suggests a shift in military doctrine. Since new satellites will keep being launched. They will get better and better. Sooner or later any little shit nation will have the satellite capacity USA now enjoys. This will have an enormous impact on how future wars will be fought. If anything of any size can be taken out easily, we'll be talking about armies of ninjas fighting each other backed up by expendable battle droids. This will change the deciding factors of war. And most importantly negate a lot of the toys USA today uses to dominate the world militarily.
 

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Reports are coming in that new conscripts being sent to Ukraine are being shook down for cell phones and gear by Russian soldiers. Fights and mutinies are resulting. Reportedly a number of theiving contract soldiers got severly beaten, locked themselves in a baracks and had to call for help. It is going to be a long war.
View attachment 40589

How sad is that? Going into debt to buy equipment because your Government wants to send you to die. And die for an unjust cause at that.

They're not likely to get paid what they are due while in service. I doubt there will be much in the way of survivor's benefits paid out to the family either. The Kremlin budget for next year doesn't come close to covering this war as it is, nevermind the increase in troops. Wait'll winter really sets in and these guys are out there just trying not to freeze to death.
 

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Shahed-136 is a cheap-ass kamikaze drone. I would be wary of numbers reported by Ukraine, because "shooting it down" could mean that Ukrainian forces shot at the drone, but it still hit its target. Also my understanding is that Russia is manufacturing variants of these drones themselves so there could be more.

I'm guessing Ukraine has gotten better at countering these particular drones, but they're still a pain in the ass.
 

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A more strategic Russian retreat signals long fight ahead in Kherson - The Washington Post
“This is not Kharkiv,” Kostenko said. “There, they left all of their ammunition and vehicles and fled. Here, we don’t even have many trophies. They just retreated from the fight, took everything with them to their new position and are digging in anew.”

No big advances recently, though on Twitter I've found a lot of chatter about Ukraine moving toward the highway between Svatove and Kreminna. That would be another encirclement move.
 

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Hundreds of bodies found in Kharkiv after Russians left​

In the northeastern Kharkiv region where Ukrainian forces regained a large swathe of ground in September, the bodies of 534 civilians including 19 children were found after Russian troops left, Serhiy Bolvinov of the National Police in Kharkiv told a briefing posted online Thursday.

The total included 447 bodies found in Izium, Reuters reports. He also said that investigators had found evidence of 22 sites being used as “torture rooms”. There was no immediate comment from Russia.
 

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Hundreds of bodies found in Kharkiv after Russians left​

In the northeastern Kharkiv region where Ukrainian forces regained a large swathe of ground in September, the bodies of 534 civilians including 19 children were found after Russian troops left, Serhiy Bolvinov of the National Police in Kharkiv told a briefing posted online Thursday.

The total included 447 bodies found in Izium, Reuters reports. He also said that investigators had found evidence of 22 sites being used as “torture rooms”. There was no immediate comment from Russia.
The Russian scum are doing the same in Enerhodar, near Zaporizhzhia.
 

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A more strategic Russian retreat signals long fight ahead in Kherson - The Washington Post
“This is not Kharkiv,” Kostenko said. “There, they left all of their ammunition and vehicles and fled. Here, we don’t even have many trophies. They just retreated from the fight, took everything with them to their new position and are digging in anew.”

No big advances recently, though on Twitter I've found a lot of chatter about Ukraine moving toward the highway between Svatove and Kreminna. That would be another encirclement move.
My understanding is Putin has forbidden them from giving up Kherson. They should be pinned in there by next weekend. With their backs against the sea, it will be surrender, or die. I don't they will have a way across the Dnipro.
 

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I've seen speculation on that, but nothing official. Which would make Kherson Putin's Stalingrad.
 

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A more strategic Russian retreat signals long fight ahead in Kherson - The Washington Post
“This is not Kharkiv,” Kostenko said. “There, they left all of their ammunition and vehicles and fled. Here, we don’t even have many trophies. They just retreated from the fight, took everything with them to their new position and are digging in anew.”

No big advances recently, though on Twitter I've found a lot of chatter about Ukraine moving toward the highway between Svatove and Kreminna. That would be another encirclement move.
My understanding is Putin has forbidden them from giving up Kherson. They should be pinned in there by next weekend. With their backs against the sea, it will be surrender, or die. I don't they will have a way across the Dnipro.
I dunno. This really seems like the kind of thing to be done before an attempted baiting into a kill-sac.
 

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Lavrov says Zelensky's nuclear comments last week were the reason why Russia started the invasion in February, thus revealing that Russia is in possession of a time machine:


Seriously though, I think the talk about nuclear weapons is itself normalizing their use. I'm beginning to think nuclear war is becoming more and more likely, maybe next year.
 
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steve_bank

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Reports are coming in that new conscripts being sent to Ukraine are being shook down for cell phones and gear by Russian soldiers. Fights and mutinies are resulting. Reportedly a number of theiving contract soldiers got severly beaten, locked themselves in a baracks and had to call for help. It is going to be a long war.
My understanding is that has always been the Russian army post Russian revolution.

It nay be a refction of Russian culture as it has been. Brutal from aristocrats to communist to Russian nationalists.

I read a book Diary Of A Revolutionist by Kropotkin. He was born into the upper aristocracy tier and grew up on a family plantation. H made a name for himself in scince and eventually joined the revolution. An anarchist not a communistt.

He described the life of the peasant. They had no names to the family. No first nmkes. A wagon dribr was driver and so on. The aster had firt night priveldge when a peasant git married.

If a noble killed or injured a peasant he could by an indulgence from the church. There is a reason why Russian communists were anti religion, it was a tool of oppression.


At Stalngrad familes of those who did not want to fight were threted
The current oligarchy with Putin as a self styled emperor is the same old Russian culture.
 

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Another smoking accident in Kerch bridge in Crimea:


Late birthday present to Putin?

EDIT: Some images in twitter also seem to show that the road bridge has collapsed. It's not obvious how the exploding fuel tanker could affect the adjacent road so severely.



It looks like one lane of the road is out. But whatever hit that probably also at least damaged the other lane.
 

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Late birthday present to Putin?
Not quite...


_127012492_putinreuters.jpg




Sorry Barbos, your Emperor literally has no clothes.
 

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This has to piss of Putin and his cronies. The bridge was Putin's personal project and its destruction (or at least damage, it's not as if it can't be rebuilt) is an enormous symbolic blow. The reaction is predictable by this point: propagandists calling for harsh reprisals against command centers in Kyiv or NATO countries, and an increased missile strikes against civilian targets.
 

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Russia is saying that the explosion in Crimean bridge was caused by a truck bomb, and from the footage and damage it sounds plausible: the road bridge that collapsed was the epicenter, and apparently caused another portion of the bridge to fall as well, damaged the adjacent lane, and set the tanker train on fire. Presumably the explosion was intended to blow up the train, which would have caused even more damage to the railway bridge, but failed to do so. Possibly a suicide mission.

The railway connection is probably easy to repair, mostly just fire damage. The second lane of the road bridge might still work, but that depends on whether there was structural damage to that side that would prevent heavy traffic. And if it was a suicide truck, stopping any future attacks of that nature just requires better inspections at the checkpoints in Russian side, so there's no fear of repeat attacks like in Antonivskyi bridge in Kherson. The effect on Russian logistics is probably going to be short-lived, but the mental blow is still huge.
 

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Russia is saying that the explosion in Crimean bridge was caused by a truck bomb, and from the footage and damage it sounds plausible: the road bridge that collapsed was the epicenter, and apparently caused another portion of the bridge to fall as well, damaged the adjacent lane, and set the tanker train on fire. Presumably the explosion was intended to blow up the train, which would have caused even more damage to the railway bridge, but failed to do so. Possibly a suicide mission.

The railway connection is probably easy to repair, mostly just fire damage. The second lane of the road bridge might still work, but that depends on whether there was structural damage to that side that would prevent heavy traffic. And if it was a suicide truck, stopping any future attacks of that nature just requires better inspections at the checkpoints in Russian side, so there's no fear of repeat attacks like in Antonivskyi bridge in Kherson. The effect on Russian logistics is probably going to be short-lived, but the mental blow is still huge.
I'd think it would have to be, or some very predictable scheduling of truck traffic across the bridge while known tanker cars are crossing. Though they likely have been doing reconnaissance on the bridge for some time.
We'll have to see how long it burns to see how much structural damage it sustains to know when trains can cross again.

FehyB_IWYAAeP9o.jpeg
 

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Russia is saying that the explosion in Crimean bridge was caused by a truck bomb, and from the footage and damage it sounds plausible: the road bridge that collapsed was the epicenter, and apparently caused another portion of the bridge to fall as well, damaged the adjacent lane, and set the tanker train on fire. Presumably the explosion was intended to blow up the train, which would have caused even more damage to the railway bridge, but failed to do so. Possibly a suicide mission.

The railway connection is probably easy to repair, mostly just fire damage. The second lane of the road bridge might still work, but that depends on whether there was structural damage to that side that would prevent heavy traffic. And if it was a suicide truck, stopping any future attacks of that nature just requires better inspections at the checkpoints in Russian side, so there's no fear of repeat attacks like in Antonivskyi bridge in Kherson. The effect on Russian logistics is probably going to be short-lived, but the mental blow is still huge.
I'd think it would have to be, or some very predictable scheduling of truck traffic across the bridge while known tanker cars are crossing.
Using a hapless civilian driver is not much better than one of your own guys sacrificing himself. But that's a minor detail, and a detail we won't find out until long after the war, if ever.

Though they likely have been doing reconnaissance on the bridge for some time.
We'll have to see how long it burns to see how much structural damage it sustains to know when trains can cross again.
The fire has been put out based on footage on the scene. I saw something in twitter that Russia is promising the railway traffic to resume already today.
 

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Though they likely have been doing reconnaissance on the bridge for some time.
We'll have to see how long it burns to see how much structural damage it sustains to know when trains can cross again.
The fire has been put out based on footage on the scene. I saw something in twitter that Russia is promising the railway traffic to resume already today.

I read that too. I don't know much about bridge inspections but I would have thought they couldn't do this so fast. A similar incident in Olympia, WA only allowed for vehicle and light truck traffic after 24 hours.

Too much info about bridge inspections for fire.
 

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I think the best description I heard of this was, "The Kerch bridge initiated a tactical redeployment so it could regroup with the Moskva for a counter offensive."

The amount of time it takes for Putin to unfuck this situation will be a telling indication on how the next few months will play out.
 
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steve_bank

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For those of you wondering how the fuck tiny Ukraine can do so well against Russia. It's because of intel. USA is feeding Ukraine top notch military intel. While Russians are creatively being blocked from gathering intel. Ukraine can see the Russians coming, while the Russians can't see the Ukrainian coming.


I also recommend reading up on how Ukraine manages to deny Russia air superiority. I've found a few great articles on that. Basically, Ukraine can't dominate the skies themselves, because they're outgunned. But they can use mobile US anti-air platforms making it extremely dangerous to fly over Ukraine.

Ukraine can't really do much offensively with their planes, because they're so outgunned. To an extreme degree. Russia has more than ten times as many combat aircraft than Ukraine.


Russia's main intel-gathering methods is via air. If they're denied the ability to use planes to gather data, they're operating in the dark. Russia has satellites that can be used to gather data, but they're nowhere near what they need to be to be of much use militarily.
USA has satellites that are so good that they can see anything anywhere in Ukraine, in real time. And Ukraine gets this information immediately. They can and are used as missile guiding tools to make precision hits anywhere in occupied territory.

The combination of denial of air superiority and satellite guided missiles, in practice means that Ukraine has the same benefits as if they'd had air superiority. They can pound Russia into the ground with missile. Russia can't run and hide because Ukraine can see them at all times. Ukraine just needs to stay mobile and Russia has no idea what they're aiming at. That's why Russian cassualities are so extremely high, while Ukrainian casualties aren't.

If you wonder how this one thing can do such a big difference. The first Balkan (1912) war was won by Turkey because they had one gunboat with a longer range than any of the Greeks and Bulgarians. They just parked the ship off the coast and kept relentlessly firing 24/7 at targets on land. Over time they were just whittled away to nothing. They couldn't take boats and go out to take out the boat because none of their canons (even on land) had anything that could even dent the hull.

The extreme effectiveness over modern satellite guided missiles is making USA very nervous. It suggests a shift in military doctrine. Since new satellites will keep being launched. They will get better and better. Sooner or later any little shit nation will have the satellite capacity USA now enjoys. This will have an enormous impact on how future wars will be fought. If anything of any size can be taken out easily, we'll be talking about armies of ninjas fighting each other backed up by expendable battle droids. This will change the deciding factors of war. And most importantly negate a lot of the toys USA today uses to dominate the world militarily.
Undoubtedly. I don't know the current state ofthe art, but I doubt the Russians can do much without the Brits and Americans seeing it.

And motivation. Barbarossa in reverese, The Russians were willing to fight to the death to protect hearth and home. The Germans were not well equped in Russia and suffered supply chain problems.
 

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For those of you wondering how the fuck tiny Ukraine can do so well against Russia. It's because of intel. USA is feeding Ukraine top notch military intel. While Russians are creatively being blocked from gathering intel. Ukraine can see the Russians coming, while the Russians can't see the Ukrainian coming.


I also recommend reading up on how Ukraine manages to deny Russia air superiority. I've found a few great articles on that. Basically, Ukraine can't dominate the skies themselves, because they're outgunned. But they can use mobile US anti-air platforms making it extremely dangerous to fly over Ukraine.

Ukraine can't really do much offensively with their planes, because they're so outgunned. To an extreme degree. Russia has more than ten times as many combat aircraft than Ukraine.


Russia's main intel-gathering methods is via air. If they're denied the ability to use planes to gather data, they're operating in the dark. Russia has satellites that can be used to gather data, but they're nowhere near what they need to be to be of much use militarily.
USA has satellites that are so good that they can see anything anywhere in Ukraine, in real time. And Ukraine gets this information immediately. They can and are used as missile guiding tools to make precision hits anywhere in occupied territory.

The combination of denial of air superiority and satellite guided missiles, in practice means that Ukraine has the same benefits as if they'd had air superiority. They can pound Russia into the ground with missile. Russia can't run and hide because Ukraine can see them at all times. Ukraine just needs to stay mobile and Russia has no idea what they're aiming at. That's why Russian cassualities are so extremely high, while Ukrainian casualties aren't.

If you wonder how this one thing can do such a big difference. The first Balkan (1912) war was won by Turkey because they had one gunboat with a longer range than any of the Greeks and Bulgarians. They just parked the ship off the coast and kept relentlessly firing 24/7 at targets on land. Over time they were just whittled away to nothing. They couldn't take boats and go out to take out the boat because none of their canons (even on land) had anything that could even dent the hull.

The extreme effectiveness over modern satellite guided missiles is making USA very nervous. It suggests a shift in military doctrine. Since new satellites will keep being launched. They will get better and better. Sooner or later any little shit nation will have the satellite capacity USA now enjoys. This will have an enormous impact on how future wars will be fought. If anything of any size can be taken out easily, we'll be talking about armies of ninjas fighting each other backed up by expendable battle droids. This will change the deciding factors of war. And most importantly negate a lot of the toys USA today uses to dominate the world militarily.
Undoubtedly. I don't know the current state ofthe art, but I doubt the Russians can do much without the Brits and Americans seeing it.

And motivation. Barbarossa in reverese, The Russians were willing to fight to the death to protect hearth and home. The Germans were not well equped in Russia and suffered supply chain problems.

Also of great importance is the well-developed use of AWACS by the US and NATO, which have been in use for many years now. Russia has some similar capabilities, but not as robust. The  Beriev A-50 only took its first test flight in February.
 

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The air superiority discussion is as prescient as any.

It is true that military satellite imagery and Intel, battlefield overwatch drones, and other such range finders and range extenders is going to change the face of modern warfare, now that the world has entered into a conflict where they have been revealed publicly.

Armor and classic logistics are pretty much over, against any country that HAS precision medium-long range weaponry.
 

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Trains can pass now:



In the video it's shown that it's just one track though. The other one is still blocked by the burned out tanker cars. Big morale victory for Ukraine, but won't impact military logistics much.
 

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Big morale victory for Ukraine, but won't impact military logistics much.

That’s why they should make it an “Every Friday” thing.


I generally don't post in this thread, because I am very ignorant concerning almost everything. I don't know about the history, people, or even the geography. I certainly don't understand military strategy and such.

But wouldn't a 12 mile long bridge, so crucial to the Russian's war goals, be easily taken out by whoever took out Nordstream?

Whoever that was hasn't bombed the bridge. Why not? The most obvious answer to me, who doesn't claim to know anything else, is that whoever bombed Nordstream was on Putin's side of this. Or that bridge would have been taken out weeks ago.
Tom
 

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In the video it's shown that it's just one track though. The other one is still blocked by the burned out tanker cars. Big morale victory for Ukraine, but won't impact military logistics much.

That's hard to say. It will degrade the flow of men, weapons, and supplies to Crimea, which is a major staging ground for reinforcing the Kherson front. Attrition is not just about reducing the flow of troops, and Russian troops appear to be suffering most from lack of supplies. Now is when the Russians are in most desperate need of reinforcements and resupply. The loss of the fuel train certainly won't help, and one has to wonder whether that line will be operating at reduced capacity for some time. Certainly, traffic on the highway bridge will be seriously affected.
 

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Big morale victory for Ukraine, but won't impact military logistics much.

That’s why they should make it an “Every Friday” thing.


I generally don't post in this thread, because I am very ignorant concerning almost everything. I don't know about the history, people, or even the geography. I certainly don't understand military strategy and such.

But wouldn't a 12 mile long bridge, so crucial to the Russian's war goals, be easily taken out by whoever took out Nordstream?

Whoever that was hasn't bombed the bridge. Why not? The most obvious answer to me, who doesn't claim to know anything else, is that whoever bombed Nordstream was on Putin's side of this. Or that bridge would have been taken out weeks ago.
Tom
It's more that bridges represent part of the infrastructure and development, the stuff with intrinsic value over which you are fighting.

As such, damages tend to focus on denial rather than destruction when possible.

It's difficult to make a bridge unuseful without making it unrecoverable once the asset is claimed.

Also, preventing civilian casualties is important.
 

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I generally don't post in this thread, because I am very ignorant concerning almost everything. I don't know about the history, people, or even the geography. I certainly don't understand military strategy and such.

But wouldn't a 12 mile long bridge, so crucial to the Russian's war goals, be easily taken out by whoever took out Nordstream?

Whoever that was hasn't bombed the bridge. Why not? The most obvious answer to me, who doesn't claim to know anything else, is that whoever bombed Nordstream was on Putin's side of this. Or that bridge would have been taken out weeks ago.
It's worth pointing out that neither the Kerch Bridge or Nordstream have been proven to be acts of sabotage. There is a decidedly non-zero chance that both occurred because of good old fashioned Russian incompetence.
 

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Supposedly the Poostain is taking it personally and has vowed to unleash Judgement Day in retaliation. Fuck him and all the Hitlers of the world. Zelensky is on record saying that if the Poostain goes nuclear on Ukraine it will cost Poostain his life. This is probably not an idle threat as the Ukrainians seem to be quite capable of carrying out activities inside Putinstan. If the Ukrainians are behind the attack I hope they pick a few more spots along the bridge and blow it to hell, just like their cities are being blown to hell.

Hitler to escalate assault on Ukraine after latest humiliation

The Kremlin previously warned any attack on the Kerch Strait would be a red line and trigger “judgement day”.

Seems like all the Ruskis have left are threats. They must not understand what is happening to the Ukrainian population because of their war.
 

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Russia is saying that the explosion in Crimean bridge was caused by a truck bomb, and from the footage and damage it sounds plausible: the road bridge that collapsed was the epicenter, and apparently caused another portion of the bridge to fall as well, damaged the adjacent lane, and set the tanker train on fire. Presumably the explosion was intended to blow up the train, which would have caused even more damage to the railway bridge, but failed to do so. Possibly a suicide mission.

I think more likely someone managed to slip a charge into an ammo truck.

The railway connection is probably easy to repair, mostly just fire damage. The second lane of the road bridge might still work, but that depends on whether there was structural damage to that side that would prevent heavy traffic. And if it was a suicide truck, stopping any future attacks of that nature just requires better inspections at the checkpoints in Russian side, so there's no fear of repeat attacks like in Antonivskyi bridge in Kherson. The effect on Russian logistics is probably going to be short-lived, but the mental blow is still huge.
If the fire softened the steel enough to deform it it could take a lot to put the rail back in operation.
 

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I lisstend to an analyst predict the NATO response to tactical nukes. It was said tactcal nukes are not part of western military strategy, however it is part of Russian military doctrine.

NATO by air would destroy every Russian point in Ukrainian and the Russian Baltic fleet.

If Ukraine had attack jets and helicopters it would be over quickly.

Buden said there has been direct communcation wirth Russia on consequnces for using nukes.
 

Loren Pechtel

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Big morale victory for Ukraine, but won't impact military logistics much.

That’s why they should make it an “Every Friday” thing.


I generally don't post in this thread, because I am very ignorant concerning almost everything. I don't know about the history, people, or even the geography. I certainly don't understand military strategy and such.

But wouldn't a 12 mile long bridge, so crucial to the Russian's war goals, be easily taken out by whoever took out Nordstream?

Whoever that was hasn't bombed the bridge. Why not? The most obvious answer to me, who doesn't claim to know anything else, is that whoever bombed Nordstream was on Putin's side of this. Or that bridge would have been taken out weeks ago.
Tom
Bombs work quite well underwater. Nordstream could have been done by shoving something off the back of a ship.

Air is quite another matter, though. Against hard targets you have to get basically a direct hit to do much. (Most damage from a bomb is from fragments, not from the boom.) The air simply compresses, you're not going to damage the bridge from a boat unless you have enough boom to pick up a segment of it. Rail bridges are even harder to damage because they're so open.
 

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Russia is saying that the explosion in Crimean bridge was caused by a truck bomb, and from the footage and damage it sounds plausible: the road bridge that collapsed was the epicenter, and apparently caused another portion of the bridge to fall as well, damaged the adjacent lane, and set the tanker train on fire. Presumably the explosion was intended to blow up the train, which would have caused even more damage to the railway bridge, but failed to do so. Possibly a suicide mission.

I think more likely someone managed to slip a charge into an ammo truck.
That's possible. The truck came from the Russian side of the bridge. Russian Ukraine sympathizers?

The railway connection is probably easy to repair, mostly just fire damage. The second lane of the road bridge might still work, but that depends on whether there was structural damage to that side that would prevent heavy traffic. And if it was a suicide truck, stopping any future attacks of that nature just requires better inspections at the checkpoints in Russian side, so there's no fear of repeat attacks like in Antonivskyi bridge in Kherson. The effect on Russian logistics is probably going to be short-lived, but the mental blow is still huge.
If the fire softened the steel enough to deform it it could take a lot to put the rail back in operation.
As I understand, the trains are already running again.
 

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It was said tactcal nukes are not part of western military strategy,
They were developed by the West (specifically the USA) for purely strategic reasons. The Soviet massed armour in East Germany was poised to sweep across western Europe using 'blitzkrieg' to reach the English Channel within a few days, before any reasonable amount of reinforcement from the Americas would have been possible.

The initial solution to this was to deploy large amounts of US manpower and equipment in Western Europe, particularly West Germany; But this was expensive, and was unpopular both with the deployed troops, and with the local residents. A cheaper option was to develop tactical nuclear weapons, so that a much smaller US force could block any Soviet advance for long enough for reinforcements to be deployed across the Atlantic Ocean.

As a consequence, tactical nukes were not only a part of Western strategy; they were the keystone of Western strategy for the last decade or so of the Cold War.

They're not a part of Russian military strategy; The Russian development of these weapons has more of a flavour of "They've got them, so we need them too" about it.

Regardless, they're completely unsuitable for any purposes other than the purely psychological, in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Neither side is facing massed armour; Neither side has distant but overwhelming reinforcement available that would make a few weeks of delay strategically valuable; Neither side is disinterested in short to medium term occupation of the territory in which these weapons might be used.

The only way Russia could use 'tactical' nuclear weapons against Ukraine would be as 'miniaturised strategic nukes' - to strike against cities and towns for non-tactical purposes, without deploying their megaton-range arsenal, in the hope that the rest of the world will say "...sure, it was an illegal use of WMDs against civilians, but it was only a little one".

For any tactical purposes, Russia has the means and opportunity to use conventional artillery to achieve a better result than they could obtain from tactical nukes. That they are utterly failing to even hold their ground, much less to advance, indicates that neither nuclear nor conventional tactics are going to work for them, because they're simply not able to bring their forces to bear effectively on their enemy.

They've got the ability to destroy targets. They lack the ability to locate, identify and strike at those targets quickly enough to harm the Ukrainian forces, who are employing both decoys and mobility with great effect.

Replacing wasted conventional artillery strikes against non-military targets with a wasted tactical nuclear strike against a non-military target achieves nothing of benefit to Russia.
 
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